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Qarabag vs Ajax: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 10 December, 2025 12:45
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.38 vs 1.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.3%
0:1
3.52%
0:2
1.88%
0:3
0.67%
0:4
0.18%
0:5
0.04%
1
1:0
7.32%
1:1
8.35%
1:2
4.74%
1:3
1.79%
1:4
0.5%
1:5
0.11%
2
2:0
8.12%
2:1
9.85%
🔥
2:2
5.94%
2:3
2.37%
2:4
0.71%
2:5
0.17%
3
3:0
6%
⭐
3:1
7.72%
⭐
3:2
4.92%
⭐
3:3
2.07%
⭐
3:4
0.65%
⭐
3:5
0.16%
4
4:0
3.33%
⭐
4:1
4.53%
⭐
4:2
3.04%
⭐
4:3
1.35%
⭐
4:4
0.44%
⭐
4:5
0.12%
⭐
5
5:0
1.48%
⭐
5:1
2.12%
⭐
5:2
1.5%
⭐
5:3
0.7%
⭐
5:4
0.24%
⭐
5:5
0.07%
Hotspot:
2:1 (9.9%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
Qarabag
VS
Ajax
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
1.17
PPG
0.00
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
67%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
-
Avg xG
0.79
2.38
xG [Total: 3.61]
1.23
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
3
4
Corners [Total: 9]
5
1
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
8
Fouls [Total: 22]
14
2
Shots on Goal [Total: 7]
5
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Qarabag will take on Ajax as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-12-10 at 2025-12-10 in the famous Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Qarabag, and the visiting side, Ajax. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Winner : Qarabag and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-10
Time: 17:45
Location: Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Qarabag vs Ajax Wednesday, Dec 10th, 2025 at 12:45 Football
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Trends for Qarabag vs Ajax Football 10 Dec, 2025 12:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 60% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Qarabag create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Qarabag vs Ajax, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Qarabag @ 2.11 ✅ 
Qarabag
- Above League AverageLeague5/575%Qarabag score 2.40 goals/match at home (+59% above league average)
- High xG PerformanceRecent14/14100%Qarabag create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
- High ScoringRecent12/1486%Qarabag score 2+ goals per match in 12 of their last 14 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent12/1486%Qarabag have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 12 of their last 14 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
Qarabag demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.60 ⚠️ 
Qarabag(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague3/560%Qarabag score (2.40/match) and concede (1.20/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 60% of matches (league avg: 48%)
Ajax(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredRecent8/989%Both teams scored in 8 of their last 9 UEFA Champions League (Away) matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.72 ✅
Qarabag(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague5/575%Qarabag score 2.40 goals/match at home (+59% above league average)
- High ScoringRecent12/1486%Qarabag score 2+ goals per match in 12 of their last 14 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent12/1486%Qarabag have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 12 of their last 14 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
Ajax(3 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent9/9100%Over 2.5 goals in their last 9 UEFA Champions League (Away) matches
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent15/1979%Over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 19 UEFA Champions League matches
- High ScoringRecent7/978%Ajax score 2+ goals per match in 7 of their last 9 UEFA Champions League (Away) matches
Combined 2.4 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
⚡ Team Total Goals — Qarabag Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.87 ✅ 
Qarabag
- Above League AverageLeague5/575%Qarabag score 2.40 goals/match at home (+59% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent24/2983%Qarabag scored 1+ goals in 24 of their last 29 UEFA Champions League matches
Qarabag's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Qarabag(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague11/1190%Qarabag average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-30% below league avg 2.1)
Ajax(1 trends)
- Many CardsRecent7/978%Ajax receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 9 UEFA Champions League (Away) matches
Qarabag disciplined play balances Ajax aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.60 ⚠️
Qarabag(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (-50% below league)
- Few CornersLeague5/585%Qarabag average 2.3 corners/match at home (-50% below league avg 4.6)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.60
+15 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Qarabag vs Ajax
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Qarabag
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Ajax
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.04
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Qarabag - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Ajax - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Qarabag - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Ajax - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.229
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.049
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.083 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Qarabag):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Ajax):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Qarabag vs Ajax Head-to-head statistics for Wed 10 Dec, 2025 @ 12:45 UEFA Champions League
Qarabag vs Ajax: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Qarabag and away matches for Ajax
Number of goals
Number of goals
Qarabag
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Qarabag
Ajax
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
1X2
1X2
Qarabag
Ajax
1
60%
6
30%
3
X
10%
1
10%
1
2
30%
3
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Qarabag
Ajax
12
90%
9
90%
9
1X
70%
7
40%
4
X2
40%
4
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Qarabag
Ajax
0-1
20%
2
0%
0
2-3
20%
2
70%
7
4+
60%
6
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Qarabag
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
7.5
100%
7
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
7
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
7
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
7
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Qarabag
Ajax
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Qarabag
Ajax
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
50%
5
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Qarabag
Ajax
xG
1.11
0.93
xGa
1.92
1.84
Number of goals
Number of goals
Qarabag
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Qarabag
Ajax
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Qarabag
Ajax
1
60%
6
20%
2
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
20%
2
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Qarabag
Ajax
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
80%
8
40%
4
X2
40%
4
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Qarabag
Ajax
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Qarabag
Ajax
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
Number of goals
Number of goals
Qarabag
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Qarabag
Ajax
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Qarabag
Ajax
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Qarabag
Ajax
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Qarabag
Ajax
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Qarabag
Ajax
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.81%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 68.72% | Medium | 1.87 |
| Under 1.5 | 31.28% | Low | 2.00 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 34.82% | Low | 2.60 |
| Under 1.5 | 65.18% | Medium | 1.55 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 42.51% | Low | 3.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 57.49% | Medium | 1.29 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 12.71% | Low | 6.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 87.29% | High | 1.13 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Qarabag
Ajax
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.4 | 12 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.1 | 23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 6 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.3 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 8 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.5 | 16 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 2 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 4 |
| Corners | 1.4 | 7 | 2.2 | 13 | 1.8 | 20 |
| Fouls | 6.4 | 32 | 3.8 | 23 | 5 | 55 |
| Offsides | 1.2 | 6 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
| Shots | 5.6 | 28 | 6.7 | 40 | 6.2 | 68 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.2 | 11 | 2.7 | 16 | 2.5 | 27 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | |
| Goals Conceded | 2.3 | 7 | 4.5 | 9 | 3.2 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2.2 | 11 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Corners | 5 | 15 | 3.5 | 7 | 4.4 | 22 |
| Fouls | 13.7 | 41 | 9 | 18 | 11.8 | 59 |
| Offsides | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| Shots | 6.3 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 6.6 | 33 |
| Shots on Goal | 2 | 6 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.8 | 9 |
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