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Southampton vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 11 April, 2026 9:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
15
Played
7
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(20 total)
xG
1.50
(22.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.8
(222 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(33% acc)
Corners
6.1
(91 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.3
(139 total)
Offsides
1.1
(17 total)
18
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(31 total)
xG
1.50
(27.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.8
(230 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(40% acc)
Corners
4.8
(86 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(6%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.6
(208 total)
Offsides
2.1
(38 total)
33
Played
13
Wins
10
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(51 total)
xG
1.50
(49.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(452 total)
Shots on Target
5
(37% acc)
Corners
5.4
(177 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10.5
(347 total)
Offsides
1.7
(55 total)
18
Played
5
Wins
6
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(22 total)
xG
0.90
(16.7 total)
Shots per Match
9.7
(175 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(34% acc)
Corners
5.3
(95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.3
(204 total)
Offsides
1.7
(31 total)
15
Played
8
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(26 total)
xG
1.00
(15.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.4
(141 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(34% acc)
Corners
3.7
(55 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.5
(188 total)
Offsides
1.1
(17 total)
33
Played
13
Wins
9
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(48 total)
xG
1.00
(31.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.6
(316 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(34% acc)
Corners
4.5
(150 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
11.9
(392 total)
Offsides
1.5
(48 total)
No lambda data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Southampton will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 42 and will take place on 2026-04-11 at 2026-04-11 in the famous St. Mary's Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Southampton, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-11
Time: 14:00
Location: St. Mary's Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Southampton vs Derby Football 11 Apr, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Suppression
Southampton rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Southampton vs Derby.
🏆 Match Winner
+10 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby2 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends10 / 1070.5%
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends20 / 2291%
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Derby score (1.60/match) and concede (1.20/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 1070%
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends10 / 1070.5%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 1.6 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance
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Unlock Streak TrendsSouthampton1 TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
Southampton are undefeated at half time in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends17 / 2277%
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends10 / 1070.5%
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 Trends — avg 2.4 (+23% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends22 / 2290%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Southampton disciplined play balances Derby aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsSouthampton1 Trends — avg 6.3 (+26% above league)Many CornersLeague
Southampton average 6.3 corners/match at home (+26% above league avg 5.0)
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Unlock Streak Trends11 / 1185%
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 Trends — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)Few CornersLeague
Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
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Unlock Streak Trends10 / 1076%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 10.7 corners/match (Southampton 6.3 + Derby 4.4)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Southampton vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Southampton is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 1).
🔄 Second Half: Southampton is stronger in the second half (13 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Southampton is stronger in the second half (13 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Southampton
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.04
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Southampton - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Southampton - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Southampton often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 1)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Southampton scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Southampton shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 6 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Southampton winning the second half
- Overall Result: Southampton has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Southampton handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.183
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.088
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.083
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Southampton):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Southampton vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Sat 11 Apr, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
▼
16
6
9
50
43
7
54
6
▲
13
9
10
47
39
8
48
7
12
12
8
40
36
4
48
9
▼
13
7
11
43
38
5
46
10
▲
12
10
10
48
44
4
46
11
▼
12
10
10
43
39
4
46
Southampton
VS
Derby
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (1)
1 (1)
xG
1.30
1.20
Shots
11 (11)
9 (9)
Shots on Target
5 (5)
5 (5)
Corners
3 (3)
3 (3)
Defense
Conceded
1 (1)
1 (1)
xGa
1.20
1.30
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (2)
4 (4)
Fouls
8 (8)
11 (11)
Offsides
2 (2)
1 (1)
Last 6 Matches
Southampton
VS
Derby
4/6 (67%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
2.17
PPG
2.17
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
0.67
50%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.50
Avg xG
1.24
Southampton vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Southampton and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Southampton
Derby
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
Southampton
Derby
1
50%
5
50%
5
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Southampton
Derby
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
50%
5
50%
5
Total Goals
Southampton
Derby
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
60%
6
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Southampton
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Derby
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Southampton
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
30%
3
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Southampton
Derby
xG
1.36
1.05
xGa
1.18
1.1
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Derby
Yes
0%
0
20%
2
No
100%
10
80%
8
1X2
Southampton
Derby
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Southampton
Derby
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Southampton
Derby
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Derby
Yes
80%
8
70%
7
No
20%
2
30%
3
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Derby
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Southampton
Derby
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Southampton
Derby
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Southampton
Derby
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
20%
2
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Derby
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
0.97
xG
1.72
55%
Ball Possession
45%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
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