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Sassuolo
0
1
Torino
Sassuolo vs Parma: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 3 January, 2026 14:00
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.17 vs 1.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.35%
⭐
0:1
11.4%
⭐
0:2
5.73%
⭐
0:3
1.92%
⭐
0:4
0.48%
⭐
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
13.23%
1:1
13.38%
🔥
1:2
6.76%
1:3
2.28%
⭐
1:4
0.58%
⭐
1:5
0.12%
2
2:0
7.71%
2:1
7.85%
2:2
3.99%
2:3
1.35%
2:4
0.34%
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
3%
3:1
3.07%
3:2
1.57%
3:3
0.54%
3:4
0.14%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
0.87%
4:1
0.9%
4:2
0.46%
4:3
0.16%
4:4
0.04%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.21%
5:2
0.11%
5:3
0.04%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:1 (13.4%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
▲
5
7
4
20
18
2
22
10
▼
6
3
7
21
20
1
21
11
5
6
5
18
18
0
21
16
3
5
8
16
24
-8
14
17
3
5
7
10
18
-8
14
18
2
6
7
13
22
-9
12
1.03
xG
0.98
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Sassuolo
VS
Parma
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.33
PPG
1.17
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
50%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.04
Avg xG
1.14
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Sassuolo will take on Parma as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-03 at 2026-01-03 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sassuolo, and the visiting side, Parma. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Sassuolo or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-03
Time: 14:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sassuolo vs Parma Saturday, Jan 3rd, 2026 at 14:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Sassuolo vs Parma Football 3 Jan, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Toothless Attack
Parma struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/7 recent away matches
-
Chance Suppression
Parma rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Sassuolo vs Parma, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Sassuolo @ 2.02 ⚠️ 
Parma
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Parma have not won in 12 of their last 15 Serie A matches
Sassuolo confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.93 ⚠️ 
Parma(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/771%Parma struggle to score in away matches (0.57/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.85 ⚠️
Parma(2 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/771%Parma struggle to score in away matches (0.57/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent12/1580%Parma scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Serie A matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Sassuolo Win or Draw @ 1.27 ⚠️
Parma
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Parma have not won in 12 of their last 15 Serie A matches
Sassuolo confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Sassuolo(2 trends) — avg 2.3 (+4% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1690%Sassuolo average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 2.0) — rank #2 in league
- Many CardsRecent12/1675%Sassuolo receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Parma disciplined play balances Sassuolo aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.70 ✅
Sassuolo(2 trends) — avg 3.4 (-23% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Sassuolo average 3.4 corners/match at home (-23% below league avg 4.4)
- Few CornersRecent12/1675%Sassuolo win 4 or fewer corners in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Parma(2 trends) — avg 3.8 (-14% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/779%Parma average 3.8 corners/match in away matches (-14% below league avg 4.4)
- Few CornersRecent11/1385%Parma win 4 or fewer corners in 11 of their last 13 Serie A matches
Combined average: 7.2 corners/match (Sassuolo 3.4 + Parma 3.8) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+3 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Sassuolo vs Parma
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Sassuolo is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
⚡ Final Stage: Parma is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Parma is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Sassuolo
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Parma
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Sassuolo - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Parma - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Sassuolo - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Parma - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Sassuolo often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Sassuolo scoring first
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Parma excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 4 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Parma scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Sassuolo has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Sassuolo handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.021
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.046
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Sassuolo):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Parma):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Sassuolo vs Parma Head-to-head statistics for Sat 3 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Parma: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sassuolo and away matches for Parma
Number of goals
Sassuolo
Under
Over
Parma
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sassuolo
Parma
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1X2
Sassuolo
Parma
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Sassuolo
Parma
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Sassuolo
Parma
0-1
30%
3
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Sassuolo
Under
Over
Parma
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sassuolo
Parma
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Sassuolo
Parma
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT X
30%
3
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Sassuolo
Parma
xG
0.95
0.95
xGa
1.15
1.32
Number of goals
Sassuolo
Under
Over
Parma
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sassuolo
Parma
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Sassuolo
Parma
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Sassuolo
Parma
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Sassuolo
Parma
0-1
70%
7
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sassuolo
Parma
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
Number of goals
Sassuolo
Under
Over
Parma
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sassuolo
Parma
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
Sassuolo
Parma
1
30%
3
10%
1
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Sassuolo
Parma
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
70%
7
90%
9
Total Goals
Sassuolo
Parma
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sassuolo
Parma
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Parma AH+1.5
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 30.69% | Low | 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 69.31% | Medium | 1.79 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 24.95% | Low | 3.60 |
| Under 1.5 | 75.05% | High | 1.30 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 10.29% | Low | 4.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 89.71% | High | 1.21 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 7.31% | Low | 11.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 92.69% | High | 1.06 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Sassuolo
Parma
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 10 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.3 | 21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 10 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.3 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 20 | 2.4 | 19 | 2.4 | 39 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 27 | 3.1 | 25 | 3.3 | 52 |
| Fouls | 13 | 104 | 11.9 | 95 | 12.4 | 199 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 1.8 | 29 |
| Shots | 11.6 | 93 | 9.5 | 76 | 10.6 | 169 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.5 | 28 | 4 | 32 | 3.8 | 60 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.8 | 6 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.7 | 10 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 1.2 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.5 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 1.7 | 26 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 3.1 | 25 | 2.7 | 19 | 2.9 | 44 |
| Fouls | 11 | 88 | 10.3 | 72 | 10.7 | 160 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 14 | 0.7 | 5 | 1.3 | 19 |
| Shots | 11.5 | 92 | 10.1 | 71 | 10.9 | 163 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.8 | 22 | 3.4 | 24 | 3.1 | 46 |