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Form
Form
Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
1st place
Form
VS
00:00
22 Mar 2026
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
2nd place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Palmeiras
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 March, 2026 19:00

Winner (1x2)-
Sao Paulo to Win
Probability 61%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 70%
Sao Paulo Total2.80
Home Over 1.5
Probability 71%
Palmeiras Total1.03
Away Under 3.5
Probability 95%
Double Chance-
Sao Paulo/Draw
Probability 80%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
00:00
Sao Paulo W 61%
:
Palmeiras W 20%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Sao Paulo
d w w w w
3 Played
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (6 total)
xG
2.20 (6.6 total)
Shots per Match
15 (45 total)
Shots on Target
5 (33% acc)
Corners
5.3 (16 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.3 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (67%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.7 (38 total)
Offsides
2 (6 total)
3 Played
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (4 total)
xG
0.90 (2.8 total)
Shots per Match
7.3 (22 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (50% acc)
Corners
4.7 (14 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
17.3 (52 total)
Offsides
0.3 (1 total)
6 Played
5 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (10 total)
xG
1.60 (9.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (67 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (39% acc)
Corners
5 (30 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.5 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
15 (90 total)
Offsides
1.2 (7 total)
Palmeiras
w w w l w
3 Played
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.7 (8 total)
xG
1.30 (3.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.7 (41 total)
Shots on Target
6 (44% acc)
Corners
4.3 (13 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
14 (42 total)
Offsides
1.7 (5 total)
3 Played
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (6 total)
xG
0.80 (2.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (31 total)
Shots on Target
5 (48% acc)
Corners
5 (15 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
15.3 (46 total)
Offsides
2 (6 total)
6 Played
4 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (14 total)
xG
1.00 (6.1 total)
Shots per Match
12 (72 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (46% acc)
Corners
4.7 (28 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
14.7 (88 total)
Offsides
1.8 (11 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.48 vs 1.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.76%
0:1
3.46%
0:2
1.68%
0:3
0.59%
0:4
0.15%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
6.79%
1:1
7.7%
1:2
4.73%
1:3
1.85%
1:4
0.54%
1:5
0.12%
2
2:0
6.89%
2:1
9.58%
🔥
2:2
6.45%
2:3
2.82%
2:4
0.91%
2:5
0.23%
3
3:0
4.86%
3:1
7.59%
3:2
5.71%
3:3
2.78%
3:4
0.98%
3:5
0.27%
4
4:0
2.57%
4:1
4.46%
4:2
3.71%
4:3
1.99%
4:4
0.77%
4:5
0.23%
5
5:0
1.09%
5:1
2.07%
5:2
1.9%
5:3
1.11%
5:4
0.47%
5:5
0.16%
Hotspot: 2:1 (9.6%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.8%
0
10.3%
1
16.3%
2
19.8%
3
18.6%
4
14.6%
5
9.6%
6
5.1%
7
2.2%
8
0.7%
9
0.2%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Sao PauloHDPPalmeiras
20.4%
Low@ 12.00
-2.5
2.0%
@ 9.50Very Low
29.6%
Low
-2
4.4%
@ 8.30Very Low
38.9%
Low@ 6.80
-1.5
6.8%
@ 4.50Very Low
50.4%
Medium@ 5.75
-1
12.8%
@ 3.55Very Low
61.9%
High@ 3.00
-0.5
18.7%
@ 2.25Very Low
81.3%
Very High@ 1.65
+0.5
38.0%
@ 1.38Low
87.2%
Very High@ 1.27
+1
49.6%
@ 1.14Medium
93.1%
Very High@ 1.19
+1.5
61.1%
@ 1.10High
95.5%
Very High@ 1.02
+2
70.3%
High
97.9%
Very High@ 1.04
+2.5
79.6%
@ 1.02High

Team Total Predictions

Sao PauloOutcomePalmeiras
91.6%
Very High@ 1.40
Over 0.5
75.6%
@ 1.28High
8.4%
Very Low@ 3.05
Under 0.5
24.4%
@ 3.55Low
70.9%
High@ 2.80
Over 1.5
41.2%
@ 2.33Medium
29.1%
Low@ 1.43
Under 1.5
58.8%
@ 1.58Medium
45.1%
Medium@ 8.00
Over 2.5
16.9%
@ 5.50Very Low
54.9%
Medium@ 1.08
Under 2.5
83.1%
@ 1.14Very High
23.8%
Low@ 23.00
Over 3.5
5.5%
@ 15.00Very Low
76.2%
High@ 1.01
Under 3.5
94.5%
@ 1.03Very High
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Sao Paulo will take on Palmeiras as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-03-22 at 2026-03-22 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sao Paulo, and the visiting side, Palmeiras. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Palmeiras. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-22 Time: 00:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Saturday, Mar 21st, 2026 at 19:00 Football

AI Value Bets
8 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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Match Winner Sao Paulo
High Value
Prob: 60.5%
EV: +87.7%
Stake: $1.19
3.10
Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 72%
EV: +47.6%
Stake: $2.38
2.05
Double Chance 1X
High Value
Prob: 80.1%
EV: +29.8%
Stake: $4.03
1.62
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 69.9%
EV: +25.9%
Stake: $3.13
1.80
Win to Nil Palmeiras NOT Win to Nil
High Value
Prob: 94.3%
EV: +15.1%
Stake: $10.00
1.22
Asian Handicap Sao Paulo +1.5
Value
Prob: 93.1%
EV: +10.8%
Stake: $10.00
1.19
Asian Handicap Sao Paulo +1
Value
Prob: 87.2%
EV: +10.7%
Stake: $9.26
1.27
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 80.4%
EV: +9.4%
Stake: $6.94
1.36
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-17 02:48:41
spinner

Trends for Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Football 21 Mar, 2026 19:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Late Goals Expected

    Both teams score in 2nd half consistently (Sao Paulo 100%, Palmeiras 100%) — expect late drama

  • 🎯
    Goal Fest Potential

    Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display

+5 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Sao Paulo

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Palmeiras

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Sao Paulo - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Palmeiras - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Sao Paulo - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Palmeiras - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Palmeiras has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Palmeiras handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.027
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Sao Paulo):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Palmeiras):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Sao Paulo
Palmeiras

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Mar, 2026 @ 19:00 Serie A BR

Serie A

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Palmeiras
Goals Home: +0.5*
Goals Away: -3.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Sao Paulo
VS
Palmeiras
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (2)
2 (4)
xG
1.10
1.30
Shots
9 (18)
15.5 (31)
Shots on Target
3.5 (7)
5.5 (11)
Corners
2.5 (5)
8.5 (17)
Defense
Conceded
2 (4)
1 (2)
xGa
1.30
1.10
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 (5)
3.5 (7)
Fouls
14 (28)
12 (24)
Offsides
0.5 (1)
1 (2)
5 Oct
- 19:00
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
1.86
xG
1.22
2
3
11 May
- 20:30
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1.29
xG
0.43
1
0
Last 6 Matches
Sao Paulo
VS
Palmeiras
5/6 (83%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
2.67 PPG 2.17
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
0.50 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
50% BTTS % 83%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.55 Avg xG 1.01
Sao Paulo
D W W W W
Serie A BR 2026
15 Mar 2026 - 23:30
RB Bragantino
1 2
Sao Paulo
Serie A BR 2026
12 Mar 2026 - 23:00
Sao Paulo
2 0
Chapecoense-sc
Serie A BR 2026
25 Feb 2026 - 22:30
Coritiba
0 1
Sao Paulo
Serie A BR 2026
12 Feb 2026 - 00:30
Sao Paulo
2 0
Gremio
Serie A BR 2026
4 Feb 2026 - 23:00
Santos
1 1
Sao Paulo
Serie A BR 2026
29 Jan 2026 - 00:30
Sao Paulo
2 1
Flamengo
Palmeiras
W W W L W
Serie A BR 2026
15 Mar 2026 - 21:30
Palmeiras
1 0
Mirassol
Serie A BR 2026
12 Mar 2026 - 22:30
Vasco DA Gama
2 1
Palmeiras
Serie A BR 2026
26 Feb 2026 - 00:30
Palmeiras
2 1
Fluminense
Serie A BR 2026
13 Feb 2026 - 00:30
Internacional
1 3
Palmeiras
Serie A BR 2026
5 Feb 2026 - 00:30
Palmeiras
5 1
Vitoria
Serie A BR 2026
28 Jan 2026 - 22:00
Atletico-MG
2 2
Palmeiras

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sao Paulo and away matches for Palmeiras

Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Palmeiras
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3
1X2
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
1
70% 7
60% 6
X
10% 1
20% 2
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
12
90% 9
80% 8
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
30% 3
40% 4
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0-1
20% 2
20% 2
2-3
70% 7
30% 3
4+
10% 1
50% 5
Total Corners
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Palmeiras
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
xG
1.25
1.26
xGa
1.31
1.21
Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Palmeiras
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Yes
0% 0
50% 5
No
100% 10
50% 5
1X2
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
30% 3
0% 0
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
70% 7
100% 10
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0-1
80% 8
30% 3
2-3
20% 2
70% 7
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Palmeiras
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
1
70% 7
40% 4
X
10% 1
40% 4
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
12
90% 9
60% 6
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
30% 3
60% 6
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
2.21 xG 1.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found