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Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain vs Metz: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 14:05
Betting Tip
Paris Saint Germain AH-1.5No high-confidence tip found, displaying main verdict.
Prediction League
14
Played
11
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.7
(38 total)
xG
2.00
(28.6 total)
Shots per Match
20.1
(282 total)
Shots on Target
7.4
(37% acc)
Corners
6.1
(86 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(64%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.1
(128 total)
Offsides
1.4
(19 total)
17
Played
10
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(35 total)
xG
1.70
(28.6 total)
Shots per Match
16.6
(282 total)
Shots on Target
6.1
(37% acc)
Corners
5.9
(101 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9
(153 total)
Offsides
0.9
(16 total)
31
Played
21
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(73 total)
xG
1.80
(57.2 total)
Shots per Match
18.2
(564 total)
Shots on Target
6.7
(37% acc)
Corners
6
(187 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
13
(42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
9.1
(281 total)
Offsides
1.1
(35 total)
11
Played
2
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(10 total)
xG
1.00
(11.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.1
(100 total)
Shots on Target
3
(33% acc)
Corners
3.8
(42 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.6
(128 total)
Offsides
1.4
(15 total)
11
Played
1
Wins
1
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(12 total)
xG
1.00
(10.5 total)
Shots per Match
8.4
(92 total)
Shots on Target
2.7
(33% acc)
Corners
3.5
(39 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.8
per match
xGa
2.10
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
9.6
(106 total)
Offsides
1.2
(13 total)
22
Played
3
Wins
4
Draws
15
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(22 total)
xG
1.00
(21.6 total)
Shots per Match
8.7
(192 total)
Shots on Target
2.9
(33% acc)
Corners
3.7
(81 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.2
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
10.6
(234 total)
Offsides
1.3
(28 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 4.04 vs 0.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.57%
0:1
0.57%
0:2
0.11%
0:3
0.01%
0:4
0%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
6.1%
1:1
2.46%
1:2
0.49%
1:3
0.07%
1:4
0.01%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
11.89%
⭐
2:1
5.23%
2:2
1.14%
2:3
0.16%
2:4
0.02%
2:5
0%
3
3:0
15.44%
🔥
⭐
3:1
7.37%
3:2
1.73%
3:3
0.27%
3:4
0.03%
3:5
0%
4
4:0
15.04%
⭐
4:1
7.73%
⭐
4:2
1.94%
4:3
0.32%
4:4
0.04%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
11.72%
⭐
5:1
6.46%
⭐
5:2
1.74%
5:3
0.31%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
3:0 (15.4%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Paris Saint Germain will take on Metz as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Parc des Princes.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Paris Saint Germain, and the visiting side, Metz. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Paris Saint Germain.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 20:05
Location: Parc des Princes
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Paris Saint Germain vs Metz Saturday, Feb 21st, 2026 at 14:05 Football
AI Value Bets
4 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Win to Nil
Paris Saint Germain Win to Nil
High Value
Prob: 58.9%
EV: +19.6%
Stake:
$2.43
2.03↓
Trends for Paris Saint Germain vs Metz Football 21 Feb, 2026 14:05
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
League Position Mismatch
Paris Saint Germain in top 3 vs Metz in relegation zone — significant quality gap
-
Defensive Fortress
Paris Saint Germain have league's best defense — hard to break down
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Paris Saint Germain vs Metz.
🏆 Match Winner — Paris Saint Germain @ 1.15 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsParis Saint Germain
WonH2H
Paris Saint Germain have won their last 5 5 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenH2H
Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in their last 5 5 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringH2H
Paris Saint Germain efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 5 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringH2H
Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 5 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioH2H
Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 5 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches
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Paris Saint Germain score 2.43 goals/match at home (+70% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsTop Table FormLeague
Paris Saint Germain are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
Paris Saint Germain rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (2.43 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Paris Saint Germain concede only 0.43 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringRecent
Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsMetz
Not WinH2H
Metz have not won their last 5 5 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsLostH2H
Metz have lost their last 5 5 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsRelegation BattleLeague
Metz are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Paris Saint Germain dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.96 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsParis Saint Germain1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
Paris Saint Germain score well (2.43/match) but have strong defense at home (0.43 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 86% of matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsMetz1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Metz score (1.25/match) and concede (3.38/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 49%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.29 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsParis Saint Germain6 TrendsHigh ScoringH2H
Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 5 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioH2H
Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 5 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Paris Saint Germain score 2.43 goals/match at home (+70% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
Paris Saint Germain rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (2.43 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 770%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringRecent
Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 H2H matches (80.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 2.4 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Paris Saint Germain Win or Draw @ 1.04 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsParis Saint Germain
UnbeatenH2H
Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in their last 5 5 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTH2H
Paris Saint Germain are undefeated at half time in their last 5 5 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsTop Table FormLeague
Paris Saint Germain are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Paris Saint Germain concede only 0.43 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak TrendsMetz
Not WinH2H
Metz have not won their last 5 5 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsRelegation BattleLeague
Metz are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Paris Saint Germain dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Paris Saint Germain Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.17 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsParis Saint Germain
Above League AverageLeague
Paris Saint Germain score 2.43 goals/match at home (+70% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
Paris Saint Germain rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (2.43 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Paris Saint Germain scored 1+ goals in their last 5 5 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 2+Recent
Paris Saint Germain scored 2+ goals in their last 5 5 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsSecond Half SpecialistsRecent
Paris Saint Germain score in second half in 4 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Paris Saint Germain maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
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Unlock Streak TrendsParis Saint Germain2 Trends — avg 1 (-49% below league)Few CardsH2H
Paris Saint Germain receive 0-1 card in 4 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 580%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLow Card MatchesLeague
Paris Saint Germain average 1.1 cards/match in all matches (-44% below league avg 2.0) — rank #1 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak TrendsMetz2 Trends — avg 1.8 (-8% below league)Many CardsH2H
Metz receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches
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Metz average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-22% below league avg 2.0) — rank #3 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.73 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsParis Saint Germain1 Trends — avg 6.6 (+41% above league)Many CornersLeague
Paris Saint Germain average 6.6 corners/match at home (+41% above league avg 4.7)
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Unlock Streak TrendsMetz2 Trends — avg 4.0 (-14% below league)Few CornersH2H
Metz win 4 or fewer corners in 4 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew CornersLeague
Metz average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-14% below league avg 4.7)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 10.6 corners/match (Paris Saint Germain 6.6 + Metz 4.0) • Paris Saint Germain dominance pushes total over threshold
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Paris Saint Germain vs Metz
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Metz is stronger in the second half (19 vs 14).
⚡ Final Stage: Metz is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Metz is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Paris Saint Germain
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.32
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Metz
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.34
Pressure
0.21
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Metz - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Metz - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
14
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
14
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Metz shows superior performance after the break (19 vs 14 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Metz winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Metz excels in the closing minutes (14 vs 9 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Metz scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Paris Saint Germain has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Paris Saint Germain handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.018
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.063
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.075
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Paris Saint Germain):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Metz):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
Paris Saint Germain vs Metz Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 14:05 Ligue 1
Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
▲
17
1
4
42
17
25
52
2
▼
16
3
3
49
19
30
51
3
14
3
5
36
20
16
45
17
3
5
14
20
40
-20
14
18
3
4
15
22
49
-27
13
Team comparison
Prediction
Paris Saint Germain AH-1.5
Goals Home:
-4.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Paris Saint Germain
VS
Metz
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
3 (15)
0.8 (4)
xG
1.70
0.60
Shots
17.8 (89)
6.4 (32)
Shots on Target
7.8 (39)
2.2 (11)
Corners
5.2 (26)
3 (15)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 (4)
3 (15)
xGa
0.60
1.70
Clean Sheets
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (5)
2.2 (11)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.4 (2)
Fouls
8.8 (44)
9.8 (49)
Offsides
1.8 (9)
1.2 (6)
Last 6 Matches
Paris Saint Germain
VS
Metz
4/6 (67%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
2.50
PPG
0.33
2.17
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
67%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
2.50
Avg xG
0.73
Paris Saint Germain vs Metz: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Paris Saint Germain and away matches for Metz
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Metz
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
1
70%
7
0%
0
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
20%
2
80%
8
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
80%
8
20%
2
X2
30%
3
100%
10
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
0-1
10%
1
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
40%
4
50%
5
Total Corners
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Metz
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
70%
7
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
xG
2
0.74
xGa
0.97
1.6
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Metz
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
1
40%
4
10%
1
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
10%
1
70%
7
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
90%
9
30%
3
X2
60%
6
90%
9
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Metz
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
1
50%
5
0%
0
X
30%
3
60%
6
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
12
70%
7
40%
4
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
50%
5
100%
10
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
0-1
40%
4
60%
6
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
3.75
xG
0.63
67%
Ball Possession
34%
18
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
3
12
Shots Off Goal
6
7
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
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