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PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 10 January, 2026 14:00
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 3.46 vs 1.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
0.92%
0:1
1.27%
0:2
0.88%
0:3
0.41%
⭐
0:4
0.14%
0:5
0.04%
1
1:0
3.05%
1:1
4.35%
1:2
3.1%
⭐
1:3
1.47%
⭐
1:4
0.52%
1:5
0.15%
2
2:0
5.06%
2:1
7.43%
2:2
5.44%
⭐
2:3
2.65%
⭐
2:4
0.97%
⭐
2:5
0.28%
3
3:0
5.59%
3:1
8.45%
🔥
3:2
6.36%
⭐
3:3
3.19%
⭐
3:4
1.2%
⭐
3:5
0.36%
4
4:0
4.63%
4:1
7.19%
4:2
5.57%
⭐
4:3
2.87%
⭐
4:4
1.11%
⭐
4:5
0.34%
5
5:0
3.07%
5:1
4.9%
5:2
3.9%
⭐
5:3
2.06%
⭐
5:4
0.81%
5:5
0.26%
Hotspot:
3:1 (8.4%)
Total Boundaries:
2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
3.73
xG
1.73
66%
Ball Possession
34%
18
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
4
11
Shots Off Goal
6
7
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
PSV Eindhoven
VS
Excelsior
5/6 (83%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
3.00
PPG
1.67
2.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
67%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.85
Avg xG
1.57
Missing Players
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, PSV Eindhoven will take on Excelsior as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-10 at 2026-01-10 in the famous Philips Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, PSV Eindhoven, and the visiting side, Excelsior. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Winner : PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-10
Time: 19:00
Location: Philips Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior Saturday, Jan 10th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior Football 10 Jan, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
PSV Eindhoven create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — PSV Eindhoven @ 1.11 ✅ 
PSV Eindhoven
- WonH2H2/2100%PSV Eindhoven have won their last 2 2 matches
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H2/2100%PSV Eindhoven efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- High ScoringH2H2/2100%PSV Eindhoven score 2+ goals per match in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H2/2100%PSV Eindhoven have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Top Table FormLeague75%PSV Eindhoven are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/875%PSV Eindhoven rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.25 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%PSV Eindhoven score 3.25 goals/match at home (+100% above league average)
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%PSV Eindhoven score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%PSV Eindhoven have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent15/1788%PSV Eindhoven efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 15 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- UnbeatenRecent13/1776%PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in their last 13 17 matches
Excelsior
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Excelsior have not won their last 2 2 matches
- LostH2H2/2100%Excelsior have lost their last 2 2 matches
PSV Eindhoven dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.83 ✅ 
PSV Eindhoven(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/875%PSV Eindhoven score (3.25/match) and concede (1.63/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 62%)
Excelsior(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%Excelsior score (1.14/match) and concede (2.43/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 62%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H2/2100%Both teams scored in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.22 ✅
PSV Eindhoven(6 trends)
- High ScoringH2H2/2100%PSV Eindhoven score 2+ goals per match in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H2/2100%PSV Eindhoven have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- League Top ScorerLeague8/875%PSV Eindhoven rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.25 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%PSV Eindhoven score 3.25 goals/match at home (+100% above league average)
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%PSV Eindhoven score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%PSV Eindhoven have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
Excelsior(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1675%Excelsior scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/2100%Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
Teams average combined 3.2 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — PSV Eindhoven Win or Draw @ 1.03 ✅ 
PSV Eindhoven
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H2/2100%PSV Eindhoven are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
- Top Table FormLeague75%PSV Eindhoven are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- Undefeated at HTRecent15/1788%PSV Eindhoven are undefeated at half time in 15 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- UnbeatenRecent13/1776%PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in their last 13 17 matches
Excelsior
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Excelsior have not won their last 2 2 matches
PSV Eindhoven dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — PSV Eindhoven Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.13 ✅ 
PSV Eindhoven
- League Top ScorerLeague8/875%PSV Eindhoven rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.25 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%PSV Eindhoven score 3.25 goals/match at home (+100% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent2/2100%PSV Eindhoven scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- Scored 2+Recent2/2100%PSV Eindhoven scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%PSV Eindhoven score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%PSV Eindhoven score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent15/1788%PSV Eindhoven score in first half in 15 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- Scored 1+Recent13/1776%PSV Eindhoven scored 1+ goals in their last 13 17 matches
PSV Eindhoven maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
PSV Eindhoven(2 trends) — avg 1.3 (-21% below league)
- Few CardsH2H2/2100%PSV Eindhoven receive 0-1 card in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%PSV Eindhoven average 1.4 cards/match in all matches (-22% below league avg 1.8) — rank #3 lowest in league
Excelsior(1 trends) — avg 1.5 (-8% below league)
- Few CardsH2H2/2100%Excelsior receive 0-1 card in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
PSV Eindhoven(1 trends) — avg 7.5 (+46% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%PSV Eindhoven average 7.5 corners/match at home (+46% above league avg 5.1)
Excelsior(2 trends) — avg 4.3 (-16% below league)
- Few CornersH2H2/2100%Excelsior win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Few CornersLeague7/781%Excelsior average 4.3 corners/match in away matches (-16% below league avg 5.1)
Combined average: 11.8 corners/match (PSV Eindhoven 7.5 + Excelsior 4.3)
+8 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: PSV Eindhoven is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 PSV Eindhoven
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Excelsior
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 PSV Eindhoven - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Excelsior - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 PSV Eindhoven - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
9
✈️ Excelsior - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: PSV Eindhoven excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of PSV Eindhoven scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: PSV Eindhoven has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider PSV Eindhoven handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.051
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.004
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (PSV Eindhoven):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Excelsior):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior Head-to-head statistics for Sat 10 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 Eredivisie
PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for PSV Eindhoven and away matches for Excelsior
Number of goals
PSV Eindhoven
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
20%
2
80%
8
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
50%
5
50%
5
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
60%
6
40%
4
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
1X2
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
1
80%
8
40%
4
X
10%
1
10%
1
2
10%
1
50%
5
Double Chance
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
12
90%
9
90%
9
1X
90%
9
50%
5
X2
20%
2
60%
6
Total Goals
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
0-1
10%
1
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
70%
7
4+
50%
5
10%
1
Total Corners
PSV Eindhoven
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
HT 1 - FT 1
60%
6
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
xG(xGa)
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
xG
1.6
1.39
xGa
1.27
1.92
Number of goals
PSV Eindhoven
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
1
60%
6
60%
6
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
40%
4
40%
4
Total Goals
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
0-1
30%
3
80%
8
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Yes
40%
4
80%
8
No
60%
6
20%
2
Number of goals
PSV Eindhoven
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
1
50%
5
10%
1
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
10%
1
50%
5
Double Chance
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
90%
9
50%
5
X2
50%
5
90%
9
Total Goals
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
60%
6
4+
20%
2
0%
0
Clean Sheet
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Yes
70%
7
30%
3
No
30%
3
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
Both Teams to Score
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.72%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 86.36% | High | 1.13 |
| Under 1.5 | 13.64% | Low | 6.20 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 45.03% | Low | 5.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 54.97% | Medium | 1.20 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 67.83% | Medium | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 | 32.17% | Low | 2.75 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 19.73% | Low | 19.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 80.27% | High | 1.03 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Played:
2
Wins
2
2
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
5
2.5
Goals
1
2
2
1
Goals Conceded
2.5
5
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
14
7
Corners
2.5
5
8
4
Fouls
5
10
3
1.5
Offsides
0.5
1
45
22.5
Shots
12.5
25
23
11.5
Shots on Goal
3.5
7
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 9 | 15 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 3.3 | 26 | 2.9 | 26 | 3.1 | 52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 13 | 0.9 | 8 | 1.2 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards | 0.8 | 6 | 1.9 | 17 | 1.4 | 23 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 7.5 | 60 | 5.6 | 50 | 6.5 | 110 |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 102 | 11 | 99 | 11.8 | 201 |
| Offsides | 1.4 | 11 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 23 |
| Shots | 20.9 | 167 | 14.2 | 128 | 17.4 | 295 |
| Shots on Goal | 7.6 | 61 | 6.8 | 61 | 7.2 | 122 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 7 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.9 | 8 | 1.1 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 10 | 2.4 | 17 | 1.7 | 27 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 13 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.5 | 24 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Corners | 3.9 | 35 | 4.3 | 30 | 4.1 | 65 |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 115 | 14.6 | 102 | 13.6 | 217 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 10 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.8 | 13 |
| Shots | 11.8 | 106 | 11.9 | 83 | 11.8 | 189 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 35 | 4.4 | 31 | 4.1 | 66 |
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