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Paris Saint Germain
2
1
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain vs Lille: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 16 January, 2026 14:00
Best Tip
Value
Total - Home
Paris Saint Germain Over 1.5 Goals
Odds
1.48
Win Prob. 76%
EV: +12.5%
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11
Played
9
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6
(29 total)
xG
2.00
(21.8 total)
Shots per Match
20.5
(226 total)
Shots on Target
7.6
(37% acc)
Corners
6.5
(72 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(64%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9
(99 total)
Offsides
1.3
(14 total)
12
Played
7
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3
(27 total)
xG
1.50
(18.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.8
(177 total)
Shots on Target
6
(41% acc)
Corners
5.5
(66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.3
(112 total)
Offsides
0.8
(9 total)
23
Played
16
Wins
4
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(56 total)
xG
1.80
(40.3 total)
Shots per Match
17.5
(403 total)
Shots on Target
6.8
(39% acc)
Corners
6
(138 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.2
(211 total)
Offsides
1
(23 total)
12
Played
8
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(25 total)
xG
1.80
(21.3 total)
Shots per Match
15.2
(182 total)
Shots on Target
5.3
(35% acc)
Corners
6.7
(80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(120 total)
Offsides
1.3
(15 total)
11
Played
5
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(18 total)
xG
1.40
(15.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(138 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(36% acc)
Corners
5.4
(59 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.5
(5 total)
Fouls
12.5
(138 total)
Offsides
1.4
(15 total)
23
Played
13
Wins
2
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(43 total)
xG
1.60
(36.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.9
(320 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(35% acc)
Corners
6
(139 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(6 total)
Fouls
11.2
(258 total)
Offsides
1.3
(30 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.75 vs 1.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.64%
0:1
2.5%
0:2
1.18%
0:3
0.37%
0:4
0.09%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
7.1%
1:1
6.89%
1:2
3.34%
1:3
1.08%
1:4
0.26%
1:5
0.05%
2
2:0
9.54%
🔥
2:1
9.48%
2:2
4.71%
2:3
1.56%
2:4
0.39%
2:5
0.08%
3
3:0
8.54%
⭐
3:1
8.69%
3:2
4.41%
3:3
1.49%
3:4
0.38%
3:5
0.08%
4
4:0
5.74%
⭐
4:1
5.97%
⭐
4:2
3.1%
⭐
4:3
1.07%
⭐
4:4
0.28%
⭐
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
3.08%
⭐
5:1
3.28%
⭐
5:2
1.74%
⭐
5:3
0.61%
⭐
5:4
0.16%
⭐
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
2:0 (9.5%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Paris Saint Germain will take on Lille as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-16 at 2026-01-16 in the famous Parc des Princes.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Paris Saint Germain, and the visiting side, Lille. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-16
Time: 20:00
Location: Parc des Princes
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Paris Saint Germain vs Lille Friday, Jan 16th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
8 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Paris Saint Germain vs Lille Football 16 Jan, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Paris Saint Germain have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Paris Saint Germain vs Lille, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Paris Saint Germain @ 1.54 ✅ 
Paris Saint Germain
- UnbeatenH2H9/9100%Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in their last 9 9 matches
- High ScoringH2H9/9100%Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 9 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H9/9100%Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 9 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- WonH2H7/978%Paris Saint Germain have won 7 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H7/978%Paris Saint Germain efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 7 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Paris Saint Germain score 2.43 goals/match at home (+70% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Paris Saint Germain are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Paris Saint Germain rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (2.43 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Paris Saint Germain concede only 0.43 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High ScoringRecent16/16100%Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent16/16100%Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Lille
- Not WinH2H9/9100%Lille have not won in 9 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- LostH2H7/978%Lille have lost 7 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
Paris Saint Germain dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.70 ⚠️ 
Paris Saint Germain(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague6/786%Paris Saint Germain score well (2.43/match) but have strong defense at home (0.43 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 86% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H9/9100%Both teams scored in 9 of their last 9 H2H matches (100.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.57 ✅ 
Paris Saint Germain(6 trends)
- High ScoringH2H9/9100%Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 9 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H9/9100%Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 9 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Paris Saint Germain score 2.43 goals/match at home (+70% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Paris Saint Germain rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (2.43 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
- High ScoringRecent16/16100%Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent16/16100%Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Lille(4 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H8/989%Lille scored 0-1 goals in 8 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Lille score 2.13 goals/match in away matches (+49% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/865%Lille rank 3 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.13 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
- High ScoringRecent16/16100%Lille score 2+ goals per match in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H7/977.8%Over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 9 H2H matches (77.8%%)
Both teams average 4.6 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
🛡️ Double Chance — Paris Saint Germain Win or Draw @ 1.14 ✅ 
Paris Saint Germain
- UnbeatenH2H9/9100%Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in their last 9 9 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H8/989%Paris Saint Germain are undefeated at half time in their last 8 9 matches
- Top Table FormLeague70%Paris Saint Germain are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Paris Saint Germain concede only 0.43 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Lille
- Not WinH2H9/9100%Lille have not won in 9 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
Paris Saint Germain dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Paris Saint Germain Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.48 ✅
Paris Saint Germain
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Paris Saint Germain score 2.43 goals/match at home (+70% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Paris Saint Germain rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (2.43 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
- Scored 1+Recent9/9100%Paris Saint Germain scored 1+ goals in their last 9 9 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent8/989%Paris Saint Germain score in second half in 8 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- Scored 2+Recent7/978%Paris Saint Germain scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
Paris Saint Germain maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Paris Saint Germain(1 trends) — avg 1 (-49% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague16/1690%Paris Saint Germain average 1.1 cards/match in all matches (-44% below league avg 2.0) — rank #1 lowest in league
Lille(2 trends) — avg 2.2 (+12% above league)
- Many CardsH2H7/978%Lille receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1687.5%Lille average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+15% above league avg 2.0) — rank #4 in league
Paris Saint Germain disciplined play balances Lille aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.88 ⚠️ 
Paris Saint Germain(1 trends) — avg 6.6 (+41% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%Paris Saint Germain average 6.6 corners/match at home (+41% above league avg 4.7)
Lille(1 trends) — avg 6.2 (+34% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%Lille average 6.2 corners/match in away matches (+34% above league avg 4.7)
Combined average: 12.8 corners/match (Paris Saint Germain 6.6 + Lille 6.2) • Paris Saint Germain dominance pushes total over threshold
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Paris Saint Germain vs Lille
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Lille is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Lille is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Paris Saint Germain
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Lille
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.31
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Lille - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Lille - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
14
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
14
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Paris Saint Germain often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Paris Saint Germain scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7)
- First Half Result: Consider Paris Saint Germain to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Lille excels in the closing minutes (14 vs 9 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Lille scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Paris Saint Germain has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Paris Saint Germain handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.093
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.011
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.068
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Paris Saint Germain):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lille):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
Paris Saint Germain vs Lille Head-to-head statistics for Fri 16 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 Ligue 1
Team comparison
Prediction
Paris Saint Germain Over 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Paris Saint Germain
VS
Lille
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
7
Wins
2
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
3.3 (30)
1.2 (11)
xG
2.50
1.10
Shots
15.8 (142)
11.2 (101)
Shots on Target
7.2 (65)
4.4 (40)
Corners
4.8 (43)
4.7 (42)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 (11)
3.3 (30)
xGa
1.10
2.50
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 (11)
2.6 (23)
Fouls
10.1 (91)
12.2 (110)
Offsides
1.7 (15)
2.8 (25)
Last 6 Matches
Paris Saint Germain
VS
Lille
4/6 (67%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.50
PPG
2.00
2.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
50%
BTTS %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.62
Avg xG
1.14
Paris Saint Germain vs Lille: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Paris Saint Germain and away matches for Lille
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
4.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
1
70%
7
60%
6
X
10%
1
0%
0
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
12
90%
9
100%
10
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
30%
3
40%
4
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
0-1
30%
3
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
40%
4
30%
3
Total Corners
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
xG
1.74
1.39
xGa
0.85
1.18
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
10%
1
10%
1
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
90%
9
90%
9
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
0-1
50%
5
80%
8
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
0-1
40%
4
60%
6
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
10%
1
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
2.33
xG
0.88
59%
Ball Possession
41%
16
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
3
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