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Atletico Paranaense
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Santos
Santos vs Vasco DA Gama: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 26 February, 2026 16:00
Best Tip
Value
Total - Away
Vasco DA Gama Under 1.5 Goals
Odds
1.35
Win Prob. 86.1%
EV: +16.3%
Premium Tip
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Upgrade to PremiumPrediction League
1
Played
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(1 total)
xG
1.10
(1.1 total)
Shots per Match
11
(11 total)
Shots on Target
3
(27% acc)
Corners
6
(6 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.60
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
15
(15 total)
Offsides
2
(2 total)
2
Played
0
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(3 total)
xG
1.00
(1.9 total)
Shots per Match
17
(34 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(26% acc)
Corners
7.5
(15 total)
Defense
Conceded
3
per match
xGa
2.00
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10
(20 total)
Offsides
2
(4 total)
3
Played
0
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(4 total)
xG
1.00
(3.1 total)
Shots per Match
15
(45 total)
Shots on Target
4
(27% acc)
Corners
7
(21 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
11.7
(35 total)
Offsides
2
(6 total)
2
Played
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5
(1 total)
xG
3.10
(6.2 total)
Shots per Match
27.5
(55 total)
Shots on Target
8.5
(31% acc)
Corners
11
(22 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.30
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
15
(30 total)
Offsides
0
(0 total)
1
Played
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(1 total)
xG
0.50
(0.5 total)
Shots per Match
13
(13 total)
Shots on Target
5
(38% acc)
Corners
5
(5 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
0.50
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10
(10 total)
Offsides
2
(2 total)
3
Played
0
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7
(2 total)
xG
2.20
(6.7 total)
Shots per Match
22.7
(68 total)
Shots on Target
7.3
(32% acc)
Corners
9
(27 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
0.40
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13.3
(40 total)
Offsides
0.7
(2 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.53 vs 0.59
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
13.57%
⭐
0:1
6.41%
0:2
1.51%
0:3
0.24%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
19.16%
🔥
⭐
1:1
10.65%
1:2
2.89%
1:3
0.51%
1:4
0.07%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
13.53%
⭐
2:1
8.65%
2:2
2.67%
2:3
0.53%
2:4
0.08%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
6.37%
⭐
3:1
4.6%
3:2
1.6%
3:3
0.36%
3:4
0.06%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
2.25%
⭐
4:1
1.81%
4:2
0.7%
4:3
0.17%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.64%
⭐
5:1
0.56%
5:2
0.24%
5:3
0.07%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (19.2%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Santos will take on Vasco DA Gama as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-26 at 2026-02-26 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Santos, and the visiting side, Vasco DA Gama. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-26
Time: 22:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Santos vs Vasco DA Gama Thursday, Feb 26th, 2026 at 16:00 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Santos vs Vasco DA Gama Football 26 Feb, 2026 16:00
ℹ️ No advanced patterns detected for this match.
Comprehensive betting trends for Santos vs Vasco DA Gama.
🏆 Match Winner — Vasco DA Gama @ 3.55 ✅ 
Vasco DA Gama
WonH2H
Vasco DA Gama have won their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
UnbeatenH2H
Vasco DA Gama are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Efficient ScoringH2H
Vasco DA Gama efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Santos
Not WinH2H
Santos have not won their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
LostH2H
Santos have lost their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Vasco DA Gama to win looks justified.
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.08 ⚠️
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
2 / 2100%
💡Offensive trends suggest potential for goals • Recent scoring patterns lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Vasco DA Gama Win or Draw @ 1.78 ⚠️ 
Vasco DA Gama
UnbeatenH2H
Vasco DA Gama are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Santos
Not WinH2H
Santos have not won their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Vasco DA Gama to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Vasco DA Gama Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.25 ✅ 
Vasco DA Gama
Scored 1+Recent
Vasco DA Gama scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Scored 2+Recent
Vasco DA Gama scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Second Half SpecialistsRecent
Vasco DA Gama score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Vasco DA Gama maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.10 ⚠️ 
Santos1 Trends — avg 6 (+20% above league)Few CornersH2H
Santos win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Vasco DA Gama1 Trends — avg 3.6 (-28% below league)Few CornersH2H
Vasco DA Gama win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.10
🎯 Betting Analysis
Santos vs Vasco DA Gama
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Santos is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Santos
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.04
Pressure
0.16
✈️ Vasco DA Gama
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Santos - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Vasco DA Gama - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Santos - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Vasco DA Gama - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Santos excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Santos scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Santos has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Santos handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.148
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.004
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Santos):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Vasco DA Gama):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Santos vs Vasco DA Gama Head-to-head statistics for Thu 26 Feb, 2026 @ 16:00 Serie A BR
Team comparison
Prediction
Vasco DA Gama Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Santos
VS
Vasco DA Gama
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5 (1)
4 (8)
xG
1.20
1.70
Shots
9 (18)
13 (26)
Shots on Target
2 (4)
7 (14)
Corners
3 (6)
2.5 (5)
Defense
Conceded
4 (8)
0.5 (1)
xGa
1.70
1.20
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 (3)
2.5 (5)
Fouls
11.5 (23)
11.5 (23)
Offsides
2 (4)
1.5 (3)
Last 6 Matches
Santos
VS
Vasco DA Gama
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
0.33
PPG
0.33
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
2.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
100%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.36
Avg xG
1.57
Santos vs Vasco DA Gama: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Santos and away matches for Vasco DA Gama
Number of goals
Santos
Under
Over
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
1X2
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
1
40%
4
10%
1
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
30%
3
80%
8
Double Chance
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
70%
7
20%
2
X2
60%
6
90%
9
Total Goals
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
0-1
10%
1
20%
2
2-3
70%
7
50%
5
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
Santos
Under
Over
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Yes
40%
4
0%
0
No
60%
6
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
40%
4
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
xG
1.31
1.27
xGa
1.24
1.32
Number of goals
Santos
Under
Over
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
1
40%
4
10%
1
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
60%
6
90%
9
Total Goals
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
Number of goals
Santos
Under
Over
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
1
50%
5
10%
1
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
40%
4
70%
7
Double Chance
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
60%
6
30%
3
X2
50%
5
90%
9
Total Goals
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
0-1
70%
7
40%
4
2-3
10%
1
60%
6
4+
20%
2
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
1.82
xG
0.62
62%
Ball Possession
39%
16
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
11
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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