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1 Jan 2026-15:00
Southampton
Southampton
11th place
- : -
1 Jan 2026 9:00
Millwall
Millwall
6th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Southampton vs Millwall: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 1 January, 2026 9:00

1×2 Prediction
Southampton
54%26%20%
SouthamptonDrawMillwall
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
53%47%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
52%48%
YesNo
Team Total - Southampton
Under 2.5
77%23%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Millwall
Under 2.5
93%7%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Southampton/Draw
80%20%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Southampton +2.5
98%2%
Home +2.5NOT Home +2.5

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Championship 2025-2026
9:00
Southampton W 54%
:
Millwall W 20%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.65 vs 0.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.3%
0:1
7.03%
0:2
2.97%
0:3
0.84%
0:4
0.18%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
12.75%
🔥
1:1
11.74%
1:2
5.37%
1:3
1.63%
1:4
0.37%
1:5
0.07%
2
2:0
9.8%
2:1
9.74%
2:2
4.79%
2:3
1.55%
2:4
0.38%
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
5.02%
3:1
5.36%
3:2
2.82%
3:3
0.98%
3:4
0.25%
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
1.93%
4:1
2.2%
4:2
1.24%
4:3
0.46%
4:4
0.12%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.59%
5:1
0.72%
5:2
0.43%
5:3
0.17%
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (12.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.3%
0
19.8%
1
24.5%
2
21.0%
3
13.9%
4
7.6%
5
3.4%
6
1.2%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
Preston
w d d w d
>
22
9
9
4
30
23
7
36
6
Millwall
w w d l l
>
22
10
5
7
25
31
-6
35
7
QPR
l w w l w
>
22
10
4
8
32
34
-2
34

10
Watford
l w d d w
>
22
8
8
6
31
28
3
32
11
Southampton
l w w l d
>
22
8
7
7
36
31
5
31
12
Derby
l l d w d
>
22
8
7
7
31
30
1
31
1.35 xG 0.91
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
Last 6 Matches
Southampton
VS
Millwall
3/6 (50%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.67 PPG 1.67
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
83% BTTS % 50%
50% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.59 Avg xG 1.15
Southampton
L W W L D
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Southampton
1 1
Coventry
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Norwich
2 1
Southampton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Southampton
3 2
West Brom
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Southampton
3 1
Birmingham
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Millwall
3 2
Southampton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Southampton
3 0
Leicester
Millwall
W W D L L
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Blackburn
2 0
Millwall
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Millwall
1 3
Hull City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Derby
1 1
Millwall
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Bristol City
0 1
Millwall
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Millwall
3 2
Southampton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Millwall
1 0
Sheffield Wednesday
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Southampton will take on Millwall as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 25 and will take place on 2026-01-01 at 2026-01-01 in the famous St. Mary's Stadium. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Southampton, and the visiting side, Millwall. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Southampton or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-01 Time: 15:00 Location: St. Mary's Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Southampton vs Millwall Thursday, Jan 1st, 2026 at 9:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Southampton vs Millwall Football 1 Jan, 2026 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Southampton rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

  • 🚩
    Corner Fest

    High corner count in recent matches — expect 10+ corners with attacking pressure

🎯 Betting Analysis

Southampton vs Millwall

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Southampton

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Millwall

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Southampton - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Millwall - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Southampton - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Millwall - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Southampton has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Southampton handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.144
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.048
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Southampton):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Millwall):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Southampton
Millwall

Southampton vs Millwall Head-to-head statistics for Thu 1 Jan, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship

Southampton vs Millwall: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Southampton and away matches for Millwall

Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Millwall
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
50% 5
50% 5
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Millwall
Yes
80% 8
60% 6
No
20% 2
40% 4
1X2
Southampton
Millwall
1
60% 6
30% 3
X
10% 1
30% 3
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Southampton
Millwall
12
90% 9
70% 7
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
40% 4
70% 7
Total Goals
Southampton
Millwall
0-1
0% 0
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
50% 5
50% 5
Total Corners
Southampton
Under
Over
Millwall
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Millwall
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Southampton
Millwall
HT 1 - FT 1
50% 5
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT X
0% 0
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Southampton
Millwall
xG
1.58
1.13
xGa
1.24
1.24
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Millwall
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Millwall
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Southampton
Millwall
1
50% 5
0% 0
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Southampton
Millwall
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
50% 5
100% 10
Total Goals
Southampton
Millwall
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Millwall
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Millwall
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Millwall
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1X2
Southampton
Millwall
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Southampton
Millwall
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Southampton
Millwall
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Millwall
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Southampton or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
11.5%
Low
N/A
1.6%
Low
N/A
-2
19.7%
Low
N/A
4.1%
Low
N/A
-1.5
27.9%
Low
N/A
6.6%
Low
N/A
-1
40.7%
Low
N/A
13.6%
Low
N/A
-0.5
53.6%
Medium
N/A
20.7%
Low
N/A
+0.5
79.3%
High
N/A
46.4%
Low
N/A
+1
86.4%
High
N/A
59.3%
Medium
N/A
+1.5
93.4%
High
N/A
72.1%
High
N/A
+2
95.9%
High
N/A
80.3%
High
N/A
+2.5
98.4%
High
N/A
88.5%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.94%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.549.11%LowN/A
Under 1.550.89%MediumN/A
AwayOver 1.524.95%LowN/A
Under 1.575.05%HighN/A
HomeOver 2.522.96%LowN/A
Under 2.577.04%HighN/A
AwayOver 2.57.31%LowN/A
Under 2.592.69%HighN/A
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
29 Nov
- 15:00
Millwall
Southampton
1.59
xG
1.21
3
2
24 Feb
- 15:00
Southampton
Millwall
1
2
4 Nov
- 15:00
Millwall
Southampton
0
1
club logo
Southampton
Millwall
Played: 3
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
2
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
4
1.3
Goals
1.7
5
5
1.7
Goals Conceded
1.3
4
8
2.7
Yellow Cards
1.7
5
0
Red Cards
0
1
0.3
Clean Sheets
0
31
10.3
Corners
5
15
25
8.3
Fouls
9.7
29
3
1
Offsides
1.3
4
41
13.7
Shots
11.7
35
23
7.7
Shots on Goal
3
9
Home Away All
Played 11 11 22
Wins 5 3 8
Draws 4 3 7
Losses 2 5 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.5 17 1.7 19 1.6 36
Goals Conceded 1 11 1.8 20 1.4 31
Yellow Cards 1.5 16 2.3 25 1.9 41
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 3 0 0.1 3
Corners 6.3 69 4.4 48 5.3 117
Fouls 9.9 109 10.6 117 10.3 226
Offsides 1.1 12 2.2 24 1.6 36
Shots 15.4 169 12.6 139 14 308
Shots on Goal 5.2 57 5.2 57 5.2 114
Home Away All
Played 11 11 22
Wins 6 4 10
Draws 1 4 5
Losses 4 3 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.2 13 1.1 12 1.1 25
Goals Conceded 1.4 15 1.5 16 1.4 31
Yellow Cards 1.3 14 2.1 23 1.7 37
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.5 5 0.2 2 0.3 7
Corners 5.7 63 4.6 51 5.2 114
Fouls 11.5 126 13.7 151 12.6 277
Offsides 2.3 25 2 22 2.1 47
Shots 13.5 149 10.6 117 12.1 266
Shots on Goal 4 44 3.5 38 3.7 82
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