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Serie A 2025-2026 | Matchweek 15
13 Dec 2025-17:00
Parma
Parma
17th place
- : -
13 Dec 2025 11:00
Lazio
Lazio
8th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Parma vs Lazio: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 13 December, 2025 11:00

1×2 Prediction
Lazio
30%31%39%
ParmaDrawLazio
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
66%34%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
59%41%
NoYes
Team Total - Parma
Under 1.5
76%24%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Lazio
Under 1.5
69%31%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/Lazio
70%30%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Parma +1
74%26%
Home +1NOT Home +1
Best Tip Value
Goals Over/Under -2.5
Odds: 1.72
66.5%
EV: +14.4%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.91 vs 1.02
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
14.67%
0:1
14.82%
🔥
0:2
7.49%
0:3
2.52%
0:4
0.64%
0:5
0.13%
1
1:0
13.21%
1:1
13.49%
1:2
6.88%
1:3
2.34%
1:4
0.6%
1:5
0.12%
2
2:0
5.95%
2:1
6.14%
2:2
3.16%
2:3
1.09%
2:4
0.28%
2:5
0.06%
3
3:0
1.79%
3:1
1.86%
3:2
0.97%
3:3
0.34%
3:4
0.09%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
0.4%
4:1
0.42%
4:2
0.22%
4:3
0.08%
4:4
0.02%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.07%
5:1
0.08%
5:2
0.04%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:1 (14.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

14.7%
0
28.0%
1
26.9%
2
17.3%
3
8.4%
4
3.3%
5
1.0%
6
0.3%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Parma
vs
Lazio
Dec 13, 17:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
Juventus
w w d d w
>
13
6
5
2
17
12
5
23
8
Lazio
d w l w l
>
13
5
3
5
15
10
5
18
9
Udinese
l w l l w
>
13
5
3
5
14
20
-6
18

16
Genoa
l w d d w
>
13
2
5
6
13
20
-7
11
17
Parma
l l d w l
>
13
2
5
6
9
17
-8
11
18
Pisa
d d w d l
>
13
1
7
5
10
18
-8
10
Last 6 Matches
Parma
VS
Lazio
1/6 (17%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.83 PPG 1.67
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.50
67% BTTS % 0%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.11 Avg xG 0.85
Parma
L L D W L
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Parma
0 2
Udinese
Serie A 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 11:30
Verona
1 2
Parma
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Parma
2 2
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
2 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Parma
1 3
Bologna
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Oct 2025 - 17:30
AS Roma
2 1
Parma
Serie A 2025-2026
25 Oct 2025 - 13:00
Parma
0 0
Como
Lazio
D W L W L
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 19:45
AC Milan
1 0
Lazio
Serie A 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Lazio
2 0
Lecce
Serie A 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Inter
2 0
Lazio
Serie A 2025-2026
3 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Lazio
2 0
Cagliari
Serie A 2025-2026
30 Oct 2025 - 19:45
Pisa
0 0
Lazio
Serie A 2025-2026
26 Oct 2025 - 19:45
Lazio
1 0
Juventus
Missing Players
Parma
Lazio
4
d
- Injured - Sprained ankle
32% Draw 37%
34% Over 2.5 66%
41% Both Teams Score 59%
1.41 xPTS 1.59
0.91 xG [Total: 1.93] 1.02
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 3
3 Corners [Total: 7] 3
1 Offsides [Total: 3] 1
11 Fouls [Total: 23] 12
3 Shots on Goal [Total: 7] 4
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Parma will take on Lazio as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-13 at 2025-12-13 in the famous Stadio Ennio Tardini. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Parma, and the visiting side, Lazio. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Lazio and -3.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-13 Time: 17:00 Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Parma vs Lazio Saturday, Dec 13th, 2025 at 11:00 Football

Value Bets

6 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip Value
Goals O/U Under 2.5
Odds: 1.72
66.5%
EV: +14.4% Kelly: $9.97
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Value
Away Total Lazio Under 1.5
Odds: 1.63
69.4%
EV: +13.1% Kelly: $10.38
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Value
BTTS No
Odds: 1.83
59.3%
EV: +8.5% Kelly: $5.10
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Value
Asian Handicap Parma +1.5
Odds: 1.24
85.8%
EV: +6.3% Kelly: $13.19
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Value
Asian Handicap Parma +1
Odds: 1.39
74.3%
EV: +3.3% Kelly: $4.24
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 02:28:16
spinner

Trends for Parma vs Lazio Football 13 Dec, 2025 11:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Lazio have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Lazio struggle to score — failed to find net in 7/7 recent away matches

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Parma vs Lazio

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Parma

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Lazio

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Parma - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ Lazio - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Parma - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Lazio - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Lazio has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Lazio handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.003
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.07
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Parma):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lazio):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Parma
Lazio

Parma vs Lazio Head-to-head statistics for Sat 13 Dec, 2025 @ 11:00 Serie A

Parma vs Lazio: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Parma and away matches for Lazio

Number of goals

Number of goals
Parma
Under
Over
Lazio
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Parma
Lazio
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Parma
Lazio
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
40% 4
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Parma
Lazio
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
80% 8
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Parma
Lazio
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
20% 2
10% 1

Total Corners

Total Corners
Parma
Under
Over
Lazio
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Parma
Lazio
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Parma
Lazio
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
30% 3
20% 2

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Parma
Lazio
xG
0.96
0.81
xGa
1.13
1.5

Number of goals

Number of goals
Parma
Under
Over
Lazio
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Parma
Lazio
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Parma
Lazio
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
30% 3
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Parma
Lazio
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
80% 8
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Parma
Lazio
0-1
80% 8
80% 8
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Parma
Lazio
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3

Number of goals

Number of goals
Parma
Under
Over
Lazio
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Parma
Lazio
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Parma
Lazio
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
30% 3
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Parma
Lazio
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
90% 9
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Parma
Lazio
0-1
60% 6
80% 8
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Parma
Lazio
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
Team comparison
Prediction
-2.5 goals
Under/Over: -3.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
2.8%
Low
N/A
4.1%
Low
9.30
-2
6.9%
Low
N/A
9.2%
Low
8.30
-1.5
10.9%
Low
8.70
14.3%
Low
4.25
-1
21.1%
Low
7.70
25.7%
Low
3.26
-0.5
31.2%
Low
3.63
37.1%
Low
2.09
+0.5
62.9%
Medium
1.82
68.8%
Medium
1.32
+1
74.3%
High
1.39
78.9%
High
1.05
+1.5
85.8%
High
1.24
89.1%
High
1.02
+2
90.8%
High
1.02
93.1%
High
N/A
+2.5
95.9%
High
1.05
97.2%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.523.12%Low3.60
Under 1.576.88%High1.31
AwayOver 1.527.16%Low2.34
Under 1.572.84%High1.63
HomeOver 2.56.45%Low11.00
Under 2.593.55%High1.06
AwayOver 2.58.40%Low5.50
Under 2.591.60%High1.17
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
28 Apr
- 18:45
Lazio
Parma
1.44
xG
0.87
2
2
1 Dec
- 14:00
Parma
Lazio
1.55
xG
2.60
3
1
club logo
Parma
Lazio
Played: 2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
5
2.5
Goals
1.5
3
3
1.5
Goals Conceded
2.5
5
7
3.5
Yellow Cards
2
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
5
2.5
Corners
7.5
15
28
14
Fouls
12.5
25
1
0.5
Offsides
4.5
9
19
9.5
Shots
18.5
37
9
4.5
Shots on Goal
7.5
15
Home Away All
Played 7 6 13
Wins 1 1 2
Draws 3 2 5
Losses 3 3 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.9 6 0.5 3 0.7 9
Goals Conceded 1.4 10 1.2 7 1.3 17
Yellow Cards 1.4 10 2 12 1.7 22
Red Cards 0.3 2 0.2 1 0.2 3
Clean Sheets 0.1 1 0.3 2 0.2 3
Corners 3 21 3.2 19 3.1 40
Fouls 10.6 74 10.8 65 10.7 139
Offsides 1.7 12 0.7 4 1.2 16
Shots 10.7 75 10.3 62 10.5 137
Shots on Goal 2.4 17 3.7 22 3 39
Home Away All
Played 6 7 13
Wins 4 1 5
Draws 1 2 3
Losses 1 4 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 12 0.4 3 1.2 15
Goals Conceded 0.7 4 0.9 6 0.8 10
Yellow Cards 1.2 7 2 14 1.6 21
Red Cards 0.2 1 0 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.7 4 0.4 3 0.5 7
Corners 5.2 31 2 14 3.5 45
Fouls 10.3 62 10.9 76 10.6 138
Offsides 0.3 2 0.9 6 0.6 8
Shots 13.2 79 8.4 59 10.6 138
Shots on Goal 4.3 26 3.7 26 4 52
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