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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 • First qualifying round
Preview
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
7th place
Form
VS
20:00
20 Jan 2026
Monaco
Monaco
19th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Real Madrid or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Real Madrid vs Monaco: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 20 January, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)1.32
Real Madrid to Win
Probability 70%
Total Goals1.38
Over 2.5
Probability 63%
Both Teams to Score1.75
Yes
Probability 57%
Real Madrid Total1.28
Home Over 1.5
Probability 69%
Monaco Total1.26
Away Under 1.5
Probability 75%
Double Chance1.08
Real Madrid/Draw
Probability 88%
Asian Handicap1.27
Real Madrid -0.5
Probability 70%
Best Tip
Value
Asian Handicap Monaco +2.5
Odds 1.47
Win Prob. 73.9% EV: +8.6%
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Prediction League
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
20:00
Real Madrid W 70%
:
Monaco W 12%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Real Madrid
l l w w w
12 Played
10 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (25 total)
xG
2.40 (29.4 total)
Shots per Match
20.7 (248 total)
Shots on Target
7.8 (38% acc)
Corners
6.8 (81 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
10.5 (126 total)
Offsides
1.5 (18 total)
13 Played
8 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (29 total)
xG
1.90 (25.3 total)
Shots per Match
16.8 (218 total)
Shots on Target
6.2 (37% acc)
Corners
5.3 (69 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.9 (129 total)
Offsides
1.5 (19 total)
25 Played
18 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (54 total)
xG
2.20 (54.6 total)
Shots per Match
18.6 (466 total)
Shots on Target
7 (38% acc)
Corners
6 (150 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (4 total)
Fouls
10.2 (255 total)
Offsides
1.5 (37 total)
Monaco
w l w l l
12 Played
6 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (20 total)
xG
2.00 (23.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.6 (163 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (32% acc)
Corners
5.1 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
12.3 (148 total)
Offsides
2.5 (30 total)
11 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (14 total)
xG
1.30 (14.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (123 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (33% acc)
Corners
4.4 (48 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.90 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
12.8 (141 total)
Offsides
1.6 (18 total)
23 Played
9 Wins
5 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (34 total)
xG
1.70 (38.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.4 (286 total)
Shots on Target
4 (32% acc)
Corners
4.7 (109 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (5 total)
Fouls
12.6 (289 total)
Offsides
2.1 (48 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.41 vs 0.95
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.05%
0:1
3.38%
0:2
1.41%
0:3
0.39%
0:4
0.08%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
9.29%
1:1
8.22%
1:2
3.62%
1:3
1.06%
1:4
0.23%
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
10.65%
🔥
2:1
9.96%
2:2
4.63%
2:3
1.43%
2:4
0.33%
2:5
0.06%
3
3:0
8.15%
3:1
8.03%
3:2
3.93%
3:3
1.27%
3:4
0.31%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
4.67%
4:1
4.84%
4:2
2.48%
4:3
0.84%
4:4
0.21%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
2.15%
5:1
2.33%
5:2
1.25%
5:3
0.44%
5:4
0.12%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 2:0 (10.7%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.0%
0
12.7%
1
20.3%
2
22.1%
3
18.5%
4
12.6%
5
6.5%
6
2.5%
7
0.7%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Real MadridHDPMonaco
26.1%
Low@ 2.83
-2.5
0.8%
Very Low
36.5%
Low@ 2.24
-2
2.2%
Very Low
46.9%
Medium@ 1.82
-1.5
3.6%
@ 15.00Very Low
58.6%
Medium@ 1.40
-1
7.8%
@ 17.00Very Low
70.2%
High@ 1.27
-0.5
12.0%
@ 6.50Very Low
87.9%
Very High@ 1.07
+0.5
29.8%
@ 3.55Low
92.2%
Very High@ 1.01
+1
41.4%
@ 3.09Medium
96.4%
Very High@ 1.01
+1.5
53.0%
@ 2.14Medium
97.8%
Very High
+2
63.5%
@ 1.70High
99.2%
Very High
+2.5
73.9%
@ 1.47High

Team Total Predictions

Real MadridOutcomeMonaco
91.0%
Very High@ 1.05
Over 0.5
61.3%
@ 1.62High
9.0%
Very Low@ 12.00
Under 0.5
38.7%
@ 2.39Low
69.4%
High@ 1.28
Over 1.5
24.6%
@ 4.00Low
30.6%
Low@ 3.75
Under 1.5
75.4%
@ 1.26High
43.3%
Medium@ 1.86
Over 2.5
7.1%
@ 13.00Very Low
56.7%
Medium@ 1.95
Under 2.5
92.9%
@ 1.05Very High
22.3%
Low@ 3.25
Over 3.5
1.6%
@ 41.00Very Low
77.7%
High@ 1.36
Under 3.5
98.4%
@ 1.01Very High
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Real Madrid will take on Monaco as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-20 at 2026-01-20 in the famous Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Real Madrid, and the visiting side, Monaco. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Real Madrid or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-20 Time: 20:00 Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Real Madrid vs Monaco Tuesday, Jan 20th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

AI Value Bets
2 Found

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Asian Handicap Monaco +2.5
Value
Prob: 73.9%
EV: +8.6%
Stake: $5.32
1.47
Asian Handicap Monaco +2
Value
Prob: 63.5%
EV: +7.9%
Stake: $3.57
1.70
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 02:45:17
spinner

Trends for Real Madrid vs Monaco Football 20 Jan, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Real Madrid create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Real Madrid vs Monaco

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Monaco is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Real Madrid

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.12
Pressure
0.11

✈️ Monaco

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Real Madrid - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Monaco - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Real Madrid - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
8
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Monaco - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
14
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Monaco excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 8 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Monaco scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Real Madrid has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Real Madrid handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.522
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.017
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Real Madrid):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Monaco):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Real Madrid
Monaco

Real Madrid vs Monaco Head-to-head statistics for Tue 20 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Real Madrid or draw
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Real Madrid
VS
Monaco
4/6 (67%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
2.00 PPG 1.50
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
50% BTTS % 33%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.97 Avg xG 1.38
Real Madrid
L L W W W
La Liga 2025-2026
4 Jan 2026 - 15:15
Real Madrid
5 1
Real Betis
La Liga 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Real Madrid
2 0
Sevilla
La Liga 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Alaves
1 2
Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
10 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Real Madrid
1 2
Manchester City
La Liga 2025-2026
7 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Real Madrid
0 2
Celta Vigo
La Liga 2025-2026
3 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Athletic Club
0 3
Real Madrid
Monaco
W L W L L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 16:00
Monaco
1 3
Lyon
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Marseille
1 0
Monaco
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
9 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Monaco
1 0
Galatasaray
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Stade Brestois 29
1 0
Monaco
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 16:00
Monaco
1 0
Paris Saint Germain
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Pafos
2 2
Monaco

Real Madrid vs Monaco: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Real Madrid and away matches for Monaco

Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Monaco
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Monaco
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
1X2
Real Madrid
Monaco
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
20% 2
60% 6
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Monaco
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
80% 8
40% 4
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Monaco
0-1
10% 1
60% 6
2-3
60% 6
0% 0
4+
30% 3
40% 4
Total Corners
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Monaco
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Monaco
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Real Madrid
Monaco
HT 1 - FT 1
50% 5
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Real Madrid
Monaco
xG
1.97
1.24
xGa
1.32
1.66
Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Monaco
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Monaco
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Real Madrid
Monaco
1
50% 5
20% 2
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Monaco
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
50% 5
80% 8
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Monaco
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Monaco
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Monaco
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Monaco
Yes
40% 4
10% 1
No
60% 6
90% 9
1X2
Real Madrid
Monaco
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
20% 2
60% 6
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Monaco
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
80% 8
40% 4
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Monaco
0-1
50% 5
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
10% 1
4+
20% 2
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Monaco
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
2.87 xG 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 5
10 Shots Off Goal 8
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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