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7 Dec 2025-19:00
Sport Recife
Sport Recife
20th place
- : -
7 Dec 2025 13:00
Gremio
Gremio
11th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Sport Recife vs Gremio: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 13:00

1×2 Prediction
Gremio
25%24%51%
Sport RecifeDrawGremio
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
58%42%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
60%40%
YesNo
Team Total - Sport Recife
Under 1.5
65%35%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Gremio
Under 2.5
72%28%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Draw/Gremio
75%25%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Sport Recife +1
62%38%
Home +1NOT Home +1
Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap Sport Recife +1
Odds: 1.7
62.2%
EV: +5.7%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.31 vs 1.82
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.09%
0:1
8.56%
0:2
7.19%
0:3
4.03%
0:4
1.69%
0:5
0.57%
1
1:0
5.96%
1:1
10.73%
🔥
1:2
9.61%
1:3
5.72%
1:4
2.54%
1:5
0.9%
2
2:0
3.49%
2:1
6.7%
2:2
6.37%
2:3
4.02%
2:4
1.89%
2:5
0.71%
3
3:0
1.36%
3:1
2.78%
3:2
2.8%
3:3
1.86%
3:4
0.92%
3:5
0.36%
4
4:0
0.4%
4:1
0.86%
4:2
0.92%
4:3
0.64%
4:4
0.33%
4:5
0.14%
5
5:0
0.09%
5:1
0.21%
5:2
0.24%
5:3
0.18%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot: 1:1 (10.7%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.1%
0
14.5%
1
21.4%
2
21.7%
3
17.0%
4
10.9%
5
5.8%
6
2.5%
7
0.9%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Sport Recife
vs
Gremio
Dec 7, 19:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Serie A

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Last 6 Matches
Sport Recife
VS
Gremio
0/6 (0%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
6/6 (100%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
0.00 PPG 1.17
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
3.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
67% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.54 Avg xG 1.65
Sport Recife
L L L L L
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
3 Dec 2025 - 23:00
Bahia
2 0
Sport Recife
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
29 Nov 2025 - 00:30
Santos
3 0
Sport Recife
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
23 Nov 2025 - 21:30
Sport Recife
1 3
Vitoria
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
18 Nov 2025 - 23:30
Botafogo
3 2
Sport Recife
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
15 Nov 2025 - 21:30
Sport Recife
1 5
Flamengo
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
8 Nov 2025 - 19:00
Sport Recife
2 4
Atletico-MG
Gremio
D W L W L
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
3 Dec 2025 - 00:30
Gremio
1 2
Fluminense
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
26 Nov 2025 - 00:30
Gremio
3 2
Palmeiras
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
22 Nov 2025 - 22:30
Botafogo
3 2
Gremio
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
20 Nov 2025 - 00:30
Gremio
2 0
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
9 Nov 2025 - 23:30
Fortaleza EC
2 2
Gremio
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
5 Nov 2025 - 23:00
Gremio
0 1
Cruzeiro
27% Draw 49%
58% Over 2.5 42%
60% Both Teams Score 40%
1.16 xPTS 1.84
1.31 xG [Total: 3.13] 1.82
3 Yellow Cards [Total: 6] 3
6 Corners [Total: 9] 3
2 Offsides [Total: 3] 1
13 Fouls [Total: 26] 13
3 Shots on Goal [Total: 6] 3
In this exciting Serie A (Brazil) 2025 matchup, Sport Recife will take on Gremio as part of the 2025 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sport Recife, and the visiting side, Gremio. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Gremio and +1.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-07 Time: 19:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sport Recife vs Gremio Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 13:00 Football

Value Bets

5 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap Sport Recife +1
Odds: 1.78
62.2%
EV: +10.7% Kelly: $6.85
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Value
Asian Handicap Sport Recife +1.5
Odds: 1.50
73.7%
EV: +10.5% Kelly: $10.49
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Value
Win to Nil Gremio NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.38
78%
EV: +7.7% Kelly: $10.13
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Value
Asian Handicap Sport Recife +2.5
Odds: 1.15
88.7%
EV: +2.0% Kelly: $6.57
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 02:19:15
spinner

Trends for Sport Recife vs Gremio Football 7 Dec, 2025 13:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Sport Recife vs Gremio

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Gremio is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Sport Recife

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Gremio

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.13
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Sport Recife - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

✈️ Gremio - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Sport Recife - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Gremio - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Gremio excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Gremio scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Gremio has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Gremio handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.102
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.081
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.075 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Sport Recife):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Gremio):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.

Sport Recife
Gremio

Sport Recife vs Gremio Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 13:00 Serie A

Sport Recife vs Gremio: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sport Recife and away matches for Gremio

Number of goals

Number of goals
Sport Recife
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Sport Recife
Gremio
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5

1X2

1X2
Sport Recife
Gremio
1
0% 0
40% 4
X
0% 0
10% 1
2
100% 10
50% 5

Double Chance

Double Chance
Sport Recife
Gremio
12
100% 10
90% 9
1X
0% 0
50% 5
X2
100% 10
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Sport Recife
Gremio
0-1
0% 0
10% 1
2-3
60% 6
40% 4
4+
40% 4
50% 5

Total Corners

Total Corners
Sport Recife
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Sport Recife
Gremio
Yes
0% 0
20% 2
No
100% 10
80% 8

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Sport Recife
Gremio
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
50% 5
50% 5
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
0% 0
HT X - FT X
0% 0
0% 0

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Sport Recife
Gremio
xG
0.57
1.69
xGa
2.04
1.32

Number of goals

Number of goals
Sport Recife
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Sport Recife
Gremio
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Sport Recife
Gremio
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
50% 5
50% 5

Double Chance

Double Chance
Sport Recife
Gremio
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
50% 5
50% 5
X2
80% 8
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Sport Recife
Gremio
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Sport Recife
Gremio
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7

Number of goals

Number of goals
Sport Recife
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
90% 9
10% 1
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Sport Recife
Gremio
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6

1X2

1X2
Sport Recife
Gremio
1
0% 0
50% 5
X
0% 0
20% 2
2
100% 10
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Sport Recife
Gremio
12
100% 10
80% 8
1X
0% 0
70% 7
X2
100% 10
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Sport Recife
Gremio
0-1
60% 6
40% 4
2-3
20% 2
60% 6
4+
20% 2
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Sport Recife
Gremio
Yes
0% 0
30% 3
No
100% 10
70% 7
Team comparison
Prediction
Sport Recife AH+1
Under/Over: +1.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
3.3%
Low
N/A
11.3%
Low
5.50
-2
7.0%
Low
N/A
18.8%
Low
4.40
-1.5
10.6%
Low
10.00
26.3%
Low
2.75
-1
18.6%
Low
9.00
37.8%
Low
2.10
-0.5
26.6%
Low
4.40
49.3%
Low
1.65
+0.5
50.7%
Medium
2.37
73.4%
High
1.24
+1
62.2%
Medium
1.78
81.4%
High
1.03
+1.5
73.7%
High
1.50
89.4%
High
1.02
+2
81.2%
High
1.22
93.0%
High
N/A
+2.5
88.7%
High
1.15
96.7%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.87%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.537.67%Low3.42
Under 1.562.33%Medium1.30
AwayOver 1.554.31%Medium1.66
Under 1.545.69%Low2.26
HomeOver 2.514.52%Low10.00
Under 2.585.48%High1.06
AwayOver 2.527.47%Low3.10
Under 2.572.53%High1.38
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
10 Aug
- 23:30
Gremio
Sport Recife
1.37
xG
1.52
0
1
club logo
Sport Recife
Gremio
Played: 1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
1
1
Goals
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
1
0
Yellow Cards
2
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
1
Clean Sheets
0
2
2
Corners
3
3
19
19
Fouls
10
10
2
2
Offsides
1
1
11
11
Shots
14
14
3
3
Shots on Goal
6
6
Home Away All
Played 18 19 37
Wins 1 1 2
Draws 7 4 11
Losses 10 14 24
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.9 17 0.6 11 0.8 28
Goals Conceded 1.9 35 1.9 36 1.9 71
Yellow Cards 2.6 47 2.4 46 2.5 93
Red Cards 0.2 3 0 0.1 3
Clean Sheets 0.2 3 0.1 2 0.1 5
Corners 5.7 103 5.6 107 5.7 210
Fouls 13.4 241 14.2 269 13.8 510
Offsides 1.8 33 1.8 34 1.8 67
Shots 11.9 215 12.7 241 12.3 456
Shots on Goal 3.7 67 3.6 69 3.7 136
Home Away All
Played 19 18 37
Wins 9 3 12
Draws 5 5 10
Losses 5 10 15
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.3 24 1.1 19 1.2 43
Goals Conceded 0.9 17 1.8 33 1.4 50
Yellow Cards 2.6 50 2.7 49 2.7 99
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.2 4 0.1 5
Clean Sheets 0.3 5 0.1 1 0.2 6
Corners 4.2 79 3.7 66 3.9 145
Fouls 13 247 13.6 245 13.3 492
Offsides 1.1 21 0.9 16 1 37
Shots 14.3 272 9.9 178 12.2 450
Shots on Goal 5.2 99 3.5 63 4.4 162
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