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Preston
Preston vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 10:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
4
9
3
6
26
14
12
30
5
8
6
4
25
19
6
30
6
8
5
5
26
20
6
29
10
6
8
4
23
20
3
26
11
7
5
6
25
25
0
26
12
7
4
7
20
22
-2
25
Last 6 Matches
Preston
VS
Derby
3/6 (50%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.83
PPG
2.00
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
83%
BTTS %
100%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.13
Avg xG
0.94
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.02
xG [Total: 1.92]
0.90
3
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
4
Corners [Total: 8]
4
1
Offsides [Total: 2]
1
10
Fouls [Total: 24]
13
3
Shots on Goal [Total: 6]
2
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Preston will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Deepdale.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Preston, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-17
Time: 15:00
Location: Deepdale
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Preston vs Derby Football 17 Jan, 2026 10:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
-
Clinical Finishing
Derby convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing
Comprehensive betting trends for Preston vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Preston(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Preston have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Derby
Derby(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Derby are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Preston
- Efficient ScoringRecent12/1580%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent23/3077%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/978%Derby score (1.44/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 78% of matches (league avg: 58%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H5/5100%Under 2.5 goals in their last 5 Championship H2H matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
🛡️ Double Chance
Preston(2 trends)
- Undefeated at HTH2H5/5100%Preston are undefeated at half time in their last 5 5 matches vs Derby
- Not WinH2H4/580%Preston have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Derby
Derby(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Derby are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Preston
- Undefeated at HTH2H4/580%Derby are undefeated at half time in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Preston
⚡ Team Total Goals
Preston(1 trends)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H4/580%Preston conceded under 1.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Derby
Derby(2 trends)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H5/5100%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in their last 5 5 matches vs Preston
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent23/3077%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Preston(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H4/580%Preston receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Derby
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Preston average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #2 in league
Derby(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Derby average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Derby receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Championship matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Derby receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 3.6 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Preston(2 trends) — avg 3.4 (-30% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/985%Preston average 3.4 corners/match at home (-30% below league avg 4.9)
- Few CornersRecent23/3077%Preston win 4 or fewer corners in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
Derby(2 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/976%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 4.9)
- Few CornersRecent12/1486%Derby win 4 or fewer corners in 12 of their last 14 Championship (Away) matches
Combined average: 7.8 corners/match (Preston 3.4 + Derby 4.4) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+24 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Preston vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Preston is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Preston is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: Derby is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Derby is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Preston is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: Derby is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Derby is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Preston
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Preston - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Preston - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Preston often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Preston scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Preston is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Preston to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Derby shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Derby winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Derby excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 4 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Derby scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Preston has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Preston handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.039
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.001
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Preston):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
Preston vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 10:00 Championship
Preston vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Preston and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Number of goals
Preston
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Preston
Derby
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
1X2
1X2
Preston
Derby
1
50%
5
60%
6
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Preston
Derby
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
50%
5
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Preston
Derby
0-1
10%
1
30%
3
2-3
70%
7
50%
5
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Preston
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Preston
Derby
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Preston
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Preston
Derby
xG
1.27
0.98
xGa
1.3
1.28
Number of goals
Number of goals
Preston
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Preston
Derby
Yes
50%
5
10%
1
No
50%
5
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Preston
Derby
1
20%
2
70%
7
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Preston
Derby
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
80%
8
30%
3
Total Goals
Total Goals
Preston
Derby
0-1
50%
5
80%
8
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Preston
Derby
Yes
30%
3
80%
8
No
70%
7
20%
2
Number of goals
Number of goals
Preston
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Preston
Derby
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Preston
Derby
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Preston
Derby
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Preston
Derby
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Preston
Derby
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Preston
Derby
Played:
5
Wins
1
1
Draws
2
2
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
2
0.4
Goals
0.8
4
4
0.8
Goals Conceded
0.4
2
9
1.8
Yellow Cards
1.4
7
1
0.2
Red Cards
0.2
1
2
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.6
3
23
4.6
Corners
5.8
29
47
9.4
Fouls
10
50
10
2
Offsides
2.6
13
46
9.2
Shots
11.4
57
14
2.8
Shots on Goal
4.4
22
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 9 | 1.1 | 10 | 1.1 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.6 | 23 | 2 | 18 | 2.3 | 41 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 31 | 3.3 | 30 | 3.4 | 61 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 95 | 9.7 | 87 | 10.1 | 182 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 10 | 1.6 | 14 | 1.3 | 24 |
| Shots | 10.6 | 95 | 10.7 | 96 | 10.6 | 191 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 27 | 4 | 36 | 3.5 | 63 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 20 | 2.7 | 24 | 2.4 | 44 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 44 | 3.9 | 35 | 4.4 | 79 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 106 | 13 | 117 | 12.4 | 223 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 17 | 0.9 | 8 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Shots | 9.1 | 82 | 7 | 63 | 8.1 | 145 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 27 | 2.4 | 22 | 2.7 | 49 |