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La Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 23
Preview
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
17th place
Form
VS
18:00
4 Mar 2026
Oviedo
Oviedo
20th place
Form
AI Prediction Oviedo AH+1.5
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Rayo Vallecano vs Oviedo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 4 March, 2026 12:00

Winner (1x2)1.89
Rayo Vallecano to Win
Probability 57%
Total Goals1.75
Under 2.5
Probability 54%
Both Teams to Score1.80
No (NG)
Probability 51%
Rayo Vallecano Total1.21
Home Under 2.5
Probability 76%
Oviedo Total1.23
Away Under 1.5
Probability 79%
Double Chance1.21
Rayo Vallecano/Draw
Probability 83%
Asian Handicap1.21
Rayo Vallecano +0.5
Probability 83%
Best Tip
Asian Handicap Oviedo +1.5
Odds 1.37
Win Prob. 69.8%
Bet Now
Prediction League
La Liga 2025-2026
18:00
Rayo Vallecano W 57%
:
Oviedo W 17%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Rayo Vallecano
w l l l w
15 Played
7 Wins
6 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (23 total)
xG
1.40 (20.3 total)
Shots per Match
15.7 (235 total)
Shots on Target
5.6 (36% acc)
Corners
6.7 (100 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (47%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11.6 (174 total)
Offsides
2.5 (38 total)
16 Played
5 Wins
2 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (16 total)
xG
1.00 (16.2 total)
Shots per Match
12 (192 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (32% acc)
Corners
5.4 (86 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
14.3 (229 total)
Offsides
1.9 (30 total)
31 Played
12 Wins
8 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (39 total)
xG
1.20 (36.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.8 (427 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (34% acc)
Corners
6 (186 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (7 total)
Fouls
13 (403 total)
Offsides
2.2 (68 total)
Oviedo
d l l w l
12 Played
2 Wins
5 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.4 (5 total)
xG
0.70 (8.8 total)
Shots per Match
9.2 (110 total)
Shots on Target
2.5 (27% acc)
Corners
4.1 (49 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
11.3 (135 total)
Offsides
2.7 (32 total)
11 Played
1 Wins
2 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (8 total)
xG
0.90 (9.4 total)
Shots per Match
8.7 (96 total)
Shots on Target
3 (34% acc)
Corners
3.2 (35 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.5 (5 total)
Fouls
13.8 (152 total)
Offsides
1.9 (21 total)
23 Played
3 Wins
7 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (13 total)
xG
0.80 (18.2 total)
Shots per Match
9 (206 total)
Shots on Target
2.7 (31% acc)
Corners
3.7 (84 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (8 total)
Fouls
12.5 (287 total)
Offsides
2.3 (53 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Rayo VallecanoHDPOviedo
12.5%
Very Low
-2.5
0.9%
Very Low
21.3%
Low
-2
2.8%
Very Low
30.2%
Low
-1.5
4.6%
Very Low
43.7%
Medium
-1
10.8%
Very Low
57.3%
Medium
-0.5
16.9%
Very Low
83.1%
Very High
+0.5
42.7%
Medium
89.3%
Very High
+1
56.3%
Medium
95.4%
Very High
+1.5
69.8%
High
97.2%
Very High
+2
78.7%
High
99.1%
Very High
+2.5
87.5%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Rayo VallecanoOutcomeOviedo
50.4%
Medium
Over 1.5
21.3%
Low
49.6%
Medium
Under 1.5
78.7%
High
24.0%
Low
Over 2.5
5.6%
Very Low
76.0%
High
Under 2.5
94.4%
Very High
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Rayo Vallecano will take on Oviedo as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-03-04 at 2026-03-04 in the famous Estadio de Vallecas. The referee for the game will be A. Hernandez. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Rayo Vallecano, and the visiting side, Oviedo. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-04 Time: 18:00 Location: Estadio de Vallecas Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Rayo Vallecano vs Oviedo Wednesday, Mar 4th, 2026 at 12:00 Football

AI Value Bets
2 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Match Winner Rayo Vallecano
Value
Prob: 57.5%
EV: +8.6%
Stake: $2.81
1.89
Correct Score 1:0
Value
Prob: 14.1%
EV: +6.2%
Stake: $0.38
7.55

Trends for Rayo Vallecano vs Oviedo Football 4 Mar, 2026 12:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Rayo Vallecano have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Oviedo struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent away matches

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Rayo Vallecano vs Oviedo

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Rayo Vallecano is stronger in the first half (13 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: Rayo Vallecano is stronger in the second half (16 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Rayo Vallecano is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Rayo Vallecano

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.31
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Oviedo

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.06

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Rayo Vallecano - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Oviedo - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Rayo Vallecano - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Oviedo - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: Rayo Vallecano is stronger in the first half (13 vs 7)
  • First Half Result: Consider Rayo Vallecano to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Rayo Vallecano shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 7 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Rayo Vallecano winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Rayo Vallecano excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 4 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Rayo Vallecano scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Rayo Vallecano has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Rayo Vallecano handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.102
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.06
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.038 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Rayo Vallecano):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Oviedo):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo

Rayo Vallecano vs Oviedo Head-to-head statistics for Wed 4 Mar, 2026 @ 12:00 La Liga

La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
16
Elche
d l l l d
>
24
5
10
9
31
35
-4
25
17
Rayo Vallecano
w l l l w
>
23
6
7
10
21
30
-9
25
18
Mallorca
w l w l l
>
24
6
6
12
29
39
-10
24
19
Levante
l w d l l
>
23
4
6
13
26
40
-14
18
20
Oviedo
d l l w l
>
23
3
7
13
13
36
-23
16
Team comparison
Prediction
Oviedo AH+1.5
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Rayo Vallecano
VS
Oviedo
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
xG
1.00
0.30
Shots
11 (11)
8 (8)
Shots on Target
3 (3)
3 (3)
Corners
5 (5)
5 (5)
Defense
xGa
0.30
1.00
Clean Sheets
1 (100%)
1 (100%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (2)
1 (1)
Red Cards
1 (1)
1 (1)
Fouls
13 (13)
11 (11)
Offsides
1 (1)
2 (2)
23 Nov
- 13:00
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
0.33
xG
0.98
0
0
Prob 83%
Home Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.35
Last 6 Matches
Rayo Vallecano
VS
Oviedo
2/6 (33%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.17 PPG 0.83
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
67% BTTS % 67%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.27 Avg xG 1.05
Rayo Vallecano
W L L L W
La Liga 2025-2026
15 Feb 2026 - 15:15
Rayo Vallecano
3 0
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
1 Feb 2026 - 13:00
Real Madrid
2 1
Rayo Vallecano
La Liga 2025-2026
24 Jan 2026 - 13:00
Rayo Vallecano
1 3
Osasuna
La Liga 2025-2026
18 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Celta Vigo
3 0
Rayo Vallecano
La Liga 2025-2026
11 Jan 2026 - 13:00
Rayo Vallecano
2 1
Mallorca
La Liga 2025-2026
2 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Rayo Vallecano
1 1
Getafe
Oviedo
D L L W L
La Liga 2025-2026
15 Feb 2026 - 13:00
Oviedo
1 2
Athletic Club
La Liga 2025-2026
31 Jan 2026 - 13:00
Oviedo
1 0
Girona
La Liga 2025-2026
25 Jan 2026 - 15:15
Barcelona
3 0
Oviedo
La Liga 2025-2026
17 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Osasuna
3 2
Oviedo
La Liga 2025-2026
10 Jan 2026 - 13:00
Oviedo
1 1
Real Betis
La Liga 2025-2026
4 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Alaves
1 1
Oviedo

Rayo Vallecano vs Oviedo: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Rayo Vallecano and away matches for Oviedo

Number of goals
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
Oviedo
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
1
40% 4
10% 1
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
40% 4
50% 5
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
60% 6
50% 5
X2
60% 6
90% 9
Total Goals
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
0-1
10% 1
30% 3
2-3
70% 7
50% 5
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Total Corners
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
Oviedo
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
40% 4
xG(xGa)
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
xG
1.23
0.93
xGa
1.2
1.36
Number of goals
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
Oviedo
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
1
40% 4
10% 1
X
20% 2
70% 7
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
12
80% 8
30% 3
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
60% 6
90% 9
Total Goals
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3
Number of goals
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
Oviedo
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
70% 7
90% 9
Total Goals
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
Missing Players
Rayo Vallecano
- Suspended - Red Card
6
d
- Suspended - Red Card
- Injured - Groin Injury
- Injured - Injury
Oviedo
- Injured - Muscle Injury
2
d
- Injured - Ankle Injury
14
m
- Injured - Injury
1.72 xG 0.68
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
Rayo Vallecano Talent Attracting Interest from Multiple Premier League Teams
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