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Form
Serie A 2025-2026 • Matchweek 17 27 Dec 2025 - 11:30
Finished
Parma
Parma
14th place
Form
1 : 0
0.95
xG
1.23
Full Time
Half Time: 0-0
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
18th place
Form
48'
O. Sørensen
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

Parma vs Fiorentina Football Match Stats & Results Saturday, 27 December, 2025 5:30

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
1'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
10'
Winner (1x2)-
Fiorentina to Win
Probability 39%
Total Goals1.74
Under 2.5
Probability 58%
Both Teams to Score1.91
Yes
Probability 54%
Parma Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 88%
Fiorentina Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 85%
Double Chance1.36
Draw/Fiorentina
Probability 67%
Asian Handicap-
Fiorentina +2.5
Probability 96%

Parma vs Fiorentina: A Crucial Clash in Serie A

Stakes Are High for Both Teams

This match between Parma and Fiorentina is pivotal for both sides as they occupy the lower end of the Serie A table. Currently, Parma sits in 17th place with 14 points, while Fiorentina is struggling at the bottom in 20th with just 9 points. A win for either team could provide a much-needed boost in their fight against relegation.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams are in dire form, but recent performances tell different stories.

  • Parma: The home side has struggled significantly at their fortress, going winless in their last five home matches. They have managed only two draws and three losses, scoring a mere 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.6, which highlights their vulnerability at the back.
  • Fiorentina: The visitors have seen a mixed bag of results recently, with their last match being a resounding 5-1 victory against Udinese. However, their away form has been poor, as they have not secured a win in their last five away games, averaging only 0.8 goals scored while conceding 2.4.

Head-to-Head

The historical matchups between these two teams have been closely contested, with no wins for either side in the last two games. Both encounters ended in draws (0-0 and 1-1), indicating a tendency for stalemates when they meet.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Parma will need to solidify their defense, especially with A. Circati ruled out due to injury. The home side's reliance on a disciplined backline will be tested against Fiorentina's attacking prowess. Fiorentina, meanwhile, will look to exploit their midfield presence, particularly with N. Fagioli available after injury. His ability to control the tempo could be crucial as they seek to break down Parma's defense. Without R. Mandragora, Fiorentina might lack some balance, but the return of Fagioli offers a glimmer of hope.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Draw. The statistical model indicates a fairly evenly matched contest with probabilities suggesting a tight game.
Predicted Score: 1:1.
Reasoning: Given both teams' struggles to secure wins and the lack of firepower in their recent performances, a draw seems the most plausible outcome, especially with the head-to-head history favoring stalemates.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the provided statistics reveals some intriguing betting opportunities.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Goals Over/Under - Under 1.5 @ 1.58 (63.7%). This bet reflects the statistical model's confidence in a low-scoring affair given both teams' recent goal-scoring woes.
  • Value Bet: Match Winner - Draw @ 3.25 (28%). The implied probability for a draw is significantly lower than the statistical prediction, making it a valuable bet despite its lower confidence level.

Bet responsibly.

Parma
Fiorentina
A. Circati
Yellow Card 20'
A. Circati
Handling
22' Yellow Card
R. Mandragora
Tripping
R. Mandragora
46' Substitute
In:N. Fortini
Out:M. Viti
N. Fortini
O. Sørensen
Goal 1:0 48'
O. Sørensen
Assistant: Mateo Pellegrino
63' Substitute
In:R. Piccoli
Out:R. Mandragora
R. Piccoli
N. Estévez
Substitute 68'
In:N. Estévez
Out:J. Ondrejka
G. Oristanio
Substitute 68'
In:G. Oristanio
Out:A. Benedyczak
76' Substitute
In:S. Sohm
Out:C. Ndour
S. Sohm
76' Substitute
In:R. Gosens
Out:F. Parisi
R. Gosens
C. Ordoñez
Substitute 81'
In:C. Ordoñez
Out:Adrián Bernabé
86' Substitute
In:E. Kouadio
Out:P. Comuzzo
E. Kouadio
E. Corvi
Yellow Card 86'
E. Corvi
Delay of game
90' +3' Yellow Card
M. Pongračić
Holding
M. Pongračić
B. Cremaschi
Substitute 90' +4'
In:B. Cremaschi
Out:L. Keita
M. Đurić
Substitute 90' +4'
In:M. Đurić
Out:Mateo Pellegrino

Parma vs Fiorentina: A Crucial Clash in Serie A

Stakes Are High for Both Teams

This match between Parma and Fiorentina is pivotal for both sides as they occupy the lower end of the Serie A table. Currently, Parma sits in 17th place with 14 points, while Fiorentina is struggling at the bottom in 20th with just 9 points. A win for either team could provide a much-needed boost in their fight against relegation.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams are in dire form, but recent performances tell different stories.

  • Parma: The home side has struggled significantly at their fortress, going winless in their last five home matches. They have managed only two draws and three losses, scoring a mere 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.6, which highlights their vulnerability at the back.
  • Fiorentina: The visitors have seen a mixed bag of results recently, with their last match being a resounding 5-1 victory against Udinese. However, their away form has been poor, as they have not secured a win in their last five away games, averaging only 0.8 goals scored while conceding 2.4.

Head-to-Head

The historical matchups between these two teams have been closely contested, with no wins for either side in the last two games. Both encounters ended in draws (0-0 and 1-1), indicating a tendency for stalemates when they meet.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Parma will need to solidify their defense, especially with A. Circati ruled out due to injury. The home side's reliance on a disciplined backline will be tested against Fiorentina's attacking prowess. Fiorentina, meanwhile, will look to exploit their midfield presence, particularly with N. Fagioli available after injury. His ability to control the tempo could be crucial as they seek to break down Parma's defense. Without R. Mandragora, Fiorentina might lack some balance, but the return of Fagioli offers a glimmer of hope.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Draw. The statistical model indicates a fairly evenly matched contest with probabilities suggesting a tight game.
Predicted Score: 1:1.
Reasoning: Given both teams' struggles to secure wins and the lack of firepower in their recent performances, a draw seems the most plausible outcome, especially with the head-to-head history favoring stalemates.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the provided statistics reveals some intriguing betting opportunities.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Goals Over/Under - Under 1.5 @ 1.58 (63.7%). This bet reflects the statistical model's confidence in a low-scoring affair given both teams' recent goal-scoring woes.
  • Value Bet: Match Winner - Draw @ 3.25 (28%). The implied probability for a draw is significantly lower than the statistical prediction, making it a valuable bet despite its lower confidence level.

Bet responsibly.

Parma vs Fiorentina Formation Lineups for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 5:30 Serie A

Formation
7
Parma
4-3-3
6.7
Fiorentina
3-5-2
E. Corvi
7.7
Corvi 40
E. Valeri
7.2
Valeri 14
L. Valenti
7.3
Valenti 5
A. Circati
7.3
Circati 39
Sascha Britschgi
6.6
Britschgi 27
O. Sørensen
7
Sørensen 22
L. Keita
6.9
90'
Keita 16
Adrián Bernabé
7.2
81'
Bernabé 10
J. Ondrejka
6.7
68'
Ondrejka 17
Mateo Pellegrino
7.2
90'
Pellegrino 9
A. Benedyczak
7
68'
Benedyczak 7
David de Gea
6.9
Gea 43
M. Pongračić
7
Pongračić 5
P. Comuzzo
7.2
86'
Comuzzo 15
Dodô
7.3
Dodô 2
M. Viti
6.3
46'
Viti 26
C. Ndour
6.7
76'
Ndour 27
N. Fagioli
6.9
Fagioli 44
R. Mandragora
6.7
63'
Mandragora 8
F. Parisi
7.2
76'
Parisi 65
A. Guðmundsson
7
Guðmundsson 10
M. Kean
6.2
Kean 20
field field
Substitutes
Estévez
6.6
68'
Estévez 8
Oristanio
6.9
68'
Oristanio 21
Ordoñez
6.7
81'
Ordoñez 24
Cremaschi
90'
Cremaschi 25
Đurić
90'
Đurić 30
Fortini
6.3
46'
Fortini 29
Piccoli
6.3
63'
Piccoli 91
Sohm
6.5
76'
Sohm 7
Gosens
6.6
76'
Gosens 21
Kouadio
6.7
86'
Kouadio 60
LineUps
Parma
40
g
86'
7.7
6.6
39
d
20'
7.3
7.3
14
m
7.2
81'
7.2
16
m
90'
6.9
48'
7
68'
7
90'
7.2
68'
6.7
Substitutes
68'
6.6
68'
6.9
66
g
23
m
18
d
90'
81'
6.7
19
f
32
f
30
f
90'
Fiorentina
6.9
2
m
7.3
15
d
86'
7.2
90'
7
65
d
76'
7.2
22'63'
6.7
44
m
6.9
27
m
76'
6.7
26
d
46'
6.3
20
f
6.2
Substitutes
29
d
46'
6.3
91
f
63'
6.3
23
d
60
d
86'
6.7
21
m
76'
6.6
7
m
76'
6.5
99
f
9
f
Coach
Missing Players
Parma
39
d
- Injured - Leg Injury
20
f
- Injured - Knee Injury
3
d
- Injured - Groin Injury
31
g
- Injured - Finger Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
Fiorentina
22
f
- Injured - Ankle Injury
21
m
- Injured - Thigh Injury
48
m
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Calf Injury
- Injured - Inactive

Parma vs Fiorentina Head-to-head statistics for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 5:30 Serie A

Parma
Fiorentina
Off Target 8 Blocked 3
On Target 2
On Target 4
Off Target 19 Blocked 7
1 Goals 0
42 Ball Possession 58
13 Shots 23
2 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 12
3 Blocked Shots 7
9 Shots insidebox 14
4 Shots outsidebox 9
325 Total passes 454
80 Passes accurate % 87
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
10 Fouls 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Offsides 3
5 Corners 6
0.95 Expected Goals 1.23

Stats for Parma vs Fiorentina Saturday, Dec 27th, 2025 at 5:30 Football

Parma
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Fiorentina
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Best Players of the Match
1
E. Corvi
7.7
Goalkeeper
2
A. Circati
Defender
7.3
3
Dodô
Defender
7.3
4
F. Parisi
Defender
7.2