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Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo vs Gremio: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 11 February, 2026 18:30
Prediction League
1
Played
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(2 total)
xG
0.70
(0.7 total)
Shots per Match
10
(10 total)
Shots on Target
4
(40% acc)
Corners
2
(2 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
2.20
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
14
(14 total)
Offsides
1
(1 total)
1
Played
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(1 total)
xG
0.60
(0.6 total)
Shots per Match
9
(9 total)
Shots on Target
3
(33% acc)
Corners
4
(4 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
21
(21 total)
Offsides
0
(0 total)
2
Played
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(3 total)
xG
0.70
(1.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.5
(19 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(37% acc)
Corners
3
(6 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
17.5
(35 total)
Offsides
0.5
(1 total)
0
Played
0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0
(0 total)
xG
0.00
(0.0 total)
Shots per Match
0
(0 total)
Shots on Target
0
(0% acc)
Corners
0
(0 total)
Defense
Conceded
0
per match
xGa
0.00
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
0
(0 total)
Offsides
0
(0 total)
1
Played
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(1 total)
xG
1.60
(1.6 total)
Shots per Match
12
(12 total)
Shots on Target
3
(25% acc)
Corners
6
(6 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
2.30
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13
(13 total)
Offsides
2
(2 total)
1
Played
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(1 total)
xG
1.60
(1.6 total)
Shots per Match
12
(12 total)
Shots on Target
3
(25% acc)
Corners
6
(6 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
2.30
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13
(13 total)
Offsides
2
(2 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.76 vs 1.79
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.18%
0:1
2.07%
0:2
1.81%
0:3
1.06%
0:4
0.47%
⭐
0:5
0.16%
⭐
1
1:0
3.21%
1:1
5.67%
1:2
5.02%
1:3
2.96%
⭐
1:4
1.31%
⭐
1:5
0.46%
⭐
2
2:0
4.37%
2:1
7.79%
🔥
2:2
6.93%
⭐
2:3
4.12%
⭐
2:4
1.83%
⭐
2:5
0.65%
⭐
3
3:0
3.97%
3:1
7.13%
⭐
3:2
6.39%
⭐
3:3
3.82%
⭐
3:4
1.71%
⭐
3:5
0.61%
⭐
4
4:0
2.71%
⭐
4:1
4.89%
⭐
4:2
4.41%
⭐
4:3
2.66%
⭐
4:4
1.2%
⭐
4:5
0.43%
5
5:0
1.48%
⭐
5:1
2.69%
⭐
5:2
2.44%
⭐
5:3
1.48%
⭐
5:4
0.67%
5:5
0.24%
Hotspot:
2:1 (7.8%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Sao Paulo will take on Gremio as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-12 at 2026-02-12 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sao Paulo, and the visiting side, Gremio. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Sao Paulo.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-12
Time: 00:30
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sao Paulo vs Gremio Wednesday, Feb 11th, 2026 at 18:30 Football
AI Value Bets
5 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Sao Paulo vs Gremio Football 11 Feb, 2026 18:30
ℹ️ No advanced patterns detected for this match.
Comprehensive betting trends for Sao Paulo vs Gremio, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Gremio @ 3.70 ✅ 
Gremio
- High xG PerformanceH2H2/2100%Gremio create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches vs Sao Paulo
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%Gremio create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Serie A BR (Away) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent30/30100%Gremio create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Serie A BR matches
Gremio demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.25 ⚠️ 
Sao Paulo(1 trends)
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%Sao Paulo have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Serie A BR (Home) matches
Offensive trends suggest potential for goals • Recent scoring patterns lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Sao Paulo Win or Draw @ 1.30 ✅
Sao Paulo
- Undefeated at HTRecent13/1493%Sao Paulo are undefeated at half time in their last 13 14 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent23/3077%Sao Paulo are undefeated at half time in 23 of their last 30 Serie A BR matches
Gremio
- Not WinRecent12/1675%Gremio have not won in 12 of their last 16 Serie A BR (Away) matches
Sao Paulo confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Gremio Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.40 ⚠️
Gremio
- Scored 1+H2H2/2100%Gremio scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches vs Sao Paulo
- First Half SpecialistsH2H2/2100%Gremio score in first half in their last 2 2 matches vs Sao Paulo
Gremio's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Sao Paulo(1 trends)
- Many CardsH2H2/2100%Sao Paulo receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches vs Gremio
Gremio(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent14/1688%Gremio receive 2+ cards in 14 of their last 16 Serie A BR (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Gremio receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Serie A BR matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 6 total cards/match
+7 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends[wp_predictions_test_enhanced home_club="222869" away_club="222883" competition_id="" season_id=""]
Sao Paulo vs Gremio Head-to-head statistics for Wed 11 Feb, 2026 @ 18:30 Serie A BR
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : Sao Paulo
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Sao Paulo
VS
Gremio
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (2)
1.5 (3)
xG
1.80
1.90
Shots
17 (34)
10.5 (21)
Shots on Target
3 (6)
5 (10)
Corners
5.5 (11)
4 (8)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 (3)
1 (2)
xGa
1.90
1.80
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.5 (7)
2.5 (5)
Fouls
14 (28)
15.5 (31)
Offsides
0.5 (1)
0 (0)
Last 6 Matches
Sao Paulo
VS
Gremio
3/6 (50%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
2.00
PPG
0.00
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
100%
BTTS %
100%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.76
Avg xG
1.59
Sao Paulo vs Gremio: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sao Paulo and away matches for Gremio
Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Gremio
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0-1
20%
2
10%
1
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
30%
3
50%
5
Total Corners
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Sao Paulo
Gremio
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Sao Paulo
Gremio
xG
0.83
1.65
xGa
1.72
1.26
Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Gremio
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
Number of goals
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Sao Paulo
Gremio
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0-1
50%
5
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
2.03
xG
1.32
58%
Ball Possession
42%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
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