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Southampton vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 11 April, 2026 9:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
No prediction data available for this match.
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
▲
8
8
6
31
28
3
32
11
▼
8
7
7
36
31
5
31
12
8
7
7
31
30
1
31
13
▼
8
7
7
31
31
0
31
1.02
xG
1.48
58%
Ball Possession
42%
13
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
3
Last 6 Matches
Southampton
VS
Derby
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.67
PPG
1.33
2.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
83%
BTTS %
83%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.59
Avg xG
1.09
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Southampton will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 42 and will take place on 2026-04-11 at 2026-04-11 in the famous St. Mary's Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Southampton, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-11
Time: 14:00
Location: St. Mary's Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Southampton vs Derby Football 11 Apr, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Suppression
Southampton rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Southampton vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Derby(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/1070%Derby score (1.60/match) and concede (1.20/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Derby(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
Combined 1.6 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Southampton(1 trends)
- Undefeated at HTRecent17/2277%Southampton are undefeated at half time in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Derby(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Southampton disciplined play balances Derby aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Southampton(1 trends) — avg 6.3 (+26% above league)
- Many CornersLeague11/1185%Southampton average 6.3 corners/match at home (+26% above league avg 5.0)
Derby(1 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague10/1076%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
Combined average: 10.7 corners/match (Southampton 6.3 + Derby 4.4)
+10 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Southampton vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Southampton
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Southampton - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Southampton - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.105
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.012
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.007
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Southampton):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Southampton vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Sat 11 Apr, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship
Southampton vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Southampton and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Derby
Yes
80%
8
90%
9
No
20%
2
10%
1
1X2
Southampton
Derby
1
60%
6
50%
5
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Southampton
Derby
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
40%
4
50%
5
Total Goals
Southampton
Derby
0-1
0%
0
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
70%
7
4+
50%
5
30%
3
Total Corners
Southampton
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Derby
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Southampton
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Southampton
Derby
xG
1.58
1.02
xGa
1.24
1.07
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Derby
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Southampton
Derby
1
50%
5
70%
7
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Southampton
Derby
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
50%
5
30%
3
Total Goals
Southampton
Derby
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Derby
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Derby
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2
Southampton
Derby
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Southampton
Derby
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Southampton
Derby
0-1
50%
5
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
60%
6
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Derby
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Southampton
Derby
Played:
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
1
1
Goals
1
1
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
1
2
2
Yellow Cards
4
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
3
3
Corners
3
3
8
8
Fouls
11
11
2
2
Offsides
1
1
11
11
Shots
9
9
5
5
Shots on Goal
5
5
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 5 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.5 | 17 | 1.7 | 19 | 1.6 | 36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 11 | 1.8 | 20 | 1.4 | 31 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.5 | 16 | 2.3 | 25 | 1.9 | 41 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0 | 0.1 | 3 | |
| Corners | 6.3 | 69 | 4.4 | 48 | 5.3 | 117 |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 109 | 10.6 | 117 | 10.3 | 226 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 12 | 2.2 | 24 | 1.6 | 36 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 169 | 12.6 | 139 | 14 | 308 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.2 | 57 | 5.2 | 57 | 5.2 | 114 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 5 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 15 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.4 | 31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 18 | 1.2 | 12 | 1.4 | 30 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 26 | 2.5 | 25 | 2.3 | 51 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 4 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 64 | 4 | 40 | 4.7 | 104 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 131 | 12.5 | 125 | 11.6 | 256 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 23 | 0.9 | 9 | 1.5 | 32 |
| Shots | 10.3 | 123 | 7.8 | 78 | 9.1 | 201 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.3 | 40 | 2.9 | 29 | 3.1 | 69 |
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