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Bundesliga 2025-2026 | Matchweek 14
14 Dec 2025-14:30
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
8th place
- : -
14 Dec 2025 9:30
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
3rd place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 9:30

1×2 Prediction
Borussia Dortmund
31%26%43%
SC FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
58%42%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
62%38%
YesNo
Team Total - SC Freiburg
Under 1.5
60%40%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Borussia Dortmund
Under 2.5
76%24%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Draw/Borussia Dortmund
69%31%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
SC Freiburg +1
67%33%
Home +1NOT Home +1
Best Tip
Asian Handicap SC Freiburg +1
Odds: 1.34
67%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.39 vs 1.69
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.68%
0:1
8.47%
0:2
6.31%
0:3
3.14%
0:4
1.17%
0:5
0.35%
1
1:0
6.75%
1:1
11.2%
🔥
1:2
9.19%
1:3
4.99%
1:4
2.02%
1:5
0.65%
2
2:0
4.02%
2:1
7.33%
2:2
6.58%
2:3
3.88%
2:4
1.69%
2:5
0.59%
3
3:0
1.59%
3:1
3.17%
3:2
3.09%
3:3
1.97%
3:4
0.93%
3:5
0.34%
4
4:0
0.47%
4:1
1.02%
4:2
1.08%
4:3
0.74%
4:4
0.37%
4:5
0.15%
5
5:0
0.11%
5:1
0.26%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.22%
5:4
0.12%
5:5
0.05%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.7%
0
15.2%
1
21.5%
2
21.3%
3
16.4%
4
10.5%
5
5.7%
6
2.6%
7
0.9%
8
0.3%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

SC Freiburg
vs
Borussia Dortmund
Dec 14, 14:30
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
RB Leipzig
w w l w d
>
12
8
2
2
22
13
9
26
3
12
7
4
1
21
11
10
25
4
Bayer Leverkusen
w l w w l
>
12
7
2
3
28
17
11
23

7
12
6
3
3
28
23
5
21
8
SC Freiburg
l d w l w
>
12
4
4
4
19
20
-1
16
9
Werder Bremen
w d w l d
>
12
4
4
4
16
21
-5
16
Last 6 Matches
SC Freiburg
VS
Borussia Dortmund
3/6 (50%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.33 PPG 1.83
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
50% BTTS % 67%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.50 Avg xG 1.61
SC Freiburg
W W L D W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 18:30
SC Freiburg
4 0
FSV Mainz 05
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Plzen
0 0
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Bayern München
6 2
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 14:30
SC Freiburg
2 1
FC St. Pauli
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
6 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Nice
1 3
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Union Berlin
0 0
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
L D D W W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Bayer Leverkusen
1 2
Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Borussia Dortmund
4 0
Villarreal
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Borussia Dortmund
3 3
VfB Stuttgart
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Hamburger SV
1 1
Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
5 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Manchester City
4 1
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Oct 2025 - 19:30
FC Augsburg
0 1
Borussia Dortmund
Missing Players
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
- Injured - Jumpers knee
31% Draw 43%
58% Over 2.5 42%
62% Both Teams Score 38%
1.29 xPTS 1.71
1.35 xG [Total: 3.04] 1.69
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 2
5 Corners [Total: 9] 4
3 Offsides [Total: 4] 1
11 Fouls [Total: 21] 10
5 Shots on Goal [Total: 9] 4
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, SC Freiburg will take on Borussia Dortmund as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 14 and will take place on 2025-12-14 at 2025-12-14 in the famous Europa-Park Stadion. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, SC Freiburg, and the visiting side, Borussia Dortmund. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Borussia Dortmund. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-14 Time: 14:30 Location: Europa-Park Stadion Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 9:30 Football

Value Bets

2 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Value
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Odds: 1.89
58%
EV: +9.7% Kelly: $5.44
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Value
BTTS Yes
Odds: 1.67
62.2%
EV: +3.9% Kelly: $2.89
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 15:39:16
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Trends for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Football 14 Dec, 2025 9:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🔐
    xG Defensive Battle

    Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 83% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the second half (24 vs 18).
⚡ Final Stage: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the final minutes (16 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 SC Freiburg

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Borussia Dortmund

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.19

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 SC Freiburg - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Borussia Dortmund - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
24
Avg. Goals per Match
1.2
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 SC Freiburg - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Borussia Dortmund - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
10
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
16
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
16
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Borussia Dortmund shows superior performance after the break (24 vs 18 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Borussia Dortmund winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Borussia Dortmund excels in the closing minutes (16 vs 8 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Borussia Dortmund scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Borussia Dortmund has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Borussia Dortmund handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.376
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.067
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (SC Freiburg):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Borussia Dortmund):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 9:30 Bundesliga

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for SC Freiburg and away matches for Borussia Dortmund

Number of goals

Number of goals
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3

1X2

1X2
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
1
40% 4
50% 5
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
20% 2
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
60% 6
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
40% 4
40% 4

Total Corners

Total Corners
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
30% 3
20% 2

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
xG
1.32
1.52
xGa
1.04
1

Number of goals

Number of goals
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8

1X2

1X2
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
20% 2
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
60% 6
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
20% 2
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4

Number of goals

Number of goals
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
Yes
10% 1
60% 6
No
90% 9
40% 4

1X2

1X2
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
60% 6
50% 5
2
20% 2
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
12
40% 4
50% 5
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
80% 8
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
0-1
70% 7
30% 3
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
10% 1
20% 2

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Borussia Dortmund
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
4.0%
Low
16.00
8.5%
Low
8.60
-2
8.2%
Low
14.50
15.1%
Low
7.70
-1.5
12.4%
Low
6.95
21.8%
Low
4.00
-1
21.3%
Low
6.00
33.0%
Low
3.40
-0.5
30.3%
Low
3.22
44.2%
Low
2.20
+0.5
55.8%
Medium
1.83
69.7%
Medium
1.38
+1
67.0%
Medium
1.34
78.7%
High
1.14
+1.5
78.2%
High
1.26
87.6%
High
1.10
+2
84.9%
High
1.03
91.8%
High
1.02
+2.5
91.5%
High
1.05
96.0%
High
1.01
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.92%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.540.40%Low2.75
Under 1.559.60%Medium1.47
AwayOver 1.550.36%Medium2.06
Under 1.549.64%Low1.78
HomeOver 2.516.36%Low7.00
Under 2.583.64%High1.12
AwayOver 2.524.01%Low4.50
Under 2.575.99%High1.21
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
5 Apr
- 13:30
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
1.40
xG
3.35
1
4
23 Nov
- 14:30
Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
1.34
xG
0.74
4
0
9 Feb
- 19:30
Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
3
0
16 Sep
- 13:30
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
2
4
4 Feb
- 14:30
Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
5
1
12 Aug
- 18:30
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
1
3
14 Jan
- 19:30
Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
5
1
21 Aug
- 13:30
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
2
1
club logo
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
Played: 8
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
7
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
8
1
Goals
3.6
29
29
3.6
Goals Conceded
1
8
9
1.1
Yellow Cards
2.3
18
4
0.5
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.3
2
23
2.9
Corners
7.4
59
83
10.4
Fouls
11.4
91
14
1.8
Offsides
1.4
11
74
9.3
Shots
18.3
146
31
3.9
Shots on Goal
7
56
Home Away All
Played 6 6 12
Wins 3 1 4
Draws 2 2 4
Losses 1 3 4
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2.2 13 1 6 1.6 19
Goals Conceded 1.3 8 2 12 1.7 20
Yellow Cards 1.8 11 1.2 7 1.5 18
Red Cards 0.2 1 0.2 1 0.2 2
Clean Sheets 0.2 1 0.5 3 0.3 4
Corners 6 36 3 18 4.5 54
Fouls 9.7 58 8.2 49 8.9 107
Offsides 2.5 15 1.8 11 2.2 26
Shots 13.2 79 10.5 63 11.8 142
Shots on Goal 5 30 3 18 4 48
Home Away All
Played 5 7 12
Wins 3 4 7
Draws 2 2 4
Losses 0 1 1
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.8 9 1.7 12 1.8 21
Goals Conceded 0.8 4 1 7 0.9 11
Yellow Cards 1 5 2.4 17 1.8 22
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.6 3 0.4 3 0.5 6
Corners 7.6 38 3.1 22 5 60
Fouls 11.8 59 10.7 75 11.2 134
Offsides 1.6 8 1.3 9 1.4 17
Shots 15.8 79 10.1 71 12.5 150
Shots on Goal 5.6 28 3.6 25 4.4 53
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