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Form
Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 24
Preview
Paris FC
Paris FC
15th place
Form
VS
14:00
1 Mar 2026
Nice
Nice
14th place
Form
AI Prediction Nice Over 0.5 Goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Paris FC vs Nice: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 1 March, 2026 8:00

Winner (1x2)3.08
Nice to Win
Probability 37%
Total Goals1.98
Over 2.5
Probability 100%
Both Teams to Score1.70
Yes
Probability 100%
Paris FC Total1.26
Home Over 0.5
Probability 78%
Nice Total1.34
Away Over 0.5
Probability 81%
Double Chance1.60
Draw/Nice
Probability 66%
Asian Handicap1.27
Nice +1
Probability 75%
Best Tip
Value
Total - Away Total - Away: Over 0.5
Odds 1.34
Win Prob. 80.7% EV: +8.1%
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Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
14:00
Paris FC W 34%
:
Nice W 37%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Paris FC
d d d l d
11 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (14 total)
xG
1.30 (14.7 total)
Shots per Match
13 (143 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (29% acc)
Corners
5.3 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.4 (125 total)
Offsides
2.7 (30 total)
12 Played
3 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (13 total)
xG
1.00 (12.1 total)
Shots per Match
9 (108 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (35% acc)
Corners
3 (36 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.5 (126 total)
Offsides
1.6 (19 total)
23 Played
5 Wins
8 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (27 total)
xG
1.20 (26.8 total)
Shots per Match
10.9 (251 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (32% acc)
Corners
4.1 (94 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
10.9 (251 total)
Offsides
2.1 (49 total)
Nice
l d d l d
17 Played
5 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (22 total)
xG
1.30 (22.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.7 (216 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (36% acc)
Corners
4.9 (84 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.8 (184 total)
Offsides
1.6 (27 total)
16 Played
2 Wins
1 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (15 total)
xG
1.00 (15.3 total)
Shots per Match
9.7 (155 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (29% acc)
Corners
4.5 (72 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.9 (207 total)
Offsides
0.9 (15 total)
33 Played
7 Wins
6 Draws
20 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (37 total)
xG
1.10 (37.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (371 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (33% acc)
Corners
4.7 (156 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.8 (391 total)
Offsides
1.3 (42 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.54 vs 1.64
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.78%
0:1
7.67%
0:2
5.08%
0:3
2.25%
0:4
0.74%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
7.05%
1:1
11.18%
🔥
1:2
8.63%
1:3
4.35%
1:4
1.62%
1:5
0.48%
2
2:0
4.29%
2:1
7.93%
2:2
7.03%
2:3
4.02%
2:4
1.68%
2:5
0.55%
3
3:0
1.74%
3:1
3.67%
3:2
3.7%
3:3
2.38%
3:4
1.11%
3:5
0.4%
4
4:0
0.53%
4:1
1.26%
4:2
1.42%
4:3
1.02%
4:4
0.53%
4:5
0.21%
5
5:0
0.13%
5:1
0.34%
5:2
0.43%
5:3
0.34%
5:4
0.19%
5:5
0.08%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.8%
0
14.7%
1
20.6%
2
20.5%
3
16.3%
4
10.9%
5
6.3%
6
3.1%
7
1.3%
8
0.4%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Paris FCHDPNice
5.0%
Very Low@ 9.50
-2.5
6.3%
@ 14.50Very Low
9.9%
Very Low@ 8.10
-2
12.0%
@ 13.50Very Low
14.9%
Very Low@ 4.50
-1.5
17.7%
@ 6.00Very Low
24.8%
Low@ 3.94
-1
28.3%
@ 5.25Low
34.6%
Low@ 2.45
-0.5
38.9%
@ 3.08Low
61.1%
High@ 1.42
+0.5
65.4%
@ 1.62High
71.7%
High@ 1.16
+1
75.3%
@ 1.28High
82.3%
Very High@ 1.12
+1.5
85.1%
@ 1.19Very High
88.0%
Very High@ 1.02
+2
90.1%
@ 1.02Very High
93.7%
Very High@ 1.02
+2.5
95.0%
@ 1.04Very High

Team Total Predictions

Paris FCOutcomeNice
41.3%
Medium@ 2.30
Over 1.5
44.1%
@ 2.71Medium
58.7%
Medium@ 1.65
Under 1.5
55.9%
@ 1.48Medium
17.9%
Very Low@ 5.50
Over 2.5
20.1%
@ 7.00Low
82.1%
Very High@ 1.17
Under 2.5
79.9%
@ 1.13High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Paris FC will take on Nice as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 24 and will take place on 2026-03-01 at 2026-03-01 in the famous Stade Jean Bouin. The referee for the game will be H. Ben El Hadj Salem. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Paris FC, and the visiting side, Nice. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Nice. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-01 Time: 14:00 Location: Stade Jean Bouin Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Paris FC vs Nice Sunday, Mar 1st, 2026 at 8:00 Football

AI Value Bets
6 Found

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Total Away Over 0.5
Value
Prob: 80.7%
EV: +8.1%
Stake: $7.35
1.34
Premium Tip X2
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💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Win to Nil Paris FC NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 85.8%
EV: +4.7%
Stake: $10.00
1.22
Win To Nil Home No
Value
Prob: 86.4%
EV: +4.5%
Stake: $10.00
1.21
Asian Handicap Nice +1.5
Value
Prob: 85.1%
EV: +1.3%
Stake: $10.00
1.19
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-28 06:30:25
spinner

Trends for Paris FC vs Nice Football 1 Mar, 2026 8:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🎯
    Clinical Finishers

    Both teams convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — expect goals from limited opportunities

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Paris FC vs Nice

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Nice is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: Nice is stronger in the first half (14 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Paris FC is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Paris FC

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.39
Pressure
0.11

✈️ Nice

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Paris FC - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Nice - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Paris FC - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
12
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Nice - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Nice often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 1)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Nice scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Nice is stronger in the first half (14 vs 5)
  • First Half Result: Consider Nice to win the first half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Paris FC excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 4 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Paris FC scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Paris FC has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Paris FC handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.282
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.008
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Paris FC):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nice):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

Paris FC
Nice

Paris FC vs Nice Head-to-head statistics for Sun 1 Mar, 2026 @ 8:00 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
13
LE Havre
d l w w l
>
23
6
8
9
20
29
-9
26
14
Nice
w d d l d
>
23
6
6
11
30
43
-13
24
15
Paris FC
d d d l d
>
23
5
8
10
27
40
-13
23
16
Auxerre
l d d w l
>
23
4
5
14
17
33
-16
17
Team comparison
Prediction
Nice Over 0.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Paris FC
VS
Nice
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (1)
1 (1)
xG
1.80
1.10
Shots
13 (13)
11 (11)
Shots on Target
3 (3)
5 (5)
Corners
5 (5)
5 (5)
Defense
Conceded
1 (1)
1 (1)
xGa
1.10
1.80
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (1)
1 (1)
Fouls
14 (14)
13 (13)
Offsides
1 (1)
1 (1)
28 Sep
- 13:00
Nice
Paris FC
1.10
xG
1.84
1
1
Prob 71%
Away Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.47
Last 6 Matches
Paris FC
VS
Nice
1/6 (17%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.17 PPG 1.00
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
50% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
0.95 Avg xG 1.33
Paris FC
D D D L D
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Toulouse
1 1
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 20:05
Paris FC
0 5
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Auxerre
0 0
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 16:00
Paris FC
2 2
Marseille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Paris FC
0 0
Angers
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Nantes
1 2
Paris FC
Nice
L D D L D
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Nice
3 3
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Lyon
2 0
Nice
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 14:00
Nice
0 0
Monaco
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Nice
2 2
Stade Brestois 29
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
29 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Ludogorets
1 0
Nice
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Nantes
1 4
Nice

Paris FC vs Nice: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Paris FC and away matches for Nice

Number of goals
Paris FC
Under
Over
Nice
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Paris FC
Nice
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1X2
Paris FC
Nice
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Paris FC
Nice
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
90% 9
80% 8
Total Goals
Paris FC
Nice
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
20% 2
50% 5
Total Corners
Paris FC
Under
Over
Nice
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Paris FC
Nice
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Paris FC
Nice
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
40% 4
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Paris FC
Nice
xG
0.98
1.5
xGa
1.66
1.47
Number of goals
Paris FC
Under
Over
Nice
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Paris FC
Nice
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Paris FC
Nice
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
40% 4
60% 6
Double Chance
Paris FC
Nice
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
60% 6
40% 4
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Paris FC
Nice
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Paris FC
Nice
Yes
50% 5
20% 2
No
50% 5
80% 8
Number of goals
Paris FC
Under
Over
Nice
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Paris FC
Nice
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Paris FC
Nice
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Paris FC
Nice
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Paris FC
Nice
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Paris FC
Nice
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
Missing Players
Paris FC
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Injury
26
f
- Injured - Injury
29
f
- Injured - Calf Injury
1
g
- Injured - Injury
14
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
Nice
- Injured - Knee Injury
64
d
- Injured - Leg Injury
21
f
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Injury
1.17 xG 1.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found