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Qarabag
Qarabag vs Newcastle: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 18 February, 2026 11:45
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Upgrade to PremiumPrediction League
7
Played
4
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(17 total)
xG
0.80
(5.7 total)
Shots per Match
7.6
(53 total)
Shots on Target
3
(40% acc)
Corners
2.4
(17 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
6.1
(43 total)
Offsides
1.1
(8 total)
7
Played
4
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(11 total)
xG
0.40
(2.8 total)
Shots per Match
6.4
(45 total)
Shots on Target
2.4
(38% acc)
Corners
2
(14 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
3.7
(26 total)
Offsides
0.7
(5 total)
14
Played
8
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(28 total)
xG
0.60
(8.5 total)
Shots per Match
7
(98 total)
Shots on Target
2.7
(39% acc)
Corners
2.2
(31 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
4.9
(69 total)
Offsides
0.9
(13 total)
18
Played
10
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(35 total)
xG
2.00
(35.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(247 total)
Shots on Target
5.4
(40% acc)
Corners
6.8
(123 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.3
(185 total)
Offsides
1.9
(34 total)
17
Played
4
Wins
6
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(21 total)
xG
1.20
(20.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.4
(210 total)
Shots on Target
4
(32% acc)
Corners
5.8
(99 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
7.5
(128 total)
Offsides
1
(17 total)
35
Played
14
Wins
9
Draws
12
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(56 total)
xG
1.60
(55.9 total)
Shots per Match
13.1
(457 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(36% acc)
Corners
6.3
(222 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
11
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
8.9
(313 total)
Offsides
1.5
(51 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.74 vs 2.56
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.07%
0:1
4.53%
0:2
4.96%
0:3
3.62%
0:4
1.98%
0:5
0.87%
1
1:0
2.83%
1:1
6.98%
1:2
8.49%
🔥
1:3
6.82%
1:4
4.07%
1:5
1.93%
2
2:0
1.94%
⭐
2:1
5.31%
⭐
2:2
7.12%
⭐
2:3
6.26%
⭐
2:4
4.06%
⭐
2:5
2.08%
⭐
3
3:0
0.89%
⭐
3:1
2.67%
⭐
3:2
3.92%
⭐
3:3
3.74%
⭐
3:4
2.63%
⭐
3:5
1.46%
⭐
4
4:0
0.3%
⭐
4:1
1%
⭐
4:2
1.59%
⭐
4:3
1.65%
⭐
4:4
1.25%
⭐
4:5
0.74%
⭐
5
5:0
0.08%
5:1
0.3%
5:2
0.51%
5:3
0.57%
5:4
0.47%
5:5
0.3%
Hotspot:
1:2 (8.5%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Qarabag will take on Newcastle as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-18 at 2026-02-18 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Qarabag, and the visiting side, Newcastle. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Newcastle and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-18
Time: 17:45
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Qarabag vs Newcastle Wednesday, Feb 18th, 2026 at 11:45 Football
AI Value Bets
8 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Qarabag vs Newcastle Football 18 Feb, 2026 11:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Qarabag vs Newcastle.
🏆 Match Winner — Newcastle @ 1.45 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNewcastle
Above League AverageLeague
Newcastle score 2.00 goals/match in away matches (+30% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringRecent
Newcastle score 2+ goals per match in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Newcastle have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 8100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
Newcastle efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 7 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Newcastle demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.93 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsQarabag1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Qarabag score (2.43/match) and concede (1.71/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 50%)
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Unlock Streak TrendsNewcastle1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Newcastle score (2.00/match) and concede (1.25/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 50%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.70 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsQarabag1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Qarabag score 2.43 goals/match at home (+58% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsNewcastle4 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Newcastle score 2.00 goals/match in away matches (+30% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 475%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringRecent
Newcastle score 2+ goals per match in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Newcastle have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsOver 2.5 GoalsRecent
Over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams average 4.4 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Qarabag Win or Draw @ 3.02 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsQarabag
Undefeated at HTRecent
Qarabag are undefeated at half time in 11 of their last 14 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Qarabag demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Newcastle Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.50 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNewcastle
Above League AverageLeague
Newcastle score 2.00 goals/match in away matches (+30% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Newcastle scored 1+ goals in their last 8 8 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsSecond Half SpecialistsRecent
Newcastle score in second half in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 875%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Newcastle maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsQarabag1 Trends — avg 1.8 (-16% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Qarabag average 1.3 cards/match in all matches (-36% below league avg 2.0)
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Unlock Streak TrendsNewcastle1 Trends — avg 1.6 (-25% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Newcastle average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-26% below league avg 2.0)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 890%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.92 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsQarabag2 Trends — avg 3.4 (-27% below league)Few CornersLeague
Qarabag average 3.4 corners/match at home (-27% below league avg 4.7)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 785%
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew CornersRecent
Qarabag win 4 or fewer corners in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsNewcastle1 Trends — avg 4.0 (-14% below league)Few CornersLeague
Newcastle average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-14% below league avg 4.7)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 479%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 7.4 corners/match (Qarabag 3.4 + Newcastle 4.0) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Qarabag vs Newcastle
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Qarabag is stronger in the first half (13 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Qarabag
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Newcastle
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Qarabag - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Newcastle - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Qarabag - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
10
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
11
✈️ Newcastle - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Qarabag is stronger in the first half (13 vs 9)
- First Half Result: Consider Qarabag to win the first half
- Overall Result: Newcastle has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Newcastle handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.03
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.003
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.075 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Qarabag):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Newcastle):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Qarabag vs Newcastle Head-to-head statistics for Wed 18 Feb, 2026 @ 11:45 UEFA Champions League
Team comparison
Prediction
Qarabag AH+2
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-3.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Qarabag
VS
Newcastle
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
0.67
PPG
1.83
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
3.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
67%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.92
Avg xG
1.82
Qarabag vs Newcastle: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Qarabag and away matches for Newcastle
Number of goals
Qarabag
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Qarabag
Newcastle
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
1X2
Qarabag
Newcastle
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Qarabag
Newcastle
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Qarabag
Newcastle
0-1
0%
0
10%
1
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
80%
8
40%
4
Total Corners
Qarabag
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
50%
5
50%
5
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Qarabag
Newcastle
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Qarabag
Newcastle
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Qarabag
Newcastle
xG
1.06
1.9
xGa
2.19
1.57
Number of goals
Qarabag
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Qarabag
Newcastle
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
1X2
Qarabag
Newcastle
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Qarabag
Newcastle
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Qarabag
Newcastle
0-1
30%
3
50%
5
2-3
70%
7
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Qarabag
Newcastle
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
Number of goals
Qarabag
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Qarabag
Newcastle
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
Qarabag
Newcastle
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
0%
0
50%
5
2
60%
6
20%
2
Double Chance
Qarabag
Newcastle
12
100%
10
50%
5
1X
40%
4
80%
8
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Qarabag
Newcastle
0-1
20%
2
40%
4
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Qarabag
Newcastle
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
Missing Players
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Groin Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Knee Injury
1.11
xG
2.40
56%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
5
10
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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