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Sporting CP
Sporting CP vs Rio Ave: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 28 December, 2025 20:30
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.92 vs 0.44
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.38%
⭐
0:1
1.24%
0:2
0.17%
0:3
0.02%
0:4
0%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
12.11%
⭐
1:1
4.13%
1:2
0.68%
1:3
0.07%
1:4
0.01%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
16.73%
🔥
⭐
2:1
6.68%
2:2
1.28%
2:3
0.16%
2:4
0.01%
2:5
0%
3
3:0
15.41%
⭐
3:1
7.06%
3:2
1.54%
3:3
0.21%
3:4
0.02%
3:5
0%
4
4:0
10.64%
4:1
5.5%
4:2
1.35%
4:3
0.21%
4:4
0.02%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
5.88%
5:1
3.38%
5:2
0.92%
5:3
0.16%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
2:0 (16.7%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
14
1
0
33
4
29
43
2
12
2
1
42
8
34
38
3
10
5
0
31
8
23
35
10
▼
5
2
8
15
23
-8
17
11
▼
3
8
4
19
24
-5
17
12
▼
4
4
7
17
21
-4
16
3.07
xG
0.64
66%
Ball Possession
34%
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
4
11
Shots Off Goal
5
6
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
3
Last 6 Matches
Sporting CP
VS
Rio Ave
4/6 (67%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.67
PPG
1.00
3.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
50%
BTTS %
67%
67%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.73
Avg xG
0.95
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Sporting CP will take on Rio Ave as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2025-12-28 at 2025-12-28 in the famous Estádio José Alvalade.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sporting CP, and the visiting side, Rio Ave. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Sporting CP.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-28
Time: 20:30
Location: Estádio José Alvalade
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sporting CP vs Rio Ave Sunday, Dec 28th, 2025 at 20:30 Football
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Trends for Sporting CP vs Rio Ave Football 28 Dec, 2025 20:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Sporting CP have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Sporting CP create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Sporting CP vs Rio Ave, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Sporting CP @ 1.16 ✅ 
Sporting CP
- UnbeatenH2H6/6100%Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 6 6 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H6/6100%Sporting CP efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 6 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
- High ScoringH2H5/683%Sporting CP score 2+ goals per match in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H5/683%Sporting CP have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Sporting CP rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Sporting CP score 3.29 goals/match at home (+147% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Sporting CP are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Sporting CP concede only 0.43 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%Sporting CP score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Sporting CP have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent13/1587%Sporting CP efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Rio Ave
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Rio Ave have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Sporting CP dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.28 ⚠️
Sporting CP(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/771%Sporting CP score well (3.29/match) but have strong defense at home (0.43 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 71% of matches
Rio Ave(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/888%Rio Ave score (1.50/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 88% of matches (league avg: 44%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.43 ✅
Sporting CP(6 trends)
- High ScoringH2H5/683%Sporting CP score 2+ goals per match in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H5/683%Sporting CP have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Sporting CP rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Sporting CP score 3.29 goals/match at home (+147% above league average)
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%Sporting CP score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Sporting CP have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H4/666.7%Over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Teams average combined 3.3 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Sporting CP Win or Draw @ 1.03 ✅ 
Sporting CP
- UnbeatenH2H6/6100%Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 6 6 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H6/6100%Sporting CP are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches
- Top Table FormLeague70%Sporting CP are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Sporting CP concede only 0.43 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent12/1580%Sporting CP are undefeated at half time in their last 12 15 matches
Rio Ave
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Rio Ave have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Sporting CP dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Sporting CP Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.23 ✅
Sporting CP
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Sporting CP rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Sporting CP score 3.29 goals/match at home (+147% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent6/6100%Sporting CP scored 1+ goals in their last 6 6 matches
- Scored 1+Recent15/15100%Sporting CP scored 1+ goals in their last 15 15 matches
Sporting CP maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Sporting CP(1 trends) — avg 2.7
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1583%Sporting CP average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (-12% below league avg 2.7) — rank #5 lowest in league
Rio Ave(2 trends) — avg 2.8 (+4% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague15/1584.5%Rio Ave average 3.1 cards/match in all matches (+13% above league avg 2.7) — rank #3 in league
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Rio Ave receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 4.7 cards per match in their last 6 H2H matches
Sporting CP disciplined play balances Rio Ave aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.15 ⚠️
Sporting CP(1 trends) — avg 5.7 (+25% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%Sporting CP average 5.7 corners/match at home (+25% above league avg 4.6)
Rio Ave(1 trends) — avg 3.8 (-25% below league)
- Few CornersH2H5/5100%Rio Ave win 4 or fewer corners in 5 of their last 5 Primeira Liga matches
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.15
+18 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Sporting CP vs Rio Ave
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Sporting CP is stronger in the first half (13 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Sporting CP
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Rio Ave
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Sporting CP - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Rio Ave - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Sporting CP - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
13
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Rio Ave - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Sporting CP is stronger in the first half (13 vs 8)
- First Half Result: Consider Sporting CP to win the first half
- Overall Result: Sporting CP has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Sporting CP handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.286
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.013
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Sporting CP):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Rio Ave):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Sporting CP vs Rio Ave Head-to-head statistics for Sun 28 Dec, 2025 @ 20:30 Primeira Liga
Sporting CP vs Rio Ave: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sporting CP and away matches for Rio Ave
Number of goals
Sporting CP
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
1
70%
7
30%
3
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
10%
1
20%
2
Double Chance
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
90%
9
80%
8
X2
30%
3
70%
7
Total Goals
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
0-1
0%
0
20%
2
2-3
60%
6
60%
6
4+
40%
4
20%
2
Total Corners
Sporting CP
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
7.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
40%
4
xG(xGa)
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
xG
1.78
0.93
xGa
0.83
1.55
Number of goals
Sporting CP
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
0%
0
30%
3
Double Chance
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
100%
10
70%
7
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
0-1
30%
3
60%
6
2-3
70%
7
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Number of goals
Sporting CP
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
1
70%
7
20%
2
X
20%
2
60%
6
2
10%
1
20%
2
Double Chance
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
12
80%
8
40%
4
1X
90%
9
80%
8
X2
30%
3
80%
8
Total Goals
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Sporting CP AH-1.5
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.76%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 78.93% | High | 1.23 |
| Under 1.5 | 21.07% | Low | 4.50 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 7.37% | Low | 7.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 92.63% | High | 1.11 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 55.97% | Medium | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 44.03% | Low | 2.17 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 1.05% | Low | 23.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 98.95% | High | 1.02 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Played:
6
Wins
5
5
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
15
2.5
Goals
0.7
4
4
0.7
Goals Conceded
2.5
15
11
1.8
Yellow Cards
2.7
16
0
Red Cards
0.2
1
4
0.7
Clean Sheets
0
32
5.3
Corners
1.7
10
76
12.7
Fouls
13
78
12
2
Offsides
2.3
14
110
18.3
Shots
5.7
34
39
6.5
Shots on Goal
1.2
7
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 7 | 12 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 3.3 | 23 | 2.4 | 19 | 2.8 | 42 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 0.5 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.7 | 12 | 2.9 | 23 | 2.3 | 35 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.7 | 5 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.5 | 8 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 40 | 7.4 | 59 | 6.6 | 99 |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 81 | 13 | 104 | 12.3 | 185 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 8 | 1.6 | 13 | 1.4 | 21 |
| Shots | 20.3 | 142 | 17.8 | 142 | 18.9 | 284 |
| Shots on Goal | 8.1 | 57 | 6.9 | 55 | 7.5 | 112 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 5 | 8 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 7 | 1.5 | 12 | 1.3 | 19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 12 | 1.5 | 12 | 1.6 | 24 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.7 | 19 | 2.9 | 23 | 2.8 | 42 |
| Red Cards | 0.4 | 3 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Corners | 3 | 21 | 4.1 | 33 | 3.6 | 54 |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 83 | 15.8 | 126 | 13.9 | 209 |
| Offsides | 0.9 | 6 | 1.8 | 14 | 1.3 | 20 |
| Shots | 8.6 | 60 | 9.5 | 76 | 9.1 | 136 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.6 | 25 | 4 | 32 | 3.8 | 57 |
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