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GIL Vicente
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Sporting CP
Sporting CP vs Casa Pia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 16 January, 2026 14:15
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11
Played
9
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.3
(36 total)
xG
2.50
(27.0 total)
Shots per Match
19.8
(218 total)
Shots on Target
8.4
(42% acc)
Corners
5.6
(62 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.5
per match
xGa
0.60
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(64%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
11.5
(126 total)
Offsides
1
(11 total)
12
Played
7
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(23 total)
xG
1.70
(19.9 total)
Shots per Match
14.2
(170 total)
Shots on Target
5.3
(37% acc)
Corners
5.8
(69 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
12.2
(146 total)
Offsides
1.3
(15 total)
23
Played
16
Wins
4
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6
(59 total)
xG
2.00
(46.9 total)
Shots per Match
16.9
(388 total)
Shots on Target
6.7
(40% acc)
Corners
5.7
(131 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
11.8
(272 total)
Offsides
1.1
(26 total)
8
Played
0
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(7 total)
xG
0.60
(5.1 total)
Shots per Match
7.1
(57 total)
Shots on Target
2.4
(33% acc)
Corners
3.4
(27 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
15.8
(126 total)
Offsides
0.9
(7 total)
9
Played
3
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(10 total)
xG
1.00
(9.0 total)
Shots per Match
9.2
(83 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(35% acc)
Corners
3.8
(34 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
15
(135 total)
Offsides
1.1
(10 total)
17
Played
3
Wins
5
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(17 total)
xG
0.80
(14.1 total)
Shots per Match
8.2
(140 total)
Shots on Target
2.8
(34% acc)
Corners
3.6
(61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
15.4
(261 total)
Offsides
1
(17 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 3.83 vs 0.64
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.69%
0:1
0.78%
0:2
0.18%
0:3
0.03%
0:4
0%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
6.17%
1:1
3.14%
1:2
0.79%
1:3
0.13%
1:4
0.02%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
11.26%
2:1
6.29%
2:2
1.73%
2:3
0.31%
2:4
0.04%
2:5
0%
3
3:0
13.69%
🔥
3:1
8.33%
3:2
2.48%
⭐
3:3
0.48%
⭐
3:4
0.07%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
12.5%
⭐
4:1
8.21%
⭐
4:2
2.64%
⭐
4:3
0.55%
⭐
4:4
0.09%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
9.12%
⭐
5:1
6.45%
⭐
5:2
2.22%
⭐
5:3
0.5%
⭐
5:4
0.08%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
3:0 (13.7%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Sporting CP will take on Casa Pia as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-16 at 2026-01-16 in the famous Estádio José Alvalade.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sporting CP, and the visiting side, Casa Pia. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Sporting CP.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-16
Time: 20:15
Location: Estádio José Alvalade
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sporting CP vs Casa Pia Friday, Jan 16th, 2026 at 14:15 Football
AI Value Bets
8 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Sporting CP vs Casa Pia Football 16 Jan, 2026 14:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Sporting CP have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Sporting CP create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Sporting CP vs Casa Pia, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Sporting CP @ 1.17 ✅ 
Sporting CP
- WonH2H7/7100%Sporting CP have won their last 7 7 matches
- UnbeatenH2H7/7100%Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 7 7 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H7/7100%Sporting CP efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 7 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches
- High ScoringH2H6/786%Sporting CP score 2+ goals per match in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H6/786%Sporting CP have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Sporting CP rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Sporting CP score 3.29 goals/match at home (+147% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Sporting CP are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Sporting CP concede only 0.43 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%Sporting CP score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Sporting CP have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent13/1587%Sporting CP efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Casa Pia
- Not WinH2H7/7100%Casa Pia have not won their last 7 7 matches
- LostH2H7/7100%Casa Pia have lost their last 7 7 matches
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Casa Pia have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Sporting CP dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.62 ⚠️ 
Sporting CP(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/771%Sporting CP score well (3.29/match) but have strong defense at home (0.43 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 71% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.52 ✅
Sporting CP(6 trends)
- High ScoringH2H6/786%Sporting CP score 2+ goals per match in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H6/786%Sporting CP have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Sporting CP rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Sporting CP score 3.29 goals/match at home (+147% above league average)
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%Sporting CP score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Sporting CP have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H5/771.4%Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 H2H matches (71.4%%)
Teams average combined 3.3 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Sporting CP Win or Draw @ 1.03 ✅ 
Sporting CP
- UnbeatenH2H7/7100%Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 7 7 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H6/786%Sporting CP are undefeated at half time in their last 6 7 matches
- Top Table FormLeague70%Sporting CP are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Sporting CP concede only 0.43 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent12/1580%Sporting CP are undefeated at half time in their last 12 15 matches
Casa Pia
- Not WinH2H7/7100%Casa Pia have not won their last 7 7 matches
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Casa Pia have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Sporting CP dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Sporting CP Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.26 ✅
Sporting CP
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Sporting CP rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Sporting CP score 3.29 goals/match at home (+147% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent7/7100%Sporting CP scored 1+ goals in their last 7 7 matches
- Scored 2+Recent7/7100%Sporting CP scored 2+ goals in their last 7 7 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent7/7100%Sporting CP score in second half in their last 7 7 matches
- Scored 1+Recent15/15100%Sporting CP scored 1+ goals in their last 15 15 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent6/786%Sporting CP score in first half in their last 6 7 matches
Sporting CP maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Sporting CP(1 trends) — avg 2.6 (-3% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1583%Sporting CP average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (-12% below league avg 2.7) — rank #5 lowest in league
Casa Pia(3 trends) — avg 3.1 (+15% above league)
- Many CardsH2H6/786%Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches
- High Card MatchesLeague15/1590%Casa Pia average 3.2 cards/match in all matches (+18% above league avg 2.7) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 4.6 cards per match in their last 7 H2H matches
Sporting CP disciplined play balances Casa Pia aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.10 ✅
Sporting CP(1 trends) — avg 5.7 (+25% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%Sporting CP average 5.7 corners/match at home (+25% above league avg 4.6)
Casa Pia(2 trends) — avg 3.8 (-18% below league)
- Few CornersH2H6/6100%Casa Pia win 4 or fewer corners in 6 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
- Few CornersLeague8/883%Casa Pia average 3.8 corners/match in away matches (-18% below league avg 4.6)
Combined average: 9.5 corners/match (Sporting CP 5.7 + Casa Pia 3.8)
+24 Streak trends are hidden
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Sporting CP vs Casa Pia
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Sporting CP is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Sporting CP
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Casa Pia
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.1
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Sporting CP - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Casa Pia - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Sporting CP - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
14
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Casa Pia - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Sporting CP excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Sporting CP scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Sporting CP has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Sporting CP handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.223
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.017
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Sporting CP):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Casa Pia):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Sporting CP vs Casa Pia Head-to-head statistics for Fri 16 Jan, 2026 @ 14:15 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
16
1
0
36
4
32
49
2
13
3
1
47
9
38
42
3
11
6
0
36
11
25
39
14
▼
4
5
8
21
26
-5
17
15
3
5
9
17
32
-15
14
16
3
5
9
18
42
-24
14
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Sporting CP
VS
Casa Pia
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
7
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
3.4 (24)
0.9 (6)
xG
2.70
0.50
Shots
21.7 (152)
7.9 (55)
Shots on Target
8.7 (61)
3 (21)
Corners
8 (56)
2.4 (17)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 (6)
3.4 (24)
xGa
0.50
2.70
Clean Sheets
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 (9)
3.1 (22)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
10.4 (73)
12.9 (90)
Offsides
1.4 (10)
2.3 (16)
Last 6 Matches
Sporting CP
VS
Casa Pia
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
2.33
PPG
0.83
2.83
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
67%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.79
Avg xG
0.64
Sporting CP vs Casa Pia: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sporting CP and away matches for Casa Pia
Number of goals
Sporting CP
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
60%
6
40%
4
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
1X2
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
1
60%
6
10%
1
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
10%
1
50%
5
Double Chance
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
90%
9
50%
5
X2
40%
4
90%
9
Total Goals
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
0-1
0%
0
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
50%
5
50%
5
Total Corners
Sporting CP
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
xG
1.69
0.75
xGa
0.88
1.66
Number of goals
Sporting CP
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
1
60%
6
10%
1
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
0%
0
50%
5
Double Chance
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
100%
10
50%
5
X2
40%
4
90%
9
Total Goals
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
0-1
30%
3
70%
7
2-3
70%
7
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
Number of goals
Sporting CP
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
1
60%
6
30%
3
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
20%
2
50%
5
Double Chance
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
80%
8
50%
5
X2
40%
4
70%
7
Total Goals
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
0-1
60%
6
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
10%
1
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
Yes
70%
7
30%
3
No
30%
3
70%
7
3.59
xG
0.60
66%
Ball Possession
34%
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots Off Goal
5
6
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
4
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