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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 • First qualifying round
Preview
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
9th place
Form
VS
20:00
25 Feb 2026
Benfica
Benfica
24th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Benfica
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Real Madrid vs Benfica: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 25 February, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)-
Real Madrid to Win
Probability 66%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 71%
Double Chance-
Real Madrid/Draw
Probability 84%
Asian Handicap-
Real Madrid +2.5
Probability 98%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
20:00
Real Madrid W 64%
:
Benfica W 18%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Real Madrid
w l w w w
16 Played
14 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4 (39 total)
xG
2.60 (41.0 total)
Shots per Match
20.3 (324 total)
Shots on Target
7.6 (38% acc)
Corners
6.9 (110 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
10.2 (163 total)
Offsides
1.5 (24 total)
16 Played
10 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (35 total)
xG
1.80 (28.6 total)
Shots per Match
16.1 (258 total)
Shots on Target
6.1 (38% acc)
Corners
5.5 (88 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
10.3 (165 total)
Offsides
1.4 (22 total)
32 Played
24 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (74 total)
xG
2.20 (69.5 total)
Shots per Match
18.2 (582 total)
Shots on Target
6.8 (38% acc)
Corners
6.2 (198 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
13 (41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (6 total)
Fouls
10.3 (328 total)
Offsides
1.4 (46 total)
Benfica
w w d w w
17 Played
11 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (36 total)
xG
1.70 (29.7 total)
Shots per Match
16.9 (287 total)
Shots on Target
6.2 (37% acc)
Corners
6.1 (104 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11 (187 total)
Offsides
2 (34 total)
17 Played
10 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (25 total)
xG
1.20 (21.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.9 (237 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (33% acc)
Corners
5.8 (98 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (59%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
10.7 (182 total)
Offsides
0.8 (14 total)
34 Played
21 Wins
8 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (61 total)
xG
1.50 (50.7 total)
Shots per Match
15.4 (524 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (35% acc)
Corners
5.9 (202 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
17 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
10.9 (369 total)
Offsides
1.4 (48 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

No Asian Handicap predictions available

No Team Total predictions available

In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Real Madrid will take on Benfica as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-25 at 2026-02-25 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Real Madrid, and the visiting side, Benfica. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Benfica. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-25 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Real Madrid vs Benfica Wednesday, Feb 25th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Real Madrid vs Benfica Football 25 Feb, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Chance Creation Masterclass

    Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances

  • Second Half Surge

    Real Madrid score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals

+6 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Real Madrid vs Benfica

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Real Madrid is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
🔄 Second Half: Real Madrid is stronger in the second half (18 vs 14).
⚡ Final Stage: Real Madrid is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Real Madrid

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.13
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Benfica

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.05

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Real Madrid - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Benfica - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Real Madrid - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Benfica - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Real Madrid often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Real Madrid scoring first
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Real Madrid shows superior performance after the break (18 vs 14 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Real Madrid winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Real Madrid excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Real Madrid scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.036
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.095
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Real Madrid):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Benfica):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

Real Madrid
Benfica

Real Madrid vs Benfica Head-to-head statistics for Wed 25 Feb, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Benfica
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Real Madrid
VS
Benfica
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (2)
4 (4)
xG
1.50
2.90
Shots
16 (16)
21 (21)
Shots on Target
6 (6)
11 (11)
Corners
5 (5)
6 (6)
Defense
Conceded
4 (4)
2 (2)
xGa
2.90
1.50
Discipline
Yellow Cards
5 (5)
2 (2)
Red Cards
2 (2)
0 (0)
Fouls
13 (13)
11 (11)
Offsides
0 (0)
1 (1)
28 Jan
- 20:00
Benfica
Real Madrid
2.92
xG
1.50
4
2
Prob 68%
Asian Handicap H+1.5
Odd 1.65
Last 6 Matches
Real Madrid
VS
Benfica
5/6 (83%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.50 PPG 1.50
3.00 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
67% BTTS % 50%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
2.05 Avg xG 1.99
Real Madrid
W L W W W
La Liga 2025-2026
14 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Real Madrid
4 1
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2025-2026
8 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Valencia
0 2
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
1 Feb 2026 - 13:00
Real Madrid
2 1
Rayo Vallecano
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
28 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Benfica
4 2
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
24 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Villarreal
0 2
Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
20 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Real Madrid
6 1
Monaco
Benfica
W W D W W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Feb 2026 - 18:30
Santa Clara
1 2
Benfica
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 20:30
Benfica
2 1
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Feb 2026 - 20:30
Tondela
0 0
Benfica
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
28 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Benfica
4 2
Real Madrid
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Benfica
4 0
Estrela
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
21 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Juventus
2 0
Benfica

Real Madrid vs Benfica: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Real Madrid and away matches for Benfica

Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Benfica
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
0% 0
100% 10
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Benfica
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
1X2
Real Madrid
Benfica
1
90% 9
70% 7
X
0% 0
20% 2
2
10% 1
10% 1
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Benfica
12
100% 10
80% 8
1X
90% 9
90% 9
X2
10% 1
30% 3
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Benfica
0-1
0% 0
20% 2
2-3
60% 6
40% 4
4+
40% 4
40% 4
Total Corners
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Benfica
Under
Over
7.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Benfica
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Real Madrid
Benfica
HT 1 - FT 1
60% 6
60% 6
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Real Madrid
Benfica
xG
2.1
1.9
xGa
1.26
0.8
Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Benfica
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Benfica
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2
Real Madrid
Benfica
1
60% 6
60% 6
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
10% 1
10% 1
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Benfica
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
90% 9
90% 9
X2
40% 4
40% 4
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Benfica
0-1
70% 7
40% 4
2-3
20% 2
60% 6
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Benfica
Yes
80% 8
60% 6
No
20% 2
40% 4
Number of goals
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Benfica
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Real Madrid
Benfica
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9
1X2
Real Madrid
Benfica
1
70% 7
50% 5
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
10% 1
20% 2
Double Chance
Real Madrid
Benfica
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
90% 9
80% 8
X2
30% 3
50% 5
Total Goals
Real Madrid
Benfica
0-1
20% 2
70% 7
2-3
60% 6
30% 3
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid
Benfica
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
2.27 xG 1.59
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Goal 5
11 Shots Off Goal 8
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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