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Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 8 February, 2026 13:45
Best Tip
Value
Total - Home
Paris Saint Germain Under 2.5 Goals
Odds
1.62
Win Prob. 64.2%
EV: +3.9%
Premium Tip
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Upgrade to PremiumPrediction League
12
Played
10
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.7
(32 total)
xG
1.90
(22.5 total)
Shots per Match
19.9
(239 total)
Shots on Target
7.6
(38% acc)
Corners
6.3
(76 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(67%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.4
(113 total)
Offsides
1.3
(15 total)
14
Played
8
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(29 total)
xG
1.50
(21.7 total)
Shots per Match
15.8
(221 total)
Shots on Target
6.1
(39% acc)
Corners
5.9
(83 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.6
(134 total)
Offsides
0.9
(13 total)
26
Played
18
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3
(61 total)
xG
1.70
(44.2 total)
Shots per Match
17.7
(460 total)
Shots on Target
6.8
(38% acc)
Corners
6.1
(159 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.5
(247 total)
Offsides
1.1
(28 total)
14
Played
9
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(33 total)
xG
1.70
(23.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.6
(191 total)
Shots on Target
5.6
(41% acc)
Corners
5.1
(71 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
13.6
(190 total)
Offsides
1.4
(20 total)
12
Played
6
Wins
0
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(22 total)
xG
1.40
(17.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.3
(160 total)
Shots on Target
5.3
(39% acc)
Corners
4.6
(55 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
11.1
(133 total)
Offsides
1
(12 total)
26
Played
15
Wins
2
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(55 total)
xG
1.60
(40.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(351 total)
Shots on Target
5.4
(40% acc)
Corners
4.8
(126 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(6 total)
Fouls
12.4
(323 total)
Offsides
1.2
(32 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.13 vs 1.11
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.26%
0:1
4.47%
⭐
0:2
2.34%
⭐
0:3
0.82%
0:4
0.21%
0:5
0.05%
1
1:0
8.81%
1:1
9.5%
1:2
5.12%
1:3
1.84%
1:4
0.49%
1:5
0.11%
2
2:0
9.12%
2:1
10.1%
🔥
2:2
5.59%
2:3
2.06%
2:4
0.57%
2:5
0.13%
3
3:0
6.29%
3:1
7.15%
3:2
4.06%
3:3
1.53%
3:4
0.43%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
3.25%
4:1
3.8%
4:2
2.21%
4:3
0.85%
4:4
0.25%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
1.35%
5:1
1.61%
5:2
0.96%
5:3
0.38%
5:4
0.11%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
2:1 (10.1%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Paris Saint Germain will take on Marseille as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-02-08 at 2026-02-08 in the famous Parc des Princes.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Paris Saint Germain, and the visiting side, Marseille. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-08
Time: 19:45
Location: Parc des Princes
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille Sunday, Feb 8th, 2026 at 13:45 Football
AI Value Bets
2 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille Football 8 Feb, 2026 13:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Stalemate
Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Paris Saint Germain @ 1.51 ✅ 
Paris Saint Germain
- High ScoringH2H9/9100%Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 9 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H9/9100%Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 9 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- UnbeatenH2H8/989%Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in 8 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- WonH2H7/978%Paris Saint Germain have won 7 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Paris Saint Germain score 2.43 goals/match at home (+70% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Paris Saint Germain are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Paris Saint Germain rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (2.43 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Paris Saint Germain concede only 0.43 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High ScoringRecent16/16100%Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent16/16100%Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Marseille
- Not WinH2H8/989%Marseille have not won in 8 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- LostH2H7/978%Marseille have lost 7 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
Paris Saint Germain dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.32 ⚠️ 
Paris Saint Germain(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague6/786%Paris Saint Germain score well (2.43/match) but have strong defense at home (0.43 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 86% of matches
Marseille(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/863%Marseille score well (1.50/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.88 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 63% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- BTTS NoH2H7/978%At least one team failed to score in 7 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
Paris Saint Germain rarely concede (78% clean sheet rate)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.50 ✅ 
Paris Saint Germain(6 trends)
- High ScoringH2H9/9100%Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 9 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H9/9100%Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 9 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Paris Saint Germain score 2.43 goals/match at home (+70% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Paris Saint Germain rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (2.43 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
- High ScoringRecent16/16100%Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent16/16100%Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Marseille(3 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H9/9100%Marseille scored 0-1 goals in 9 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- League Top ScorerLeague8/875%Marseille rank 1 of 18 in scoring in away matches (1.50 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
- Good Goal RatioRecent16/16100%Marseille have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Combined 2.4 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Marseille Win or Draw @ 2.78 ✅ 
Marseille
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Marseille concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Marseille are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Undefeated at HTRecent13/1681%Marseille are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
- UnbeatenRecent12/1675%Marseille are unbeaten in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Marseille demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Paris Saint Germain Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.42 ✅ 
Paris Saint Germain
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Paris Saint Germain score 2.43 goals/match at home (+70% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Paris Saint Germain rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (2.43 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
- Scored 1+Recent7/978%Paris Saint Germain scored 1+ goals in 7 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
Paris Saint Germain maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Paris Saint Germain(1 trends) — avg 1 (-49% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague16/1690%Paris Saint Germain average 1.1 cards/match in all matches (-44% below league avg 2.0) — rank #1 lowest in league
Marseille(2 trends) — avg 1.9 (-3% below league)
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1683%Marseille average 2.2 cards/match in all matches (+12% above league avg 2.0)
- Many CardsRecent12/1675%Marseille receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Paris Saint Germain disciplined play balances Marseille aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.12 ⚠️
Paris Saint Germain(1 trends) — avg 6.6 (+41% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%Paris Saint Germain average 6.6 corners/match at home (+41% above league avg 4.7)
Marseille(1 trends) — avg 5.8 (+23% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%Marseille average 5.8 corners/match in away matches (+23% above league avg 4.7)
Combined average: 12.4 corners/match (Paris Saint Germain 6.6 + Marseille 5.8) • Paris Saint Germain dominance pushes total over threshold
🎯 Betting Analysis
Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Marseille is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
🔄 Second Half: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the second half (18 vs 13).
⚡ Final Stage: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
🔄 Second Half: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the second half (18 vs 13).
⚡ Final Stage: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Paris Saint Germain
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Marseille
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.31
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
✈️ Marseille - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Marseille - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
11
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Marseille often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Marseille scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Paris Saint Germain shows superior performance after the break (18 vs 13 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Paris Saint Germain winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Paris Saint Germain excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 7 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Paris Saint Germain scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.099
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.022
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.083
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Paris Saint Germain):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Marseille):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille Head-to-head statistics for Sun 8 Feb, 2026 @ 13:45 Ligue 1
Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
▲
14
3
2
41
15
26
45
2
▼
14
1
4
33
16
17
43
3
12
2
5
44
20
24
38
4
11
3
5
32
20
12
36
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw
Goals Home:
-3.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Paris Saint Germain
VS
Marseille
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
7
Wins
1
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (18)
0.3 (3)
xG
2.20
0.60
Shots
13.6 (122)
11.9 (107)
Shots on Target
5.3 (48)
3.2 (29)
Corners
4.4 (40)
4.4 (40)
Defense
Conceded
0.3 (3)
2 (18)
xGa
0.60
2.20
Clean Sheets
6 (67%)
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 (14)
1.1 (10)
Red Cards
0.2 (2)
0.3 (3)
Fouls
9.7 (87)
11.9 (107)
Offsides
3.1 (28)
2.3 (21)
Last 6 Matches
Paris Saint Germain
VS
Marseille
4/6 (67%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.50
PPG
1.67
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
50%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.50
Avg xG
1.52
Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Paris Saint Germain and away matches for Marseille
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
1
70%
7
60%
6
X
10%
1
10%
1
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
12
90%
9
90%
9
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
30%
3
40%
4
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
30%
3
50%
5
Total Corners
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Yes
50%
5
10%
1
No
50%
5
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
xG
1.68
1.59
xGa
0.76
1.24
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
50%
5
10%
1
2
0%
0
50%
5
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
12
50%
5
90%
9
1X
100%
10
50%
5
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Yes
80%
8
30%
3
No
20%
2
70%
7
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
0-1
30%
3
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
60%
6
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1.75
xG
0.90
57%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
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