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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 1 February, 2026 11:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
12
1
2
42
17
25
37
2
11
3
1
32
13
19
36
3
10
2
2
29
13
16
32
8
6
2
7
14
20
-6
20
9
4
5
5
13
15
-2
17
10
4
4
6
19
21
-2
16
Last 6 Matches
Real Madrid
VS
Rayo Vallecano
2/6 (33%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.00
PPG
1.50
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
50%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.72
Avg xG
1.26
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.90
xG [Total: 2.74]
0.84
1
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
3
9
Corners [Total: 15]
6
1
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
9
Fouls [Total: 24]
15
8
Shots on Goal [Total: 12]
4
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Real Madrid will take on Rayo Vallecano as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 22 and will take place on 2026-02-01 at 2026-02-01 in the famous Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Real Madrid, and the visiting side, Rayo Vallecano. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-01
Time: 17:00
Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Football 1 Feb, 2026 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Real Madrid have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Real Madrid create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Real Madrid(12 trends)
- High xG PerformanceH2H9/9100%Real Madrid create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 9 of their last 9 La Liga matches vs Rayo Vallecano
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/989%Real Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 9 La Liga matches vs Rayo Vallecano
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Real Madrid score 2.33 goals/match at home (+80% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Real Madrid are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%Real Madrid rank 2 of 20 in scoring at home (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.59)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Real Madrid concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent14/14100%Real Madrid create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
- High ScoringRecent14/14100%Real Madrid score 2+ goals per match in 14 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%Real Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent30/30100%Real Madrid create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 La Liga matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Real Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 La Liga matches
- High ScoringRecent23/3077%Real Madrid score 2+ goals per match in 23 of their last 30 La Liga matches
Rayo Vallecano(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H8/989%Rayo Vallecano have not won in 8 of their last 9 La Liga matches vs Real Madrid
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Real Madrid(7 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/989%Real Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 9 La Liga matches vs Rayo Vallecano
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Real Madrid score 2.33 goals/match at home (+80% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%Real Madrid rank 2 of 20 in scoring at home (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.59)
- High ScoringRecent14/14100%Real Madrid score 2+ goals per match in 14 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%Real Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Real Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 La Liga matches
- High ScoringRecent23/3077%Real Madrid score 2+ goals per match in 23 of their last 30 La Liga matches
Rayo Vallecano(2 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H7/978%Rayo Vallecano scored 0-1 goals in 7 of their last 9 La Liga matches vs Real Madrid
- Few GoalsRecent23/3077%Rayo Vallecano scored 0-1 goals in 23 of their last 30 La Liga matches
Combined 2.3 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Real Madrid(4 trends)
- Undefeated at HTH2H9/9100%Real Madrid are undefeated at half time in their last 9 9 matches vs Rayo Vallecano
- Top Table FormLeague70%Real Madrid are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Real Madrid concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent25/3083%Real Madrid are undefeated at half time in 25 of their last 30 La Liga matches
Rayo Vallecano(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H8/989%Rayo Vallecano have not won in 8 of their last 9 La Liga matches vs Real Madrid
⚡ Team Total Goals
Real Madrid(7 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H7/978%Real Madrid scored 1+ goals in 7 of their last 9 La Liga matches vs Rayo Vallecano
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Real Madrid score 2.33 goals/match at home (+80% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%Real Madrid rank 2 of 20 in scoring at home (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.59)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Real Madrid concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Scored 1+Recent14/14100%Real Madrid scored 1+ goals in their last 14 14 matches
- Defensive SolidarityRecent14/14100%Real Madrid rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 14 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent11/1479%Real Madrid score in second half in 11 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Real Madrid(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H7/978%Real Madrid receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 9 La Liga matches vs Rayo Vallecano
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%Real Madrid average 1.4 cards/match in all matches (-35% below league avg 2.1) — rank #1 lowest in league
Rayo Vallecano(1 trends)
- Many CardsH2H8/989%Rayo Vallecano receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 9 La Liga matches vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid disciplined play balances Rayo Vallecano aggression — • H2H average: 6 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Real Madrid(1 trends) — avg 6.3 (+30% above league)
- Many CornersLeague6/685%Real Madrid average 6.3 corners/match at home (+30% above league avg 4.9)
Moderate corner environment -
+12 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Real Madrid is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Real Madrid
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.09
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Rayo Vallecano
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Real Madrid - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Rayo Vallecano - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Real Madrid - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
8
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Rayo Vallecano - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Real Madrid is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Real Madrid to win the first half
- Overall Result: Real Madrid has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Real Madrid handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.494
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.042
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Real Madrid):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Rayo Vallecano):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-head statistics for Sun 1 Feb, 2026 @ 11:00 La Liga
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Real Madrid and away matches for Rayo Vallecano
Number of goals
Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
1
60%
6
40%
4
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
10%
1
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
90%
9
80%
8
X2
40%
4
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
30%
3
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
xG
2.15
1.23
xGa
1.06
1.02
Number of goals
Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
10%
1
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
90%
9
80%
8
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Number of goals
Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
10%
1
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Played:
9
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
13
1.4
Goals
1.1
10
10
1.1
Goals Conceded
1.4
13
21
2.3
Yellow Cards
3.4
31
2
0.2
Red Cards
0
3
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.2
2
58
6.4
Corners
4
36
81
9
Fouls
17.1
154
22
2.4
Offsides
1.1
10
131
14.6
Shots
14
126
43
4.8
Shots on Goal
4.4
40
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 9 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 5 | 11 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.3 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 2.1 | 32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 3 | 1.1 | 10 | 0.9 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.7 | 10 | 1.1 | 10 | 1.3 | 20 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 3 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.5 | 7 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 38 | 5.7 | 51 | 5.9 | 89 |
| Fouls | 11 | 66 | 10.1 | 91 | 10.5 | 157 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 11 | 1.7 | 15 | 1.7 | 26 |
| Shots | 19.8 | 119 | 18.6 | 167 | 19.1 | 286 |
| Shots on Goal | 7.5 | 45 | 6.6 | 59 | 6.9 | 104 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.7 | 4 | 1.1 | 9 | 0.9 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 4 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.1 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 13 | 2.1 | 17 | 2.1 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Corners | 8 | 48 | 5.1 | 41 | 6.4 | 89 |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 76 | 12.6 | 101 | 12.6 | 177 |
| Offsides | 2 | 12 | 1.6 | 13 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Shots | 15 | 90 | 10.9 | 87 | 12.6 | 177 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.2 | 31 | 3.4 | 27 | 4.1 | 58 |
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