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Form
Form
Championship 2025-2026 • Matchweek 33
Preview
Southampton
Southampton
10th place
Form
VS
15:00
21 Feb 2026
Charlton
Charlton
18th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Southampton or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Southampton vs Charlton: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 9:00

Winner (1x2)1.53
Southampton to Win
Probability 64%
Total Goals2.07
Under 2.5
Probability 54%
Both Teams to Score1.91
No (NG)
Probability 56%
Southampton Total1.40
Home Under 2.5
Probability 75%
Charlton Total1.04
Away Under 2.5
Probability 95%
Double Chance1.15
Southampton/Draw
Probability 86%
Asian Handicap1.57
Charlton +1.5
Probability 67%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Championship 2025-2026
15:00
Southampton W 61%
:
Charlton W 16%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Southampton
w d w w w
15 Played
7 Wins
5 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (20 total)
xG
1.50 (22.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.8 (222 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (33% acc)
Corners
6.1 (91 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.3 (139 total)
Offsides
1.1 (17 total)
18 Played
6 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (31 total)
xG
1.50 (27.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (230 total)
Shots on Target
5.1 (40% acc)
Corners
4.8 (86 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (6%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.6 (208 total)
Offsides
2.1 (38 total)
33 Played
13 Wins
10 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (51 total)
xG
1.50 (49.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.7 (452 total)
Shots on Target
5 (37% acc)
Corners
5.4 (177 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
10.5 (347 total)
Offsides
1.7 (55 total)
Charlton
l l w d w
16 Played
7 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (17 total)
xG
1.10 (17.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (201 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (31% acc)
Corners
5.1 (81 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.1 (177 total)
Offsides
1.9 (30 total)
16 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (14 total)
xG
0.80 (13.0 total)
Shots per Match
9.1 (145 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (32% acc)
Corners
3.3 (52 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.6 (186 total)
Offsides
1.9 (30 total)
32 Played
10 Wins
9 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (31 total)
xG
0.90 (30.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.8 (346 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (32% acc)
Corners
4.2 (133 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
11.3 (363 total)
Offsides
1.9 (60 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.89 vs 0.77
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.93%
0:1
4.81%
0:2
1.29%
0:3
0.23%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
14.82%
🔥
1:1
10.05%
1:2
3.26%
1:3
0.69%
1:4
0.11%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
12.29%
2:1
10.05%
2:2
3.87%
2:3
0.95%
2:4
0.17%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
6.79%
3:1
6.5%
3:2
2.91%
3:3
0.82%
3:4
0.17%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
2.82%
4:1
3.09%
4:2
1.58%
4:3
0.51%
4:4
0.12%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.93%
5:1
1.15%
5:2
0.67%
5:3
0.24%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (14.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.9%
0
19.6%
1
23.6%
2
20.3%
3
13.9%
4
8.0%
5
3.7%
6
1.4%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

SouthamptonHDPCharlton
14.5%
Very Low@ 4.50
-2.5
0.8%
Very Low
23.9%
Low@ 3.70
-2
2.4%
Very Low
33.3%
Low@ 2.50
-1.5
4.0%
@ 12.00Very Low
46.8%
Medium@ 1.90
-1
9.6%
@ 11.00Very Low
60.4%
High@ 1.53
-0.5
15.2%
@ 5.75Very Low
84.8%
Very High@ 1.14
+0.5
39.6%
@ 2.57Low
90.4%
Very High@ 1.01
+1
53.2%
@ 1.98Medium
96.0%
Very High@ 1.02
+1.5
66.7%
@ 1.57High
97.6%
Very High
+2
76.1%
@ 1.26High
99.2%
Very High
+2.5
85.5%
@ 1.19Very High

Team Total Predictions

SouthamptonOutcomeCharlton
52.2%
Medium@ 1.62
Over 1.5
19.1%
@ 4.50Very Low
47.8%
Medium@ 2.25
Under 1.5
80.9%
@ 1.23Very High
25.4%
Low@ 3.00
Over 2.5
4.8%
@ 13.00Very Low
74.6%
High@ 1.40
Under 2.5
95.2%
@ 1.04Very High
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Southampton will take on Charlton as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous St. Mary's Stadium. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Southampton, and the visiting side, Charlton. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Southampton or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-21 Time: 15:00 Location: St. Mary's Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Southampton vs Charlton Saturday, Feb 21st, 2026 at 9:00 Football

AI Value Bets
5 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Correct Score 1:0
Value
Prob: 14.6%
EV: +9.7%
Stake: $0.38
7.50
BTTS No
Value
Prob: 56%
EV: +7.0%
Stake: $2.75
1.91
Asian Handicap Charlton +1.5
Value
Prob: 66.7%
EV: +4.7%
Stake: $4.39
1.57
Home Total Southampton Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 74.6%
EV: +4.5%
Stake: $6.25
1.40
Asian Handicap Charlton +2.5
Value
Prob: 85.5%
EV: +1.7%
Stake: $10.00
1.19
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-16 09:09:19
spinner

Trends for Southampton vs Charlton Football 21 Feb, 2026 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Southampton rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

  • 🚩
    Corner Fest

    High corner count in recent matches — expect 10+ corners with attacking pressure

🎯 Betting Analysis

Southampton vs Charlton

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Southampton is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).
⚡ Final Stage: Charlton is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Southampton

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Charlton

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Southampton - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Charlton - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Southampton - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Charlton - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Southampton often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Southampton scoring first
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Charlton excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Charlton scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Southampton has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Southampton handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.198
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.021
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Southampton):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Charlton):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.

Southampton
Charlton

Southampton vs Charlton Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship

Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
Bristol City
d l w l w
>
31
13
7
11
43
38
5
46
10
Southampton
w d w w w
>
32
12
10
10
48
44
4
46
11
Birmingham
w d w w d
>
32
12
10
10
43
39
4
46

17
Norwich
w w l w w
>
32
11
6
15
42
42
0
39
18
Charlton
l l w d w
>
31
10
9
12
30
38
-8
39
19
Leicester
d l l l l
>
32
10
8
14
44
51
-7
38
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Southampton or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Southampton
VS
Charlton
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
5 (5)
1 (1)
xG
4.10
0.90
Shots
22 (22)
12 (12)
Shots on Target
8 (8)
2 (2)
Corners
4 (4)
3 (3)
Defense
Conceded
1 (1)
5 (5)
xGa
0.90
4.10
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0 (0)
4 (4)
Fouls
6 (6)
14 (14)
Offsides
1 (1)
2 (2)
22 Nov
- 12:30
Charlton
Southampton
0.89
xG
4.06
1
5
Prob 74%
Away Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.50
Last 6 Matches
Southampton
VS
Charlton
4/6 (67%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
2.17 PPG 1.67
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
50% BTTS % 17%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.50 Avg xG 1.12
Southampton
W D W W W
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Leicester
3 4
Southampton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 12:31
Southampton
1 0
Watford
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 12:30
Stoke City
0 2
Southampton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 12:00
Portsmouth
1 1
Southampton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Southampton
1 0
Sheffield Utd
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Southampton
1 2
Hull City
Charlton
L L W D W
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Charlton
1 0
Stoke City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Feb 2026 - 20:01
Charlton
0 0
QPR
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 12:30
Leicester
0 2
Charlton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 12:30
Millwall
4 0
Charlton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Charlton
1 2
Derby
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Charlton
1 0
Sheffield Utd

Southampton vs Charlton: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Southampton and away matches for Charlton

Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Charlton
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Charlton
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1X2
Southampton
Charlton
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Southampton
Charlton
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Southampton
Charlton
0-1
30% 3
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
30% 3
30% 3
Total Corners
Southampton
Under
Over
Charlton
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Charlton
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Southampton
Charlton
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
30% 3
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Southampton
Charlton
xG
1.36
1.15
xGa
1.18
1.78
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Charlton
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Charlton
Yes
0% 0
10% 1
No
100% 10
90% 9
1X2
Southampton
Charlton
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Southampton
Charlton
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
Southampton
Charlton
0-1
70% 7
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Charlton
Yes
80% 8
50% 5
No
20% 2
50% 5
Number of goals
Southampton
Under
Over
Charlton
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Southampton
Charlton
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Southampton
Charlton
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Southampton
Charlton
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Southampton
Charlton
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
20% 2
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Southampton
Charlton
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
1.42 xG 0.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 3
11 Shots Off Goal 6
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
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