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Swansea
Swansea vs Bristol City: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 6:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
17
Played
8
Wins
5
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(25 total)
xG
1.10
(18.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(233 total)
Shots on Target
4
(29% acc)
Corners
5.4
(91 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.3
(158 total)
Offsides
1.5
(26 total)
16
Played
4
Wins
2
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(14 total)
xG
1.00
(15.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.3
(181 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(35% acc)
Corners
4.5
(72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.1
(161 total)
Offsides
2.5
(40 total)
33
Played
12
Wins
7
Draws
14
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(39 total)
xG
1.00
(34.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(414 total)
Shots on Target
4
(32% acc)
Corners
4.9
(163 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.7
(319 total)
Offsides
2
(66 total)
17
Played
8
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(30 total)
xG
1.40
(23.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.4
(228 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(31% acc)
Corners
4.9
(83 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
8.4
(143 total)
Offsides
1.5
(25 total)
15
Played
6
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(18 total)
xG
1.10
(16.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.7
(176 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(36% acc)
Corners
4.9
(73 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.5
(157 total)
Offsides
2.7
(41 total)
32
Played
14
Wins
7
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(48 total)
xG
1.30
(40.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.6
(404 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(33% acc)
Corners
4.9
(156 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
11
(34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.4
(300 total)
Offsides
2.1
(66 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.82 vs 0.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.65%
⭐
0:1
5.11%
0:2
1.35%
0:3
0.24%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
15.34%
🔥
⭐
1:1
10.34%
1:2
3.33%
1:3
0.69%
1:4
0.11%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
12.19%
⭐
2:1
9.99%
2:2
3.84%
2:3
0.93%
2:4
0.16%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
6.46%
⭐
3:1
6.23%
⭐
3:2
2.8%
3:3
0.79%
3:4
0.16%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
2.57%
⭐
4:1
2.85%
⭐
4:2
1.47%
⭐
4:3
0.47%
4:4
0.11%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.82%
⭐
5:1
1.02%
⭐
5:2
0.6%
⭐
5:3
0.22%
⭐
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:0 (15.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Swansea will take on Bristol City as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Swansea.com Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Swansea, and the visiting side, Bristol City. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Swansea or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 12:30
Location: Swansea.com Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Swansea vs Bristol City Saturday, Feb 21st, 2026 at 6:30 Football
AI Value Bets
6 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Swansea vs Bristol City Football 21 Feb, 2026 6:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Chance Suppression
Swansea rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Swansea vs Bristol City.
🏆 Match Winner — Swansea @ 2.18 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsSwansea
Efficient ScoringH2H
Swansea efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 7 of their last 9 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 978%
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
Swansea efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends17 / 2277%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Swansea demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.75 
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Unlock Streak TrendsSwansea1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Swansea score (1.25/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 60%)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 1267%
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.91 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsSwansea1 TrendsFew GoalsH2H
Swansea scored 0-1 goals in 7 of their last 9 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 978%
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Unlock Streak TrendsBristol City1 TrendsFew GoalsH2H
Bristol City scored 0-1 goals in 7 of their last 9 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 978%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 9 H2H matches (66.7%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 966.7%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams score 0-1 goals frequently (78% + 78%) • Low scoring patterns strongly support Under 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Swansea Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.20 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsSwansea
Scored 1+Recent
Swansea scored 1+ goals in 7 of their last 9 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 978%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Swansea's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsSwansea1 Trends — avg 2 (+2% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Swansea average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+14% above league avg 1.8)
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Unlock Streak Trends22 / 2286%
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Unlock Streak TrendsBristol City2 Trends — avg 1.6 (-18% below league)Many CardsH2H
Bristol City receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 9 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 978%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLow Card MatchesLeague
Bristol City average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 1.8) — rank #3 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak Trends22 / 2290%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 4.5 cards per match in their last 8 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Bristol City disciplined play balances Swansea aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Swansea vs Bristol City
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Bristol City is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Swansea
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Bristol City
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.13
Pressure
0.16
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Swansea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Bristol City - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Swansea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Bristol City - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Bristol City often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Bristol City scoring first
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.012
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.052
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Swansea):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bristol City):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Swansea vs Bristol City Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 6:30 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
▼
12
11
8
44
39
5
47
9
▼
13
7
11
43
38
5
46
10
▲
12
10
10
48
44
4
46
15
▲
13
3
16
45
45
0
42
16
▼
12
6
14
38
39
-1
42
17
▲
11
6
15
42
42
0
39
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Swansea or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Swansea
VS
Bristol City
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
4
Wins
2
Draws
3
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (10)
1 (9)
xG
1.20
1.60
Shots
12.2 (110)
12.3 (111)
Shots on Target
3.8 (34)
4.2 (38)
Corners
4.9 (44)
6.1 (55)
Defense
Conceded
1 (9)
1.1 (10)
xGa
1.60
1.20
Clean Sheets
3 (33%)
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 (15)
2.3 (21)
Fouls
8.9 (80)
12.7 (114)
Offsides
1.7 (15)
1.8 (16)
Last 6 Matches
Swansea
VS
Bristol City
3/6 (50%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.67
PPG
1.17
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
50%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.72
Avg xG
1.33
Swansea vs Bristol City: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Swansea and away matches for Bristol City
Number of goals
Swansea
Under
Over
Bristol City
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
Both teams to score
Swansea
Bristol City
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1X2
Swansea
Bristol City
1
50%
5
50%
5
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Swansea
Bristol City
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
50%
5
50%
5
Total Goals
Swansea
Bristol City
0-1
20%
2
10%
1
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
20%
2
40%
4
Total Corners
Swansea
Under
Over
Bristol City
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Swansea
Bristol City
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Swansea
Bristol City
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Swansea
Bristol City
xG
1.56
1.11
xGa
1.09
1.07
Number of goals
Swansea
Under
Over
Bristol City
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Swansea
Bristol City
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Swansea
Bristol City
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Swansea
Bristol City
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Swansea
Bristol City
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Swansea
Bristol City
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Number of goals
Swansea
Under
Over
Bristol City
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Swansea
Bristol City
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Swansea
Bristol City
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Swansea
Bristol City
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Swansea
Bristol City
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Swansea
Bristol City
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
1.50
xG
0.80
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
Plymouth Argyle 2, Bristol City 2: Full-Time Championship Match Summary