SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Football Match Stats & Results Sunday, 14 December, 2025 8:30
Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund: A Crucial Bundesliga Clash
The Stakes Are High
This Bundesliga matchup features SC Freiburg hosting Borussia Dortmund, with both teams having contrasting seasons so far. Freiburg sits in 9th place with 16 points, looking to climb the table, while Dortmund, in 3rd with 28 points, aims to solidify their position in the top tier. The outcome of this match could have significant implications for both teams as they seek their objectives for the season.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams come into this match with distinct recent performances that could influence their strategies on the pitch.
- SC Freiburg: Freiburg has been relatively strong at home, boasting an unbeaten record in their last five home matches (3 wins, 2 draws). They have scored an impressive 2.4 goals per home game while conceding just 1. Their recent form, however, shows a mix of results with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five league matches.
- Borussia Dortmund: Dortmund has been consistent lately, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws). They average 1.4 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded in away matches, showcasing their defensive solidity. However, they will need to improve on their recent draw against Bodo/Glimt to maintain their momentum.
Head-to-Head
The historical dominance of Borussia Dortmund over SC Freiburg is evident, with Dortmund winning 7 of their last 8 encounters. The last five results reflect this trend: Freiburg managed a lone victory, but the scores have often been high, with an average of 4.63 goals per match in their last meetings. This historical edge may play a psychological role as Freiburg seeks to turn the tide in their favor.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Freiburg's strategy will likely focus on harnessing their home advantage, utilizing their effective attacking play, spearheaded by key players like J. Manzambi and V. Grifo, who remain pivotal for creating opportunities. On the other hand, Dortmund will need to adapt their tactics, especially in the absence of defender N. Schlotterbeck due to injury, which could expose them defensively. R. Bensebaini and W. Anton will be critical in maintaining defensive stability while looking to initiate counter-attacks against Freiburg's vulnerable backline.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: 1:1.
Reasoning: Both teams have shown resilience and the ability to score while also being vulnerable defensively. Freiburg's home form and Dortmund's away solidity suggest a tightly contested match, supported by the statistical likelihood of a draw based on their xG values and recent performances.
Betting Tips
Analyzing the statistical predictions reveals some intriguing betting opportunities.
- Safe Bet (High Confidence): Double Chance - X2 @ 1.37 (63.4%). This bet covers both the draw and an away win, reflecting the higher probability of Dortmund avoiding defeat.
- Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.68 (62.4%). The model suggests a high probability of both teams finding the net, making this a value bet given the odds imply a lower likelihood of a goal from both sides.
Bet responsibly.
Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund: A Crucial Bundesliga Clash
The Stakes Are High
This Bundesliga matchup features SC Freiburg hosting Borussia Dortmund, with both teams having contrasting seasons so far. Freiburg sits in 9th place with 16 points, looking to climb the table, while Dortmund, in 3rd with 28 points, aims to solidify their position in the top tier. The outcome of this match could have significant implications for both teams as they seek their objectives for the season.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams come into this match with distinct recent performances that could influence their strategies on the pitch.
- SC Freiburg: Freiburg has been relatively strong at home, boasting an unbeaten record in their last five home matches (3 wins, 2 draws). They have scored an impressive 2.4 goals per home game while conceding just 1. Their recent form, however, shows a mix of results with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five league matches.
- Borussia Dortmund: Dortmund has been consistent lately, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws). They average 1.4 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded in away matches, showcasing their defensive solidity. However, they will need to improve on their recent draw against Bodo/Glimt to maintain their momentum.
Head-to-Head
The historical dominance of Borussia Dortmund over SC Freiburg is evident, with Dortmund winning 7 of their last 8 encounters. The last five results reflect this trend: Freiburg managed a lone victory, but the scores have often been high, with an average of 4.63 goals per match in their last meetings. This historical edge may play a psychological role as Freiburg seeks to turn the tide in their favor.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Freiburg's strategy will likely focus on harnessing their home advantage, utilizing their effective attacking play, spearheaded by key players like J. Manzambi and V. Grifo, who remain pivotal for creating opportunities. On the other hand, Dortmund will need to adapt their tactics, especially in the absence of defender N. Schlotterbeck due to injury, which could expose them defensively. R. Bensebaini and W. Anton will be critical in maintaining defensive stability while looking to initiate counter-attacks against Freiburg's vulnerable backline.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: 1:1.
Reasoning: Both teams have shown resilience and the ability to score while also being vulnerable defensively. Freiburg's home form and Dortmund's away solidity suggest a tightly contested match, supported by the statistical likelihood of a draw based on their xG values and recent performances.
Betting Tips
Analyzing the statistical predictions reveals some intriguing betting opportunities.
- Safe Bet (High Confidence): Double Chance - X2 @ 1.37 (63.4%). This bet covers both the draw and an away win, reflecting the higher probability of Dortmund avoiding defeat.
- Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.68 (62.4%). The model suggests a high probability of both teams finding the net, making this a value bet given the odds imply a lower likelihood of a goal from both sides.
Bet responsibly.


Bundesliga 2025-2026