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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 • First qualifying round
Preview
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
14th place
Form
VS
20:00
20 Jan 2026
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
3rd place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Sporting CP vs Paris Saint Germain: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 20 January, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)4.32
Sporting CP to Win
Probability 48%
Total Goals1.66
Over 2.5
Probability 76%
Both Teams to Score1.60
Yes
Probability 76%
Sporting CP Total2.81
Home Over 1.5
Probability 68%
Paris Saint Germain Total1.37
Away Under 2.5
Probability 73%
Double Chance2.08
Sporting CP/Draw
Probability 69%
Asian Handicap1.40
Sporting CP +1.5
Probability 86%
Best Tip
Value
Asian Handicap Sporting CP +1.5
Odds 1.4
Win Prob. 85.8% EV: +20.1%
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Prediction League
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
20:00
Sporting CP W 48%
:
Paris Saint Germain W 31%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Sporting CP
l w w w d
11 Played
9 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.3 (36 total)
xG
2.50 (27.0 total)
Shots per Match
19.8 (218 total)
Shots on Target
8.4 (42% acc)
Corners
5.6 (62 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.5 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (64%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.5 (126 total)
Offsides
1 (11 total)
12 Played
7 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (23 total)
xG
1.70 (19.9 total)
Shots per Match
14.2 (170 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (37% acc)
Corners
5.8 (69 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
12.2 (146 total)
Offsides
1.3 (15 total)
23 Played
16 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6 (59 total)
xG
2.00 (46.9 total)
Shots per Match
16.9 (388 total)
Shots on Target
6.7 (40% acc)
Corners
5.7 (131 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11.8 (272 total)
Offsides
1.1 (26 total)
Paris Saint Germain
l w d w w
11 Played
9 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6 (29 total)
xG
2.00 (21.8 total)
Shots per Match
20.5 (226 total)
Shots on Target
7.6 (37% acc)
Corners
6.5 (72 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (64%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9 (99 total)
Offsides
1.3 (14 total)
12 Played
7 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (27 total)
xG
1.50 (18.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.8 (177 total)
Shots on Target
6 (41% acc)
Corners
5.5 (66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.3 (112 total)
Offsides
0.8 (9 total)
23 Played
16 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4 (56 total)
xG
1.80 (40.3 total)
Shots per Match
17.5 (403 total)
Shots on Target
6.8 (39% acc)
Corners
6 (138 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9.2 (211 total)
Offsides
1 (23 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.33 vs 1.82
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.98%
0:1
3.24%
0:2
2.65%
0:3
1.44%
0:4
0.59%
0:5
0.19%
1
1:0
4.25%
1:1
7.31%
1:2
6.27%
1:3
3.58%
1:4
1.53%
1:5
0.52%
2
2:0
4.55%
2:1
8.23%
🔥
2:2
7.41%
2:3
4.42%
2:4
1.97%
2:5
0.7%
3
3:0
3.26%
3:1
6.17%
3:2
5.8%
3:3
3.62%
3:4
1.68%
3:5
0.62%
4
4:0
1.75%
4:1
3.46%
4:2
3.4%
4:3
2.21%
4:4
1.07%
4:5
0.41%
5
5:0
0.75%
5:1
1.55%
5:2
1.59%
5:3
1.07%
5:4
0.54%
5:5
0.22%
Hotspot: 2:1 (8.2%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.0%
0
7.5%
1
14.5%
2
19.2%
3
19.5%
4
16.2%
5
11.1%
6
6.2%
7
2.8%
8
1.0%
9
0.2%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Sporting CPHDPParis Saint Germain
14.6%
Very Low
-2.5
5.6%
@ 6.00Very Low
22.0%
Low@ 16.50
-2
9.9%
@ 5.25Very Low
29.4%
Low@ 8.80
-1.5
14.2%
@ 3.05Very Low
39.5%
Low@ 7.80
-1
21.9%
@ 2.40Low
49.6%
Medium@ 3.70
-0.5
29.6%
@ 1.85Low
70.4%
High@ 2.07
+0.5
50.4%
@ 1.28Medium
78.1%
High@ 1.60
+1
60.5%
@ 1.10High
85.8%
Very High@ 1.40
+1.5
70.6%
@ 1.01High
90.1%
Very High@ 1.16
+2
78.0%
@ 1.01High
94.4%
Very High@ 1.12
+2.5
85.4%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Sporting CPOutcomeParis Saint Germain
90.3%
Very High@ 1.37
Over 0.5
83.8%
@ 1.14Very High
9.7%
Very Low@ 3.25
Under 0.5
16.2%
@ 6.00Very Low
67.6%
High@ 2.81
Over 1.5
54.3%
@ 1.70Medium
32.4%
Low@ 1.48
Under 1.5
45.7%
@ 2.20Medium
41.2%
Medium@ 7.20
Over 2.5
27.5%
@ 3.25Low
58.8%
Medium@ 1.10
Under 2.5
72.5%
@ 1.37High
20.7%
Low@ 21.00
Over 3.5
11.2%
@ 7.20Very Low
79.3%
High@ 1.02
Under 3.5
88.8%
@ 1.12Very High
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Sporting CP will take on Paris Saint Germain as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-20 at 2026-01-20 in the famous Estádio José Alvalade. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sporting CP, and the visiting side, Paris Saint Germain. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-20 Time: 20:00 Location: Estádio José Alvalade Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sporting CP vs Paris Saint Germain Tuesday, Jan 20th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

AI Value Bets
10 Found

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Home Total Sporting CP Over 1.5
High Value
Prob: 67.6%
EV: +90.0%
Stake: $1.38
2.81
Double Chance 1X
High Value
Prob: 69.3%
EV: +44.0%
Stake: $2.31
2.08
Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 75.6%
EV: +25.4%
Stake: $3.79
1.66
Asian Handicap Sporting CP +1
High Value
Prob: 78.1%
EV: +24.9%
Stake: $4.17
1.60
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 76.4%
EV: +22.3%
Stake: $4.17
1.60
Asian Handicap Sporting CP +1.5
High Value
Prob: 85.8%
EV: +20.1%
Stake: $6.25
1.40
Win to Nil Paris Saint Germain NOT Win to Nil
High Value
Prob: 92.7%
EV: +18.6%
Stake: $8.93
1.28
Correct Score 2:1
Value
Prob: 7.9%
EV: +14.4%
Stake: $0.19
14.50
Asian Handicap Sporting CP +2
Value
Prob: 90.1%
EV: +4.5%
Stake: $10.00
1.16
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 79.2%
EV: +1.3%
Stake: $8.93
1.28
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 02:45:17
spinner

Trends for Sporting CP vs Paris Saint Germain Football 20 Jan, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 9 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Sporting CP have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🎯
    Goal Fest Potential

    Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display

+7 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 9 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Sporting CP vs Paris Saint Germain

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the second half (19 vs 14).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Sporting CP

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Paris Saint Germain

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Sporting CP - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Paris Saint Germain - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Sporting CP - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
14
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Paris Saint Germain - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Paris Saint Germain shows superior performance after the break (19 vs 14 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Paris Saint Germain winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.181
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.023
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Sporting CP):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Paris Saint Germain):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain

Sporting CP vs Paris Saint Germain Head-to-head statistics for Tue 20 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Sporting CP
VS
Paris Saint Germain
3/6 (50%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.67 PPG 2.17
2.83 Avg Goals Scored 2.50
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
67% BTTS % 50%
50% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.79 Avg xG 1.62
Sporting CP
L W W W D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Jan 2026 - 18:45
GIL Vicente
1 1
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Sporting CP
4 0
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Dec 2025 - 20:45
Guimaraes
1 4
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Sporting CP
6 0
AVS
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
9 Dec 2025 - 17:45
Bayern München
3 1
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Benfica
1 1
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
L W D W W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Paris Saint Germain
2 1
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Metz
2 3
Paris Saint Germain
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
10 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Athletic Club
0 0
Paris Saint Germain
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 20:05
Paris Saint Germain
5 0
Rennes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 16:00
Monaco
1 0
Paris Saint Germain
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
5 3
Tottenham

Sporting CP vs Paris Saint Germain: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sporting CP and away matches for Paris Saint Germain

Number of goals
Sporting CP
Under
Over
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
3.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
Both teams to score
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
1X2
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
1
60% 6
70% 7
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
10% 1
20% 2
Double Chance
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
90% 9
80% 8
X2
40% 4
30% 3
Total Goals
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
0-1
0% 0
30% 3
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
50% 5
40% 4
Total Corners
Sporting CP
Under
Over
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
HT 1 - FT 1
50% 5
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
xG
1.69
1.74
xGa
0.88
0.85
Number of goals
Sporting CP
Under
Over
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
1
60% 6
50% 5
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
0% 0
10% 1
Double Chance
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
100% 10
90% 9
X2
40% 4
50% 5
Total Goals
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
0-1
30% 3
50% 5
2-3
70% 7
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
Number of goals
Sporting CP
Under
Over
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
1
60% 6
50% 5
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
20% 2
10% 1
Double Chance
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
40% 4
50% 5
Total Goals
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
0-1
60% 6
40% 4
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
1.53 xG 2.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
No Posts Found