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Bristol City
0
2
Preston
Preston vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 9:00
Prediction League
13
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(19 total)
xG
1.20
(15.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.2
(145 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(32% acc)
Corners
4.5
(58 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.2
(132 total)
Offsides
1.6
(21 total)
13
Played
5
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(17 total)
xG
1.00
(12.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.5
(136 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(35% acc)
Corners
3.6
(47 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.2
(132 total)
Offsides
1.8
(23 total)
26
Played
11
Wins
10
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(36 total)
xG
1.10
(28.2 total)
Shots per Match
10.8
(281 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(33% acc)
Corners
4
(105 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10.2
(264 total)
Offsides
1.7
(44 total)
14
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(17 total)
xG
1.00
(14.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(144 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(34% acc)
Corners
5.7
(80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.7
(150 total)
Offsides
1.8
(25 total)
12
Played
5
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(18 total)
xG
0.80
(9.8 total)
Shots per Match
7.6
(91 total)
Shots on Target
2.7
(35% acc)
Corners
3.8
(45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.5
(150 total)
Offsides
0.9
(11 total)
26
Played
9
Wins
8
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(35 total)
xG
0.90
(23.9 total)
Shots per Match
9
(235 total)
Shots on Target
3.1
(34% acc)
Corners
4.8
(125 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
11.5
(300 total)
Offsides
1.4
(36 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.30 vs 1.22
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.82%
0:1
9.98%
0:2
5.65%
0:3
2.13%
⭐
0:4
0.6%
⭐
0:5
0.14%
⭐
1
1:0
10.69%
1:1
12.88%
🔥
1:2
7.73%
⭐
1:3
3.08%
⭐
1:4
0.92%
⭐
1:5
0.22%
⭐
2
2:0
6.48%
2:1
8.27%
2:2
5.25%
2:3
2.21%
⭐
2:4
0.69%
⭐
2:5
0.17%
⭐
3
3:0
2.62%
3:1
3.53%
3:2
2.36%
⭐
3:3
1.05%
⭐
3:4
0.34%
⭐
3:5
0.09%
4
4:0
0.79%
4:1
1.13%
4:2
0.79%
⭐
4:3
0.37%
⭐
4:4
0.13%
⭐
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.19%
5:1
0.29%
5:2
0.21%
⭐
5:3
0.1%
⭐
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.9%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Preston will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Deepdale.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Preston, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Preston or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-17
Time: 15:00
Location: Deepdale
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Preston vs Derby Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 9:00 Football
AI Value Bets
3 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Preston vs Derby Football 17 Jan, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Clinical Finishers
Both teams convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — expect goals from limited opportunities
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Preston vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Derby @ 3.40 ✅ 
Derby
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Derby are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
Preston
- Not WinH2H4/580%Preston have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
Derby demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.08 ⚠️ 
Preston(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/1267%Preston score (1.33/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 60%)
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/1070%Derby score (1.60/match) and concede (1.20/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.60 ⚠️ 
Derby(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H5/5100%Under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 H2H matches (100.0%%)
Combined 1.6 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
🛡️ Double Chance — Derby Win or Draw @ 1.67 ✅
Derby
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Derby are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H4/580%Derby are undefeated at half time in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
Preston
- Not WinH2H4/580%Preston have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Derby to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Derby Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.50 ⚠️
Derby
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
Derby's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.62 ✅
Preston(2 trends) — avg 2.2 (+12% above league)
- Many CardsH2H4/580%Preston receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Preston average 2.2 cards/match in all matches (+19% above league avg 1.8) — rank #3 in league
Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Both teams show aggressive play - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.62
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.02 ⚠️
Preston(1 trends) — avg 4.7 (-8% below league)
- Few CornersRecent18/2282%Preston win 4 or fewer corners in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
Derby(1 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague10/1076%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.02
+15 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Preston vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Preston
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Preston - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Preston - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Preston has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Preston handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.045
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.017
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Preston):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Preston vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
▼
12
8
5
42
24
18
44
4
▲
11
10
5
36
25
11
43
5
▲
12
7
7
29
33
-4
43
12
▲
10
7
9
37
38
-1
37
13
▼
9
8
9
35
35
0
35
14
▲
9
7
10
35
36
-1
34
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Derby
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Preston
VS
Derby
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.4 (2)
0.8 (4)
xG
0.50
0.50
Shots
9.2 (46)
11.4 (57)
Shots on Target
2.8 (14)
4.4 (22)
Corners
4.6 (23)
5.8 (29)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 (4)
0.4 (2)
xGa
0.50
0.50
Clean Sheets
2 (40%)
3 (60%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 (9)
1.4 (7)
Red Cards
0.2 (1)
0.2 (1)
Fouls
9.4 (47)
10 (50)
Offsides
2 (10)
2.6 (13)
Last 6 Matches
Preston
VS
Derby
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.83
PPG
1.33
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
50%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.84
Avg xG
0.90
Preston vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Preston and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Preston
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Preston
Derby
Yes
70%
7
80%
8
No
30%
3
20%
2
1X2
Preston
Derby
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Preston
Derby
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Preston
Derby
0-1
10%
1
10%
1
2-3
80%
8
80%
8
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Total Corners
Preston
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Preston
Derby
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Preston
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
40%
4
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Preston
Derby
xG
0.94
0.98
xGa
1.28
1.12
Number of goals
Preston
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Preston
Derby
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Preston
Derby
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Preston
Derby
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Preston
Derby
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Preston
Derby
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
Number of goals
Preston
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Preston
Derby
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
Preston
Derby
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
60%
6
40%
4
2
0%
0
30%
3
Double Chance
Preston
Derby
12
40%
4
60%
6
1X
100%
10
70%
7
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Preston
Derby
0-1
40%
4
60%
6
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Preston
Derby
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5