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Southampton vs Watford: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 7 February, 2026 6:31
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14
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(19 total)
xG
1.50
(21.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.4
(216 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(32% acc)
Corners
6.3
(88 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.3
(130 total)
Offsides
1.2
(17 total)
16
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(24 total)
xG
1.50
(23.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.7
(203 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(39% acc)
Corners
4.5
(72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(6%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.6
(185 total)
Offsides
2.1
(33 total)
30
Played
10
Wins
10
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(43 total)
xG
1.50
(44.9 total)
Shots per Match
14
(419 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(35% acc)
Corners
5.3
(160 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10.5
(315 total)
Offsides
1.7
(50 total)
16
Played
8
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(24 total)
xG
1.30
(21.3 total)
Shots per Match
15.6
(249 total)
Shots on Target
5.3
(34% acc)
Corners
5.1
(82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.5
(152 total)
Offsides
1.3
(20 total)
14
Played
3
Wins
6
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(15 total)
xG
1.00
(14.4 total)
Shots per Match
11
(154 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(31% acc)
Corners
4
(56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.4
(145 total)
Offsides
0.9
(12 total)
30
Played
11
Wins
11
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(39 total)
xG
1.20
(35.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.4
(403 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(33% acc)
Corners
4.6
(138 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
9.9
(297 total)
Offsides
1.1
(32 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.51 vs 1.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.55%
0:1
8.15%
⭐
0:2
4.4%
0:3
1.59%
0:4
0.43%
0:5
0.09%
1
1:0
10.27%
1:1
12.22%
🔥
1:2
7.21%
1:3
2.82%
1:4
0.82%
1:5
0.19%
2
2:0
6.98%
2:1
9.08%
2:2
5.82%
2:3
2.46%
2:4
0.77%
2:5
0.19%
3
3:0
3.17%
3:1
4.47%
3:2
3.09%
3:3
1.4%
3:4
0.47%
3:5
0.12%
⭐
4
4:0
1.08%
4:1
1.64%
4:2
1.22%
4:3
0.59%
4:4
0.21%
4:5
0.06%
⭐
5
5:0
0.29%
5:1
0.48%
5:2
0.38%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.08%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.2%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Southampton will take on Watford as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 31 and will take place on 2026-02-07 at 2026-02-07 in the famous St. Mary's Stadium.
The referee for the game will be E. Bell. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Southampton, and the visiting side, Watford. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Southampton or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-07
Time: 12:31
Location: St. Mary's Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Southampton vs Watford Saturday, Feb 7th, 2026 at 6:31 Football
AI Value Bets
5 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Southampton vs Watford Football 7 Feb, 2026 6:31
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Suppression
Southampton rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Southampton vs Watford, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Southampton @ 1.87 ✅ 
Southampton
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Southampton are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches vs Watford
- League Best DefenseLeague14/1470%Southampton concede only 0.93 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%Southampton have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Championship (Home) matches
- UnbeatenRecent11/1479%Southampton are unbeaten in 11 of their last 14 Championship (Home) matches
Watford
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Watford have not won in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches vs Southampton
Southampton dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.74 ⚠️
Watford(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague9/1464%Watford score (1.07/match) and concede (1.29/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 64% of matches (league avg: 57%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H3/3100%Both teams scored in their last 3 Championship H2H matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.81 ⚠️
Southampton(1 trends)
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%Southampton have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Championship (Home) matches
Offensive trends suggest potential for goals • Recent scoring patterns lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Southampton Win or Draw @ 1.25 ✅
Southampton
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Southampton are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches vs Watford
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/3100%Southampton are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches vs Watford
- League Best DefenseLeague14/1470%Southampton concede only 0.93 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- UnbeatenRecent11/1479%Southampton are unbeaten in 11 of their last 14 Championship (Home) matches
Watford
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Watford have not won in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches vs Southampton
Southampton dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Southampton Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.87 ✅
Southampton
- Scored 1+H2H3/3100%Southampton scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches vs Watford
- Second Half SpecialistsH2H3/3100%Southampton score in second half in their last 3 3 matches vs Watford
Southampton's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Watford(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H3/3100%Watford receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches vs Southampton
- High Card MatchesLeague30/3081.5%Watford average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8) — rank #5 in league
Southampton disciplined play balances Watford aggression — • H2H average: 6 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.61 ⚠️
Southampton(1 trends) — avg 6.3 (+27% above league)
- Many CornersLeague14/1485%Southampton average 6.3 corners/match at home (+27% above league avg 5.0)
Watford(1 trends) — avg 4.0 (-20% below league)
- Few CornersLeague14/1485%Watford average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-20% below league avg 5.0)
Combined average: 10.3 corners/match (Southampton 6.3 + Watford 4.0) • Southampton dominance pushes total over threshold
+3 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends[wp_predictions_test_enhanced home_club="193" away_club="58208" competition_id="" season_id=""]
Southampton vs Watford Head-to-head statistics for Sat 7 Feb, 2026 @ 6:31 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
12
9
9
44
37
7
45
8
11
11
8
39
35
4
44
9
11
11
8
37
34
3
44
13
11
9
10
41
38
3
42
14
10
10
10
43
41
2
40
15
12
3
15
43
43
0
39
Team comparison
Prediction
Watford AH+1.5
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Southampton
VS
Watford
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
2
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (6)
1.7 (5)
xG
1.60
0.50
Shots
10.3 (31)
11 (33)
Shots on Target
4.7 (14)
4.7 (14)
Corners
4.7 (14)
4.7 (14)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 (5)
2 (6)
xGa
0.50
1.60
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.3 (10)
2.7 (8)
Fouls
11.3 (34)
13 (39)
Offsides
2.7 (8)
1.7 (5)
Last 6 Matches
Southampton
VS
Watford
2/6 (33%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.33
PPG
1.00
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
33%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.31
Avg xG
0.91
Southampton vs Watford: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Southampton and away matches for Watford
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Watford
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Watford
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
1X2
Southampton
Watford
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Southampton
Watford
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Southampton
Watford
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
70%
7
60%
6
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Total Corners
Southampton
Under
Over
Watford
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Watford
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Southampton
Watford
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
20%
2
HT X - FT X
30%
3
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Southampton
Watford
xG
1.38
0.89
xGa
1.2
0.9
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Watford
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Watford
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
Southampton
Watford
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
60%
6
80%
8
2
20%
2
0%
0
Double Chance
Southampton
Watford
12
40%
4
20%
2
1X
80%
8
100%
10
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Southampton
Watford
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Watford
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Watford
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Watford
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
Southampton
Watford
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Southampton
Watford
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Southampton
Watford
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Watford
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
Missing Players
-
Injured - Achilles Tendon Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Concussion
-
Injured - (questionable) Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Ankle Injury
-
Injured - Heart Problems
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
1.26
xG
1.04
56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
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