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RB Leipzig
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SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig vs Bayern München: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 11:30
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8
Played
7
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6
(21 total)
xG
2.30
(18.4 total)
Shots per Match
16.6
(133 total)
Shots on Target
7.3
(44% acc)
Corners
5.6
(45 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9
(72 total)
Offsides
0.9
(7 total)
8
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(11 total)
xG
1.40
(11.0 total)
Shots per Match
15.4
(123 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(27% acc)
Corners
5.9
(47 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.8
(78 total)
Offsides
1.8
(14 total)
16
Played
10
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(32 total)
xG
1.80
(29.4 total)
Shots per Match
16
(256 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(36% acc)
Corners
5.8
(92 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.4
(150 total)
Offsides
1.3
(21 total)
12
Played
11
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
4.1
(49 total)
xG
2.60
(31.4 total)
Shots per Match
20.3
(243 total)
Shots on Target
8.6
(42% acc)
Corners
6.2
(74 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.60
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.1
(121 total)
Offsides
2
(24 total)
11
Played
9
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.2
(35 total)
xG
2.30
(25.4 total)
Shots per Match
16.4
(180 total)
Shots on Target
7.5
(46% acc)
Corners
4.4
(48 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
8.9
(98 total)
Offsides
2.7
(30 total)
23
Played
20
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.7
(84 total)
xG
2.50
(56.8 total)
Shots per Match
18.4
(423 total)
Shots on Target
8.1
(44% acc)
Corners
5.3
(122 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(39%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.5
(219 total)
Offsides
2.3
(54 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.58 vs 2.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.09%
0:1
4.89%
0:2
5.73%
0:3
4.47%
0:4
2.62%
0:5
1.23%
1
1:0
2.82%
1:1
7.09%
1:2
8.86%
🔥
1:3
7.35%
1:4
4.56%
1:5
2.25%
2
2:0
1.91%
2:1
5.11%
2:2
6.8%
2:3
5.98%
⭐
2:4
3.92%
⭐
2:5
2.04%
⭐
3
3:0
0.86%
3:1
2.45%
3:2
3.45%
⭐
3:3
3.21%
⭐
3:4
2.22%
⭐
3:5
1.22%
⭐
4
4:0
0.29%
4:1
0.88%
⭐
4:2
1.31%
⭐
4:3
1.28%
⭐
4:4
0.93%
⭐
4:5
0.54%
⭐
5
5:0
0.08%
5:1
0.25%
⭐
5:2
0.39%
⭐
5:3
0.41%
⭐
5:4
0.31%
⭐
5:5
0.19%
⭐
Hotspot:
1:2 (8.9%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, RB Leipzig will take on Bayern München as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Red Bull Arena.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, RB Leipzig, and the visiting side, Bayern München. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Bayern München.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-17
Time: 17:30
Location: Red Bull Arena
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for RB Leipzig vs Bayern München Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 11:30 Football
AI Value Bets
7 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for RB Leipzig vs Bayern München Football 17 Jan, 2026 11:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Stalemate
Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for RB Leipzig vs Bayern München, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Bayern München @ 1.63 ✅ 
Bayern München
- High xG PerformanceH2H9/9100%Bayern München create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 9 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- High ScoringH2H9/9100%Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 9 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/989%Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H7/978%Bayern München efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Top Table FormLeague75%Bayern München are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Bayern München rank 1 of 18 in scoring in away matches (3.43 goals/match vs league avg 3.16)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Bayern München score 3.43 goals/match in away matches (+117% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Bayern München concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- UnbeatenRecent15/15100%Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 15 15 matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Bayern München create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent15/15100%Bayern München efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
- WonRecent13/1587%Bayern München have won 13 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
RB Leipzig
- Not WinH2H8/989%RB Leipzig have not won in 8 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
Bayern München dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.44 ⚠️ 
Bayern München(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague4/757%Bayern München score well (3.43/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.71 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 57% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H8/988.9%Both teams scored in 8 of their last 9 H2H matches (88.9%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.36 ✅ 
RB Leipzig(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%RB Leipzig score 2.71 goals/match at home (+72% above league average)
Bayern München(7 trends)
- High ScoringH2H9/9100%Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 9 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/989%Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Bayern München rank 1 of 18 in scoring in away matches (3.43 goals/match vs league avg 3.16)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Bayern München score 3.43 goals/match in away matches (+117% above league average)
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent15/15100%Over 2.5 goals in their last 15 Bundesliga matches
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H8/988.9%Over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 H2H matches (88.9%%)
Both teams average 6.1 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
🛡️ Double Chance — Bayern München Win or Draw @ 1.21 ✅ 
Bayern München
- Undefeated at HTH2H7/978%Bayern München are undefeated at half time in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Top Table FormLeague75%Bayern München are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Bayern München concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- UnbeatenRecent15/15100%Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 15 15 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent15/15100%Bayern München are undefeated at half time in their last 15 15 matches
RB Leipzig
- Not WinH2H8/989%RB Leipzig have not won in 8 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
Bayern München demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Bayern München Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.37 ✅ 
Bayern München
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Bayern München rank 1 of 18 in scoring in away matches (3.43 goals/match vs league avg 3.16)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Bayern München score 3.43 goals/match in away matches (+117% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent9/9100%Bayern München scored 1+ goals in their last 9 9 matches
- Scored 1+Recent15/15100%Bayern München scored 1+ goals in their last 15 15 matches
- Scored 2+Recent15/15100%Bayern München scored 2+ goals in their last 15 15 matches
🏟️ Away dominance — Bayern München scored 2+ goals in 15 recent away matches
Bayern München maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.98 ⚠️
RB Leipzig(1 trends) — avg 1.7 (-15% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%RB Leipzig average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-21% below league avg 2.0) — rank #4 lowest in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.0 cards per match in their last 8 H2H matches
Both teams disciplined - Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.98
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.91 ⚠️
RB Leipzig(2 trends) — avg 5.4 (+11% above league)
- Few CornersH2H6/875%RB Leipzig win 4 or fewer corners in 6 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches
- Many CornersLeague7/776%RB Leipzig average 5.4 corners/match at home (+11% above league avg 4.9)
RB Leipzig drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.91
+20 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
RB Leipzig vs Bayern München
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: RB Leipzig is stronger in the first half (15 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Bayern München is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Bayern München is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 RB Leipzig
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Bayern München
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.28
Pressure
0.18
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 RB Leipzig - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Bayern München - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 RB Leipzig - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
13
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
11
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Bayern München - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
13
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
8
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
14
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
14
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
8
Late Conceded
12
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: RB Leipzig is stronger in the first half (15 vs 11)
- First Half Result: Consider RB Leipzig to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Bayern München excels in the closing minutes (14 vs 7 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Bayern München scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Bayern München has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Bayern München handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.024
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.057
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.128
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (RB Leipzig):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bayern München):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
RB Leipzig vs Bayern München Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 11:30 Bundesliga
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
15
2
0
66
13
53
47
2
10
6
1
32
15
17
36
3
10
2
4
32
19
13
32
4
▲
10
2
5
32
25
7
32
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
+1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
RB Leipzig
VS
Bayern München
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
3
Draws
5
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (14)
3 (27)
xG
0.50
2.10
Shots
9.7 (87)
17 (153)
Shots on Target
4.1 (37)
6 (54)
Corners
2.7 (24)
4.9 (44)
Defense
Conceded
3 (27)
1.6 (14)
xGa
2.10
0.50
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 (17)
2.6 (23)
Fouls
11.2 (101)
10.4 (94)
Offsides
1.6 (14)
2.2 (20)
Last 6 Matches
RB Leipzig
VS
Bayern München
3/6 (50%)
Victories
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.67
PPG
2.67
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
4.17
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
33%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
83%
1.85
Avg xG
3.05
RB Leipzig vs Bayern München: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for RB Leipzig and away matches for Bayern München
Number of goals
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
10%
1
90%
9
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
30%
3
70%
7
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
4.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
Both teams to score
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
Yes
50%
5
80%
8
No
50%
5
20%
2
1X2
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
1
60%
6
70%
7
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
40%
4
30%
3
Total Goals
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
0-1
10%
1
0%
0
2-3
30%
3
0%
0
4+
60%
6
100%
10
Total Corners
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
40%
4
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
xG
1.82
2.43
xGa
1.03
0.96
Number of goals
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
Yes
20%
2
70%
7
No
80%
8
30%
3
1X2
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
40%
4
70%
7
2
20%
2
0%
0
Double Chance
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
12
60%
6
30%
3
1X
80%
8
100%
10
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
0-1
60%
6
20%
2
2-3
30%
3
70%
7
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
Yes
80%
8
30%
3
No
20%
2
70%
7
Number of goals
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
1
50%
5
70%
7
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
50%
5
30%
3
Total Goals
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
0-1
30%
3
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
20%
2
40%
4
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1.33
xG
2.75
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
5
7
Shots Off Goal
8
4
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2
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