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Ligue 1 2025-2026 | Matchweek 15
6 Dec 2025-20:05
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
2nd place
- : -
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Rennes
Rennes
5th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 14:05

1×2 Prediction
Paris Saint Germain
68%19%13%
Paris Saint GermainDrawRennes
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
65%35%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
59%41%
YesNo
Team Total - Paris Saint Germain
Under 2.5
59%41%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Rennes
Under 1.5
71%29%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain/Draw
87%13%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Rennes +1.5
60%40%
Away +1.5NOT Away +1.5
Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap Rennes +2
Odds: 1.62
69.8%
EV: +13.1%
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ACCA Safe Tip High Safety
Asian Handicap Rennes +2.5
Odds: 1.42
79.4%
EV: +12.7%
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Paris Saint Germain vs. Rennes: Clash of Ligue 1 Rivals

Key Matchup in Ligue 1

This encounter between Paris Saint Germain (PSG) and Rennes carries significant stakes as PSG aims to keep pressure on league leaders while Rennes seeks to solidify its position in the top five. Currently, PSG sits in second place with 30 points, just ahead of Rennes, which holds fifth with 24 points.

Current Form & Trends

Recent performances indicate contrasting trends for both teams as they prepare for this crucial matchup.

  • Paris Saint Germain: Following a recent loss to Monaco, PSG has shown vulnerability, particularly in their last match. However, their home form remains strong, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per game and only 0.6 conceded. Their attacking prowess at home remains a critical asset.
  • Rennes: Rennes enters this match on a positive note, boasting an unbeaten streak in their last five games, including four wins. Their ability to score an average of 2.4 goals per match highlights their offensive capabilities, though their away form has seen mixed results, with 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Head-to-Head

The historical matchup between PSG and Rennes has been competitive, with PSG winning four out of the last eight encounters. However, Rennes has been a challenging opponent, claiming three victories, including a notable 4-1 win in their last meeting. The average goals per head-to-head matches stand at 2.63, indicating a potential for a high-scoring affair.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Stylistically, PSG tends to dominate possession, utilizing their offensive talents to break down defenses. Key players like Vitinha and B. Barcola will be crucial in orchestrating the midfield and creating chances. On the other hand, Rennes will likely adopt a more counter-attacking approach, looking to exploit any gaps left by PSG’s attacking play. E. Lepaul could emerge as a pivotal figure for Rennes, aiming to capitalize on counter opportunities and test PSG’s defense.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Home Win.
Predicted Score: Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Rennes
Reasoning: Despite recent struggles, PSG's strong home form and superior xG suggest they will edge out a resilient Rennes side.

Betting Tips

  • Safe Bet: Match Winner - Home @ 1.33 (68.1%).
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.42 (65.3%).

Bet responsibly.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.25 vs 1.18
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.8%
0:1
4%
0:2
2.1%
0:3
0.74%
0:4
0.19%
0:5
0.04%
1
1:0
8.06%
1:1
8.96%
1:2
4.96%
1:3
1.83%
1:4
0.5%
1:5
0.11%
2
2:0
8.55%
2:1
10.01%
🔥
2:2
5.83%
2:3
2.25%
2:4
0.65%
2:5
0.15%
3
3:0
6.04%
3:1
7.43%
3:2
4.54%
3:3
1.84%
3:4
0.55%
3:5
0.13%
4
4:0
3.2%
4:1
4.13%
4:2
2.64%
4:3
1.12%
4:4
0.35%
4:5
0.09%
5
5:0
1.36%
5:1
1.83%
5:2
1.23%
5:3
0.54%
5:4
0.18%
5:5
0.05%
Hotspot: 2:1 (10.0%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.8%
0
12.1%
1
19.6%
2
21.7%
3
18.5%
4
12.8%
5
7.1%
6
3.0%
7
1.0%
8
0.3%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Paris Saint Germain
vs
Rennes
Dec 6, 20:05
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Lens
l w w w w
>
14
10
1
3
24
12
12
31
2
14
9
3
2
27
12
15
30
3
Marseille
w w w d l
>
15
9
2
4
35
15
20
29
4
Lille
w l w w w
>
15
9
2
4
29
17
12
29
5
Rennes
d w w w w
>
14
6
6
2
24
18
6
24
6
Lyon
d d l d w
>
14
7
3
4
21
15
6
24
Last 6 Matches
Paris Saint Germain
VS
Rennes
4/6 (67%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
2.17 PPG 2.17
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
50% BTTS % 67%
50% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.72 Avg xG 1.72
Paris Saint Germain
L W W W L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 16:00
Monaco
1 0
Paris Saint Germain
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
5 3
Tottenham
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 20:05
Paris Saint Germain
3 0
LE Havre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Lyon
2 3
Paris Saint Germain
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
4 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
1 2
Bayern München
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 16:00
Paris Saint Germain
1 0
Nice
Rennes
D W W W W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Metz
0 1
Rennes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Rennes
4 1
Monaco
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Paris FC
0 1
Rennes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Rennes
4 1
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Oct 2025 - 20:05
Toulouse
2 2
Rennes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Oct 2025 - 16:15
Rennes
1 2
Nice
Missing Players
Paris Saint Germain
14
f
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
2
d
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
4
d
- Injured - Calf Injury
- Injured - Ankle Injury
Rennes
8
m
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Injury
64% Draw 16%
65% Over 2.5 35%
59% Both Teams Score 41%
2.16 xPTS 0.84
2.25 xG [Total: 3.36] 1.11
1 Yellow Cards [Total: 3] 2
7 Corners [Total: 13] 5
1 Offsides [Total: 3] 2
9 Fouls [Total: 22] 13
8 Shots on Goal [Total: 13] 4
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Paris Saint Germain will take on Rennes as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous Parc des Princes. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Paris Saint Germain, and the visiting side, Rennes. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-06 Time: 20:05 Location: Parc des Princes Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 14:05 Football

Value Bets

5 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip High Value
Asian Handicap Rennes +2
Odds: 1.65
69.8%
EV: +15.2% Kelly: $11.69
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Safe Tip Value
Asian Handicap Rennes +2.5
Odds: 1.44
79.4%
EV: +14.3% Kelly: $16.27
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Value
BTTS Yes
Odds: 1.74
59.3%
EV: +3.2% Kelly: $2.15
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 18:37:17
spinner

Trends for Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes Football 6 Dec, 2025 14:05

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Paris Saint Germain have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • Second Half Surge

    Paris Saint Germain score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Rennes is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Paris Saint Germain

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.16

✈️ Rennes

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.33
Pressure
0.17

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Rennes - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
20
Avg. Goals per Match
1
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
14
Negative Sequences
8
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Rennes - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
12
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Rennes excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 9 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Rennes scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Paris Saint Germain has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Paris Saint Germain handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.084
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.014
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Paris Saint Germain):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Rennes):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.

Paris Saint Germain
Rennes

Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 14:05 Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Paris Saint Germain and away matches for Rennes

Number of goals

Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Rennes
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
40% 4
60% 6
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3

1X2

1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
1
60% 6
40% 4
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
20% 2
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
40% 4
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
0-1
20% 2
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
10% 1
4+
40% 4
60% 6

Total Corners

Total Corners
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Rennes
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
30% 3

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
xG
1.82
1.59
xGa
1.27
1.38

Number of goals

Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Rennes
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
1
40% 4
50% 5
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
20% 2
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
60% 6
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3

Number of goals

Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Rennes
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6

1X2

1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
1
70% 7
40% 4
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
10% 1
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
90% 9
80% 8
X2
30% 3
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
20% 2
20% 2

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
Team comparison
Prediction
Rennes AH+2
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
19.9%
Low
3.03
1.8%
Low
N/A
-2
29.2%
Low
2.41
4.1%
Low
N/A
-1.5
38.6%
Low
1.86
6.4%
Low
15.00
-1
50.2%
Medium
1.45
12.1%
Low
17.00
-0.5
61.8%
Medium
1.30
17.9%
Low
7.00
+0.5
82.1%
High
1.06
38.2%
Low
3.68
+1
87.8%
High
1.01
49.8%
Low
2.95
+1.5
93.6%
High
1.01
61.4%
Medium
2.10
+2
95.9%
High
N/A
70.8%
High
1.65
+2.5
98.2%
High
N/A
80.1%
High
1.44
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.88%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.565.67%Medium1.30
Under 1.534.33%Low3.60
AwayOver 1.532.95%Low4.10
Under 1.567.05%Medium1.26
HomeOver 2.538.98%Low1.96
Under 2.561.02%Medium1.87
AwayOver 2.511.58%Low13.00
Under 2.588.42%High1.05
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
8 Mar
- 16:00
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain
1.75
xG
3.85
1
4
27 Sep
- 19:00
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
3.05
xG
1.50
3
1
25 Feb
- 16:05
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
1
1
8 Oct
- 18:45
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
19 Mar
- 16:05
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
0
2
15 Jan
- 19:45
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain
1
0
11 Feb
- 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
1
0
3 Oct
- 11:00
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain
2
0
club logo
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Played: 8
Wins
4
Draws
1
Wins
3
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
12
1.5
Goals
1.1
9
9
1.1
Goals Conceded
1.5
12
15
1.9
Yellow Cards
1.6
13
0
Red Cards
0
1
0.1
Clean Sheets
0.4
3
39
4.9
Corners
2.8
22
91
11.4
Fouls
11.4
91
21
2.6
Offsides
1.3
10
124
15.5
Shots
10.6
85
37
4.6
Shots on Goal
3.4
27
Home Away All
Played 6 8 14
Wins 5 4 9
Draws 1 2 3
Losses 0 2 2
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 12 1.9 15 1.9 27
Goals Conceded 0.5 3 1.1 9 0.9 12
Yellow Cards 1.5 9 1 8 1.2 17
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.8 5 0.3 2 0.5 7
Corners 6.5 39 5.4 43 5.9 82
Fouls 10.5 63 9.8 78 10.1 141
Offsides 1.2 7 0.8 6 0.9 13
Shots 20.8 125 14 112 16.9 237
Shots on Goal 7 42 5.5 44 6.1 86
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 4 2 6
Draws 2 4 6
Losses 1 1 2
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2.1 15 1.3 9 1.7 24
Goals Conceded 1 7 1.6 11 1.3 18
Yellow Cards 2 14 1.4 10 1.7 24
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.3 2 0.2 3
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.3 2 0.3 4
Corners 5.1 36 5 35 5.1 71
Fouls 11.7 82 10.6 74 11.1 156
Offsides 2.4 17 1.6 11 2 28
Shots 16.4 115 8.7 61 12.6 176
Shots on Goal 5.9 41 3.4 24 4.6 65
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