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Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 22
Preview
Paris FC
Paris FC
14th place
Form
VS
20:05
14 Feb 2026
Lens
Lens
2nd place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Lens
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Paris FC vs Lens: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 14 February, 2026 14:05

Winner (1x2)-
Lens to Win
Probability 70%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 64%
Paris FC Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 89%
Lens Total-
Away Over 1.5
Probability 75%
Double Chance-
Draw/Lens
Probability 86%
Asian Handicap-
Lens +2.5
Probability 99%
Best Tip
Value
Total - Away Lens Over 1.5 Goals
Odds 1.9
Win Prob. 75.5% EV: +43.4%
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Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
20:05
Paris FC W 14%
:
Lens W 70%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Paris FC
l l w d d
10 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (14 total)
xG
1.40 (14.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.2 (132 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (27% acc)
Corners
5.5 (55 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.3 (113 total)
Offsides
3 (30 total)
10 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (12 total)
xG
1.00 (10.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (96 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (33% acc)
Corners
2.9 (29 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.8 (108 total)
Offsides
1.3 (13 total)
20 Played
5 Wins
6 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (26 total)
xG
1.20 (24.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.4 (228 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (30% acc)
Corners
4.2 (84 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11.1 (221 total)
Offsides
2.2 (43 total)
Lens
w w w l w
10 Played
9 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (18 total)
xG
2.10 (20.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.7 (147 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (37% acc)
Corners
6.3 (63 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.4 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (60%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.3 (133 total)
Offsides
2.3 (23 total)
10 Played
6 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (16 total)
xG
1.40 (14.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (125 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (36% acc)
Corners
4.7 (47 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
14.3 (143 total)
Offsides
1.6 (16 total)
20 Played
15 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (34 total)
xG
1.70 (35.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.6 (272 total)
Shots on Target
5 (36% acc)
Corners
5.5 (110 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
13.8 (276 total)
Offsides
2 (39 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.14 vs 2.72
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.37%
0:1
6.31%
0:2
8.41%
0:3
7.46%
0:4
4.97%
0:5
2.65%
1
1:0
2.57%
1:1
6.97%
1:2
9.47%
🔥
1:3
8.56%
1:4
5.81%
1:5
3.15%
2
2:0
1.39%
2:1
3.85%
2:2
5.32%
2:3
4.91%
2:4
3.39%
2:5
1.87%
3
3:0
0.5%
3:1
1.42%
3:2
2%
3:3
1.87%
3:4
1.32%
3:5
0.74%
4
4:0
0.14%
4:1
0.39%
4:2
0.56%
4:3
0.54%
4:4
0.38%
4:5
0.22%
5
5:0
0.03%
5:1
0.09%
5:2
0.13%
5:3
0.12%
5:4
0.09%
5:5
0.05%
Hotspot: 1:2 (9.5%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.4%
0
8.9%
1
16.8%
2
21.3%
3
20.4%
4
15.8%
5
9.1%
6
3.8%
7
1.2%
8
0.3%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Paris FCHDPLens
1.3%
Very Low
-2.5
30.0%
@ 7.00Low
2.9%
Very Low
-2
40.0%
@ 6.00Medium
4.6%
Very Low@ 9.40
-1.5
50.0%
@ 3.36Medium
8.8%
Very Low@ 8.50
-1
60.5%
@ 2.60High
13.1%
Very Low@ 4.10
-0.5
70.9%
@ 1.90High
29.1%
Low@ 2.00
+0.5
86.9%
@ 1.25Very High
39.5%
Low@ 1.53
+1
91.2%
@ 1.10Very High
50.0%
Medium@ 1.35
+1.5
95.4%
@ 1.01Very High
60.0%
Medium@ 1.12
+2
97.1%
Very High
69.9%
High@ 1.10
+2.5
98.7%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Paris FCOutcomeLens
68.0%
High@ 1.45
Over 0.5
93.4%
@ 1.18Very High
32.0%
Low@ 2.77
Under 0.5
6.6%
@ 4.90Very Low
31.6%
Low@ 3.25
Over 1.5
75.5%
@ 1.90High
68.4%
High@ 1.35
Under 1.5
24.5%
@ 1.92Low
10.8%
Very Low@ 9.10
Over 2.5
51.1%
@ 3.80Medium
89.2%
Very High@ 1.08
Under 2.5
48.9%
@ 1.27Medium
2.9%
Very Low@ 29.00
Over 3.5
29.0%
@ 10.00Low
97.1%
Very High@ 1.02
Under 3.5
71.0%
@ 1.08High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Paris FC will take on Lens as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 22 and will take place on 2026-02-14 at 2026-02-14 in the famous Stade Jean Bouin. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Paris FC, and the visiting side, Lens. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Lens. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-14 Time: 20:05 Location: Stade Jean Bouin Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Paris FC vs Lens Saturday, Feb 14th, 2026 at 14:05 Football

AI Value Bets
6 Found

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Asian Handicap Lens -1
High Value
Prob: 60.5%
EV: +57.2%
Stake: $1.56
2.60
Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 72%
EV: +36.9%
Stake: $2.78
1.90
Match Winner Lens
High Value
Prob: 70.2%
EV: +34.7%
Stake: $2.72
1.92
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 64.2%
EV: +12.4%
Stake: $3.33
1.75
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 83.8%
EV: +9.7%
Stake: $8.06
1.31
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 86.4%
EV: +8.9%
Stake: $9.62
1.26
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-05 02:29:16
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Trends for Paris FC vs Lens Football 14 Feb, 2026 14:05

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Lens create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights
[wp_predictions_test_enhanced home_club="189680" away_club="12564" competition_id="" season_id=""]
Paris FC
Lens

Paris FC vs Lens Head-to-head statistics for Sat 14 Feb, 2026 @ 14:05 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
20
15
3
2
43
16
27
48
2
Lens
w w w l w
>
20
15
1
4
34
16
18
46
3
Marseille
w l w w d
>
20
12
3
5
46
22
24
39

13
Nice
l d l w d
>
20
6
4
10
27
38
-11
22
14
Paris FC
l l w d d
>
20
5
6
9
26
34
-8
21
15
LE Havre
l w d d l
>
20
4
8
8
16
25
-9
20
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Lens
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: +1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Paris FC
VS
Lens
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (1)
2 (2)
xG
0.50
1.50
Shots
8 (8)
10 (10)
Shots on Target
3 (3)
3 (3)
Corners
3 (3)
11 (11)
Defense
Conceded
2 (2)
1 (1)
xGa
1.50
0.50
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (2)
2 (2)
Fouls
8 (8)
11 (11)
Offsides
2 (2)
2 (2)
19 Oct
- 13:00
Lens
Paris FC
1.54
xG
0.51
2
1
Prob 69%
Match Winner 1
Odd 1.92
Last 6 Matches
Paris FC
VS
Lens
1/6 (17%) Victories 5/6 (83%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.00 PPG 2.50
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
50% BTTS % 33%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.98 Avg xG 1.76
Paris FC
L L W D D
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 16:00
Paris FC
2 2
Marseille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Paris FC
0 0
Angers
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Nantes
1 2
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Paris Saint Germain
2 1
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 20:05
Paris FC
0 3
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 16:15
LE Havre
0 0
Paris FC
Lens
W W W L W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Lens
1 0
LE Havre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 20:05
Marseille
3 1
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 16:00
Lens
1 0
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Toulouse
0 3
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 16:15
Lens
2 0
Nice
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 16:00
Nantes
1 2
Lens

Paris FC vs Lens: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Paris FC and away matches for Lens

Number of goals
Paris FC
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Paris FC
Lens
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
Paris FC
Lens
1
20% 2
90% 9
X
40% 4
0% 0
2
40% 4
10% 1
Double Chance
Paris FC
Lens
12
60% 6
100% 10
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
80% 8
10% 1
Total Goals
Paris FC
Lens
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Total Corners
Paris FC
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Paris FC
Lens
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4
1X2 HT - FT
Paris FC
Lens
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
40% 4
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT X
30% 3
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Paris FC
Lens
xG
1.13
1.87
xGa
1.37
0.99
Number of goals
Paris FC
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Paris FC
Lens
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Paris FC
Lens
1
10% 1
50% 5
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
Paris FC
Lens
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
90% 9
50% 5
Total Goals
Paris FC
Lens
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Paris FC
Lens
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
Number of goals
Paris FC
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Paris FC
Lens
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
Paris FC
Lens
1
20% 2
70% 7
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
30% 3
0% 0
Double Chance
Paris FC
Lens
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
70% 7
100% 10
X2
80% 8
30% 3
Total Goals
Paris FC
Lens
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Paris FC
Lens
Yes
40% 4
80% 8
No
60% 6
20% 2
1.13 xG 2.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
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