Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 14:05
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Upgrade to PremiumParis Saint Germain vs. Rennes: Clash of Ligue 1 Rivals
Key Matchup in Ligue 1
This encounter between Paris Saint Germain (PSG) and Rennes carries significant stakes as PSG aims to keep pressure on league leaders while Rennes seeks to solidify its position in the top five. Currently, PSG sits in second place with 30 points, just ahead of Rennes, which holds fifth with 24 points.
Current Form & Trends
Recent performances indicate contrasting trends for both teams as they prepare for this crucial matchup.
- Paris Saint Germain: Following a recent loss to Monaco, PSG has shown vulnerability, particularly in their last match. However, their home form remains strong, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per game and only 0.6 conceded. Their attacking prowess at home remains a critical asset.
- Rennes: Rennes enters this match on a positive note, boasting an unbeaten streak in their last five games, including four wins. Their ability to score an average of 2.4 goals per match highlights their offensive capabilities, though their away form has seen mixed results, with 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Head-to-Head
The historical matchup between PSG and Rennes has been competitive, with PSG winning four out of the last eight encounters. However, Rennes has been a challenging opponent, claiming three victories, including a notable 4-1 win in their last meeting. The average goals per head-to-head matches stand at 2.63, indicating a potential for a high-scoring affair.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Stylistically, PSG tends to dominate possession, utilizing their offensive talents to break down defenses. Key players like Vitinha and B. Barcola will be crucial in orchestrating the midfield and creating chances. On the other hand, Rennes will likely adopt a more counter-attacking approach, looking to exploit any gaps left by PSG’s attacking play. E. Lepaul could emerge as a pivotal figure for Rennes, aiming to capitalize on counter opportunities and test PSG’s defense.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Home Win.
Predicted Score: Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Rennes
Reasoning: Despite recent struggles, PSG's strong home form and superior xG suggest they will edge out a resilient Rennes side.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Match Winner - Home @ 1.33 (68.1%).
- Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.42 (65.3%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1
Paris Saint Germain
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 14:05 Football
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Trends for Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes Football 6 Dec, 2025 14:05
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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🧱
Defensive Fortress
Paris Saint Germain have league's best defense — hard to break down
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⚡
Second Half Surge
Paris Saint Germain score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Paris Saint Germain @ 1.33 ✅ 
✅Paris Saint Germain
- High ScoringH2H8/8100%Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 8 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches vs Rennes
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/8100%Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches vs Rennes
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Paris Saint Germain score 2.00 goals/match at home (+39% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Paris Saint Germain are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Paris Saint Germain concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/665%Paris Saint Germain rank 3 of 18 in scoring at home (2.00 goals/match vs league avg 2.88)
- High xG PerformanceRecent14/14100%Paris Saint Germain create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- High ScoringRecent14/14100%Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 14 of their last 14 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
- UnbeatenRecent26/3087%Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in 26 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.14 ⚠️ 
Paris Saint Germain(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/683%Paris Saint Germain score well (2.00/match) but have strong defense at home (0.50 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 83% of matches
Rennes(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/757%Rennes score (1.29/match) and concede (1.57/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 57% of matches (league avg: 50%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.40 ✅ 
Paris Saint Germain(7 trends)
- High ScoringH2H8/8100%Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 8 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches vs Rennes
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/8100%Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches vs Rennes
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Paris Saint Germain score 2.00 goals/match at home (+39% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/665%Paris Saint Germain rank 3 of 18 in scoring at home (2.00 goals/match vs league avg 2.88)
- High ScoringRecent14/14100%Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 14 of their last 14 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
Rennes(1 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H6/875%Rennes scored 0-1 goals in 6 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches vs Paris Saint Germain
🛡️ Double Chance — Paris Saint Germain Win or Draw @ 1.10 ✅ 
✅Paris Saint Germain
- Top Table FormLeague70%Paris Saint Germain are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Paris Saint Germain concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- UnbeatenRecent26/3087%Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in 26 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
⚡ Team Total Goals — Paris Saint Germain Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 ✅ 
✅Paris Saint Germain
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Paris Saint Germain score 2.00 goals/match at home (+39% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/665%Paris Saint Germain rank 3 of 18 in scoring at home (2.00 goals/match vs league avg 2.88)
- Scored 1+Recent14/14100%Paris Saint Germain scored 1+ goals in their last 14 14 matches
- Scored 1+Recent28/3093%Paris Saint Germain scored 1+ goals in 28 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent25/3083%Paris Saint Germain score in second half in 25 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.88 ⚠️ 
Paris Saint Germain(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague14/1490%Paris Saint Germain average 1.2 cards/match in all matches (-40% below league avg 2.0) — rank #1 lowest in league
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.92 ⚠️ 
Paris Saint Germain(1 trends) — avg 6.5 (+39% above league)
- Many CornersLeague6/685%Paris Saint Germain average 6.5 corners/match at home (+39% above league avg 4.7)
Rennes(1 trends) — avg 4.8 (+1% above league)
- Few CornersH2H7/7100%Rennes win 4 or fewer corners in 7 of their last 7 Ligue 1 matches vs Paris Saint Germain
+30 Streak trends are hidden
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Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Paris Saint Germain
✈️ Rennes
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Rennes - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Rennes - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Rennes excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 9 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Rennes scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Paris Saint Germain has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Paris Saint Germain handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Paris Saint Germain):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Rennes):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 14:05 Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Paris Saint Germain and away matches for Rennes
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19.9% Low 3.03 | 1.8% Low N/A |
| -2 | 29.2% Low 2.41 | 4.1% Low N/A |
| -1.5 | 38.6% Low 1.86 | 6.4% Low 15.00 |
| -1 | 50.2% Medium 1.45 | 12.1% Low 17.00 |
| -0.5 | 61.8% Medium 1.30 | 17.9% Low 7.00 |
| +0.5 | 82.1% High 1.06 | 38.2% Low 3.68 |
| +1 | 87.8% High 1.01 | 49.8% Low 2.95 |
| +1.5 | 93.6% High 1.01 | 61.4% Medium 2.10 |
| +2 | 95.9% High N/A | 70.8% High 1.65 |
| +2.5 | 98.2% High N/A | 80.1% High 1.44 |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.88%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 65.67% | Medium | 1.30 |
| Under 1.5 | 34.33% | Low | 3.60 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 32.95% | Low | 4.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 67.05% | Medium | 1.26 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 38.98% | Low | 1.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 61.02% | Medium | 1.87 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 11.58% | Low | 13.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 88.42% | High | 1.05 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
4
1
3
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 12 | 1.9 | 15 | 1.9 | 27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 3 | 1.1 | 9 | 0.9 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.5 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 1.2 | 17 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.8 | 5 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 |
| Corners | 6.5 | 39 | 5.4 | 43 | 5.9 | 82 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 63 | 9.8 | 78 | 10.1 | 141 |
| Offsides | 1.2 | 7 | 0.8 | 6 | 0.9 | 13 |
| Shots | 20.8 | 125 | 14 | 112 | 16.9 | 237 |
| Shots on Goal | 7 | 42 | 5.5 | 44 | 6.1 | 86 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.1 | 15 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.7 | 24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 7 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.3 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 14 | 1.4 | 10 | 1.7 | 24 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 36 | 5 | 35 | 5.1 | 71 |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 82 | 10.6 | 74 | 11.1 | 156 |
| Offsides | 2.4 | 17 | 1.6 | 11 | 2 | 28 |
| Shots | 16.4 | 115 | 8.7 | 61 | 12.6 | 176 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.9 | 41 | 3.4 | 24 | 4.6 | 65 |


Ligue 1 2025-2026