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La Liga 2025-2026 | Matchweek 15
7 Dec 2025-20:00
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2nd place
- : -
7 Dec 2025 14:00
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
12th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 14:00

1×2 Prediction
Real Madrid
74%16%10%
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
72%28%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
62%38%
YesNo
Team Total - Real Madrid
Over 2.5
52%48%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Team Total - Celta Vigo
Under 1.5
71%29%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Real Madrid/Draw
91%9%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Celta Vigo +2.5
68%32%
Away +2.5NOT Away +2.5
Best Tip Value
Both Teams Score Both Teams Score
Odds: 1.7
61.7%
EV: +4.9%
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Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: Match Preview

Match Stakes and Importance

This La Liga clash sees Real Madrid, currently sitting in second place with 36 points, take on Celta Vigo, positioned 12th with 16 points. For Real Madrid, a victory is crucial to keep pace with the league leaders and maintain pressure, while Celta Vigo is desperate for points to climb away from the relegation zone.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams come into this match with contrasting fortunes, which could heavily influence the outcome.

  • Real Madrid: The hosts are in formidable form, having gone unbeaten in their last five league matches (2 wins, 3 draws). They have shown remarkable consistency at home with a perfect record of five wins, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per match while conceding just 0.6. Their last outing saw them secure a convincing 3-0 victory against Athletic Club, showcasing their attacking prowess.
  • Celta Vigo: In contrast, Celta Vigo has struggled recently and enters this match with a mixed bag of results (3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5). While they have managed to secure some wins away from home, their overall form has been inconsistent, as evidenced by their recent 1-0 loss to Espanyol. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Real Madrid has dominated the encounters with Celta Vigo, winning all of their last ten meetings. The trend is stark, with an average of 3.6 goals per match in these fixtures. In their last five matchups, Real Madrid has consistently outperformed Celta, with results including a close 3-2 win and a dominant 4-0 performance, indicating their strong psychological edge.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Real Madrid’s attacking style, led by the prolific Kylian Mbappé, will likely exploit Celta Vigo’s defensive frailties. Madrid’s ability to dominate possession and create high-quality chances will be crucial. Conversely, Celta Vigo will need to tighten their backline and find a way to break through Madrid’s organized defense. Key players such as Marcos Alonso will be pivotal for Celta to provide solidity at the back while looking for counter-attacking opportunities.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Home Win
Predicted Score: Real Madrid 3 - 1 Celta Vigo
Reasoning: Given Real Madrid's strong home form and Celta Vigo's struggles, the prediction leans heavily towards a home victory. With Madrid's expected goals (xG) at 2.15 and Celta's defensive vulnerabilities, a high-scoring game seems likely.

Betting Tips

  • Safe Bet: Match Winner - Home @ 1.35 (74.6%).
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.39 (72.3%).

Bet responsibly.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.78 vs 1.15
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.6%
0:1
2.43%
0:2
1.14%
0:3
0.36%
0:4
0.08%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
6.68%
1:1
6.8%
1:2
3.44%
1:3
1.15%
1:4
0.29%
1:5
0.06%
2
2:0
8.58%
2:1
9.44%
🔥
2:2
5.14%
2:3
1.85%
2:4
0.49%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
7.35%
3:1
8.69%
3:2
5.07%
3:3
1.94%
3:4
0.55%
3:5
0.12%
4
4:0
4.72%
4:1
5.97%
4:2
3.71%
4:3
1.52%
4:4
0.46%
4:5
0.11%
5
5:0
2.43%
5:1
3.27%
5:2
2.16%
5:3
0.94%
5:4
0.3%
5:5
0.08%
Hotspot: 2:1 (9.4%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.6%
0
9.1%
1
16.5%
2
20.6%
3
19.8%
4
15.6%
5
9.5%
6
4.3%
7
1.5%
8
0.4%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Real Madrid
vs
Celta Vigo
Dec 7, 20:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Barcelona
w w w w w
>
15
12
1
2
42
17
25
37
2
Real Madrid
w d d d w
>
15
11
3
1
32
13
19
36
3
Villarreal
w w w w w
>
14
10
2
2
29
13
16
32

11
Elche
l l d d l
>
14
3
7
4
15
17
-2
16
12
Celta Vigo
w w l w l
>
14
3
7
4
16
19
-3
16
13
Sevilla
l l w l l
>
14
5
1
8
19
23
-4
16
Last 6 Matches
Real Madrid
VS
Celta Vigo
2/6 (33%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
2.00 PPG 1.67
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
50% BTTS % 50%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.72 Avg xG 1.35
Real Madrid
D D W D W
La Liga 2025-2026
3 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Athletic Club
0 3
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Girona
1 1
Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 4
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Elche
2 2
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 15:15
Rayo Vallecano
0 0
Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
4 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Liverpool
1 0
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
W L W L L
La Liga 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Celta Vigo
0 1
Espanyol
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Ludogorets
3 2
Celta Vigo
La Liga 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 13:00
Alaves
0 1
Celta Vigo
La Liga 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Celta Vigo
2 4
Barcelona
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
6 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Dinamo Zagreb
0 3
Celta Vigo
La Liga 2025-2026
2 Nov 2025 - 13:00
Levante
1 2
Celta Vigo
Missing Players
Real Madrid
4
d
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
24
d
- Injured - Muscle Injury
23
d
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
Celta Vigo
15
d
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
74% Draw 10%
72% Over 2.5 28%
62% Both Teams Score 38%
2.42 xPTS 0.58
2.80 xG [Total: 3.90] 1.10
1 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 3
9 Corners [Total: 13] 4
1 Offsides [Total: 3] 2
9 Fouls [Total: 23] 14
8 Shots on Goal [Total: 13] 5
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Real Madrid will take on Celta Vigo as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Real Madrid, and the visiting side, Celta Vigo. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Real Madrid or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-07 Time: 20:00 Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 14:00 Football

Value Bets

2 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip Value
BTTS Yes
Odds: 1.70
61.7%
EV: +4.9% Kelly: $3.49
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 12:32:17
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Trends for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Football 7 Dec, 2025 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Real Madrid have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 📈
    Chance Creation Masterclass

    Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Real Madrid is stronger in the second half (15 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Real Madrid is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Real Madrid

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.09
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Celta Vigo

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.06

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Real Madrid - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Celta Vigo - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Real Madrid - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
8
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Celta Vigo - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Real Madrid shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 7 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Real Madrid winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Real Madrid excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Real Madrid scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Real Madrid has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Real Madrid handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.379
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.003
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Real Madrid):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Celta Vigo):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Real Madrid
Celta Vigo

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 La Liga

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Real Madrid and away matches for Celta Vigo

Number of goals

Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Celta Vigo
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3

1X2

1X2
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
1
60% 6
50% 5
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
10% 1
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
90% 9
70% 7
X2
40% 4
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
0-1
40% 4
20% 2
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
30% 3
30% 3

Total Corners

Total Corners
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Celta Vigo
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Yes
50% 5
20% 2
No
50% 5
80% 8

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
xG
2.15
1.41
xGa
1.06
1.42

Number of goals

Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Celta Vigo
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
10% 1
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
90% 9
60% 6
X2
60% 6
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
10% 1
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5

Number of goals

Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Celta Vigo
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
1
50% 5
40% 4
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
20% 2
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
50% 5
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
0-1
80% 8
70% 7
2-3
10% 1
20% 2
4+
10% 1
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
Team comparison
Prediction
Both Teams to Score
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
30.3%
Low
2.90
0.9%
Low
N/A
-2
40.7%
Low
2.32
2.3%
Low
N/A
-1.5
51.0%
Medium
1.89
3.7%
Low
17.00
-1
61.8%
Medium
1.44
7.6%
Low
16.50
-0.5
72.6%
High
1.32
11.5%
Low
6.40
+0.5
88.5%
High
1.12
27.4%
Low
3.63
+1
92.4%
High
1.01
38.2%
Low
3.01
+1.5
96.3%
High
1.01
49.0%
Low
2.11
+2
97.7%
High
N/A
59.3%
Medium
1.67
+2.5
99.1%
High
N/A
69.7%
Medium
1.44
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.84%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.576.57%High1.28
Under 1.523.43%Low3.75
AwayOver 1.531.83%Low3.75
Under 1.568.17%Medium1.28
HomeOver 2.552.60%Medium1.90
Under 2.547.40%Low1.95
AwayOver 2.510.93%Low13.00
Under 2.589.07%High1.05
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
4 May
- 12:00
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
2.13
xG
1.96
3
2
19 Oct
- 19:00
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
1.69
xG
0.74
1
2
10 Mar
- 17:30
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
4
0
25 Aug
- 19:30
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
0
1
22 Apr
- 19:00
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
0
20 Aug
- 20:00
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
1
4
2 Apr
- 16:30
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
1
2
12 Sep
- 19:00
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
5
2
20 Mar
- 15:15
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
1
3
2 Jan
- 20:00
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
0
club logo
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Played: 10
Wins
10
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
28
2.8
Goals
0.8
8
8
0.8
Goals Conceded
2.8
28
21
2.1
Yellow Cards
2.3
23
0
Red Cards
0
4
0.4
Clean Sheets
0
51
5.1
Corners
3.9
39
105
10.5
Fouls
15
150
12
1.2
Offsides
0.7
7
147
14.7
Shots
11.3
113
60
6
Shots on Goal
3.3
33
Home Away All
Played 6 9 15
Wins 6 5 11
Draws 0 3 3
Losses 0 1 1
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2.3 14 2 18 2.1 32
Goals Conceded 0.5 3 1.1 10 0.9 13
Yellow Cards 1.7 10 1.1 10 1.3 20
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.5 3 0.4 4 0.5 7
Corners 6.3 38 5.7 51 5.9 89
Fouls 11 66 10.1 91 10.5 157
Offsides 1.8 11 1.7 15 1.7 26
Shots 19.8 119 18.6 167 19.1 286
Shots on Goal 7.5 45 6.6 59 6.9 104
Home Away All
Played 8 6 14
Wins 0 3 3
Draws 5 2 7
Losses 3 1 4
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.9 7 1.5 9 1.1 16
Goals Conceded 1.5 12 1.2 7 1.4 19
Yellow Cards 1.4 11 2.7 16 1.9 27
Red Cards 0.1 1 0 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0 0.2 1 0.1 1
Corners 5.1 41 3.5 21 4.4 62
Fouls 10.8 86 13 78 11.7 164
Offsides 2 16 1.8 11 1.9 27
Shots 11.5 92 10.2 61 10.9 153
Shots on Goal 3.6 29 3.8 23 3.7 52
Supreme Court Rules in Favor of Real Madrid in TV Rights Dispute with LaLiga
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Arsenal Competes with Manchester United for Bundesliga Star Priced at €55m
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Report: Manchester United poised to compete with Arsenal for Bundesliga defender signing
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Is TAA Returning to the Premier League? Real Madrid Utilizes Former Liverpool Player as a 'Bargaining Chip' in Chelsea Transfer Deal
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Real Madrid player considers Premier League transfer in January
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Real's Victory Fuels Mbappé's Dominance with More Goal Involvements than 15 La Liga Teams!
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Catch the Excitement: When and Where to Watch Athletic Bilbao Battle Real Madrid in La Liga!
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Meet the Speedsters: The 10 Quickest Players to Reach 100 Goals in Europe's Elite Leagues Since 2000—Featuring Messi, Haaland, and Ronaldo!
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Barcelona Boosts La Liga Lead with Gritty Win Against Atletico Madrid
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Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid: How to Catch the La Liga Clash and Team Line-ups
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