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Samsunspor
Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 12 March, 2026 12:45
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
17
Played
6
Wins
7
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(20 total)
xG
1.30
(22.9 total)
Shots per Match
13.2
(224 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(31% acc)
Corners
5.9
(101 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.60
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(53%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
14.3
(243 total)
Offsides
2.2
(38 total)
18
Played
6
Wins
6
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(23 total)
xG
1.10
(20.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.2
(202 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(32% acc)
Corners
4.7
(84 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.4
(241 total)
Offsides
1.6
(28 total)
35
Played
12
Wins
13
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(43 total)
xG
1.20
(43.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.2
(426 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(31% acc)
Corners
5.3
(185 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
14
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
13.8
(484 total)
Offsides
1.9
(66 total)
17
Played
8
Wins
7
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(27 total)
xG
1.40
(24.1 total)
Shots per Match
15.8
(269 total)
Shots on Target
5.8
(36% acc)
Corners
6.9
(117 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(47%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
11.2
(191 total)
Offsides
2.5
(42 total)
18
Played
5
Wins
4
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(18 total)
xG
1.00
(17.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.7
(211 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(31% acc)
Corners
5.2
(93 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(5 total)
Fouls
14.2
(255 total)
Offsides
1.8
(33 total)
35
Played
13
Wins
11
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(45 total)
xG
1.20
(41.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(480 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(34% acc)
Corners
6
(210 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(7 total)
Fouls
12.7
(446 total)
Offsides
2.1
(75 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.74 vs 0.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.94%
0:1
6.29%
0:2
1.91%
0:3
0.41%
0:4
0.07%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
14.85%
🔥
⭐
1:1
10.72%
1:2
4.1%
1:3
1%
1:4
0.18%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
11.23%
⭐
2:1
9.94%
⭐
2:2
4.23%
2:3
1.16%
2:4
0.23%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
5.8%
⭐
3:1
5.85%
⭐
3:2
2.81%
⭐
3:3
0.87%
3:4
0.19%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
2.25%
⭐
4:1
2.54%
⭐
4:2
1.37%
⭐
4:3
0.47%
⭐
4:4
0.12%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.7%
⭐
5:1
0.87%
⭐
5:2
0.52%
⭐
5:3
0.2%
⭐
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:0 (14.8%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase matchup, Samsunspor will take on Rayo Vallecano as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Conference League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-03-12 at 2026-03-12 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Samsunspor, and the visiting side, Rayo Vallecano. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Samsunspor or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-12
Time: 17:45
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Thursday, Mar 12th, 2026 at 12:45 Football
AI Value Bets
4 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Football 12 Mar, 2026 12:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 9 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Late Goals Expected
Both teams score in 2nd half consistently (Samsunspor 75%, Rayo Vallecano 75%) — expect late drama
-
Defensive Fortress
Samsunspor keep clean sheets in 75% of home games — hard to break down
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano.
🏆 Match Winner — Samsunspor @ 3.33 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsSamsunspor
Above League AverageLeague
Samsunspor score 2.75 goals/match at home (+101% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Samsunspor concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
Samsunspor efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 7 of their last 8 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — Samsunspor to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.05 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsSamsunspor1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
Samsunspor score well (2.75/match) but have strong defense at home (0.50 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 75% of matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsRayo Vallecano1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Rayo Vallecano score (1.50/match) and concede (1.25/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 47%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.88 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsSamsunspor1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Samsunspor score 2.75 goals/match at home (+101% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsRayo Vallecano1 TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
Rayo Vallecano rank 3 of 70 in scoring in away matches (1.50 goals/match vs league avg 2.74)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 465%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Teams average combined 2.8 goals per match • Defensive consistency suggests Under 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Samsunspor Win or Draw @ 1.67 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsSamsunspor
League Best DefenseLeague
Samsunspor concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 470%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Samsunspor demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Samsunspor Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.97 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsSamsunspor
Above League AverageLeague
Samsunspor score 2.75 goals/match at home (+101% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Samsunspor's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsSamsunspor1 Trends — avg 1.3 (-46% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Samsunspor average 1.2 cards/match in all matches (-46% below league avg 2.3) — rank #5 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.25 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsRayo Vallecano1 Trends — avg 6.8 (+51% above league)Many CornersLeague
Rayo Vallecano average 6.8 corners/match in away matches (+51% above league avg 4.5)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 485%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Rayo Vallecano drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.25
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Rayo Vallecano is stronger in the first half (15 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Samsunspor
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.12
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Rayo Vallecano
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Samsunspor - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Rayo Vallecano - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Samsunspor - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Rayo Vallecano - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
11
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Rayo Vallecano is stronger in the first half (15 vs 7)
- First Half Result: Consider Rayo Vallecano to win the first half
- Overall Result: Rayo Vallecano has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Rayo Vallecano handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.102
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.026
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Samsunspor):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Rayo Vallecano):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-head statistics for Thu 12 Mar, 2026 @ 12:45 UEFA Conference League
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Samsunspor or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Samsunspor
VS
Rayo Vallecano
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
0.00
PPG
0.00
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
33%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.51
Avg xG
1.24
Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Samsunspor and away matches for Rayo Vallecano
Number of goals
Samsunspor
Under
Over
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
30%
3
70%
7
No
70%
7
30%
3
1X2
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
50%
5
0%
0
2-3
20%
2
90%
9
4+
30%
3
10%
1
Total Corners
Samsunspor
Under
Over
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
60%
6
20%
2
No
40%
4
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
30%
3
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
xG
1.23
1.25
xGa
0.88
1.2
Number of goals
Samsunspor
Under
Over
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
1
20%
2
50%
5
X
60%
6
10%
1
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
12
40%
4
90%
9
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
80%
8
50%
5
Total Goals
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
Number of goals
Samsunspor
Under
Over
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1.43
xG
0.84
57%
Ball Possession
43%
11
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
3
Rayo Vallecano Talent Attracting Interest from Multiple Premier League Teams