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Form
Form
La Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 21
Preview
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
11th place
Form
VS
17:30
25 Jan 2026
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
7th place
Form
AI Prediction Celta Vigo AH+1
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 25 January, 2026 11:30

Winner (1x2)3.80
Celta Vigo to Win
Probability 53%
Total Goals2.08
Over 2.5
Probability 54%
Both Teams to Score1.84
Yes
Probability 57%
Real Sociedad Total1.21
Home Under 2.5
Probability 90%
Celta Vigo Total3.40
Away Over 1.5
Probability 54%
Double Chance1.82
Draw/Celta Vigo
Probability 79%
Asian Handicap1.26
Celta Vigo +1.5
Probability 94%
Best Tip
Value
Asian Handicap Celta Vigo +1
Odds 1.42
Win Prob. 86.7% EV: +23.1%
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Prediction League
La Liga 2025-2026
17:30
Real Sociedad W 21%
:
Celta Vigo W 53%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Real Sociedad
l l d d w
9 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (13 total)
xG
1.30 (11.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.3 (120 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (37% acc)
Corners
6.6 (59 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
15.6 (140 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
10 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (11 total)
xG
1.10 (11.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.7 (137 total)
Shots on Target
4.8 (35% acc)
Corners
5.9 (59 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
14.7 (147 total)
Offsides
2.8 (28 total)
19 Played
5 Wins
6 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (24 total)
xG
1.20 (22.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.5 (257 total)
Shots on Target
4.8 (36% acc)
Corners
6.2 (118 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (5%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
15.1 (287 total)
Offsides
2.2 (42 total)
Celta Vigo
l w d w w
13 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (19 total)
xG
1.20 (16.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (151 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (35% acc)
Corners
4.3 (56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.2 (146 total)
Offsides
1.9 (25 total)
12 Played
6 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (18 total)
xG
1.20 (14.3 total)
Shots per Match
9.5 (114 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (40% acc)
Corners
3.1 (37 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.8 (153 total)
Offsides
1.6 (19 total)
25 Played
10 Wins
8 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (37 total)
xG
1.20 (30.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.6 (265 total)
Shots on Target
4 (37% acc)
Corners
3.7 (93 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
12 (299 total)
Offsides
1.8 (44 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.01 vs 1.75
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.94%
0:1
12.17%
🔥
0:2
9.33%
0:3
4.77%
0:4
1.83%
0:5
0.56%
1
1:0
6.3%
1:1
11.38%
1:2
10.04%
1:3
5.81%
1:4
2.48%
1:5
0.84%
2
2:0
2.5%
2:1
5.19%
2:2
5.22%
2:3
3.39%
2:4
1.61%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
0.66%
3:1
1.55%
3:2
1.75%
3:3
1.27%
3:4
0.67%
3:5
0.28%
4
4:0
0.13%
4:1
0.34%
4:2
0.43%
4:3
0.35%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.09%
5
5:0
0.02%
5:1
0.06%
5:2
0.08%
5:3
0.07%
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 0:1 (12.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

7.9%
0
18.5%
1
23.2%
2
20.7%
3
14.5%
4
8.6%
5
4.2%
6
1.7%
7
0.6%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Real SociedadHDPCelta Vigo
1.3%
Very Low@ 7.70
-2.5
11.8%
@ 15.00Very Low
3.6%
Very Low@ 7.00
-2
20.3%
Low
5.9%
Very Low@ 4.00
-1.5
28.7%
@ 8.10Low
12.6%
Very Low@ 3.08
-1
41.8%
@ 7.30Medium
19.4%
Very Low@ 2.05
-0.5
54.8%
@ 3.81Medium
45.1%
Medium@ 1.32
+0.5
80.6%
@ 1.87Very High
58.2%
Medium@ 1.10
+1
87.4%
@ 1.42Very High
71.3%
High@ 1.06
+1.5
94.1%
@ 1.26Very High
79.7%
High
+2
96.4%
@ 1.10Very High
88.2%
Very High@ 1.01
+2.5
98.7%
@ 1.02Very High

Team Total Predictions

Real SociedadOutcomeCelta Vigo
63.6%
High@ 1.25
Over 0.5
82.6%
@ 1.49Very High
36.4%
Low@ 4.20
Under 0.5
17.4%
@ 2.75Very Low
26.8%
Low@ 2.14
Over 1.5
52.2%
@ 3.40Medium
73.2%
High@ 1.76
Under 1.5
47.8%
@ 1.35Medium
8.2%
Very Low@ 4.80
Over 2.5
25.6%
@ 10.00Low
91.8%
Very High@ 1.21
Under 2.5
74.4%
@ 1.07High
2.0%
Very Low@ 11.00
Over 3.5
10.1%
@ 29.00Very Low
98.0%
Very High@ 1.06
Under 3.5
89.9%
@ 1.01Very High
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Real Sociedad will take on Celta Vigo as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-01-25 at 2026-01-25 in the famous Reale Arena. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Real Sociedad, and the visiting side, Celta Vigo. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Celta Vigo. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-25 Time: 17:30 Location: Reale Arena Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Sunday, Jan 25th, 2026 at 11:30 Football

AI Value Bets
9 Found

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Match Winner Celta Vigo
High Value
Prob: 53.1%
EV: +107.1%
Stake: $0.86
3.90
Premium Tip X2
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Double Chance X2
High Value
Prob: 78.6%
EV: +43.1%
Stake: $3.05
1.82
Asian Handicap Celta Vigo +1
High Value
Prob: 86.7%
EV: +23.1%
Stake: $5.95
1.42
Home Total Real Sociedad Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 70.3%
EV: +21.6%
Stake: $3.42
1.73
Total Home Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 70.3%
EV: +21.6%
Stake: $3.42
1.73
Asian Handicap Celta Vigo +1.5
High Value
Prob: 93.6%
EV: +17.9%
Stake: $9.62
1.26
Win to Nil Real Sociedad NOT Win to Nil
High Value
Prob: 90.9%
EV: +16.3%
Stake: $8.93
1.28
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 57.3%
EV: +5.3%
Stake: $2.98
1.84
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 02:28:14
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Trends for Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Football 25 Jan, 2026 11:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Celta Vigo have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Real Sociedad is stronger in the second half (13 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Real Sociedad is stronger in the final minutes (5 vs 2).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Real Sociedad

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.05

✈️ Celta Vigo

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.04

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Real Sociedad - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Celta Vigo - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Real Sociedad - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Celta Vigo - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Real Sociedad shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 6 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Real Sociedad winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Real Sociedad excels in the closing minutes (5 vs 2 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Real Sociedad scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Celta Vigo has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Celta Vigo handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.024
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.003
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Real Sociedad):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Celta Vigo):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Head-to-head statistics for Sun 25 Jan, 2026 @ 11:30 La Liga

La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
Real Betis
l d w l d
>
19
7
8
4
31
25
6
29
7
Celta Vigo
w w d w w
>
19
7
8
4
25
20
5
29
8
Athletic Club
l w l l d
>
19
7
3
9
17
25
-8
24

10
Rayo Vallecano
l d l d w
>
19
5
7
7
16
22
-6
22
11
Real Sociedad
l l d d w
>
19
5
6
8
24
27
-3
21
12
Getafe
l l l d l
>
19
6
3
10
15
25
-10
21
Team comparison
Prediction
Celta Vigo AH+1
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Real Sociedad
VS
Celta Vigo
Last 11 Head-to-Head Matches
6 Wins
3 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (15)
0.8 (9)
xG
1.20
1.10
Shots
10.1 (111)
9.9 (109)
Shots on Target
3.9 (43)
3.3 (36)
Corners
6.3 (69)
4 (44)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 (9)
1.4 (15)
xGa
1.10
1.20
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.4 (37)
2.5 (28)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.4 (4)
Fouls
15.1 (166)
14.1 (155)
Offsides
2.2 (24)
2.3 (25)
19 Oct
- 14:15
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
0.95
xG
1.54
1
1
Prob 76%
Away Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.41
13 May
- 18:00
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
1.69
xG
1.10
0
1
Prob 80%
Double Chance X2
Odd 1.65
21 Dec
- 15:15
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
1.21
xG
0.32
2
0
20 Jan
- 20:00
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
0
1
19 Aug
- 15:00
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
1
1
18 Feb
- 13:00
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
1
1
16 Oct
- 12:00
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
1
2
8 Jan
- 15:15
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
1
0
28 Oct
- 17:00
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
0
2
22 Apr
- 19:00
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
2
1
Last 6 Matches
Real Sociedad
VS
Celta Vigo
1/6 (17%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
0.83 PPG 2.17
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 0.50
83% BTTS % 33%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.11 Avg xG 1.18
Real Sociedad
L L D D W
La Liga 2025-2026
9 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Getafe
1 2
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2025-2026
4 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Real Sociedad
1 1
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 15:15
Levante
1 1
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2025-2026
12 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Real Sociedad
1 2
Girona
La Liga 2025-2026
6 Dec 2025 - 15:15
Alaves
1 0
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 13:00
Real Sociedad
2 3
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
L W D W W
La Liga 2025-2026
12 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Sevilla
0 1
Celta Vigo
La Liga 2025-2026
3 Jan 2026 - 13:00
Celta Vigo
4 1
Valencia
La Liga 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 13:00
Oviedo
0 0
Celta Vigo
La Liga 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 15:15
Celta Vigo
2 0
Athletic Club
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Celta Vigo
1 2
Bologna
La Liga 2025-2026
7 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Real Madrid
0 2
Celta Vigo

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Real Sociedad and away matches for Celta Vigo

Number of goals
Real Sociedad
Under
Over
Celta Vigo
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
Yes
90% 9
40% 4
No
10% 1
60% 6
1X2
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
1
40% 4
50% 5
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
60% 6
50% 5
Total Goals
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
0-1
10% 1
40% 4
2-3
60% 6
30% 3
4+
30% 3
30% 3
Total Corners
Real Sociedad
Under
Over
Celta Vigo
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
Yes
0% 0
50% 5
No
100% 10
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
40% 4
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
xG
1.14
1.17
xGa
0.98
1.55
Number of goals
Real Sociedad
Under
Over
Celta Vigo
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
0-1
80% 8
90% 9
2-3
20% 2
0% 0
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
Yes
50% 5
80% 8
No
50% 5
20% 2
Number of goals
Real Sociedad
Under
Over
Celta Vigo
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
Yes
50% 5
20% 2
No
50% 5
80% 8
1X2
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
60% 6
20% 2
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
12
40% 4
80% 8
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
80% 8
50% 5
Total Goals
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
0-1
30% 3
50% 5
2-3
60% 6
30% 3
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1.21 xG 1.87
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
Arsenal, Liverpool, and Manchester City: Martin Zubimendi's January Transfer Decision Unveiled After Significant Change of Plans
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