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Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 18
Preview
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
11th place
Form
VS
20:30
17 Jan 2026
Benfica
Benfica
3rd place
Form
AI Prediction Benfica to Win
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Rio Ave vs Benfica: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 14:30

Winner (1x2)1.34
Benfica to Win
Probability 78%
Total Goals1.72
Over 2.5
Probability 63%
Both Teams to Score1.80
No (NG)
Probability 51%
Rio Ave Total1.17
Home Under 1.5
Probability 83%
Benfica Total1.44
Away Over 1.5
Probability 73%
Double Chance1.09
Draw/Benfica
Probability 93%
Asian Handicap1.50
Benfica -0.5
Probability 79%
Best Tip
Value
Match Winner Benfica to Win
Odds 1.34
Win Prob. 78.5% EV: +5.1%
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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
20:30
Rio Ave W 7%
:
Benfica W 78%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Rio Ave
w l d l w
8 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (10 total)
xG
1.20 (9.7 total)
Shots per Match
9 (72 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (46% acc)
Corners
3.8 (30 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.4 (3 total)
Fouls
11.5 (92 total)
Offsides
1 (8 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
5 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (12 total)
xG
0.90 (7.7 total)
Shots per Match
9 (81 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (40% acc)
Corners
3.8 (34 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.7 (132 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
17 Played
4 Wins
8 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (22 total)
xG
1.00 (17.4 total)
Shots per Match
9 (153 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (42% acc)
Corners
3.8 (64 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (4 total)
Fouls
13.2 (224 total)
Offsides
1.3 (22 total)
Benfica
w w w d w
14 Played
8 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (26 total)
xG
1.60 (22.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.9 (222 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (34% acc)
Corners
5.9 (83 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.1 (156 total)
Offsides
2.1 (30 total)
13 Played
8 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (21 total)
xG
1.10 (14.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (167 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (35% acc)
Corners
4.7 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (62%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
12 (156 total)
Offsides
1 (13 total)
27 Played
16 Wins
7 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (47 total)
xG
1.30 (36.4 total)
Shots per Match
14.4 (389 total)
Shots on Target
5 (34% acc)
Corners
5.3 (144 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
14 (52%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.6 (312 total)
Offsides
1.6 (43 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.74 vs 2.60
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.68%
0:1
11.1%
0:2
13.17%
🔥
0:3
10.41%
0:4
6.18%
0:5
2.93%
1
1:0
2.4%
1:1
6.75%
1:2
9.27%
1:3
8.33%
1:4
5.53%
1:5
2.91%
2
2:0
0.61%
2:1
2%
2:2
3.14%
2:3
3.19%
2:4
2.37%
2:5
1.37%
3
3:0
0.1%
3:1
0.39%
3:2
0.69%
3:3
0.78%
3:4
0.65%
3:5
0.41%
4
4:0
0.01%
4:1
0.06%
4:2
0.11%
4:3
0.14%
4:4
0.13%
4:5
0.09%
5
5:0
0%
5:1
0.01%
5:2
0.01%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 0:2 (13.2%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.7%
0
13.5%
1
20.5%
2
21.8%
3
18.1%
4
12.4%
5
6.2%
6
2.2%
7
0.6%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Rio AveHDPBenfica
0.2%
Very Low
-2.5
32.7%
@ 3.37Low
0.7%
Very Low
-2
44.3%
@ 2.65Medium
1.3%
Very Low
-1.5
55.9%
@ 1.96Medium
3.8%
Very Low
-1
67.4%
@ 1.48High
6.3%
Very Low
-0.5
79.0%
@ 1.50High
21.0%
Low@ 3.45
+0.5
93.7%
Very High
32.6%
Low@ 2.75
+1
96.2%
Very High
44.1%
Medium@ 2.00
+1.5
98.7%
Very High
55.7%
Medium@ 1.52
+2
99.3%
Very High
67.3%
High@ 1.45
+2.5
99.8%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Rio AveOutcomeBenfica
52.3%
Medium@ 2.05
Over 0.5
92.6%
@ 1.08Very High
47.7%
Medium@ 1.91
Under 0.5
7.4%
@ 9.00Very Low
17.0%
Very Low@ 6.00
Over 1.5
73.3%
@ 1.44High
83.0%
Very High@ 1.15
Under 1.5
26.7%
@ 2.88Low
3.9%
Very Low@ 21.00
Over 2.5
48.2%
@ 2.36Medium
96.1%
Very High@ 1.02
Under 2.5
51.8%
@ 1.62Medium
0.7%
Very Low
Over 3.5
26.4%
@ 4.35Low
99.3%
Very High
Under 3.5
73.6%
@ 1.22High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Rio Ave will take on Benfica as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Rio Ave, and the visiting side, Benfica. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Benfica. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-17 Time: 20:30 Location: Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Rio Ave vs Benfica Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 14:30 Football

AI Value Bets
5 Found

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Goals O/U Over 2.5
Value
Prob: 63.4%
EV: +10.3%
Stake: $3.38
1.74
Premium Tip Benfica Over 1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Total Away Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 73.3%
EV: +5.5%
Stake: $5.68
1.44
Match Winner Benfica
Value
Prob: 78.5%
EV: +4.3%
Stake: $7.58
1.33
Asian Handicap Benfica -1
Value
Prob: 67.4%
EV: +1.1%
Stake: $5.00
1.50
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 02:37:16
spinner

Trends for Rio Ave vs Benfica Football 17 Jan, 2026 14:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Benfica have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Benfica rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Rio Ave vs Benfica

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Rio Ave is stronger in the second half (15 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Rio Ave is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Rio Ave

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Benfica

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.02
Pressure
0.04

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Rio Ave - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Benfica - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Rio Ave - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Benfica - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
9

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Rio Ave shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 8 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Rio Ave winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Rio Ave excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Rio Ave scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Benfica has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Benfica handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.24
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.074
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Rio Ave):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Benfica):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Rio Ave
Benfica

Rio Ave vs Benfica Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 14:30 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
Sporting CP
d w w w d
>
17
13
3
1
47
9
38
42
3
Benfica
d w w d w
>
17
11
6
0
36
11
25
39
4
GIL Vicente
d d d d d
>
17
7
7
3
22
12
10
28

10
Alverca
w l l l w
>
17
6
2
9
17
27
-10
20
11
Rio Ave
w l d l w
>
17
4
8
5
22
29
-7
20
12
Estrela
w l d w d
>
17
4
7
6
23
27
-4
19
Team comparison
Prediction
Benfica to Win
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: +1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Rio Ave
VS
Benfica
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
2 Draws
5 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (7)
2.7 (19)
xG
0.50
3.30
Shots
7.7 (54)
20.4 (143)
Shots on Target
2.6 (18)
9 (63)
Corners
2.6 (18)
8.1 (57)
Defense
Conceded
2.7 (19)
1 (7)
xGa
3.30
0.50
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 (16)
1.7 (12)
Red Cards
0.3 (2)
0 (0)
Fouls
12.4 (87)
11.9 (83)
Offsides
1.3 (9)
2.1 (15)
23 Sep
- 19:15
Benfica
Rio Ave
2.63
xG
0.15
1
1
Prob 79%
Goals Total Over 2.5
Odd 1.43
16 Mar
- 18:00
Rio Ave
Benfica
1.29
xG
4.81
2
3
27 Oct
- 18:00
Benfica
Rio Ave
2.38
xG
0.19
5
0
17 May
- 19:45
Rio Ave
Benfica
1
1
14 Jan
- 18:00
Benfica
Rio Ave
4
1
2 Apr
- 17:00
Rio Ave
Benfica
0
1
8 Oct
- 17:00
Benfica
Rio Ave
4
2
Last 6 Matches
Rio Ave
VS
Benfica
2/6 (33%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.33 PPG 2.33
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
67% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.23 Avg xG 1.48
Rio Ave
W L D L W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Rio Ave
3 1
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Sporting CP
4 0
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 18:00
GIL Vicente
2 2
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Rio Ave
0 1
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 18:00
AVS
1 2
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Rio Ave
1 1
Santa Clara
Benfica
W W W D W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Benfica
3 1
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 18:00
SC Braga
2 2
Benfica
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Dec 2025 - 20:45
Benfica
1 0
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Moreirense
0 4
Benfica
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
10 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Benfica
2 0
Napoli
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Benfica
1 1
Sporting CP

Rio Ave vs Benfica: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Rio Ave and away matches for Benfica

Number of goals
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Benfica
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Rio Ave
Benfica
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
1X2
Rio Ave
Benfica
1
40% 4
60% 6
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
Rio Ave
Benfica
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
60% 6
40% 4
Total Goals
Rio Ave
Benfica
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
40% 4
40% 4
Total Corners
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Benfica
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave
Benfica
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Rio Ave
Benfica
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Rio Ave
Benfica
xG
1.1
1.59
xGa
1.55
0.79
Number of goals
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Benfica
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Rio Ave
Benfica
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Rio Ave
Benfica
1
30% 3
60% 6
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
40% 4
10% 1
Double Chance
Rio Ave
Benfica
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
70% 7
40% 4
Total Goals
Rio Ave
Benfica
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave
Benfica
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3
Number of goals
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Benfica
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Rio Ave
Benfica
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Rio Ave
Benfica
1
30% 3
60% 6
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Rio Ave
Benfica
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
70% 7
40% 4
Total Goals
Rio Ave
Benfica
0-1
40% 4
70% 7
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave
Benfica
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3
0.55 xG 1.99
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
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