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Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 17
Preview
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
2nd place
Form
VS
13:30
22 Feb 2026
Karpaty
Karpaty
9th place
Form
AI Prediction Winner : Shakhtar Donetsk
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 22 February, 2026 7:30

Winner (1x2)-
Shakhtar Donetsk to Win
Probability 76%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 60%
Double Chance-
Shakhtar Donetsk/Draw
Probability 91%
Asian Handicap-
Shakhtar Donetsk +2.5
Probability 99%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026
13:30
Shakhtar Donetsk W 72%
:
Karpaty W 11%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Shakhtar Donetsk
d d w w d
14 Played
8 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5 (35 total)
xG
0.10 (2.1 total)
Shots per Match
4.1 (58 total)
Shots on Target
1.3 (31% acc)
Corners
1.9 (27 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.10 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (57%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
2.4 (33 total)
Offsides
0.8 (11 total)
14 Played
8 Wins
6 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (26 total)
xG
0.40 (5.1 total)
Shots per Match
4.9 (69 total)
Shots on Target
1.9 (39% acc)
Corners
1.7 (24 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 per match
xGa
0.20 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (64%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
2.4 (34 total)
Offsides
0.4 (6 total)
28 Played
16 Wins
10 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (61 total)
xG
0.30 (7.2 total)
Shots per Match
4.5 (127 total)
Shots on Target
1.6 (35% acc)
Corners
1.8 (51 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.10 per match
Clean Sheets
17 (61%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
2.4 (67 total)
Offsides
0.6 (17 total)
Karpaty
w l d l l
8 Played
1 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (10 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
0 (0 total)
Shots on Target
0 (0% acc)
Corners
0 (0 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
0 (0 total)
Offsides
0 (0 total)
8 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (10 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
0 (0 total)
Shots on Target
0 (0% acc)
Corners
0 (0 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
0 (0 total)
Offsides
0 (0 total)
16 Played
4 Wins
7 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (20 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
0 (0 total)
Shots on Target
0 (0% acc)
Corners
0 (0 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
0 (0 total)
Offsides
0 (0 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

No Asian Handicap predictions available

No Team Total predictions available

In this exciting Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Shakhtar Donetsk will take on Karpaty as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ukrainian Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2026-02-22 at 2026-02-22 in the famous Arena Lviv. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Shakhtar Donetsk, and the visiting side, Karpaty. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Shakhtar Donetsk. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-22 Time: 13:30 Location: Arena Lviv Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty Sunday, Feb 22nd, 2026 at 7:30 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-16 03:00:34
No data
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Trends for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty Football 22 Feb, 2026 7:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Karpaty have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • Second Half Surge

    Shakhtar Donetsk score in 2nd half 88% of matches — expect late goals

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Shakhtar Donetsk is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Shakhtar Donetsk is stronger in the first half (8 vs 4).
🔄 Second Half: Shakhtar Donetsk is stronger in the second half (18 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Shakhtar Donetsk is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Shakhtar Donetsk

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0
Pressure
0.19

✈️ Karpaty

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Shakhtar Donetsk - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6

✈️ Karpaty - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Shakhtar Donetsk - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Karpaty - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Shakhtar Donetsk often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Shakhtar Donetsk scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Shakhtar Donetsk is stronger in the first half (8 vs 4)
  • First Half Result: Consider Shakhtar Donetsk to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Shakhtar Donetsk shows superior performance after the break (18 vs 10 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Shakhtar Donetsk winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Shakhtar Donetsk excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 7 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Shakhtar Donetsk scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Shakhtar Donetsk has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Shakhtar Donetsk handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.069
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.113
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.03 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Shakhtar Donetsk):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Karpaty):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty Head-to-head statistics for Sun 22 Feb, 2026 @ 7:30 Ukrainian Premier League

Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
LNZ Cherkasy
w w w w w
>
16
11
2
3
20
8
12
35
2
Shakhtar Donetsk
w w d d w
>
16
10
5
1
42
12
30
35
3
Polessya
w d w l w
>
16
9
3
4
26
11
15
30

8
Zorya Luhansk
w d l w l
>
16
6
5
5
19
18
1
23
9
Karpaty
w l d l l
>
16
4
7
5
20
21
-1
19
10
Ruh Lviv
l w w w w
>
16
6
1
9
15
23
-8
19
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals Home: -4.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Shakhtar Donetsk
VS
Karpaty
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.7 (8)
1.7 (5)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 (5)
2.7 (8)
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 (7)
1.3 (4)
10 Aug
- 15:00
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
3
3
11 Mar
- 16:00
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
14 Sep
- 15:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
5
2
Last 6 Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
VS
Karpaty
3/6 (50%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
2.33 PPG 1.17
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.50 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
33% BTTS % 33%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
- Avg xG -
Shakhtar Donetsk
D D W W D
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
18 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
0 0
HNK Rijeka
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 16:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
5 0
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Hamrun Spartans
0 2
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 13:30
Kolos Kovalivka
0 0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Dec 2025 - 16:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 2
Kryvbas KR
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Shamrock Rovers
1 2
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
W L D L L
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 16:00
Polessya
3 2
Karpaty
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Dec 2025 - 16:00
Zorya Luhansk
1 0
Karpaty
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 16:00
Veres Rivne
0 0
Karpaty
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 11:00
Karpaty
1 2
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 16:00
Karpaty
1 0
Kryvbas KR
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Nov 2025 - 13:30
LNZ Cherkasy
0 1
Karpaty

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Shakhtar Donetsk and away matches for Karpaty

Number of goals
Shakhtar Donetsk
Under
Over
Karpaty
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
20% 2
80% 8
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
1
70% 7
30% 3
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
0% 0
40% 4
Double Chance
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
100% 10
60% 6
X2
30% 3
70% 7
Total Goals
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
0-1
20% 2
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
50% 5
30% 3
Total Corners
Shakhtar Donetsk
Under
Over
Karpaty
Under
Over
7.5
50% 2
50% 2
0% 0
0% 0
8.5
100% 4
0% 0
0% 0
0% 0
9.5
100% 4
0% 0
0% 0
0% 0
10.5
100% 4
0% 0
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
HT 1 - FT 1
60% 6
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
xG
1.43
0
xGa
0.36
0
Number of goals
Shakhtar Donetsk
Under
Over
Karpaty
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
1
60% 6
30% 3
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
10% 1
20% 2
Double Chance
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
90% 9
80% 8
X2
40% 4
70% 7
Total Goals
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
Yes
90% 9
60% 6
No
10% 1
40% 4
Number of goals
Shakhtar Donetsk
Under
Over
Karpaty
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
1
70% 7
30% 3
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
0% 0
30% 3
Double Chance
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
100% 10
70% 7
X2
30% 3
70% 7
Total Goals
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
0-1
40% 4
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
20% 2
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
1.87 xG 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots Off Goal 2
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found