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PSV Eindhoven
2
2
NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven vs Bayern München: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 28 January, 2026 14:00
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13
Played
8
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.2
(42 total)
xG
2.20
(28.8 total)
Shots per Match
18.3
(238 total)
Shots on Target
6.5
(36% acc)
Corners
7.2
(94 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12
(156 total)
Offsides
1.5
(20 total)
14
Played
11
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(34 total)
xG
1.40
(19.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.4
(174 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(44% acc)
Corners
5.6
(79 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.5
(147 total)
Offsides
1.5
(21 total)
27
Played
19
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.8
(76 total)
xG
1.80
(48.7 total)
Shots per Match
15.3
(412 total)
Shots on Target
6
(39% acc)
Corners
6.4
(173 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
11.2
(303 total)
Offsides
1.5
(41 total)
14
Played
12
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.7
(52 total)
xG
2.60
(36.0 total)
Shots per Match
19.4
(271 total)
Shots on Target
8.1
(42% acc)
Corners
6.1
(85 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(140 total)
Offsides
1.9
(27 total)
12
Played
10
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.3
(40 total)
xG
2.50
(29.9 total)
Shots per Match
16.5
(198 total)
Shots on Target
7.9
(48% acc)
Corners
4.7
(56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
8.7
(104 total)
Offsides
2.7
(32 total)
26
Played
22
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.5
(92 total)
xG
2.50
(65.9 total)
Shots per Match
18
(469 total)
Shots on Target
8
(44% acc)
Corners
5.4
(141 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.4
(244 total)
Offsides
2.3
(59 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.44 vs 3.05
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
0.62%
0:1
1.71%
0:2
2.38%
0:3
2.2%
0:4
1.53%
0:5
0.85%
1
1:0
1.34%
1:1
3.88%
1:2
5.63%
1:3
5.43%
1:4
3.92%
1:5
2.26%
2
2:0
1.45%
2:1
4.39%
2:2
6.63%
2:3
6.65%
🔥
⭐
2:4
4.99%
⭐
2:5
2.98%
⭐
3
3:0
1.05%
⭐
3:1
3.3%
⭐
3:2
5.19%
⭐
3:3
5.41%
⭐
3:4
4.21%
⭐
3:5
2.61%
⭐
4
4:0
0.57%
⭐
4:1
1.86%
⭐
4:2
3.04%
⭐
4:3
3.28%
⭐
4:4
2.65%
⭐
4:5
1.7%
⭐
5
5:0
0.25%
⭐
5:1
0.84%
⭐
5:2
1.42%
⭐
5:3
1.59%
⭐
5:4
1.33%
⭐
5:5
0.88%
⭐
Hotspot:
2:3 (6.6%)
Total Boundaries:
2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, PSV Eindhoven will take on Bayern München as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-28 at 2026-01-28 in the famous Philips Stadion.
The referee for the game will be J. Pinheiro. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, PSV Eindhoven, and the visiting side, Bayern München. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Bayern München and +2.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-28
Time: 20:00
Location: Philips Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for PSV Eindhoven vs Bayern München Wednesday, Jan 28th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Win to Nil
Bayern München NOT Win to Nil
High Value
Prob: 91.4%
EV: +16.9%
Stake:
$8.93
1.28↑
Trends for PSV Eindhoven vs Bayern München Football 28 Jan, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for PSV Eindhoven vs Bayern München, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Bayern München @ 1.60 ✅ 
Bayern München
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%Bayern München score 2.67 goals/match in away matches (+77% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Bayern München are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Top ScorerLeague3/365%Bayern München rank 3 of 58 in scoring in away matches (2.67 goals/match vs league avg 3.02)
- High xG PerformanceRecent6/6100%Bayern München create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 6 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
- High ScoringRecent6/6100%Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 6 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent6/6100%Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
- WonRecent5/683%Bayern München have won 5 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
- UnbeatenRecent5/683%Bayern München are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent5/683%Bayern München efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
Bayern München demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.44 ✅ 
PSV Eindhoven(2 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague3/3100%PSV Eindhoven score (3.00/match) and concede (2.67/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 49%)
- Both Teams ScoredRecent6/6100%Both teams scored in their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
Bayern München(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague3/3100%Bayern München score (2.67/match) and concede (1.67/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 49%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.33 ✅ 
PSV Eindhoven(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%PSV Eindhoven score 3.00 goals/match at home (+99% above league average)
- High ScoringRecent6/6100%PSV Eindhoven score 2+ goals per match in 6 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
Bayern München(5 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%Bayern München score 2.67 goals/match in away matches (+77% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague3/365%Bayern München rank 3 of 58 in scoring in away matches (2.67 goals/match vs league avg 3.02)
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent6/6100%Over 2.5 goals in their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
- High ScoringRecent6/6100%Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 6 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent6/6100%Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
Both teams average 5.7 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
🛡️ Double Chance — Bayern München Win or Draw @ 1.20 ✅ 
Bayern München
- Top Table FormLeague70%Bayern München are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- Undefeated at HTRecent6/6100%Bayern München are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches
- UnbeatenRecent5/683%Bayern München are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
Bayern München demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Bayern München Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.37 ✅
Bayern München
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%Bayern München score 2.67 goals/match in away matches (+77% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague3/365%Bayern München rank 3 of 58 in scoring in away matches (2.67 goals/match vs league avg 3.02)
- Scored 1+Recent6/6100%Bayern München scored 1+ goals in their last 6 6 matches
- Scored 2+Recent5/683%Bayern München scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent5/683%Bayern München score in first half in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
Bayern München maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.67 ⚠️ 
PSV Eindhoven(1 trends) — avg 2 (-7% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague6/681.5%PSV Eindhoven average 1.8 cards/match in all matches (-11% below league avg 2.0)
Both teams disciplined - Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.67
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.02 ⚠️
PSV Eindhoven(1 trends) — avg 6.0 (+29% above league)
- Many CornersLeague3/385%PSV Eindhoven average 6.0 corners/match at home (+29% above league avg 4.7)
Bayern München(1 trends) — avg 2.7 (-43% below league)
- Few CornersLeague3/385%Bayern München average 2.7 corners/match in away matches (-43% below league avg 4.7)
Combined average: 8.7 corners/match (PSV Eindhoven 6.0 + Bayern München 2.7) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+13 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
PSV Eindhoven vs Bayern München
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: PSV Eindhoven is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: PSV Eindhoven is stronger in the first half (14 vs 10).
🔄 Second Half: Bayern München is stronger in the second half (18 vs 12).
⚡ Final Stage: Bayern München is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⏰ First Half: PSV Eindhoven is stronger in the first half (14 vs 10).
🔄 Second Half: Bayern München is stronger in the second half (18 vs 12).
⚡ Final Stage: Bayern München is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 PSV Eindhoven
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.16
✈️ Bayern München
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.16
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 PSV Eindhoven - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Bayern München - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 PSV Eindhoven - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Bayern München - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
13
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
10
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
8
Late Conceded
14
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: PSV Eindhoven often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
- First Goal Home: High probability of PSV Eindhoven scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: PSV Eindhoven is stronger in the first half (14 vs 10)
- First Half Result: Consider PSV Eindhoven to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Bayern München shows superior performance after the break (18 vs 12 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Bayern München winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Bayern München excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 8 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Bayern München scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.042
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.001
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.105
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (PSV Eindhoven):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bayern München):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
PSV Eindhoven vs Bayern München Head-to-head statistics for Wed 28 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Under/Over:
+2.5*
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
+1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
PSV Eindhoven
VS
Bayern München
4/6 (67%)
Victories
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.33
PPG
2.50
2.50
Avg Goals Scored
3.83
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
83%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
67%
1.91
Avg xG
2.95
PSV Eindhoven vs Bayern München: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for PSV Eindhoven and away matches for Bayern München
Number of goals
PSV Eindhoven
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
3.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
Both teams to score
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
1X2
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
1
70%
7
80%
8
X
10%
1
10%
1
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
12
90%
9
90%
9
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
30%
3
20%
2
Total Goals
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
0-1
0%
0
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
50%
5
80%
8
Total Corners
PSV Eindhoven
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
7.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
40%
4
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
xG
1.78
2.95
xGa
1.46
0.95
Number of goals
PSV Eindhoven
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
1X2
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
30%
3
50%
5
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
12
70%
7
50%
5
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
0-1
10%
1
50%
5
2-3
80%
8
50%
5
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
Number of goals
PSV Eindhoven
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
20%
2
80%
8
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
Both teams to score
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
1
60%
6
80%
8
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
40%
4
20%
2
Total Goals
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
0-1
60%
6
0%
0
2-3
30%
3
60%
6
4+
10%
1
40%
4
Clean Sheet
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Missing Players
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Groin Injury
-
Injured - Forearm injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Illness
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - Calf Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - Illness
-
Injured - (questionable) Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Calf Injury
1.93
xG
2.86
51%
Ball Possession
49%
15
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
5
9
Shots Off Goal
9
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
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