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Paris Saint Germain
1
3
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 11 March, 2026 15:00
Prediction League
17
Played
12
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6
(44 total)
xG
2.00
(33.9 total)
Shots per Match
19.8
(337 total)
Shots on Target
7.1
(36% acc)
Corners
6.2
(105 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(59%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.2
(157 total)
Offsides
1.5
(25 total)
18
Played
11
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(36 total)
xG
1.80
(32.5 total)
Shots per Match
16.9
(304 total)
Shots on Target
6.3
(37% acc)
Corners
5.8
(104 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.1
(163 total)
Offsides
1.1
(19 total)
35
Played
23
Wins
6
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3
(80 total)
xG
1.90
(66.4 total)
Shots per Match
18.3
(641 total)
Shots on Target
6.7
(37% acc)
Corners
6
(209 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
15
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
9.1
(320 total)
Offsides
1.3
(44 total)
18
Played
10
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(33 total)
xG
1.90
(35.0 total)
Shots per Match
14.8
(266 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(33% acc)
Corners
7
(126 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(5 total)
Fouls
11.1
(200 total)
Offsides
1.6
(28 total)
20
Played
9
Wins
5
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(42 total)
xG
1.80
(36.1 total)
Shots per Match
13
(259 total)
Shots on Target
5.4
(41% acc)
Corners
4.9
(97 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
11.3
(226 total)
Offsides
1.6
(32 total)
38
Played
19
Wins
10
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(75 total)
xG
1.90
(71.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.8
(525 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(37% acc)
Corners
5.9
(223 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(9 total)
Fouls
11.2
(426 total)
Offsides
1.6
(60 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.94 vs 1.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.17%
0:1
2.17%
0:2
1.41%
0:3
0.67%
0:4
0.24%
0:5
0.07%
1
1:0
3.67%
1:1
5.41%
1:2
4.42%
1:3
2.31%
1:4
0.9%
1:5
0.28%
⭐
2
2:0
4.31%
2:1
7.72%
🔥
2:2
6.76%
2:3
3.88%
⭐
2:4
1.64%
⭐
2:5
0.55%
⭐
3
3:0
3.56%
3:1
7.04%
3:2
6.78%
⭐
3:3
4.24%
⭐
3:4
1.95%
⭐
3:5
0.71%
⭐
4
4:0
2.21%
4:1
4.77%
⭐
4:2
5.01%
⭐
4:3
3.41%
⭐
4:4
1.7%
⭐
4:5
0.66%
⭐
5
5:0
1.09%
⭐
5:1
2.57%
⭐
5:2
2.92%
⭐
5:3
2.15%
⭐
5:4
1.16%
⭐
5:5
0.48%
Hotspot:
2:1 (7.7%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Paris Saint Germain will take on Chelsea as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-03-11 at 2026-03-11 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Paris Saint Germain, and the visiting side, Chelsea. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-11
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea Wednesday, Mar 11th, 2026 at 15:00 Football
AI Value Bets
9 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea Football 11 Mar, 2026 15:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 9 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea.
🏆 Match Winner — Paris Saint Germain @ 1.91 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsParis Saint Germain
Above League AverageLeague
Paris Saint Germain score 2.60 goals/match at home (+66% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh xG PerformanceRecent
Paris Saint Germain create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 10 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringRecent
Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 10 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 10 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Paris Saint Germain demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.60 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsParis Saint Germain1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Paris Saint Germain score (2.60/match) and concede (1.60/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 80% of matches (league avg: 52%)
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Chelsea score (1.75/match) and concede (2.25/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 52%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.64 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsParis Saint Germain3 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Paris Saint Germain score 2.60 goals/match at home (+66% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringRecent
Paris Saint Germain score 2+ goals per match in 10 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Paris Saint Germain have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 10 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea1 TrendsOver 2.5 GoalsRecent
Over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Teams average combined 2.6 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Paris Saint Germain Win or Draw @ 1.28 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsParis Saint Germain
Undefeated at HTRecent
Paris Saint Germain are undefeated at half time in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Paris Saint Germain demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Paris Saint Germain Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.71 ✅
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Above League AverageLeague
Paris Saint Germain score 2.60 goals/match at home (+66% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Paris Saint Germain's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak TrendsParis Saint Germain2 Trends — avg 1.3 (-39% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Paris Saint Germain average 0.8 cards/match in all matches (-60% below league avg 2.0) — rank #3 lowest in league
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Paris Saint Germain receive 0-1 card in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea2 Trends — avg 1.8 (-16% below league)High Card MatchesLeague
Chelsea average 2.2 cards/match in all matches (+12% above league avg 2.0)
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Chelsea receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Paris Saint Germain disciplined play balances Chelsea aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.00 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsParis Saint Germain2 Trends — avg 6.4 (+36% above league)Many CornersLeague
Paris Saint Germain average 6.4 corners/match at home (+36% above league avg 4.7)
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Unlock Streak TrendsCorner DominanceRecent
Paris Saint Germain dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea1 Trends — avg 3.5 (-25% below league)Few CornersLeague
Chelsea average 3.5 corners/match in away matches (-25% below league avg 4.7)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 9.9 corners/match (Paris Saint Germain 6.4 + Chelsea 3.5) • Paris Saint Germain dominance pushes total over threshold
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Paris Saint Germain
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.16
✈️ Chelsea
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.08
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Chelsea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Paris Saint Germain - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Chelsea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Paris Saint Germain excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Paris Saint Germain scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.476
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.03
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.053
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Paris Saint Germain):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Chelsea):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea Head-to-head statistics for Wed 11 Mar, 2026 @ 15:00 UEFA Champions League
Team comparison
Prediction
Chelsea AH+1.5
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
-3.5*
Goals Away:
-3.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Paris Saint Germain
VS
Chelsea
3/6 (50%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.50
PPG
2.17
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
2.33
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
67%
BTTS %
100%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
2.50
Avg xG
2.69
Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Paris Saint Germain and away matches for Chelsea
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
1
60%
6
70%
7
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
40%
4
30%
3
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
0-1
20%
2
10%
1
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
50%
5
60%
6
Total Corners
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
60%
6
40%
4
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
xG
2.41
2.36
xGa
0.98
1.05
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
1
30%
3
60%
6
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
70%
7
40%
4
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
Number of goals
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
1
60%
6
60%
6
X
20%
2
0%
0
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
12
80%
8
100%
10
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
40%
4
40%
4
Total Goals
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Suspended
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Inactive
2.54
xG
1.83
56%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
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