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Serie A 2025-2026 • Matchweek 21
Preview
Parma
Parma
14th place
Form
VS
11:30
18 Jan 2026
Genoa
Genoa
15th place
Form
AI Prediction Draw or Genoa
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Parma vs Genoa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 18 January, 2026 5:30

Winner (1x2)3.04
Genoa to Win
Probability 45%
Total Goals1.53
Under 2.5
Probability 52%
Both Teams to Score2.15
Yes
Probability 55%
Parma Total1.08
Home Under 2.5
Probability 89%
Genoa Total1.36
Away Under 1.5
Probability 55%
Double Chance1.46
Draw/Genoa
Probability 71%
Asian Handicap1.45
Genoa +0.5
Probability 73%
Best Tip
Value
Double Chance Draw or Genoa
Odds 1.46
Win Prob. 71.3% EV: +4.1%
Bet Now
Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
11:30
Parma W 29%
:
Genoa W 45%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Parma
w d l w d
10 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (7 total)
xG
0.90 (9.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.9 (109 total)
Shots on Target
2.4 (22% acc)
Corners
3.1 (31 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
10.2 (102 total)
Offsides
1.5 (15 total)
10 Played
3 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (7 total)
xG
0.90 (9.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (103 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (31% acc)
Corners
3 (30 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.8 (108 total)
Offsides
0.7 (7 total)
20 Played
5 Wins
7 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (14 total)
xG
0.90 (18.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.6 (212 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (26% acc)
Corners
3.1 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
10.5 (210 total)
Offsides
1.1 (22 total)
Genoa
l l d d w
11 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (9 total)
xG
1.10 (11.7 total)
Shots per Match
11 (121 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (35% acc)
Corners
3.2 (35 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14 (154 total)
Offsides
1.5 (16 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (13 total)
xG
1.20 (10.6 total)
Shots per Match
10 (90 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (39% acc)
Corners
3.1 (28 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.6 (113 total)
Offsides
1.8 (16 total)
20 Played
4 Wins
7 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (22 total)
xG
1.10 (22.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.6 (211 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (36% acc)
Corners
3.2 (63 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
13.4 (267 total)
Offsides
1.6 (32 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.12 vs 1.53
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.89%
0:1
11.25%
0:2
8.02%
0:3
3.81%
0:4
1.36%
0:5
0.39%
1
1:0
8.01%
1:1
12.25%
🔥
1:2
9.32%
1:3
4.71%
1:4
1.78%
1:5
0.53%
2
2:0
4.07%
2:1
6.64%
2:2
5.37%
2:3
2.88%
2:4
1.15%
2:5
0.36%
3
3:0
1.38%
3:1
2.39%
3:2
2.05%
3:3
1.16%
3:4
0.49%
3:5
0.16%
4
4:0
0.35%
4:1
0.64%
4:2
0.58%
4:3
0.35%
4:4
0.15%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0.07%
5:1
0.14%
5:2
0.13%
5:3
0.08%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

7.9%
0
19.3%
1
24.3%
2
21.1%
3
14.2%
4
7.8%
5
3.6%
6
1.3%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

ParmaHDPGenoa
2.8%
Very Low@ 15.50
-2.5
8.6%
@ 15.50Very Low
6.3%
Very Low@ 14.00
-2
15.6%
@ 15.00Very Low
9.9%
Very Low@ 6.40
-1.5
22.6%
@ 6.60Low
18.4%
Very Low@ 5.50
-1
34.5%
@ 5.75Low
26.9%
Low@ 2.88
-0.5
46.5%
@ 2.99Medium
53.5%
Medium@ 1.44
+0.5
73.1%
@ 1.45High
65.5%
High@ 1.15
+1
81.6%
@ 1.16Very High
77.4%
High@ 1.11
+1.5
90.1%
@ 1.12Very High
84.4%
Very High@ 1.01
+2
93.7%
@ 1.01Very High
91.4%
Very High@ 1.02
+2.5
97.2%
@ 1.01Very High

Team Total Predictions

ParmaOutcomeGenoa
67.4%
High@ 1.44
Over 0.5
78.4%
@ 1.46High
32.6%
Low@ 2.85
Under 0.5
21.7%
@ 2.88Low
30.8%
Low@ 3.30
Over 1.5
45.2%
@ 3.25Medium
69.2%
High@ 1.38
Under 1.5
54.8%
@ 1.37Medium
10.4%
Very Low@ 9.00
Over 2.5
19.9%
@ 9.30Very Low
89.6%
Very High@ 1.08
Under 2.5
80.1%
@ 1.07Very High
2.7%
Very Low@ 26.00
Over 3.5
7.0%
@ 26.00Very Low
97.3%
Very High@ 1.02
Under 3.5
93.1%
@ 1.02Very High
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Parma will take on Genoa as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-01-18 at 2026-01-18 in the famous Stadio Ennio Tardini. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Parma, and the visiting side, Genoa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Genoa. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-18 Time: 11:30 Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Parma vs Genoa Sunday, Jan 18th, 2026 at 5:30 Football

AI Value Bets
4 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

Upgrade to Premium
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 73.4%
EV: +8.6%
Stake: $5.21
1.48
Win to Nil Parma NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 87%
EV: +4.4%
Stake: $10.00
1.20
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 71.3%
EV: +4.1%
Stake: $5.43
1.46
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 71.3%
EV: +3.4%
Stake: $5.56
1.45
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 09:00:21
spinner

Trends for Parma vs Genoa Football 18 Jan, 2026 5:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Parma vs Genoa

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Parma

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Genoa

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.39
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Parma - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

✈️ Genoa - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Parma - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
0
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Genoa - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.363
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.046
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Parma):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Genoa):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Parma
Genoa

Parma vs Genoa Head-to-head statistics for Sun 18 Jan, 2026 @ 5:30 Serie A

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
13
Cremonese
d l l d l
>
20
5
7
8
20
28
-8
22
14
Parma
w d l w d
>
20
5
7
8
14
22
-8
22
15
Genoa
l l d d w
>
20
4
7
9
22
29
-7
19
16
Cagliari
d w l d l
>
20
4
7
9
21
30
-9
19
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Genoa
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Parma
VS
Genoa
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0 (0)
0.7 (2)
xG
0.50
1.30
Shots
7.7 (23)
17 (51)
Shots on Target
1 (3)
6 (18)
Corners
4 (12)
5 (15)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 (2)
0 (0)
xGa
1.30
0.50
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
3 (100%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 (9)
3 (9)
Red Cards
0.3 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
9.3 (28)
14.3 (43)
Offsides
1.3 (4)
2 (6)
19 Oct
- 13:00
Genoa
Parma
1.37
xG
0.05
0
0
Prob 79%
Home Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.56
12 Jan
- 11:30
Genoa
Parma
1.19
xG
0.46
1
0
4 Nov
- 17:30
Parma
Genoa
1.11
xG
1.39
0
1
Last 6 Matches
Parma
VS
Genoa
2/6 (33%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.33 PPG 0.83
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
33% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.72 Avg xG 0.79
Parma
W D L W D
Serie A 2025-2026
14 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Napoli
0 0
Parma
Serie A 2025-2026
11 Jan 2026 - 11:30
Lecce
1 2
Parma
Serie A 2025-2026
7 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Parma
0 2
Inter
Serie A 2025-2026
3 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Sassuolo
1 1
Parma
Serie A 2025-2026
27 Dec 2025 - 11:30
Parma
1 0
Fiorentina
Serie A 2025-2026
13 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Parma
0 1
Lazio
Genoa
L L D D W
Serie A 2025-2026
12 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Genoa
3 0
Cagliari
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Jan 2026 - 19:45
AC Milan
1 1
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
3 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Genoa
1 1
Pisa
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Dec 2025 - 19:45
AS Roma
3 1
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Genoa
0 1
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Genoa
1 2
Inter

Parma vs Genoa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Parma and away matches for Genoa

Number of goals
Parma
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Parma
Genoa
Yes
40% 4
80% 8
No
60% 6
20% 2
1X2
Parma
Genoa
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Parma
Genoa
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Parma
Genoa
0-1
40% 4
10% 1
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
10% 1
30% 3
Total Corners
Parma
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Parma
Genoa
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Parma
Genoa
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Parma
Genoa
xG
0.98
1.13
xGa
1.36
1.46
Number of goals
Parma
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Parma
Genoa
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2
Parma
Genoa
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Parma
Genoa
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Parma
Genoa
0-1
80% 8
40% 4
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Parma
Genoa
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
Number of goals
Parma
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Parma
Genoa
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Parma
Genoa
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Parma
Genoa
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Parma
Genoa
0-1
80% 8
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Parma
Genoa
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
0.98 xG 1.61
53% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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