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RB Leipzig
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2
VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 11:30
Betting Tip
RB Leipzig Under 2.5 GoalsNo high-confidence tip found, displaying main verdict.
Prediction League
11
Played
7
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3
(25 total)
xG
2.30
(24.8 total)
Shots per Match
16.5
(182 total)
Shots on Target
6.9
(42% acc)
Corners
5.5
(61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
8.1
(89 total)
Offsides
0.8
(9 total)
11
Played
5
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(17 total)
xG
1.40
(15.6 total)
Shots per Match
14.8
(163 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(30% acc)
Corners
4.8
(53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(45%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.7
(107 total)
Offsides
2
(22 total)
22
Played
12
Wins
4
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(42 total)
xG
1.80
(40.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.7
(345 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(36% acc)
Corners
5.2
(114 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
8.9
(196 total)
Offsides
1.4
(31 total)
15
Played
11
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(36 total)
xG
2.00
(29.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.9
(208 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(40% acc)
Corners
6.5
(98 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(53%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
11.3
(169 total)
Offsides
0.9
(14 total)
15
Played
7
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(30 total)
xG
1.30
(20.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.1
(167 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(35% acc)
Corners
3.5
(52 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
10.4
(156 total)
Offsides
0.9
(13 total)
30
Played
18
Wins
8
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2
(66 total)
xG
1.70
(49.7 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(375 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(38% acc)
Corners
5
(150 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
10.8
(325 total)
Offsides
0.9
(27 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.85 vs 1.74
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.03%
0:1
5.57%
0:2
3.85%
0:3
1.77%
0:4
0.61%
0:5
0.17%
1
1:0
6.01%
1:1
9.75%
🔥
1:2
7.73%
1:3
4.02%
1:4
1.55%
1:5
0.47%
2
2:0
4.48%
2:1
8.35%
2:2
7.52%
2:3
4.39%
2:4
1.87%
⭐
2:5
0.63%
3
3:0
2.23%
3:1
4.69%
3:2
4.73%
3:3
3.08%
⭐
3:4
1.46%
⭐
3:5
0.54%
⭐
4
4:0
0.83%
4:1
1.95%
4:2
2.19%
4:3
1.57%
⭐
4:4
0.82%
⭐
4:5
0.33%
⭐
5
5:0
0.25%
5:1
0.64%
5:2
0.79%
5:3
0.63%
⭐
5:4
0.36%
⭐
5:5
0.16%
⭐
Hotspot:
1:1 (9.8%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, RB Leipzig will take on Borussia Dortmund as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Red Bull Arena.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, RB Leipzig, and the visiting side, Borussia Dortmund. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : RB Leipzig or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 17:30
Location: Red Bull Arena
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Saturday, Feb 21st, 2026 at 11:30 Football
AI Value Bets
1 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Football 21 Feb, 2026 11:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
RB Leipzig have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Dominant Chance Creation
RB Leipzig create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund.
🏆 Match Winner — RB Leipzig @ 2.32 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsRB Leipzig
Above League AverageLeague
RB Leipzig score 2.71 goals/match at home (+72% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 775%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
RB Leipzig concede only 0.86 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 770%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
RB Leipzig rank 3 of 18 in scoring at home (2.71 goals/match vs league avg 3.16)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 765%
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Unlock Streak TrendsBorussia Dortmund
Not WinH2H
Borussia Dortmund have not won in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 978%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — RB Leipzig to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.44 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsBorussia Dortmund1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Borussia Dortmund score (1.63/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 55%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 7 of their last 9 H2H matches (77.8%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.47 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsRB Leipzig2 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
RB Leipzig score 2.71 goals/match at home (+72% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
RB Leipzig rank 3 of 18 in scoring at home (2.71 goals/match vs league avg 3.16)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 765%
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Unlock Streak TrendsBorussia Dortmund1 TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Borussia Dortmund have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 9 H2H matches (77.8%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Teams average combined 2.7 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — RB Leipzig Win or Draw @ 1.44 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsRB Leipzig
League Best DefenseLeague
RB Leipzig concede only 0.86 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 770%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
RB Leipzig are undefeated at half time in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsBorussia Dortmund
Not WinH2H
Borussia Dortmund have not won in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 978%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡RB Leipzig confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — RB Leipzig Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.78 ✅
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Above League AverageLeague
RB Leipzig score 2.71 goals/match at home (+72% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 775%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
RB Leipzig rank 3 of 18 in scoring at home (2.71 goals/match vs league avg 3.16)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 765%
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
RB Leipzig scored 1+ goals in their last 9 9 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsSecond Half SpecialistsRecent
RB Leipzig score in second half in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡RB Leipzig maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsRB Leipzig2 Trends — avg 1.5 (-25% below league)Many CardsH2H
RB Leipzig receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 978%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLow Card MatchesLeague
RB Leipzig average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-21% below league avg 2.0) — rank #3 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak TrendsBorussia Dortmund1 Trends — avg 1.7 (-15% below league)Many CardsH2H
Borussia Dortmund receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 978%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 5.2 cards per match in their last 9 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡RB Leipzig disciplined play balances Borussia Dortmund aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.02 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsRB Leipzig1 Trends — avg 5.4 (+11% above league)Many CornersLeague
RB Leipzig average 5.4 corners/match at home (+11% above league avg 4.9)
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Unlock Streak TrendsBorussia Dortmund2 Trends — avg 3.1 (-36% below league)Many CornersH2H
Borussia Dortmund win 6+ corners in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew CornersLeague
Borussia Dortmund average 3.1 corners/match in away matches (-36% below league avg 4.9)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 8.5 corners/match (RB Leipzig 5.4 + Borussia Dortmund 3.1) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
🔄 Second Half: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the second half (19 vs 14).
⚡ Final Stage: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
🔄 Second Half: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the second half (19 vs 14).
⚡ Final Stage: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 RB Leipzig
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Borussia Dortmund
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.19
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 RB Leipzig - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Borussia Dortmund - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 RB Leipzig - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
9
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Borussia Dortmund - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Borussia Dortmund often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Borussia Dortmund scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Borussia Dortmund shows superior performance after the break (19 vs 14 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Borussia Dortmund winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Borussia Dortmund excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Borussia Dortmund scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.273
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.121
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (RB Leipzig):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Borussia Dortmund):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 11:30 Bundesliga
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
18
3
1
82
19
63
57
2
15
6
1
47
20
27
51
3
14
3
5
47
28
19
45
4
▲
13
3
6
41
29
12
42
5
▼
12
4
6
42
30
12
40
6
12
3
6
43
27
16
39
Team comparison
Prediction
RB Leipzig Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-3.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
RB Leipzig
VS
Borussia Dortmund
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
6
Wins
1
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (21)
1.1 (10)
xG
1.10
2.10
Shots
15.3 (138)
13.8 (124)
Shots on Target
5.3 (48)
4.2 (38)
Corners
4.6 (41)
6.9 (62)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 (10)
2.3 (21)
xGa
2.10
1.10
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 (25)
2.3 (21)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
12.9 (116)
9.7 (87)
Offsides
2.4 (22)
1.2 (11)
Last 6 Matches
RB Leipzig
VS
Borussia Dortmund
2/6 (33%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.33
PPG
3.00
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
83%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.83
Avg xG
1.56
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for RB Leipzig and away matches for Borussia Dortmund
Number of goals
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
40%
4
60%
6
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
1X2
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
1
40%
4
70%
7
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
60%
6
30%
3
Total Goals
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
0-1
0%
0
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
50%
5
40%
4
Total Corners
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
60%
6
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
xG
1.93
1.79
xGa
1.61
1.21
Number of goals
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
1
30%
3
60%
6
X
60%
6
30%
3
2
10%
1
10%
1
Double Chance
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
12
40%
4
70%
7
1X
90%
9
90%
9
X2
70%
7
40%
4
Total Goals
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
Yes
80%
8
70%
7
No
20%
2
30%
3
Number of goals
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
40%
4
20%
2
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
1.65
xG
1.88
58%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
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