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Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 8:00
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: A Battle for Survival
The Stakes are High
This match between Sassuolo and Fiorentina is crucial for both sides as they navigate the challenging waters of Serie A. Sassuolo sits mid-table at 10th with 17 points, while Fiorentina finds itself in a relegation battle at 19th with just 6 points. A win is essential for Fiorentina to ignite their season, whereas Sassuolo will aim to solidify their position and capitalize on their home advantage.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams have struggled to find their rhythm lately, with contrasting issues affecting their performances.
- Sassuolo: The home side has shown inconsistency recently with a mixed bag of results, including two wins in their last five matches. They have been relatively solid at home but still vulnerable, scoring an average of 1.4 goals while conceding 1.2. Their recent loss to Como might have deflated their confidence.
- Fiorentina: The visitors are in dire straits, winless in their last five outings, and only managing two draws in that period. They have been particularly poor away, struggling to score, with an average of just 0.6 goals per match and conceding 1.8. Their last match against Atalanta ended in another disappointing defeat.
Head-to-Head
The historical record shows a slight advantage for Fiorentina, who have won three of the last six encounters. The average goals in these matchups have been high, at 3.5 per game, indicating that past clashes have often been exciting and high-scoring. Notably, Sassuolo managed a 5-1 victory in their previous meeting, which could give them a psychological edge.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Stylistically, Sassuolo tends to play a possession-based game, often looking to exploit the flanks, especially with players like Domenico Berardi, who will be a significant miss due to injury. This absence could shift their attacking focus. Fiorentina, on the other hand, relies more on structured defensive play but has been unable to keep clean sheets, particularly away from home. David de Gea's presence in goal will be crucial for them as they seek to stabilize their defense against Sassuolo's attacks.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Home Win.
Predicted Score: Sassuolo 2 - 1 Fiorentina
Reasoning: Sassuolo's home advantage, coupled with Fiorentina's struggles in attack, gives the home side the edge. Although both teams have vulnerabilities, Sassuolo's ability to score at home could prove decisive.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Double Chance - 1X @ 1.55 (63.7%).
- Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.81 (53%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.27 vs 1.30
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.77%
0:1
10.01%
0:2
6.45%
0:3
2.77%
0:4
0.89%
0:5
0.23%
1
1:0
9.78%
1:1
12.69%
🔥
1:2
8.24%
1:3
3.57%
1:4
1.16%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
6.15%
2:1
8.05%
2:2
5.26%
2:3
2.3%
2:4
0.75%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
2.58%
3:1
3.4%
3:2
2.24%
3:3
0.99%
3:4
0.32%
3:5
0.09%
4
4:0
0.81%
⭐
4:1
1.08%
⭐
4:2
0.72%
⭐
4:3
0.32%
4:4
0.11%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.2%
⭐
5:1
0.27%
⭐
5:2
0.18%
⭐
5:3
0.08%
⭐
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.7%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
▲
5
3
5
14
20
-6
18
10
▼
5
2
6
16
16
0
17
11
4
5
4
16
17
-1
17
18
▼
1
7
5
10
18
-8
10
19
0
6
7
10
21
-11
6
20
0
6
7
8
20
-12
6
Last 6 Matches
Sassuolo
VS
Fiorentina
2/6 (33%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
1.17
PPG
0.50
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
50%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.11
Avg xG
1.27
Missing Players
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Hip Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Calf Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Wrist Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Illness
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
1.29
xG [Total: 2.58]
1.29
3
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
4
Corners [Total: 8]
5
1
Offsides [Total: 3]
2
12
Fouls [Total: 24]
12
3
Shots on Goal [Total: 7]
4
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Sassuolo will take on Fiorentina as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 14 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sassuolo, and the visiting side, Fiorentina. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Sassuolo or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-06
Time: 14:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 8:00 Football
No value bets found for this match.
(Minimum EV: 1%)
Trends for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Football 6 Dec, 2025 8:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
Comprehensive betting trends for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Sassuolo @ 2.95 ✅ 
Sassuolo
- Efficient ScoringH2H6/6100%Sassuolo efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 6 of their last 6 Serie A matches vs Fiorentina
Fiorentina
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Fiorentina are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent13/1587%Fiorentina have not won in 13 of their last 15 Serie A (Away) matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Sassuolo to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.84 ⚠️
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H5/683%Both teams scored in 5 of their last 6 Serie A H2H matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.16 ⚠️
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H5/683%Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 Serie A H2H matches
Offensive trends suggest potential for goals • Recent scoring patterns lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Sassuolo Win or Draw @ 1.55 ✅ 
Sassuolo
- Undefeated at HTH2H5/683%Sassuolo are undefeated at half time in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches vs Fiorentina
Fiorentina
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Fiorentina are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent13/1587%Fiorentina have not won in 13 of their last 15 Serie A (Away) matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Sassuolo to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Sassuolo Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.85 ✅
Sassuolo
- Scored 1+H2H6/6100%Sassuolo scored 1+ goals in their last 6 6 matches vs Fiorentina
Sassuolo's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.38 ✅
Sassuolo(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H5/683%Sassuolo receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches vs Fiorentina
- High Card MatchesLeague13/1390%Sassuolo average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+22% above league avg 2.0) — rank #4 in league
Fiorentina(4 trends)
- Many CardsH2H6/6100%Fiorentina receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 6 Serie A matches vs Sassuolo
- High Card MatchesLeague13/1390%Fiorentina average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+18% above league avg 2.0)
- Many CardsRecent14/1593%Fiorentina receive 2+ cards in 14 of their last 15 Serie A (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent24/3080%Fiorentina receive 2+ cards in 24 of their last 30 Serie A matches
Both teams show aggressive play - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.38 • H2H average: 6 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.63 ✅
Sassuolo(2 trends) — avg 3.2 (-28% below league)
- Few CornersH2H5/683%Sassuolo win 4 or fewer corners in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches vs Fiorentina
- Few CornersLeague6/685%Sassuolo average 3.2 corners/match at home (-28% below league avg 4.4)
Fiorentina(2 trends) — avg 4.7 (-2% below league)
- Many CornersH2H5/683%Fiorentina win 6+ corners in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches vs Sassuolo
- Corner DominanceH2H5/683%Fiorentina dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches vs Sassuolo
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.63
+12 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Sassuolo is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Sassuolo is stronger in the first half (9 vs 4).
⚡ Final Stage: Fiorentina is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Sassuolo is stronger in the first half (9 vs 4).
⚡ Final Stage: Fiorentina is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Sassuolo
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Fiorentina
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.36
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Sassuolo - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Fiorentina - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Sassuolo - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Fiorentina - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Sassuolo often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Sassuolo scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Sassuolo is stronger in the first half (9 vs 4)
- First Half Result: Consider Sassuolo to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Fiorentina excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 4 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Fiorentina scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Fiorentina has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Fiorentina handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.126
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.008
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Sassuolo):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Fiorentina):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 8:00 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sassuolo and away matches for Fiorentina
Number of goals
Number of goals
Sassuolo
Under
Over
Fiorentina
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
1
40%
4
10%
1
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
40%
4
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
60%
6
40%
4
X2
60%
6
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Sassuolo
Under
Over
Fiorentina
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
xG
1.08
1.41
xGa
1.21
1.56
Number of goals
Number of goals
Sassuolo
Under
Over
Fiorentina
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
0-1
80%
8
90%
9
2-3
20%
2
10%
1
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
Number of goals
Number of goals
Sassuolo
Under
Over
Fiorentina
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
60%
6
30%
3
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
12
40%
4
70%
7
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
60%
6
60%
6
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Fiorentina
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 36.27% | Low | 2.85 |
| Under 1.5 | 63.73% | Medium | 1.47 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 37.36% | Low | 2.66 |
| Under 1.5 | 62.64% | Medium | 1.54 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 13.62% | Low | 7.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 86.38% | High | 1.10 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 14.31% | Low | 6.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 85.69% | High | 1.14 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Played:
6
Wins
2
2
Draws
1
1
Wins
3
3
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
8
1.3
Goals
2.2
13
13
2.2
Goals Conceded
1.3
8
17
2.8
Yellow Cards
2.5
15
2
0.3
Red Cards
0.3
2
1
0.2
Clean Sheets
0
17
2.8
Corners
7.8
47
61
10.2
Fouls
11.8
71
12
2
Offsides
2.8
17
59
9.8
Shots
16.5
99
19
3.2
Shots on Goal
6.5
39
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 7 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.2 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 8 | 1.1 | 8 | 1.2 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 15 | 2.3 | 16 | 2.4 | 31 |
| Red Cards | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 3.2 | 19 | 3.1 | 22 | 3.2 | 41 |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 76 | 11.9 | 83 | 12.2 | 159 |
| Offsides | 1.5 | 9 | 2.1 | 15 | 1.8 | 24 |
| Shots | 12.2 | 73 | 9.7 | 68 | 10.8 | 141 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.7 | 22 | 4.1 | 29 | 3.9 | 51 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 6 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 | 10 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 11 | 1.4 | 10 | 1.6 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 14 | 2.3 | 16 | 2.3 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.8 | 29 | 4.4 | 31 | 4.6 | 60 |
| Fouls | 14.3 | 86 | 12.4 | 87 | 13.3 | 173 |
| Offsides | 2 | 12 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.9 | 25 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 80 | 9.9 | 69 | 11.5 | 149 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.2 | 19 | 2.3 | 16 | 2.7 | 35 |
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