Parma vs Lazio: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 13 December, 2025 11:00
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Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
Parma
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Parma vs Lazio Saturday, Dec 13th, 2025 at 11:00 Football
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Trends for Parma vs Lazio Football 13 Dec, 2025 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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🧱
Defensive Fortress
Lazio have league's best defense — hard to break down
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Toothless Attack
Lazio struggle to score — failed to find net in 7/7 recent away matches
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Parma vs Lazio, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Lazio @ 2.16 ✅ 
✅Lazio
- Efficient ScoringH2H2/2100%Lazio efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A matches vs Parma
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Lazio concede only 0.86 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
❌Parma
- Not WinRecent25/3083%Parma have not won in 25 of their last 30 Serie A matches
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Parma have not won in 12 of their last 15 Serie A (Home) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.83 ⚠️ 
Lazio(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague7/7100%Lazio struggle to score in away matches (0.43/match) - fail to score in 100% of matches

Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H2/2100%Both teams scored in their last 2 Serie A H2H matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.31 ⚠️ 

Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/2100%Over 2.5 goals in their last 2 Serie A H2H matches
🛡️ Double Chance — Lazio Win or Draw @ 1.31 ✅ 
✅Lazio
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Lazio concede only 0.86 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent12/1580%Lazio are undefeated at half time in 12 of their last 15 Serie A (Away) matches
❌Parma
- Not WinRecent25/3083%Parma have not won in 25 of their last 30 Serie A matches
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Parma have not won in 12 of their last 15 Serie A (Home) matches
⚡ Team Total Goals — Parma Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.60 ✅ 
✅Parma
- Scored 1+H2H2/2100%Parma scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches vs Lazio
- Scored 2+H2H2/2100%Parma scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches vs Lazio
- First Half SpecialistsH2H2/2100%Parma score in first half in their last 2 2 matches vs Lazio
- Second Half SpecialistsH2H2/2100%Parma score in second half in their last 2 2 matches vs Lazio
❌Lazio
- Weak AttackLeague7/7100%Lazio struggle to score in away matches (0.43/match) - fail to score in 100% of matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Parma(1 trends)
- Many CardsH2H2/2100%Parma receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A matches vs Lazio
Lazio(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague13/1389%Lazio average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-16% below league avg 2.0) — rank #5 lowest in league
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.72 ✅ 
Parma(3 trends) — avg 3.0 (-32% below league)
- Few CornersH2H2/2100%Parma win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A matches vs Lazio
- Few CornersLeague7/785%Parma average 3.0 corners/match at home (-32% below league avg 4.4)
- Few CornersRecent12/1486%Parma win 4 or fewer corners in 12 of their last 14 Serie A (Home) matches
Lazio(2 trends) — avg 2.8 (-37% below league)
- Corner DominanceH2H2/2100%Lazio dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A matches vs Parma
- Few CornersLeague7/785%Lazio average 2.8 corners/match in away matches (-37% below league avg 4.4)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Parma vs Lazio
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Parma
✈️ Lazio
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Parma - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Lazio - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Parma - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Lazio - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Lazio has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Lazio handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Parma):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lazio):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Parma vs Lazio Head-to-head statistics for Sat 13 Dec, 2025 @ 11:00 Serie A
Parma vs Lazio: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Parma and away matches for Lazio
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2.8% Low N/A | 4.1% Low 9.30 |
| -2 | 6.9% Low N/A | 9.2% Low 8.30 |
| -1.5 | 10.9% Low 8.70 | 14.3% Low 4.25 |
| -1 | 21.1% Low 7.70 | 25.7% Low 3.26 |
| -0.5 | 31.2% Low 3.63 | 37.1% Low 2.09 |
| +0.5 | 62.9% Medium 1.82 | 68.8% Medium 1.32 |
| +1 | 74.3% High 1.39 | 78.9% High 1.05 |
| +1.5 | 85.8% High 1.24 | 89.1% High 1.02 |
| +2 | 90.8% High 1.02 | 93.1% High N/A |
| +2.5 | 95.9% High 1.05 | 97.2% High N/A |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 23.12% | Low | 3.60 |
| Under 1.5 | 76.88% | High | 1.31 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 27.16% | Low | 2.34 |
| Under 1.5 | 72.84% | High | 1.63 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 6.45% | Low | 11.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 93.55% | High | 1.06 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 8.40% | Low | 5.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 91.60% | High | 1.17 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
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| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.9 | 6 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.7 | 9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 10 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.3 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 1.7 | 22 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 3 | 21 | 3.2 | 19 | 3.1 | 40 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 74 | 10.8 | 65 | 10.7 | 139 |
| Offsides | 1.7 | 12 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.2 | 16 |
| Shots | 10.7 | 75 | 10.3 | 62 | 10.5 | 137 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.4 | 17 | 3.7 | 22 | 3 | 39 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 12 | 0.4 | 3 | 1.2 | 15 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 4 | 0.9 | 6 | 0.8 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.2 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 1.6 | 21 |
| Red Cards | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.7 | 4 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.5 | 7 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 31 | 2 | 14 | 3.5 | 45 |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 62 | 10.9 | 76 | 10.6 | 138 |
| Offsides | 0.3 | 2 | 0.9 | 6 | 0.6 | 8 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 79 | 8.4 | 59 | 10.6 | 138 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.3 | 26 | 3.7 | 26 | 4 | 52 |


Serie A 2025-2026