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Form
Form
Championship 2025-2026 • Matchweek 40
Preview
QPR
QPR
12th place
Form
VS
14:00
3 Apr 2026
Watford
Watford
9th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Watford
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

QPR vs Watford: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 3 April, 2026 9:00

Winner (1x2)2.75
QPR to Win
Probability 40%
Total Goals2.03
Over 2.5
Probability 55%
Both Teams to Score1.76
Yes
Probability 60%
QPR Total1.14
Home Under 2.5
Probability 80%
Watford Total1.14
Away Under 2.5
Probability 83%
Double Chance1.50
QPR/Draw
Probability 67%
Asian Handicap1.50
QPR +0.5
Probability 66%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Championship 2025-2026
14:00
QPR W 40%
:
Watford W 33%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
QPR
l l l w w
19 Played
9 Wins
2 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (35 total)
xG
1.40 (26.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.8 (262 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (32% acc)
Corners
5.4 (102 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.4 (197 total)
Offsides
1.6 (31 total)
21 Played
6 Wins
6 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (21 total)
xG
0.80 (17.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.4 (218 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (28% acc)
Corners
3.8 (80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.2 (214 total)
Offsides
1.9 (40 total)
40 Played
15 Wins
8 Draws
17 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (56 total)
xG
1.10 (44.2 total)
Shots per Match
12 (480 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (30% acc)
Corners
4.6 (182 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
10.3 (411 total)
Offsides
1.8 (71 total)
Watford
w d l w d
20 Played
10 Wins
6 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (29 total)
xG
1.30 (26.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.9 (297 total)
Shots on Target
5.1 (34% acc)
Corners
4.8 (96 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
10 (199 total)
Offsides
1.3 (25 total)
20 Played
4 Wins
8 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (22 total)
xG
1.10 (21.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.8 (236 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (29% acc)
Corners
4.5 (89 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.9 (197 total)
Offsides
0.7 (14 total)
40 Played
14 Wins
14 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (51 total)
xG
1.20 (47.9 total)
Shots per Match
13.3 (533 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (32% acc)
Corners
4.6 (185 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
9.9 (396 total)
Offsides
1 (39 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.53 vs 1.40
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.7%
0:1
7.91%
0:2
4.67%
0:3
1.84%
0:4
0.54%
0:5
0.13%
1
1:0
8.79%
1:1
11.84%
🔥
1:2
7.86%
1:3
3.43%
1:4
1.11%
1:5
0.29%
2
2:0
5.76%
2:1
8.72%
2:2
6.45%
2:3
3.11%
2:4
1.11%
2:5
0.31%
3
3:0
2.51%
3:1
4.23%
3:2
3.46%
3:3
1.83%
3:4
0.71%
3:5
0.22%
4
4:0
0.82%
4:1
1.52%
4:2
1.36%
4:3
0.79%
4:4
0.33%
4:5
0.11%
5
5:0
0.22%
5:1
0.44%
5:2
0.42%
5:3
0.27%
5:4
0.12%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.7%
0
16.7%
1
22.3%
2
20.9%
3
15.5%
4
9.6%
5
5.0%
6
2.2%
7
0.8%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

QPRHDPWatford
6.7%
Very Low@ 11.00
-2.5
4.8%
@ 10.00Very Low
12.6%
Very Low@ 9.90
-2
9.6%
@ 9.90Very Low
18.5%
Very Low@ 5.75
-1.5
14.4%
@ 5.25Very Low
29.2%
Low@ 4.69
-1
24.1%
@ 4.58Low
39.9%
Low@ 2.71
-0.5
33.8%
@ 2.67Low
66.2%
High@ 1.50
+0.5
60.1%
@ 1.50High
75.9%
High@ 1.21
+1
70.8%
@ 1.20High
85.6%
Very High@ 1.16
+1.5
81.5%
@ 1.14Very High
90.4%
Very High@ 1.01
+2
87.4%
@ 1.01Very High
95.2%
Very High@ 1.03
+2.5
93.3%
@ 1.02Very High

Team Total Predictions

QPROutcomeWatford
45.2%
Medium@ 2.56
Over 1.5
40.8%
@ 2.54Medium
54.8%
Medium@ 1.53
Under 1.5
59.2%
@ 1.57Medium
19.9%
Very Low@ 6.50
Over 2.5
16.7%
@ 6.50Very Low
80.1%
Very High@ 1.14
Under 2.5
83.4%
@ 1.14Very High
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, QPR will take on Watford as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 40 and will take place on 2026-04-03 at 2026-04-03 in the famous MATRADE Loftus Road. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, QPR, and the visiting side, Watford. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Watford. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-03 Time: 14:00 Location: MATRADE Loftus Road Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for QPR vs Watford Friday, Apr 3rd, 2026 at 9:00 Football

AI Value Bets
1 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

Upgrade to Premium
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 60.3%
EV: +6.2%
Stake: $3.29
1.76
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-30 02:36:19
spinner

Trends for QPR vs Watford Football 3 Apr, 2026 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 88% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    QPR create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

QPR vs Watford

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: QPR is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4).
⏰ First Half: QPR is stronger in the first half (15 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 QPR

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Watford

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 QPR - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Watford - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 QPR - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Watford - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: QPR often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of QPR scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: QPR is stronger in the first half (15 vs 8)
  • First Half Result: Consider QPR to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.093
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.029
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (QPR):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Watford):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

QPR
Watford

QPR vs Watford Head-to-head statistics for Fri 3 Apr, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship

Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
Derby
w w l w w
>
39
17
9
13
56
48
8
60
9
Watford
w d l w d
>
39
14
14
11
50
46
4
56
10
Norwich
w w w l w
>
39
16
6
17
52
46
6
54
11
Birmingham
l l w d l
>
39
14
11
14
48
49
-1
53
12
QPR
l l l w w
>
39
15
8
16
55
61
-6
53
13
Preston
l l l l w
>
39
13
13
13
45
49
-4
52
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Watford
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
QPR
VS
Watford
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
3 Wins
1 Draws
3 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (9)
1.6 (11)
xG
1.00
1.10
Shots
11 (77)
14 (98)
Shots on Target
3.7 (26)
4.9 (34)
Corners
3.7 (26)
4.7 (33)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 (11)
1.3 (9)
xGa
1.10
1.00
Clean Sheets
2 (29%)
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 (19)
2.4 (17)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
13.4 (94)
11.9 (83)
Offsides
1.3 (9)
2.3 (16)
16 Aug
- 14:00
Watford
QPR
1.77
xG
0.37
2
1
1 Jan
- 12:30
QPR
Watford
1.28
xG
0.67
3
1
30 Nov
- 12:30
Watford
QPR
0.79
xG
1.25
0
0
14 Jan
- 12:00
QPR
Watford
1
2
5 Aug
- 14:00
Watford
QPR
4
0
11 Mar
- 15:00
QPR
Watford
1
0
27 Aug
- 14:00
Watford
QPR
2
3
Last 6 Matches
QPR
VS
Watford
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.00 PPG 1.33
1.50 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
2.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
33% BTTS % 67%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.96 Avg xG 1.39
QPR
L L L W W
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 15:00
QPR
6 1
Portsmouth
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Mar 2026 - 15:00
Leicester
1 3
QPR
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Mar 2026 - 19:45
Birmingham
1 0
QPR
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Mar 2026 - 16:30
QPR
0 4
Middlesbrough
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Feb 2026 - 15:00
QPR
0 2
Sheffield Utd
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Southampton
5 0
QPR
Watford
W D L W D
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 15:00
Watford
0 0
Leicester
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Mar 2026 - 19:45
Watford
3 1
Wrexham
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Mar 2026 - 15:00
Stoke City
3 1
Watford
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Mar 2026 - 19:45
Sheffield Wednesday
1 1
Watford
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Bristol City
1 2
Watford
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Watford
0 2
Ipswich

QPR vs Watford: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for QPR and away matches for Watford

Number of goals
QPR
Under
Over
Watford
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
QPR
Watford
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1X2
QPR
Watford
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
10% 1
40% 4
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
QPR
Watford
12
90% 9
60% 6
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
QPR
Watford
0-1
20% 2
30% 3
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
60% 6
30% 3
Total Corners
QPR
Under
Over
Watford
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
QPR
Watford
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
QPR
Watford
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
50% 5
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
30% 3
xG(xGa)
QPR
Watford
xG
1.05
1.23
xGa
1.44
0.91
Number of goals
QPR
Under
Over
Watford
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
QPR
Watford
Yes
40% 4
10% 1
No
60% 6
90% 9
1X2
QPR
Watford
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
QPR
Watford
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
90% 9
80% 8
Total Goals
QPR
Watford
0-1
40% 4
80% 8
2-3
50% 5
20% 2
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
QPR
Watford
Yes
20% 2
60% 6
No
80% 8
40% 4
Number of goals
QPR
Under
Over
Watford
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
QPR
Watford
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6
1X2
QPR
Watford
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
QPR
Watford
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
QPR
Watford
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
60% 6
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
QPR
Watford
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
1.50 xG 1.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
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