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Form
Form
Championship 2025-2026 • Matchweek 38
Preview
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
22nd place
Form
VS
20:00
16 Mar 2026
Derby
Derby
6th place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Portsmouth vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 16 March, 2026 15:00

No prediction data available for this match.

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Championship 2025-2026
20:00
Portsmouth
:
Derby

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Portsmouth
d d w l l
17 Played
6 Wins
4 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (19 total)
xG
1.40 (23.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.8 (251 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (29% acc)
Corners
6 (102 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.2 (156 total)
Offsides
1.8 (30 total)
14 Played
2 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (9 total)
xG
0.70 (9.5 total)
Shots per Match
7.6 (107 total)
Shots on Target
2.5 (33% acc)
Corners
4.7 (66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.8 (151 total)
Offsides
1.4 (20 total)
31 Played
8 Wins
9 Draws
14 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (28 total)
xG
1.10 (33.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.5 (358 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (30% acc)
Corners
5.4 (168 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.9 (307 total)
Offsides
1.6 (50 total)
Derby
w d w l w
18 Played
5 Wins
6 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (22 total)
xG
0.90 (16.7 total)
Shots per Match
9.7 (175 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (34% acc)
Corners
5.3 (95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.3 (204 total)
Offsides
1.7 (31 total)
15 Played
8 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (26 total)
xG
1.00 (15.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.4 (141 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (34% acc)
Corners
3.7 (55 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.5 (188 total)
Offsides
1.1 (17 total)
33 Played
13 Wins
9 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (48 total)
xG
1.00 (31.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (316 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (34% acc)
Corners
4.5 (150 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.9 (392 total)
Offsides
1.5 (48 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Portsmouth will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 38 and will take place on 2026-03-16 at 2026-03-16 in the famous Fratton Park. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Portsmouth, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-16 Time: 20:00 Location: Fratton Park Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Portsmouth vs Derby Monday, Mar 16th, 2026 at 15:00 Football

No prediction data available for this match.

Trends for Portsmouth vs Derby Football 16 Mar, 2026 15:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Portsmouth create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Portsmouth rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Portsmouth vs Derby

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Portsmouth is stronger in the second half (15 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Portsmouth is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Portsmouth

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Derby

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.04

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Portsmouth - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Derby - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Portsmouth - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2

✈️ Derby - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Portsmouth shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 6 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Portsmouth winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Portsmouth excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 4 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Portsmouth scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.156
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.089
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.025 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.12

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Portsmouth):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Portsmouth
Derby

Portsmouth vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Mon 16 Mar, 2026 @ 15:00 Championship

Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
Hull City
w w w d l
>
31
16
6
9
50
43
7
54
6
Derby
w d w l w
>
32
13
9
10
47
39
8
48
7
Preston
l l d w d
>
32
12
12
8
40
36
4
48

21
West Brom
l d l d d
>
32
9
7
16
32
47
-15
34
22
Portsmouth
d d w l l
>
30
8
9
13
27
39
-12
33
23
Oxford United
w l l d l
>
32
6
10
16
28
44
-16
28
Portsmouth
VS
Derby
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
2 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (3)
2.3 (7)
xG
0.90
1.00
Shots
7.3 (22)
12.7 (38)
Shots on Target
2 (6)
5.3 (16)
Corners
4.3 (13)
4.3 (13)
Defense
Conceded
2.3 (7)
1 (3)
xGa
1.00
0.90
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 (7)
1.7 (5)
Fouls
7.7 (23)
10.7 (32)
Offsides
1 (3)
1 (3)
20 Dec
- 15:00
Derby
Portsmouth
0.55
xG
0.15
1
1
Prob 66%
Goals Total Under 2.5
Odd 1.67
12 Apr
- 14:00
Portsmouth
Derby
1.82
xG
1.43
2
2
13 Dec
- 20:00
Derby
Portsmouth
1.14
xG
0.60
4
0
Last 6 Matches
Portsmouth
VS
Derby
2/6 (33%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.33 PPG 2.17
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
33% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.51 Avg xG 1.24
Portsmouth
D D W L L
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 15:00
Portsmouth
0 1
Sheffield Utd
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 15:01
Preston
1 0
Portsmouth
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Portsmouth
3 0
West Brom
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 12:00
Portsmouth
1 1
Southampton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Watford
1 1
Portsmouth
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Sheffield Wednesday
0 1
Portsmouth
Derby
W D W L W
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 15:00
Derby
2 0
Swansea
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 12:31
Derby
1 2
Ipswich
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Bristol City
0 5
Derby
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Derby
1 1
West Brom
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Charlton
1 2
Derby
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Preston
0 1
Derby

Portsmouth vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Portsmouth and away matches for Derby

Number of goals
Portsmouth
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Portsmouth
Derby
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1X2
Portsmouth
Derby
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Portsmouth
Derby
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Portsmouth
Derby
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Total Corners
Portsmouth
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Portsmouth
Derby
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Portsmouth
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Portsmouth
Derby
xG
1.26
1.05
xGa
0.89
1.1
Number of goals
Portsmouth
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Portsmouth
Derby
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Portsmouth
Derby
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Portsmouth
Derby
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Portsmouth
Derby
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Portsmouth
Derby
Yes
70% 7
70% 7
No
30% 3
30% 3
Number of goals
Portsmouth
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Portsmouth
Derby
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Portsmouth
Derby
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Portsmouth
Derby
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Portsmouth
Derby
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Portsmouth
Derby
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
0.96 xG 1.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
Portsmouth Dominates Swansea City 4-0 in Championship Match
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