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Rio Ave
Rio Ave vs Arouca: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 31 January, 2026 12:00
Prediction League
9
Played
2
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(10 total)
xG
1.10
(9.9 total)
Shots per Match
8.8
(79 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(43% acc)
Corners
3.6
(32 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
11.6
(104 total)
Offsides
1.1
(10 total)
10
Played
2
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(12 total)
xG
0.80
(8.1 total)
Shots per Match
9.2
(92 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(41% acc)
Corners
3.9
(39 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.8
(138 total)
Offsides
2
(20 total)
19
Played
4
Wins
8
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(22 total)
xG
1.00
(18.1 total)
Shots per Match
9
(171 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(42% acc)
Corners
3.7
(71 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
12.7
(242 total)
Offsides
1.6
(30 total)
10
Played
2
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(11 total)
xG
0.80
(8.1 total)
Shots per Match
9.8
(98 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(35% acc)
Corners
4.4
(44 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
13.9
(139 total)
Offsides
0.8
(8 total)
9
Played
2
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(9 total)
xG
0.60
(5.6 total)
Shots per Match
9.4
(85 total)
Shots on Target
2.4
(26% acc)
Corners
3.3
(30 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.6
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.4
(4 total)
Fouls
13
(117 total)
Offsides
1.3
(12 total)
19
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(20 total)
xG
0.70
(13.6 total)
Shots per Match
9.6
(183 total)
Shots on Target
2.9
(31% acc)
Corners
3.9
(74 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(6 total)
Fouls
13.5
(256 total)
Offsides
1.1
(20 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.51 vs 1.12
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.16%
⭐
0:1
7.95%
0:2
3.11%
0:3
0.81%
0:4
0.16%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
11.91%
1:1
12.75%
🔥
1:2
6.33%
1:3
2%
1:4
0.46%
1:5
0.08%
2
2:0
6.98%
2:1
9.48%
2:2
5.86%
2:3
2.24%
2:4
0.61%
2:5
0.13%
3
3:0
2.73%
3:1
4.49%
3:2
3.36%
⭐
3:3
1.54%
⭐
3:4
0.49%
⭐
3:5
0.12%
⭐
4
4:0
0.8%
4:1
1.55%
⭐
4:2
1.36%
⭐
4:3
0.73%
⭐
4:4
0.27%
⭐
4:5
0.08%
5
5:0
0.19%
5:1
0.42%
⭐
5:2
0.42%
⭐
5:3
0.26%
⭐
5:4
0.11%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.8%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Rio Ave will take on Arouca as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 20 and will take place on 2026-01-31 at 2026-01-31 in the famous Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Rio Ave, and the visiting side, Arouca. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Rio Ave or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-31
Time: 18:00
Location: Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Rio Ave vs Arouca Saturday, Jan 31st, 2026 at 12:00 Football
AI Value Bets
2 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Rio Ave vs Arouca Football 31 Jan, 2026 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
Comprehensive betting trends for Rio Ave vs Arouca, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Rio Ave @ 2.56 ✅ 
Rio Ave
- UnbeatenH2H7/7100%Rio Ave are unbeaten in their last 7 7 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H7/7100%Rio Ave efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 7 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches
Arouca
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Arouca have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Rio Ave to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.80 
Arouca(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/757%Arouca score (1.00/match) and concede (2.86/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 57% of matches (league avg: 44%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.83 ⚠️ 
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H5/771.4%Under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 H2H matches (71.4%%)
Tactical battle expected with limited scoring
🛡️ Double Chance — Rio Ave Win or Draw @ 1.40 ✅ 
Rio Ave
- UnbeatenH2H7/7100%Rio Ave are unbeaten in their last 7 7 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H6/786%Rio Ave are undefeated at half time in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches
Arouca
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Arouca have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Rio Ave to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Rio Ave Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.50 ⚠️ 
Rio Ave
- Scored 1+Recent7/7100%Rio Ave scored 1+ goals in their last 7 7 matches
Rio Ave's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Rio Ave(2 trends) — avg 2.5 (-7% below league)
- High Card MatchesLeague15/1584.5%Rio Ave average 3.1 cards/match in all matches (+13% above league avg 2.7) — rank #3 in league
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Rio Ave receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Arouca(1 trends) — avg 2.9 (+8% above league)
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.6 cards per match in their last 7 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.98 ✅ 
Rio Ave(2 trends) — avg 3.5 (-23% below league)
- Few CornersH2H6/786%Rio Ave win 4 or fewer corners in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches
- Few CornersLeague7/785%Rio Ave average 3.5 corners/match at home (-23% below league avg 4.6)
Arouca(1 trends) — avg 2.6 (-44% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/785%Arouca average 2.6 corners/match in away matches (-44% below league avg 4.6)
Combined average: 6.1 corners/match (Rio Ave 3.5 + Arouca 2.6) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+10 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Rio Ave vs Arouca
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Arouca is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (14 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (14 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Rio Ave
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Arouca
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Rio Ave - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Arouca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Rio Ave - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Arouca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Arouca often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Arouca scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (14 vs 7)
- First Half Result: Consider Arouca to win the first half
- Overall Result: Rio Ave has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Rio Ave handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.192
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.077
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Rio Ave):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Arouca):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Rio Ave vs Arouca Head-to-head statistics for Sat 31 Jan, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
▲
5
5
9
26
28
-2
20
12
▼
4
8
7
22
35
-13
20
13
▼
4
7
8
23
36
-13
19
14
4
5
10
14
21
-7
17
15
▼
4
5
10
20
44
-24
17
16
3
6
10
20
38
-18
15
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Rio Ave or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Rio Ave
VS
Arouca
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
4
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (10)
1 (7)
xG
1.30
1.00
Shots
11.3 (79)
14.4 (101)
Shots on Target
5 (35)
3.4 (24)
Corners
4 (28)
6.1 (43)
Defense
Conceded
1 (7)
1.4 (10)
xGa
1.00
1.30
Clean Sheets
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 (20)
2.6 (18)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
14.6 (102)
15.3 (107)
Offsides
3.6 (25)
2 (14)
Last 6 Matches
Rio Ave
VS
Arouca
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.67
PPG
1.33
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
2.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
33%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.64
Avg xG
1.08
Rio Ave vs Arouca: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Rio Ave and away matches for Arouca
Number of goals
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Rio Ave
Arouca
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
Rio Ave
Arouca
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
50%
5
60%
6
Double Chance
Rio Ave
Arouca
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
50%
5
40%
4
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Rio Ave
Arouca
0-1
10%
1
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
50%
5
50%
5
Total Corners
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave
Arouca
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Rio Ave
Arouca
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
50%
5
50%
5
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Rio Ave
Arouca
xG
0.88
0.84
xGa
1.8
1.29
Number of goals
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Rio Ave
Arouca
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Rio Ave
Arouca
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
50%
5
50%
5
Double Chance
Rio Ave
Arouca
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
50%
5
50%
5
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Rio Ave
Arouca
0-1
60%
6
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave
Arouca
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
Number of goals
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Rio Ave
Arouca
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
Rio Ave
Arouca
1
10%
1
10%
1
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Rio Ave
Arouca
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
90%
9
90%
9
Total Goals
Rio Ave
Arouca
0-1
40%
4
70%
7
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave
Arouca
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1.46
xG
1.01
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
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