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6 Dec 2025-15:30
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
12th place
- : -
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
15th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Santa Clara vs Casa Pia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 10:30

1×2 Prediction
Santa Clara
54%33%13%
Santa ClaraDrawCasa Pia
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
67%33%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
61%39%
NoYes
Team Total - Santa Clara
Under 1.5
61%39%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Casa Pia
Under 1.5
86%14%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Santa Clara/Draw
87%13%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Casa Pia +1.5
77%23%
Away +1.5NOT Away +1.5
Best Tip
Goals Over/Under -2.5
Odds: 1.47
67.5%
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ACCA Safe Tip High Safety
Asian Handicap Casa Pia +1.5
Odds: 1.28
76.8%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.35 vs 0.61
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
18.67%
0:1
6.18%
0:2
1.02%
0:3
0.11%
0:4
0.01%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
19.99%
🔥
1:1
11.83%
1:2
2.82%
1:3
0.41%
1:4
0.04%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
10.71%
2:1
9.12%
2:2
3.16%
2:3
0.61%
2:4
0.08%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
3.82%
3:1
4.25%
3:2
1.98%
3:3
0.51%
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
1.02%
4:1
1.41%
4:2
0.83%
4:3
0.27%
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.22%
5:1
0.36%
5:2
0.26%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (20.0%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

18.7%
0
26.2%
1
23.6%
2
15.9%
3
8.9%
4
4.3%
5
1.8%
6
0.6%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Santa Clara
vs
Casa Pia
Dec 6, 15:30
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
Rio Ave
w w l d d
>
12
2
7
3
15
20
-5
13
12
Santa Clara
l w l l d
>
12
3
3
6
10
14
-4
12
13
Nacional
w d l d l
>
12
3
3
6
12
17
-5
12
14
Estrela
l l w d l
>
12
2
5
5
13
18
-5
11
15
Casa Pia
d l l d l
>
12
2
3
7
13
26
-13
9
16
Tondela
l l d l w
>
12
2
3
7
7
20
-13
9
Last 6 Matches
Santa Clara
VS
Casa Pia
1/6 (17%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 4/6 (67%)
0.67 PPG 0.33
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.83
67% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.17 Avg xG 0.86
Santa Clara
L W L L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Rio Ave
1 1
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 20:30
Santa Clara
1 2
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Nov 2025 - 20:45
GIL Vicente
1 0
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Oct 2025 - 17:00
Santa Clara
2 0
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Oct 2025 - 19:30
Guimaraes
2 1
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Sep 2025 - 15:30
Santa Clara
1 2
Tondela
Casa Pia
D L L D L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
0 2
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 20:30
Benfica
2 2
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Casa Pia
3 5
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Oct 2025 - 20:30
SC Braga
4 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Oct 2025 - 19:15
Casa Pia
2 2
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Sep 2025 - 14:30
Moreirense
2 1
Casa Pia
55% Draw 11%
33% Over 2.5 67%
39% Both Teams Score 61%
2.15 xPTS 0.85
1.35 xG [Total: 1.96] 0.61
4 Yellow Cards [Total: 8] 4
4 Corners [Total: 8] 3
2 Offsides [Total: 4] 1
16 Fouls [Total: 31] 15
4 Shots on Goal [Total: 6] 2
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Santa Clara will take on Casa Pia as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 13 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous Estádio de São Miguel. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Santa Clara, and the visiting side, Casa Pia. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Santa Clara or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-06 Time: 15:30 Location: Estádio de São Miguel Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Santa Clara vs Casa Pia Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 10:30 Football

Value Bets

4 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Value
Correct Score 1:0
Odds: 5.44
19.9%
EV: +8.5% Kelly: $0.95
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Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.21
86.6%
EV: +4.8% Kelly: $11.40
Bet Now
Best Tip Value
Goals O/U Under 2.5
Odds: 1.50
67.5%
EV: +1.2% Kelly: $1.19
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-06 04:07:21
spinner

Trends for Santa Clara vs Casa Pia Football 6 Dec, 2025 10:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Santa Clara rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

🎯 Betting Analysis

Santa Clara vs Casa Pia

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Santa Clara

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.05
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Casa Pia

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Santa Clara - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Casa Pia - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Santa Clara - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2

✈️ Casa Pia - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Santa Clara has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Santa Clara handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.234
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.069
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.075

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Santa Clara):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Casa Pia):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Santa Clara
Casa Pia

Santa Clara vs Casa Pia Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 10:30 Primeira Liga

Santa Clara vs Casa Pia: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Santa Clara and away matches for Casa Pia

Number of goals

Number of goals
Santa Clara
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5

1X2

1X2
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
40% 4
60% 6

Double Chance

Double Chance
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
60% 6
40% 4
X2
70% 7
90% 9

Total Goals

Total Goals
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
0-1
30% 3
0% 0
2-3
70% 7
50% 5
4+
0% 0
50% 5

Total Corners

Total Corners
Santa Clara
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
30% 3
10% 1

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
xG
1.21
0.85
xGa
1.01
1.62

Number of goals

Number of goals
Santa Clara
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
80% 8
30% 3
2
10% 1
50% 5

Double Chance

Double Chance
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
12
20% 2
70% 7
1X
90% 9
50% 5
X2
90% 9
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
0-1
70% 7
40% 4
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7

Number of goals

Number of goals
Santa Clara
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
30% 3
60% 6

Double Chance

Double Chance
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
70% 7
40% 4
X2
70% 7
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Yes
60% 6
20% 2
No
40% 4
80% 8
Team comparison
Prediction
-2.5 goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
7.3%
Low
8.10
0.2%
Low
N/A
-2
15.3%
Low
7.20
0.9%
Low
N/A
-1.5
23.2%
Low
3.89
1.7%
Low
10.50
-1
38.8%
Low
2.90
6.5%
Low
10.25
-0.5
54.5%
Medium
1.92
11.4%
Low
4.90
+0.5
88.6%
High
1.20
45.5%
Low
2.02
+1
93.5%
High
1.03
61.2%
Medium
1.45
+1.5
98.3%
High
1.03
76.8%
High
1.29
+2
99.1%
High
N/A
84.7%
High
1.03
+2.5
99.8%
High
N/A
92.7%
High
1.02
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.539.08%Low2.50
Under 1.560.92%Medium1.59
AwayOver 1.512.52%Low5.50
Under 1.587.48%High1.17
HomeOver 2.515.46%Low6.00
Under 2.584.54%High1.16
AwayOver 2.52.41%Low19.00
Under 2.597.59%High1.03
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
1 Feb
- 15:30
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
1.87
xG
0.25
2
1
24 Aug
- 14:30
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0.79
xG
0.69
0
2
29 Jan
- 15:30
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
2
1
7 Aug
- 14:30
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
0
0
club logo
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Played: 4
Wins
2
Draws
1
Wins
1
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
5
1.3
Goals
0.8
3
3
0.8
Goals Conceded
1.3
5
12
3
Yellow Cards
3.5
14
1
0.3
Red Cards
0.3
1
2
0.5
Clean Sheets
0.3
1
16
4
Corners
5.8
23
66
16.5
Fouls
11.8
47
3
0.8
Offsides
0.8
3
37
9.3
Shots
11.3
45
16
4
Shots on Goal
3.8
15
Home Away All
Played 6 6 12
Wins 2 1 3
Draws 1 2 3
Losses 3 3 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1 6 0.7 4 0.8 10
Goals Conceded 1 6 1.3 8 1.2 14
Yellow Cards 3.3 20 2.5 15 2.9 35
Red Cards 0.3 2 0.2 1 0.3 3
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.2 1 0.3 3
Corners 4.7 28 3.5 21 4.1 49
Fouls 13.2 79 12.7 76 12.9 155
Offsides 1.8 11 1.7 10 1.8 21
Shots 12 72 10.8 65 11.4 137
Shots on Goal 3.7 22 3.7 22 3.7 44
Home Away All
Played 6 6 12
Wins 0 2 2
Draws 2 1 3
Losses 4 3 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1 6 1.2 7 1.1 13
Goals Conceded 2.3 14 2 12 2.2 26
Yellow Cards 2.7 16 3.5 21 3.1 37
Red Cards 0.2 1 0 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0 0.3 2 0.2 2
Corners 4 24 3.5 21 3.8 45
Fouls 14 84 14.5 87 14.3 171
Offsides 0.8 5 1.3 8 1.1 13
Shots 8.3 50 8.7 52 8.5 102
Shots on Goal 2.8 17 2.8 17 2.8 34
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