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Flamengo
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1
Santos
Santos vs Atletico-MG: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 11 April, 2026 18:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
5
Played
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(7 total)
xG
1.10
(5.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.4
(47 total)
Shots on Target
3
(32% acc)
Corners
5
(25 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.6
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(1 total)
Fouls
14.6
(73 total)
Offsides
2.4
(12 total)
5
Played
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(6 total)
xG
0.90
(4.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.2
(71 total)
Shots on Target
2.8
(20% acc)
Corners
5.6
(28 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.2
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.8
(54 total)
Offsides
1.8
(9 total)
10
Played
2
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(13 total)
xG
1.00
(9.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.8
(118 total)
Shots on Target
2.9
(25% acc)
Corners
5.3
(53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.7
(127 total)
Offsides
2.1
(21 total)
5
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(9 total)
xG
1.20
(6.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.6
(68 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(32% acc)
Corners
3.8
(19 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.8
(64 total)
Offsides
2.6
(13 total)
5
Played
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(5 total)
xG
1.00
(4.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.2
(61 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(31% acc)
Corners
5.6
(28 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(1 total)
Fouls
8.6
(43 total)
Offsides
1.6
(8 total)
10
Played
4
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(14 total)
xG
1.10
(11.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.9
(129 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(32% acc)
Corners
4.7
(47 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.7
(107 total)
Offsides
2.1
(21 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.36 vs 0.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.53%
⭐
0:1
9.02%
0:2
3.25%
0:3
0.78%
0:4
0.14%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
15.66%
🔥
⭐
1:1
12.66%
1:2
5.05%
1:3
1.33%
1:4
0.26%
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
9.79%
⭐
2:1
8.77%
2:2
3.85%
2:3
1.11%
2:4
0.24%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
4.08%
3:1
4.01%
3:2
1.93%
3:3
0.6%
3:4
0.14%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
1.27%
4:1
1.37%
4:2
0.71%
4:3
0.24%
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.32%
5:1
0.37%
5:2
0.21%
5:3
0.08%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (15.7%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Santos will take on Atletico-MG as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-04-11 at 2026-04-11 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Santos, and the visiting side, Atletico-MG. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Atletico-MG and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-11
Time: 23:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Santos vs Atletico-MG Saturday, Apr 11th, 2026 at 18:00 Football
AI Value Bets
5 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Santos vs Atletico-MG Football 11 Apr, 2026 18:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Chance Suppression
Santos rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Santos vs Atletico-MG.
🏆 Match Winner — Santos @ 2.35 ✅ 
Santos
UnbeatenH2H
Santos are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Efficient ScoringH2H
Santos efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Atletico-MG
Not WinH2H
Atletico-MG have not won in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Santos to win looks justified.
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.79 ⚠️ 
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
2 / 2100%
💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Santos Win or Draw @ 1.36 ✅ 
Santos
UnbeatenH2H
Santos are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Undefeated at HTH2H
Santos are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Atletico-MG
Not WinH2H
Atletico-MG have not won in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Santos to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Santos Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.39 ⚠️ 
Santos
Scored 1+Recent
Santos scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Santos's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Santos1 Trends — avg 2.6 (+3% above league)Many CardsH2H
Santos receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Atletico-MG1 Trends — avg 2.3 (-9% below league)Many CardsH2H
Atletico-MG receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 6.0 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
%
💡Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.75 ✅
Santos1 Trends — avg 5.8 (+16% above league)Few CornersH2H
Santos win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Atletico-MG2 Trends — avg 5.2 (+4% above league)Many CornersH2H
Atletico-MG win 6+ corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Corner DominanceH2H
Atletico-MG dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡High corner volume in recent matches - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.75 — value
🎯 Betting Analysis
Santos vs Atletico-MG
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Santos is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Santos
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Atletico-MG
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.08
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Santos - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Atletico-MG - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Santos - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Atletico-MG - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
10
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Santos excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 4 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Santos scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Atletico-MG has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Atletico-MG handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.086
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.05
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.053
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Santos):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Atletico-MG):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Santos vs Atletico-MG Head-to-head statistics for Sat 11 Apr, 2026 @ 18:00 Serie A BR
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : draw or Atletico-MG and -3.5 goals
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Santos
VS
Atletico-MG
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (3)
0.5 (1)
xG
1.80
1.10
Shots
11.5 (23)
16.5 (33)
Shots on Target
5 (10)
4.5 (9)
Corners
3 (6)
6.5 (13)
Defense
Conceded
0.5 (1)
1.5 (3)
xGa
1.10
1.80
Clean Sheets
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 (6)
2.5 (5)
Red Cards
0.5 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
13 (26)
15 (30)
Offsides
0 (0)
2.5 (5)
Last 6 Matches
Santos
VS
Atletico-MG
1/6 (17%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.00
PPG
2.00
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
0.67
67%
BTTS %
17%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.02
Avg xG
1.18
Santos vs Atletico-MG: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Santos and away matches for Atletico-MG
Number of goals
Santos
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Santos
Atletico-MG
Yes
80%
8
40%
4
No
20%
2
60%
6
1X2
Santos
Atletico-MG
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Santos
Atletico-MG
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Santos
Atletico-MG
0-1
10%
1
40%
4
2-3
60%
6
30%
3
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Santos
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Santos
Atletico-MG
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Santos
Atletico-MG
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
40%
4
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Santos
Atletico-MG
xG
0.99
1.1
xGa
1.22
1.13
Number of goals
Santos
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Santos
Atletico-MG
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
Santos
Atletico-MG
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
70%
7
40%
4
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Santos
Atletico-MG
12
30%
3
60%
6
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Santos
Atletico-MG
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Santos
Atletico-MG
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
Number of goals
Santos
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Santos
Atletico-MG
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
Santos
Atletico-MG
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
20%
2
60%
6
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Santos
Atletico-MG
12
80%
8
40%
4
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Santos
Atletico-MG
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
20%
2
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Santos
Atletico-MG
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1.28
xG
0.76
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
8
6
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found