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Swansea vs Oxford United: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 10:00
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Upgrade to PremiumSwansea vs Oxford United: Championship Clash of the Strugglers
Main Stakes of the Match
This Championship showdown on December 6 sees Swansea City and Oxford United, both struggling near the bottom of the table, fight for crucial points. With Swansea sitting at 21st place with 17 points and Oxford just above them in 20th with 18 points, this match holds significant implications for both teams as they seek to escape the relegation zone.
Current Form & Trends
Recent performances have left both teams desperately seeking a turnaround.
- Swansea: Currently on a five-match losing streak, Swansea's defense has been alarmingly porous, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match. Their home form is equally concerning, managing only one win in their last five home games and averaging just 1 goal scored while allowing 2.2.
- Oxford United: Oxford has shown some resilience, managing a win and two draws in their last five matches. However, their away form remains vulnerable, with only one win in five attempts, scoring just 1 goal per game while conceding 1.4.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Swansea holds the upper hand over Oxford, remaining unbeaten in their last two encounters with one victory and one draw. The last five matches between the two have seen an average of 4.5 goals, indicating a tendency for high-scoring affairs, with the most recent match ending in a thrilling 3-3 draw.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Both teams face a tactical battle, but Swansea’s defensive frailties may be their undoing against Oxford's ability to exploit set-pieces and counter-attacking opportunities. Key players like C. Burgess and L. Vigouroux will need to tighten up at the back for Swansea, while Oxford's B. De Keersmaecker will look to influence the midfield and provide support in attack. The absence of C. Brannagan due to injury could be a significant blow for Oxford, affecting their midfield balance.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: Swansea 1 - 1 Oxford United
Reasoning: Both teams have been struggling for form, and given their defensive weaknesses, a draw seems the most likely outcome, supported by statistical projections of near-equal probabilities.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Double Chance - 1X @ 1.3 (64.7%).
- Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.72 (56.8%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.14 vs 1.28
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.58%
0:1
11.59%
⭐
0:2
7.02%
⭐
0:3
2.83%
⭐
0:4
0.86%
⭐
0:5
0.21%
⭐
1
1:0
10.27%
1:1
13.07%
🔥
1:2
8.29%
⭐
1:3
3.5%
⭐
1:4
1.1%
⭐
1:5
0.28%
⭐
2
2:0
5.51%
2:1
7.35%
2:2
4.88%
2:3
2.15%
⭐
2:4
0.71%
⭐
2:5
0.19%
⭐
3
3:0
1.97%
3:1
2.75%
3:2
1.9%
3:3
0.88%
⭐
3:4
0.3%
⭐
3:5
0.08%
4
4:0
0.53%
4:1
0.77%
4:2
0.56%
4:3
0.27%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.11%
5:1
0.17%
5:2
0.13%
5:3
0.06%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:1 (13.1%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
19
6
1
11
20
28
-8
19
20
4
6
8
20
25
-5
18
21
4
5
9
18
27
-9
17
22
4
5
9
15
25
-10
17
Last 6 Matches
Swansea
VS
Oxford United
0/6 (0%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
5/6 (83%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.17
PPG
1.00
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
2.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
83%
BTTS %
83%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.54
Avg xG
0.89
Missing Players
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Leg Injury
1.11
xG [Total: 2.43]
1.32
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 3]
1
4
Corners [Total: 7]
3
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
10
Fouls [Total: 21]
11
3
Shots on Goal [Total: 7]
4
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Swansea will take on Oxford United as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous Swansea.com Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Swansea, and the visiting side, Oxford United. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Oxford United.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-06
Time: 15:00
Location: Swansea.com Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Swansea vs Oxford United Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 10:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Swansea vs Oxford United Football 6 Dec, 2025 10:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 78% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Clean Match Expected
Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Swansea vs Oxford United, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Swansea @ 2.12 ✅ 
Swansea
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Swansea are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches vs Oxford United
- Efficient ScoringH2H2/2100%Swansea efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches vs Oxford United
- Efficient ScoringRecent13/1587%Swansea efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 13 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
Oxford United
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Oxford United have not won in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches vs Swansea
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Oxford United have not won in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Swansea to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.02 ⚠️ 
Swansea(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/978%Swansea score (1.11/match) and concede (1.67/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 78% of matches (league avg: 58%)
Oxford United(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/967%Oxford United score (1.11/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 58%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H2/2100%Both teams scored in their last 2 Championship H2H matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.27 ⚠️
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/2100%Over 2.5 goals in their last 2 Championship H2H matches
Offensive trends suggest potential for goals • Recent scoring patterns lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Swansea Win or Draw @ 1.31 ✅
Swansea
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Swansea are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches vs Oxford United
- Undefeated at HTH2H2/2100%Swansea are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches vs Oxford United
Oxford United
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Oxford United have not won in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches vs Swansea
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Oxford United have not won in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Swansea to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Swansea Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.37 ✅
Swansea
- Scored 1+H2H2/2100%Swansea scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches vs Oxford United
- Scored 2+H2H2/2100%Swansea scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches vs Oxford United
- First Half SpecialistsH2H2/2100%Swansea score in first half in their last 2 2 matches vs Oxford United
- Second Half SpecialistsH2H2/2100%Swansea score in second half in their last 2 2 matches vs Oxford United
Swansea's attack remains potent — consistently scoring against quality opposition.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.10 ✅ 
Swansea(2 trends)
- Few CardsH2H2/2100%Swansea receive 0-1 card in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches vs Oxford United
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1880%Swansea average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+10% above league avg 1.8)
Oxford United(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Oxford United average 1.1 cards/match in all matches (-39% below league avg 1.8) — rank #1 lowest in league
Oxford United disciplined play balances Swansea aggression — Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.10 • H2H average: 2 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.14 ✅
Swansea(1 trends) — avg 4.2 (-14% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/979%Swansea average 4.2 corners/match at home (-14% below league avg 4.9)
Oxford United(2 trends) — avg 3.1 (-37% below league)
- Few CornersH2H2/2100%Oxford United win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches vs Swansea
- Few CornersLeague9/985%Oxford United average 3.1 corners/match in away matches (-37% below league avg 4.9)
Combined average: 7.3 corners/match (Swansea 4.2 + Oxford United 3.1) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+16 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Swansea vs Oxford United
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Swansea is stronger in the second half (14 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Swansea
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.01
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Oxford United
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Swansea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Oxford United - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Swansea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Oxford United - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Swansea shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 9 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Swansea winning the second half
- Overall Result: Oxford United has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Oxford United handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.192
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.053
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Swansea):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Oxford United):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Swansea vs Oxford United Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 10:00 Championship
Swansea vs Oxford United: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Swansea and away matches for Oxford United
Number of goals
Number of goals
Swansea
Under
Over
Oxford United
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Swansea
Oxford United
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
1X2
1X2
Swansea
Oxford United
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
70%
7
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Swansea
Oxford United
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
30%
3
60%
6
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Swansea
Oxford United
0-1
20%
2
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
70%
7
4+
30%
3
10%
1
Total Corners
Total Corners
Swansea
Under
Over
Oxford United
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Swansea
Oxford United
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Swansea
Oxford United
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
60%
6
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Swansea
Oxford United
xG
0.59
0.95
xGa
1.55
1.49
Number of goals
Number of goals
Swansea
Under
Over
Oxford United
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Swansea
Oxford United
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Swansea
Oxford United
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
60%
6
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Swansea
Oxford United
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
40%
4
60%
6
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Swansea
Oxford United
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Swansea
Oxford United
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Number of goals
Number of goals
Swansea
Under
Over
Oxford United
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Swansea
Oxford United
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Swansea
Oxford United
1
10%
1
10%
1
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Swansea
Oxford United
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
90%
9
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Swansea
Oxford United
0-1
40%
4
70%
7
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Swansea
Oxford United
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
Team comparison
Prediction
Swansea Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 31.50% | Low | 2.37 |
| Under 1.5 | 68.50% | Medium | 1.63 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 36.47% | Low | 3.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 63.53% | Medium | 1.30 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 10.74% | Low | 5.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 89.26% | High | 1.17 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 13.74% | Low | 11.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 86.26% | High | 1.06 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Swansea
Oxford United
Played:
2
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
5
2.5
Goals
2
4
4
2
Goals Conceded
2.5
5
1
0.5
Yellow Cards
1.5
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
12
6
Corners
2.5
5
15
7.5
Fouls
12
24
5
2.5
Offsides
4
8
28
14
Shots
9
18
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 5 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.1 | 10 | 0.9 | 8 | 1 | 18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 15 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.5 | 27 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 16 | 2.1 | 19 | 1.9 | 35 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 38 | 4.3 | 39 | 4.3 | 77 |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 93 | 10.1 | 91 | 10.2 | 184 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 16 | 2.3 | 21 | 2.1 | 37 |
| Shots | 9.9 | 89 | 10 | 90 | 9.9 | 179 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.2 | 29 | 3.4 | 31 | 3.3 | 60 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 5 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.1 | 10 | 1.1 | 10 | 1.1 | 20 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.3 | 12 | 0.9 | 8 | 1.1 | 20 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 35 | 3.1 | 28 | 3.5 | 63 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 95 | 10.9 | 98 | 10.7 | 193 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 17 | 2.3 | 21 | 2.1 | 38 |
| Shots | 14.4 | 130 | 10.1 | 91 | 12.3 | 221 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.8 | 34 | 3.3 | 30 | 3.6 | 64 |
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