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Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 17 February, 2026 13:00
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11
Played
5
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(13 total)
xG
1.40
(15.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.8
(130 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(38% acc)
Corners
4.5
(50 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
8
(88 total)
Offsides
1.3
(14 total)
11
Played
6
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(16 total)
xG
1.40
(15.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.3
(146 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(34% acc)
Corners
4.3
(47 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(45%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.2
(101 total)
Offsides
0.6
(7 total)
22
Played
11
Wins
3
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(29 total)
xG
1.40
(30.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(276 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(36% acc)
Corners
4.4
(97 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
8.6
(189 total)
Offsides
1
(21 total)
11
Played
7
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.7
(30 total)
xG
2.00
(22.5 total)
Shots per Match
15.7
(173 total)
Shots on Target
6.2
(39% acc)
Corners
5.5
(61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.2
(101 total)
Offsides
1.6
(18 total)
11
Played
5
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5
(27 total)
xG
1.60
(17.4 total)
Shots per Match
16
(176 total)
Shots on Target
7.2
(45% acc)
Corners
4.9
(54 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
13.2
(145 total)
Offsides
2.3
(25 total)
22
Played
12
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6
(57 total)
xG
1.80
(39.9 total)
Shots per Match
15.9
(349 total)
Shots on Target
6.7
(42% acc)
Corners
5.2
(115 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
11.2
(246 total)
Offsides
2
(43 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.53 vs 2.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.58%
0:1
5.62%
0:2
6.11%
⭐
0:3
4.44%
⭐
0:4
2.41%
⭐
0:5
1.05%
⭐
1
1:0
2.94%
1:1
7.42%
1:2
9.18%
🔥
⭐
1:3
7.46%
⭐
1:4
4.49%
⭐
1:5
2.14%
⭐
2
2:0
1.68%
2:1
4.81%
2:2
6.69%
2:3
6.05%
⭐
2:4
4.02%
⭐
2:5
2.1%
⭐
3
3:0
0.64%
3:1
2.05%
3:2
3.17%
3:3
3.17%
⭐
3:4
2.32%
⭐
3:5
1.33%
⭐
4
4:0
0.18%
4:1
0.65%
4:2
1.1%
4:3
1.22%
⭐
4:4
0.97%
⭐
4:5
0.61%
⭐
5
5:0
0.04%
5:1
0.16%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.36%
5:4
0.32%
⭐
5:5
0.21%
Hotspot:
1:2 (9.2%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
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In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Sparta Rotterdam will take on NEC Nijmegen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-17 at 2026-02-17 in the famous Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel.
The referee for the game will be J. van der Laan. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sparta Rotterdam, and the visiting side, NEC Nijmegen. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or NEC Nijmegen and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-17
Time: 19:00
Location: Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen Tuesday, Feb 17th, 2026 at 13:00 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen Football 17 Feb, 2026 13:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
NEC Nijmegen create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen.
🏆 Match Winner — NEC Nijmegen @ 2.90 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen
High xG PerformanceH2H
NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 5 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 5100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenH2H
NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh xG PerformanceRecent
NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringRecent
NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
NEC Nijmegen efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 15 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsSparta Rotterdam
Not WinH2H
Sparta Rotterdam have not won in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 580%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡NEC Nijmegen dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.52 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
NEC Nijmegen score (2.22/match) and concede (1.89/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 89% of matches (league avg: 62%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.50 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsSparta Rotterdam1 TrendsFew GoalsRecent
Sparta Rotterdam scored 0-1 goals in 13 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen3 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringRecent
NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 H2H matches (80.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 2.2 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — NEC Nijmegen Win or Draw @ 1.60 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen
UnbeatenH2H
NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTH2H
NEC Nijmegen are undefeated at half time in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsSparta Rotterdam
Not WinH2H
Sparta Rotterdam have not won in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — NEC Nijmegen to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — NEC Nijmegen Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.18 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen
Above League AverageLeague
NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
NEC Nijmegen scored 1+ goals in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡NEC Nijmegen maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen1 Trends — avg 2 (+22% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
NEC Nijmegen average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8) — rank #5 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 4.6 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Sparta Rotterdam disciplined play balances NEC Nijmegen aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.35 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsSparta Rotterdam1 Trends — avg 4.2 (-18% below league)Few CornersLeague
Sparta Rotterdam average 4.2 corners/match at home (-18% below league avg 5.1)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.35
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the first half (15 vs 8).
🔄 Second Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the second half (20 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the second half (20 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Sparta Rotterdam
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06
✈️ NEC Nijmegen
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Sparta Rotterdam - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
20
Avg. Goals per Match
1
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Sparta Rotterdam - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
9
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
17
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
11
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the first half (15 vs 8)
- First Half Result: Consider NEC Nijmegen to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: NEC Nijmegen shows superior performance after the break (20 vs 9 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of NEC Nijmegen winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: NEC Nijmegen excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of NEC Nijmegen scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: NEC Nijmegen has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider NEC Nijmegen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.045
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.085
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Sparta Rotterdam):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (NEC Nijmegen):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-head statistics for Tue 17 Feb, 2026 @ 13:00 Eredivisie
Team comparison
Prediction
Both Teams to Score
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-3.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Sparta Rotterdam
VS
NEC Nijmegen
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (5)
1.4 (7)
xG
1.10
1.70
Shots
13.6 (68)
16.6 (83)
Shots on Target
5.2 (26)
5.2 (26)
Corners
6.6 (33)
5 (25)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 (7)
1 (5)
xGa
1.70
1.10
Clean Sheets
1 (20%)
1 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 (11)
2.2 (11)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.2 (1)
Fouls
11.2 (56)
10.4 (52)
Offsides
0.6 (3)
0.4 (2)
Last 6 Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
VS
NEC Nijmegen
5/6 (83%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
2.67
PPG
2.17
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
2.67
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
33%
BTTS %
100%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.61
Avg xG
1.74
Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sparta Rotterdam and away matches for NEC Nijmegen
Number of goals
Sparta Rotterdam
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
10%
1
90%
9
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
40%
4
60%
6
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
40%
4
100%
10
No
60%
6
0%
0
1X2
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
1
60%
6
70%
7
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
40%
4
30%
3
Total Goals
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
30%
3
0%
0
2-3
40%
4
10%
1
4+
30%
3
90%
9
Total Corners
Sparta Rotterdam
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
50%
5
0%
0
No
50%
5
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
xG
1.54
1.88
xGa
1.17
1.51
Number of goals
Sparta Rotterdam
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
0%
0
70%
7
No
100%
10
30%
3
1X2
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
90%
9
10%
1
2-3
10%
1
90%
9
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
70%
7
10%
1
No
30%
3
90%
9
Number of goals
Sparta Rotterdam
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
1
40%
4
60%
6
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
20%
2
0%
0
Double Chance
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
80%
8
100%
10
X2
60%
6
40%
4
Total Goals
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
50%
5
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
10%
1
30%
3
Clean Sheet
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
Missing Players
-
Injured - Injury
1.78
xG
2.50
49%
Ball Possession
51%
14
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Goal
6
9
Shots Off Goal
9
5
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2
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