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Ligue 1 2025-2026 | Matchweek 16
13 Dec 2025-20:05
Paris FC
Paris FC
13th place
- : -
13 Dec 2025 14:05
Toulouse
Toulouse
9th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Paris FC vs Toulouse: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 13 December, 2025 14:05

1×2 Prediction
Paris FC
42%27%31%
Paris FCDrawToulouse
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
51%49%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
54%46%
YesNo
Team Total - Paris FC
Under 1.5
58%42%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Toulouse
Under 1.5
65%35%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Paris FC/Draw
69%31%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Toulouse +1
70%30%
Away +1NOT Away +1
Best Tip
Double Chance Paris FC or Draw
Odds: 1.43
68.6%
Bet Now

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.42 vs 1.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.89%
0:1
8.87%
0:2
4.99%
0:3
1.87%
0:4
0.53%
0:5
0.12%
1
1:0
10.37%
1:1
12.5%
🔥
1:2
7.49%
1:3
2.98%
1:4
0.89%
1:5
0.21%
2
2:0
6.82%
2:1
8.76%
2:2
5.59%
2:3
2.36%
2:4
0.74%
2:5
0.19%
3
3:0
2.99%
3:1
4.08%
3:2
2.76%
3:3
1.23%
3:4
0.41%
3:5
0.11%
4
4:0
0.98%
4:1
1.42%
4:2
1.01%
4:3
0.48%
4:4
0.17%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0.26%
5:1
0.39%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.15%
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.5%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

7.9%
0
19.2%
1
24.3%
2
21.1%
3
14.2%
4
7.8%
5
3.6%
6
1.4%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Paris FC
vs
Toulouse
Dec 13, 20:05
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
Strasbourg
w l w l l
>
14
7
1
6
25
19
6
22
9
Toulouse
d d d l d
>
14
4
5
5
20
19
1
17
10
Nice
w l l l l
>
14
5
2
7
19
26
-7
17

12
Angers
d l w w l
>
14
4
4
6
12
17
-5
16
13
Paris FC
d w l l d
>
14
4
3
7
21
26
-5
15
14
LE Havre
w d d l l
>
14
3
5
6
13
21
-8
14
Last 6 Matches
Paris FC
VS
Toulouse
1/6 (17%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.83 PPG 0.67
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
67% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.21 Avg xG 1.31
Paris FC
D W L L D
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Paris FC
1 1
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Lille
4 2
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Paris FC
0 1
Rennes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Monaco
0 1
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Oct 2025 - 20:05
Paris FC
3 3
Lyon
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Oct 2025 - 18:45
Paris FC
1 2
Nantes
Toulouse
D D D L D
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 20:05
Marseille
2 2
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Toulouse
0 1
Angers
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Lorient
1 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Toulouse
0 0
LE Havre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Oct 2025 - 20:05
Toulouse
2 2
Rennes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Oct 2025 - 17:00
Monaco
1 0
Toulouse
42% Draw 31%
49% Over 2.5 51%
54% Both Teams Score 46%
1.64 xPTS 1.36
1.42 xG [Total: 2.65] 1.23
3 Yellow Cards [Total: 6] 3
7 Corners [Total: 13] 5
4 Offsides [Total: 5] 1
13 Fouls [Total: 28] 15
5 Shots on Goal [Total: 9] 4
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Paris FC will take on Toulouse as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2025-12-13 at 2025-12-13 in the famous Stade Jean Bouin. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Paris FC, and the visiting side, Toulouse. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Toulouse. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-13 Time: 20:05 Location: Stade Jean Bouin Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Paris FC vs Toulouse Saturday, Dec 13th, 2025 at 14:05 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 12:26:16
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Trends for Paris FC vs Toulouse Football 13 Dec, 2025 14:05

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Paris FC rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Paris FC vs Toulouse

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Paris FC

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
14
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.17

✈️ Toulouse

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Paris FC - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.14
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.43
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.79
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.64

✈️ Toulouse - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Paris FC - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Toulouse - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
12
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Toulouse has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Toulouse handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.13
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.047
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.012 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Paris FC):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Toulouse):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Paris FC
Toulouse

Paris FC vs Toulouse Head-to-head statistics for Sat 13 Dec, 2025 @ 14:05 Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Toulouse: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Paris FC and away matches for Toulouse

Number of goals

Number of goals
Paris FC
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Paris FC
Toulouse
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5

1X2

1X2
Paris FC
Toulouse
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
50% 5
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Paris FC
Toulouse
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
80% 8
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Paris FC
Toulouse
0-1
20% 2
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
20% 2
4+
30% 3
40% 4

Total Corners

Total Corners
Paris FC
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Paris FC
Toulouse
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Paris FC
Toulouse
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Paris FC
Toulouse
xG
1.23
1.51
xGa
1.31
1.25

Number of goals

Number of goals
Paris FC
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Paris FC
Toulouse
Yes
40% 4
0% 0
No
60% 6
100% 10

1X2

1X2
Paris FC
Toulouse
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
40% 4
60% 6

Double Chance

Double Chance
Paris FC
Toulouse
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
60% 6
40% 4
X2
90% 9
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Paris FC
Toulouse
0-1
50% 5
90% 9
2-3
50% 5
10% 1
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Paris FC
Toulouse
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6

Number of goals

Number of goals
Paris FC
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Paris FC
Toulouse
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Paris FC
Toulouse
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
30% 3
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Paris FC
Toulouse
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
70% 7
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Paris FC
Toulouse
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
0% 0
40% 4
4+
30% 3
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Paris FC
Toulouse
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Toulouse
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
6.6%
Low
10.50
3.9%
Low
14.50
-2
12.6%
Low
8.70
8.3%
Low
13.50
-1.5
18.6%
Low
4.50
12.7%
Low
6.00
-1
29.8%
Low
3.79
22.3%
Low
5.10
-0.5
40.9%
Low
2.37
31.8%
Low
2.95
+0.5
68.2%
Medium
1.42
59.1%
Medium
1.62
+1
77.7%
High
1.17
70.2%
High
1.27
+1.5
87.3%
High
1.13
81.4%
High
1.19
+2
91.7%
High
1.02
87.4%
High
1.01
+2.5
96.1%
High
1.02
93.4%
High
1.05
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.541.51%Low2.27
Under 1.558.49%Medium1.65
AwayOver 1.534.82%Low2.62
Under 1.565.18%Medium1.49
HomeOver 2.517.14%Low5.50
Under 2.582.86%High1.18
AwayOver 2.512.71%Low6.50
Under 2.587.29%High1.12
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Paris FC
Toulouse
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 2 2 4
Draws 2 1 3
Losses 3 4 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.7 12 1.3 9 1.5 21
Goals Conceded 1.7 12 2 14 1.9 26
Yellow Cards 2.1 15 1.3 9 1.7 24
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Corners 6 42 3.4 24 4.7 66
Fouls 10.9 76 11.1 78 11 154
Offsides 3 21 1.6 11 2.3 32
Shots 15.1 106 9.7 68 12.4 174
Shots on Goal 4.1 29 3.6 25 3.9 54
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 2 2 4
Draws 3 2 5
Losses 2 3 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.9 13 1 7 1.4 20
Goals Conceded 1.6 11 1.1 8 1.4 19
Yellow Cards 1.1 8 3.4 24 2.3 32
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0.1 1 0.3 4
Corners 5.7 40 4 28 4.9 68
Fouls 12.4 87 14.9 104 13.6 191
Offsides 1.1 8 0.7 5 0.9 13
Shots 15.9 111 9.7 68 12.8 179
Shots on Goal 4.9 34 2.9 20 3.9 54
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