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La Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 12 9 Nov 2025 - 15:15
Finished
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
10th place
Form
0 : 0
1.17
xG
0.72
Full Time
Half Time: 0-0
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2nd place
Form
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Football Match Stats & Results Sunday, 9 November, 2025 9:15

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
5'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
5'
Winner (1x2)-
Real Madrid to Win
Probability 47%
Total Goals2.55
Under 2.5
Probability 51%
Both Teams to Score1.76
Yes
Probability 55%
Rayo Vallecano Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 89%
Real Madrid Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 79%
Double Chance1.14
Draw/Real Madrid
Probability 74%
Asian Handicap-
Real Madrid +1
Probability 83%

📋 Preview: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | La Liga 2025-2026, Matchweek 12

📖 Introduction

This La Liga clash features Rayo Vallecano hosting the league leaders Real Madrid, with the home side currently sitting 10th with 14 points and the visitors at the top with a commanding 30 points. As both teams gear up for this encounter, Rayo looks to improve their standings, while Madrid aims to maintain their impressive form and extend their lead at the summit.

🏠 Rayo Vallecano Analysis

Rayo Vallecano has shown mixed form recently, securing three wins in their last five matches but suffering two defeats along the way. At home, they have been more inconsistent, with only one win in five appearances, averaging just 0.6 goals scored and conceded per match. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.59 at home indicates they are creating decent opportunities but failing to convert them effectively, as evidenced by their recent victory of 3-2 against Lech Poznan. Following this match, they will face Oviedo away, adding pressure to secure points against Madrid.

✈️ Real Madrid Analysis

Real Madrid arrives in solid form, having won four of their last five matches, although they did experience a setback with a recent loss to Liverpool. They boast an impressive away record, averaging 2.4 goals scored per match while conceding 1.4, reflecting their attacking prowess and occasional defensive vulnerabilities. Their xG performance of 2.03 suggests they are creating high-quality chances, making them a formidable opponent. Following this fixture, Madrid will travel to face Elche, making this match crucial for maintaining momentum in their title chase.

🔄 Head-to-Head

In recent encounters, Real Madrid has had the upper hand over Rayo Vallecano, winning four of their last eight meetings while Rayo has only managed one victory, with three matches ending in draws. The average goals scored in these matchups is quite high at 2.88, indicating that fans can expect an exciting contest with plenty of action.

🔑 Key Factors

Key players will play a significant role in the outcome of this match. For Rayo, Jorge de Frutos will be integral in trying to break down a solid Madrid defense. On the other hand, Madrid's potent attacking duo of Kylian Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior will look to exploit Rayo’s defensive weaknesses. With Madrid's xG suggesting they are creating more quality chances than their opponents, they may have the edge. Additionally, Rayo's recent home form and struggles to find the net could lead to a challenging evening against the league leaders.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome 56.9%, scoreline 1-3, justified by Real Madrid's superior form and attacking capabilities. With Rayo's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly at home, they may struggle to contain a motivated Madrid side looking to bounce back from their recent loss.

💡 Betting Tips

Market: Asian Handicap Home +1 @ 2.16 (64%). End: Bet responsibly.

Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
A. Rațiu
Yellow Card 15'
A. Rațiu
Tripping
A. Espino
Substitute 27'
In:A. Espino
Out:Pedro Díaz
Álvaro García
Yellow Card 33'
Álvaro García
Delay of game
36' Yellow Card
D. Huijsen
Roughing
D. Huijsen
44' Yellow Card
Brahim Díaz
Tripping
Brahim Díaz
Jorge de Frutos
Yellow Card 45' +3'
Jorge de Frutos
Roughing
46' Substitute
In:Éder Militão
Out:D. Huijsen
Éder Militão
Fran Pérez
Substitute 71'
In:Fran Pérez
Out:Isi Palazón
Óscar Valentín
Substitute 71'
In:Óscar Valentín
Out:Jorge de Frutos
71' Substitute
In:Dani Ceballos
Out:Brahim Díaz
Dani Ceballos
79' Substitute
In:Rodrygo
Out:E. Camavinga
Rodrygo
Alemão
Substitute 83'
In:Alemão
Out:Álvaro García
83' Substitute
In:T. Alexander-Arnold
Out:F. Valverde
T. Alexander-Arnold
Gerard Gumbau
Substitute 83'
In:Gerard Gumbau
Out:Unai López

📋 Preview: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | La Liga 2025-2026, Matchweek 12

📖 Introduction

This La Liga clash features Rayo Vallecano hosting the league leaders Real Madrid, with the home side currently sitting 10th with 14 points and the visitors at the top with a commanding 30 points. As both teams gear up for this encounter, Rayo looks to improve their standings, while Madrid aims to maintain their impressive form and extend their lead at the summit.

🏠 Rayo Vallecano Analysis

Rayo Vallecano has shown mixed form recently, securing three wins in their last five matches but suffering two defeats along the way. At home, they have been more inconsistent, with only one win in five appearances, averaging just 0.6 goals scored and conceded per match. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.59 at home indicates they are creating decent opportunities but failing to convert them effectively, as evidenced by their recent victory of 3-2 against Lech Poznan. Following this match, they will face Oviedo away, adding pressure to secure points against Madrid.

✈️ Real Madrid Analysis

Real Madrid arrives in solid form, having won four of their last five matches, although they did experience a setback with a recent loss to Liverpool. They boast an impressive away record, averaging 2.4 goals scored per match while conceding 1.4, reflecting their attacking prowess and occasional defensive vulnerabilities. Their xG performance of 2.03 suggests they are creating high-quality chances, making them a formidable opponent. Following this fixture, Madrid will travel to face Elche, making this match crucial for maintaining momentum in their title chase.

🔄 Head-to-Head

In recent encounters, Real Madrid has had the upper hand over Rayo Vallecano, winning four of their last eight meetings while Rayo has only managed one victory, with three matches ending in draws. The average goals scored in these matchups is quite high at 2.88, indicating that fans can expect an exciting contest with plenty of action.

🔑 Key Factors

Key players will play a significant role in the outcome of this match. For Rayo, Jorge de Frutos will be integral in trying to break down a solid Madrid defense. On the other hand, Madrid's potent attacking duo of Kylian Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior will look to exploit Rayo’s defensive weaknesses. With Madrid's xG suggesting they are creating more quality chances than their opponents, they may have the edge. Additionally, Rayo's recent home form and struggles to find the net could lead to a challenging evening against the league leaders.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome 56.9%, scoreline 1-3, justified by Real Madrid's superior form and attacking capabilities. With Rayo's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly at home, they may struggle to contain a motivated Madrid side looking to bounce back from their recent loss.

💡 Betting Tips

Market: Asian Handicap Home +1 @ 2.16 (64%). End: Bet responsibly.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Formation Lineups for Sun 9 Nov, 2025 @ 9:15 La Liga

Formation
6.8
Rayo Vallecano
4-2-3-1
6.8
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1
A. Batalla
7.6
Batalla 13
Pep Chavarría
7.3
Chavarría 3
N. Mendy
7.5
Mendy 32
F. Lejeune
6.7
Lejeune 24
A. Rațiu
7.5
Rațiu 2
P. Ciss
6.9
Ciss 6
Unai López
6.3
83'
López 17
Álvaro García
6.2
83'
García 18
Pedro Díaz
6.7
27'
Díaz 4
Jorge de Frutos
6
71'
Frutos 19
Isi Palazón
7
71'
Palazón 7
T. Courtois
6.9
Courtois 1
Álvaro Fernández
7.2
Fernández 18
D. Huijsen
6.3
46'
Huijsen 24
Raúl Asencio
7.2
Asencio 17
F. Valverde
6.6
83'
Valverde 8
E. Camavinga
6.9
79'
Camavinga 6
A. Güler
7.2
Güler 15
Vinícius
7.3
Vinícius 7
J. Bellingham
7.2
Bellingham 5
Brahim Díaz
6.3
71'
Díaz 21
K. Mbappé
6.6
Mbappé 10
field field
Substitutes
Espino
7.2
27'
Espino 22
Pérez
6.7
71'
Pérez 21
Valentín
6.7
71'
Valentín 23
Alemão
6.3
83'
Alemão 9
Gumbau
6.3
83'
Gumbau 15
Militão
6.9
46'
Militão 3
Ceballos
6.9
71'
Ceballos 19
Rodrygo
6.5
79'
Rodrygo 11
Alexander-Arnold
6.3
83'
Alexander-Arnold 12
LineUps
Rayo Vallecano
13
g
7.6
2
d
15'
7.5
24
d
6.7
32
d
7.5
7.3
83'
6.3
6
d
6.9
45'71'
6
27'
6.7
33'83'
6.2
71'
7
Substitutes
22
d
27'
7.2
20
d
71'
6.7
71'
6.7
8
m
83'
6.3
9
f
83'
6.3
Real Madrid
6.9
83'
6.6
7.2
24
d
36'46'
6.3
15
m
7.2
79'
6.9
44'71'
6.3
7.2
7
m
7.3
10
f
6.6
Substitutes
46'
6.9
13
g
4
d
23
d
83'
6.3
71'
6.9
9
f
11
m
79'
6.5
Coach
Missing Players
Rayo Vallecano
16
d
- Injured - Jumpers knee
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Hamstring Injury
11
m
- Injured - Injury
Real Madrid
4
d
- Injured - Foot Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Groin Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Head-to-head statistics for Sun 9 Nov, 2025 @ 9:15 La Liga

Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Off Target 8 Blocked 3
On Target 1
On Target 5
Off Target 14 Blocked 6
46 Ball Possession 54
12 Shots 19
1 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 8
3 Blocked Shots 6
7 Shots insidebox 9
5 Shots outsidebox 10
369 Total passes 440
85 Passes accurate % 84
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
17 Fouls 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
1 Offsides 1
5 Corners 7
1.17 Expected Goals 0.72

Stats for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Sunday, Nov 9th, 2025 at 9:15 Football

Rayo Vallecano
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Real Madrid
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Best Players of the Match
1
A. Batalla
7.6
Goalkeeper
2
N. Mendy
Defender
7.5
3
Vinícius Júnior
7.3
4
Álvaro Fernández
7.2